Smoking or Ukrainian scrap.

Interesting angle. And we have already seen what Belarus did in connection with the full-scale invasion. The army seems to have been clear that it will only go to war if Belarus is attacked. And that it would be immoral to obey an order to attack Ukraine.

And now apparently deactivated relay stations. This possibly increases the risk for Belarus, which is now walking a tightrope.

🔥A fire has been detected on the Tavrida Highway.

🔥A fire has been detected at the Zaliv Shipyard in Kerch.

Two fires are located in the shipyard’s waters.**

https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mp6izwhl7s2o

Ugh, what a tragic disaster. 🙏

“Nearly 50,000 people have been reported missing after the twin earthquakes in Venezuela, several media outlets report, referring to a site where relatives can search for loved ones.

Desperate relatives dig through the rubble for their missing family members. Dayana Delgado, a mother of three who is looking for her eight-year-old son, wonders where the government’s promised help is and asks why it is only her and her neighbors searching through the debris.

– I want to know where my child is, she tells AP.

Shock and sorrow unfold on the streets of Venezuela. A mother in Caracas collapses as her children’s bodies are wrapped in blankets and carried away.”
https://omni.se/nara-50000-saknas-efter-skalven-vill-veta-var-mitt-barn-ar/a/zO6bn9

Yes, I have all along believed that there is a significantly greater risk of a new large-scale attack on Ukraine from Belarus compared to Russia entering the Baltics.

👍

In such a scenario, Belarus must fully side with Russia.

Now, the Nordic countries are quite proactive in wanting to neutralize the Russian threat, as well as some countries on the European continent.
When it comes to sending equipment to Ukraine, it is also up to each country to decide what should be sent.
So it is not too far-fetched to assume that a lot of the equipment for combating strategic targets in Belarus and Kaliningrad will be sent from various NATO countries to Ukraine in such a scenario.
Of course, the laws of war apply, and with that, Belarusian airspace will be open to Ukrainian missiles and drones.

In this way, several countries can circumvent a parliamentary decision to go to war against Russia.
Lukashenko has probably already figured out that this is a quite likely outcome if Russia enters the Baltics.

Therefore, I do not believe that Russia will enter the Baltics.
Not because Putin does not want to, but because the situation in Belarus is far too unstable to keep the country together during such a major escalation.

Love the pictures from their attempt to cross the river with armored columns. I also recall that they tried again a few weeks later a few kilometers further away. Surprise, the same outcome again 😂.

Ukraine to victory ✊🏻!

Fafo, now at a strategic level. Nice!