The negotiations in Turkey are going great \u2013 Russia sent some low level id1ots so Marco Rubio left, and then the low level management threatened Ukraine with forever war and want lots of more territory than they hold today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ukraine sent their defense minister and the head of military intelligence, and the President intended to be there but it was to low of a level of the Russians even for him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ukraine is leaking to the press which is good.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Has anyone seen Starmer, Macron and Merz lately?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A couple of days ago the threatened Putin with german-level violence if he did not want peace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Where is that violence?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
First we zoom out a bit \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trump together with the troika \u2013 Starmer, Macron and Merz have held Ukraines hands tied since beginning of the year so that it shall be peace in our time. Somehow it is ukraines fault that it is war not peace \ud83d\ude10<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ukraina stopped attack the refineries, they left Kursk two days before peace negotiations in Moscow, they did not drone the 9th<\/sup> May parade and they did not further attack across the northern border (almost).<\/p>\n\n\n\n At the same time none of the id1ots above go hard on Putin \u2013 he continues with his genocide in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n China have shown their loyalty towards Russia on the 9th<\/sup> May together with 29 more countries \u2013 a larger group now than 2023 when it was only the old soviet republics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n China and possibly also Russia has instigated the war between India- Pakistan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia threatens the Baltics and Finland and has a strategic offensive reserve ready for a limited campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia also has offensive capacity in Ukraine and is about to start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ukraine is playing wests game here, kudos, but the fact remain \u2013 either Russia win or Ukraine win. The longer this drags on the closer to global conflict it gets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump blows both hot and cold and it is hard to figure out his long term plan if any.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Back to the meeting to bring peace in our time –<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ukraine and Russia agreed on a ceasefire the month before Putins 9 May parade \u2013 only Ukraine adhered to it and Russia did not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Europe and USA stopped to discuss that ceasefire a while after they noticed Russia did not care. Before that it was extremely important.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nobody thanked Ukraine after a month for following up on the agreement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Before the parade 9th May Putin panicked and BEGGED Ukraine for a ceasefire 8-10 May. Ukraine scared all the days before but did not bomb the parade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Xi Jinping also begged Ukraine to not bomb the parade and Ukraine did fly +500 drones daily over Russia including Moscow but went silent on the parade day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Likely a request from Europe and Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Putin projected strength \u2013 lots of vehicles, lots of soldiers, ten countries joined with their soldiers and 29 big leaders including China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Xi was there last 2015 so a bit of a biggie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n After the parade our troika Starmer, Macron and Merz went absolutely medieval on Putin \u2013 \u201cif you don\u2019t follow a ceasefire from the 12th<\/sup> May we will rain death upon you, capiche\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n They had a meeting with Zelensky and called Trump \u2013 all bet their full prestige on this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Putin replied \u2013 foooock you I will not consider a ceasefire you d1cks (after he just got it for his parade \ud83d\ude10) but I can come to Turkey for peace talks on the 15th<\/sup> if Zelensky dare to show up and meet me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Out troika replied \u2013 \u201cyeah, ok \u2013 only for this time but you need to come there otherwise it will be consequences for you, biig consequences\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump got all excited and tweeted that he would meet his two buddies in Istanbul for McDonalds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Full-Prestige-Invested.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Zelensky spotted an opening and confirmed he would come to negotiate with Putin in person.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Putin now looked weak \u2013 he can not come to Turkey if Zelensky demands it, and he turks might send him to Hague anyway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Zelensky did his bit \u2013 got off the plane, waved and said peace in our time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Then Ukraine started to hint that Putin would not come \u2013 media ignores it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Putin \u2013 \u201cyou guys are nerds\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump \u2013 \u201cthey got great kebab here in Qatar, I will stay for another two days\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Macron, Starmer and Merz turned off their phones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And then it is all lost \u2013 the world media \u201c Zelensky will not attend the meeting\u201d, \u201cZelensky accuses Putin\u201d, \u201call three will not come to the meeting\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And then swedens biggest newspaper \u2013 \u201cit is the Ukrainian people that rejects trumps peace plan\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Game over, Putin survived.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In swedish we use the expression \u2013 \u201cnot so good\u201d \u2013 for really big fiascos like these.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -Starmer, Macron and Merz have now held back Ukraine long enough to allow Putin to prepare for his offensives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -Nothing ever have consequences for Putin, that is the message he takes with him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -Starmer, Macron and Merz have show that they are weak \u2013 Russians can smell weak miles away.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -Trump is now passive and on a Ghandi-mission in the middle east and got trade deals to do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Europe should have gotten their big-boy pants on by now by all accounts \u2013 WHAT THE FUCK HAPPENED.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We know Zapad25 is in September and Russia uses excercises to mobilize for war. Right now they are also extremely concerned for the Russian minorities in the Baltics and raise frequently that it is ancestral Russian land that the west took from Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia has submitted a notice to mariners that 22 areas in the Baltics are no go zones from now until September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Even CNN understands Russia has offensive plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/world\/live-news\/ukraine-russia-talks-istanbul-turkey-intl#cmap774b300003b6ml0nozdyd<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n We know Russia mobilizes 50 000 \u2013 60 000 monthly since beginning of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n India got Pakistan, Bangladesh, Talibans and China against them and they are looking for friends now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Then the psyops has started \u2013 \u201cindia is etnically cleansing their muslim population\u201d, a powder keg that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Are we being tough on Putin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Will he retract his claws?<\/p>\n\n\n\n I do not think so, I think this encourages him to go further \u2013 and soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As soon as Putin do some kata-moves in the air Starmer, Macron and Merz are trying to hide behind each other \u2013 for f sake\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n Our opposition are getting excited now and that means more war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n September is not far off \u2013 Baltics will be attacked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Good idea to support India here \u2013 anyone heard anything?<\/p>\n\n\n\n We have Thyberg-gate in Sweden, an appointment of a senior diplomat in Sweden as national security adviser and 33 minutes after the appointment the government got nude pictures of him by email.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Apparently old from a dating site, account closed down years ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The email address used to send the pictures was protonmail and a name to another top diplomat in the foreign ministry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Secret police immediately arrested him, he got beaten up, released, went to hospital and now he apparently committed suicide – all in a couple of days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Some days after the first arrest another diplomat in Sweden got arrested, or civil servant in the foreign office, we don\u2019t know yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And in a town further north – a prominent man in the kurdish diaspora arrested by secret police posing as a delivery service and phone repair men.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Media gets all the information almost in real time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But all different media gets different information so they all contradict each other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Who said Sweden was boring \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n Rather safe to say that security services from third country somehow is in on this to some extent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We will have AI translation of the Swedish posts from next week and I post them all on Substack so if you can curb your excitement until then \u2013 all posts will be in English and Swedish<\/p>\n\n\n\n You have a chance to become a free or paid subscriber on Substack still, or otherwise follow on Bluesky or check out the homepage.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n As soon as the AI translation is up I sincerely recommend johanno1.se as it is plenty of initiated comments in the comment field.<\/p>\n\n\n substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n