{"id":1301,"date":"2025-05-01T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-01T05:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/world-and-ukraine-daily-update-may-1-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-25T16:57:55","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T14:57:55","slug":"world-and-ukraine-daily-update-may-1-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/world-and-ukraine-daily-update-may-1-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"World and Ukraine daily update May 1, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Two things have been concluded regarding the power outage \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1<\/strong>-two major events occurred in Spain, one can speculate that the first might have triggered the second?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe grid appears to have experienced an initial, second-long power generation loss from which it swiftly recovered. But immediately after, it experienced the longer interruption that triggered the blackout, according to Red El\u00e9ctrica, Spain\u2019s national transmission system operator (TSO).&nbsp;\u201c<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Spain denies that renewable energy was behind it, and one of the events was a 15,000MW loss from France anyway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAccording to Red El\u00e9ctrica, the problem originated in the southwestern region of Extremadura, which is home to the country\u2019s most powerful nuclear power plant, some of its largest hydroelectric dams, and numerous solar farms\u201c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2<\/strong>-the stability of the power grid began to fluctuate already at 09:30 on Monday even though the major power outage was around lunchtime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/europe\/20250430-what-we-know-so-far-about-the-massive-blackout-that-hit-spain-and-portugal\">https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/europe\/20250430-what-we-know-so-far-about-the-massive-blackout-that-hit-spain-and-portugal<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What is highly interesting, however, is this \u2013 anomalies were already observed in the UK on Sunday even though they were not affected by the power outage at all \ud83e\uddd0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBritain struck by unusual power activity hours before blackouts in Spain and Portugal<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The UK was struck by unusual power activity hours before large swathes of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/spain\">Spain<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/portugal\">Portugal<\/a>&nbsp;were&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/world\/europe\/spain-portugal-power-outage-cut-electricity-live-updates-b2740780.html\">hit by blackouts<\/a>, it has emerged.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Britain\u2019s grid operator has confirmed it is investigating unexplained changes in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/electricity\">electricity<\/a>&nbsp;frequency seen early on Sunday morning and also in the evening. The system\u2019s frequency must be&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/climate-change\/spain-power-cut-electricity-solar-wind-energy-b2741491.html\">kept within specific limits for the lights to remain on<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Control room staff noticed the first incident at around 2 am at the Keadby 2 gas-fired power plant in Lincolnshire, as well as the Viking Link interconnector between the UK and Denmark. Then, power plant failures were again seen at around 6 pm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>National Energy System Operator (Neso), the quango that operates Britain\u2019s grid, has confirmed to<em>&nbsp;The Independent&nbsp;<\/em>that officials are investigating the unexpected activity, with the cause still unknown. It is thought that there was a disconnection from the network in both instances, which was contained by control room engineers each time.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Suspicions are arising that when the frequency started to fluctuate, power-generating units shut down, and in Spain, they did not have the redundancy that the UK had.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, what caused this in the UK already on Sunday is a question that needs to be answered to better understand this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fire around the power line in southern France logically cannot have been the cause of the issue in the UK already on Sunday \u2013 it seems like a dead end even though the 15,000MW loss from France is confirmed, but it could have been a transformer station that shut down when the frequency started to fluctuate?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The more information we receive, the more suspicious I become, it was neither excessively hot nor cold so no consumption peaks, 11 degrees at night and 24 degrees during the day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m pondering further on Operation Baltikum \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The question is how much ammunition Europe currently has available as ammunition supply is obscene during wartime. And then how many sabotages we will encounter at storage sites.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then the question arises about how well-developed both our drone weapons and drone defense are?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia&#8217;s wave of sabotage will naturally focus on single points of failure \u2013 if they can burn down the fuel tanks for the F35 at an airbase, there won&#8217;t be much flying from that base in the critical first week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The central JDAM depot, and the JDAM factory inexplicably catching fire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then the next question \u2013 are Europe&#8217;s countries prepared for war with Russia and what needs to be voted on in our parliaments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We already know that Hungary and Slovakia will slow down everything in the EU, and then votes will be targets for Russian influence, a no vote only needs to be 51%, and the bribe money that the EU has refused to freeze in the European banking system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>High risk that country after country in Europe will not send anything as the parliaments do not get a majority for it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Europe has not &#8211;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>stopped the shadow fleet but bought oil until December 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-significantly reduced cable breaks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-done much about the wave of sabotage in Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-assisted Ukraine until May 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-punished Russia for 2015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-stopped Russia&#8217;s actions in Africa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-punished Russia for October 7th.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;Viewing this from a Russian perspective, the likelihood is probably high that Europe will hesitate long enough for them to achieve their goal of showing Europe and NATO as weak and destabilizing the markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Putin probably wants two things with this \u2013 to show that Europe and NATO are weak and to throw Europe into financial and political chaos so that we turn inward as global escalation continues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Retreat, yes, and the invasion force is collateral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then it&#8217;s &#8220;tit for tat&#8221; and how far is Europe willing to go.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We can assume that RU is prepared to shell cities in the Baltics with rockets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And then the most important question \u2013 will the USA prevent Storm Shadow, JDAMs, F-16s, and Gripens from targeting objectives in the Baltics?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And will they assist us in the Baltics?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The risk is that they may not?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, finally, you have the chance to show appreciation to MXT and his work on the website and the daily (well&#8230;) yellow posts &#8211; IT has installed a donation button on johanno1.se, if you look around a bit, you will see a QR code.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is also a donation page for Ukraine on johanno1.se with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations that we have learned over time are legitimate and dare to donate to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Substack \u2013 there is still a chance to follow and subscribe if it feels more right to go that route, which some have done.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"mailto:ohanno1.se\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"mailto:substack.com\/@johanno1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two things have been concluded regarding the power outage \u2013 1-two major events occurred in Spain, one can speculate that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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