Russian front commanders have been ordered to advance into Dnipropetrosk Oblast before May 9, and one can guess that Putin wants to be able to politically declare that they are in the process of taking Dnipropetrovsk or something on Victory Day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then the little dictator has tried to persuade Ukraine to agree to a ceasefire on May 8-10, and the parade is on May 9, so Putin et al are terrified of drone swarms on May 9 that could disrupt the glorious victory parade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Furthermore, you will see the strategic reserve displayed on May 9, new equipment and new units.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Putin will try to project maximum strength on this very important day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
So it is extremely important that the USA and especially Europe do not stop Budanov this year to shatter a victory parade in front of the entire Russian people would be an excellent gesture of victory in my opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We know that Trump doesn’t want it, but Europe should now, after three years, ease up on the anxiety and allow something like that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
There are also different opinions on whether Putin will try to declare that the war is won now – full psyops as usual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I simply can’t decide if Putin wants a ceasefire or not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He seems to be gearing up for an offensive, but it would also benefit his Operation Baltikum if calm settled over the fronts so that the North Koreans could take over border security at the northern front – which is happening right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Or it could be both – North Koreans and border security at the northern front + offensive inside Ukraine with Russian units and 210,000 troops towards Baltikum in the summer or fall (150,000 troops Zelensky has warned us about, plus the 60,000 they are releasing from the northern front).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Up in Finland, they are preparing to start training other types or newly recruited personnel so that there will be a lot of troops towards the Finnish border to tie up the Finnish lion up there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If you bother to google, there is no shortage of warnings about upcoming adventures in Baltikum, and in my world, one needs a few months on-site to prepare – so where are the European brigades?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
An unprepared Europe that cannot handle a Russian incursion into Baltikum is perhaps good for me because then EUR will plummet and my USD salary will rise again?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I find it hard to see any other upside, and we are heading towards this quickly now – the politicians in Europe who still believe that this can be de-escalated are not suitable to lead countries anymore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This summer, sabotage will take off like a spear, and angry citizens and gangs will fill the streets, and opposition parties on the fringes will scream for re-election in every other country. And on top of that, we might face a new 2015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And just when it is darkest and our governments are considering whether it is easier to resign and retire to the summer cottage in the archipelago – THEN RU will carry out its move towards mainly Europe in eastern Baltikum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Forget about Poland coming to the rescue – their land forces are 100,000 in all categories, and they will be needed against Kaliningrad and the border with Belarus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Because in Belarus, their entire defense force will be standing and hanging on the border fence with a few battalions of Chinese SOF – who will also be visiting Kaliningrad by coincidence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Finland will be busy at its enormous land border with Russia, and all the units in training up there and in the Baltic Sea, the Baltic fleet in its entirety will be cruising around near Gotland and Bornholm with all the Ropuchas and Ivan Greens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I consider it likely that RU will achieve its objectives of attack unless Europe sends in brigades now in May – each Baltic state has an army of 6,000 and a mobilizable reserve of a few hundred thousand, and the area in question has the lowest defense priority.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Of course, they will not mobilize before that because Russia’s top priority is that they do not, full freedom for subversive activities there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
210,000 in capable units with all the equipment going into defense in eastern Baltikum, and then it’s back to Europe again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What should we do?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Which country in Europe will be willing to sacrifice 50,000 of our sons and daughters individually to regain territory in the easternmost Baltikum?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-None.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then the markets will plummet, and the import streams will be disrupted in the Baltic Sea when the Baltic fleet poses a possible threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The colder it gets, the more power outages and so on ad infinitum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And there is very little we can do because we have already done the most – yes, we can stop the shadow fleet in the Baltic Sea, but we are already on our way to doing that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We will have a new normal situation in Europe, and Russia will move on to the next goal, which is to overthrow governments in Europe, Moldova, Romania, Baltikum, and who else?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Svalbard?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Putin’s allies have already been ordered to disrupt the EU to the maximum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then Europe will be fully occupied, and the next move globally will then be left to the USA to handle entirely on its own with Trump at the helm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Because it will be that simple to completely freeze Europe, and the clock is ticking now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Spaniards are completely unexpectedly innocent of the power outage if you are to believe them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
There was a sudden disturbance in the “interconnection” between France and Spain – Spain was importing electricity from France at the time. 15,000MW were cut off in five seconds, and then the frequency in Spain dropped when demand exceeded supply, and everything started to shut down automatically?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
With today’s 100% renewable energy, the redundancy in the European power grid is low, and different countries probably have different levels of disaster preparedness, and one can guess that, for example, Spain and Portugal are a bit lower – and have a very high percentage of renewable energy. It was spring, with 11 degrees at night and 24 degrees during the day, far from the time of year when demand peaks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We know that Spain was darkened, and then the synchronization between Portugal and Spain was lost, so Portugal went down, and then also up in France, but they managed to counteract quickly. It was apparently incredibly close to the whole of Europe starting to shut down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This has been launched as a possible suggestion –<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“a fire at a high-voltage power line between Perpignan and Narbonne in the southwest of France was mentioned as a possible contributing factor to a recent power outage in Spain and Portugal”<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I checked a bit, and there is a fire in the area, but it is not yet the peak season for forest fires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Belgium was temporarily affected according to Euronews, at least.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“According to Euronews, the power failure stretched beyond the Iberian Peninsula, impacting nearby countries like Andorra and parts of southwest France. Some areas in Belgium also reported brief disruptions”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It seems that Germany and Italy had problems too, not Finland and the Netherlands.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
https:\/\/euroweeklynews.com\/2025\/04\/28\/blackout-chaos-the-full-list-of-countries-hit-by-europes-massive-power-cut<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n It is worth noting in this context that SE2 has two transmission lines to SE3, and then SE3 exports to SE4, which exports to Germany and Denmark. If they were cut off by a “forest fire,” it could get lively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Now the problem is not that we have a sensitive power grid but that Russia is carrying out sabotage. No Russia, no problems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And a large substation apparently caught fire in London today, the day after the major power outage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Now you finally have the chance to show appreciation to MXT and his work on the website and the daily (well…) yellow posts – IT has installed a donation button on johanno1.se, if you look around a bit you will see a QR code.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There is also a donation page for Ukraine on johanno1.se with links to, among others, Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 ukraine, and other organizations that we have learned over time are legitimate and safe to donate to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n On Substack – there is still a chance to follow and subscribe if it feels more right to go that route, which some have done.<\/p>\n\n\n\n johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n