{"id":1309,"date":"2025-04-29T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-29T05:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/world-and-ukraine-daily-update-april-29-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-25T16:57:55","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T14:57:55","slug":"world-and-ukraine-daily-update-april-29-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/world-and-ukraine-daily-update-april-29-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"World and Ukraine daily update April 29, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The global escalation is accelerating at an ever faster pace \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In recent days, China has seized a strategic island from Vietnam by simply occupying it with troops, somewhere in the South China Sea. It is clearly an act of war, but the world is not ready to take action against China under international law yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Iran&#8217;s Bandar-Abbas port, a huge depot of rocket fuel exploded \u2013 Israel confirmed what it was as usual. Drone images showed smoke at three separate locations. It&#8217;s a bit difficult to know what is psychological operations, but it is undeniable that Iran had a biblical explosion in a port, resulting in significant damage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>India and Pakistan are in full-blown conflict in the region, and both countries are rushing heavy equipment there as quickly as they can \u2013 they are firing all types of available weapons at each other in the area, and as soon as new weapons arrive, they are likely to be used as well, I guess \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>India also chose the USA over China \u2013 partly in words, but also with tariffs of 10% against China, and the USA has promised them the F35, which is the big feather in the cap in terms of arms purchases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Western countries have begun to understand that the fine print in the F35 contracts was that the USA decides how they can be used and against whom \u2013 Finland is regretting it anyway&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Furthermore, there was a massive power outage in Portugal and Spain yesterday that spilled over to France \u2013 entire countries were plunged into darkness, and our friends in Portugal disappeared from WhatsApp, and we didn&#8217;t hear from them all evening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It was TWITTER-RUMORED that Germany, Finland, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Italy also had problems \u2013 unverified.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perhaps it&#8217;s Finland then, as someone on johanno1.se who lives in Finland confirmed that the air conditioning was on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My guess is that there is a lot of psychological operations going on because there are incredible amounts of rumors circulating, which at least gives an indication \ud83e\uddd0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When was the last time we had power outages like this \u2013 it wasn&#8217;t particularly hot, with our temperatures at 11 degrees at night and 23 degrees during the day when I checked Spain yesterday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Things will probably become clearer eventually, but a cyberattack or coordinated sabotage that overloaded the network cannot be ruled out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Europe will never have time to address the situation until autumn, and the entire network is interconnected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perhaps you remember that BankID was down a few days ago due to a cyberattack?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>North Korea has also confirmed that they are sending troops to Russia to support them in the war in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you recall, the entire 11th AC command structure was in Kursk and witnessed the slaughter, and were themselves knocked out, and if one were to guess, RU promised to retake Kursk and then have the 11th AC fortify the northern border against Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why is that?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, RU can then release an additional 60,000 troops from Kursk and, together with the strategic reserve of 150,000, move them to the Baltic border.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China is also fueling the conflict somewhat quietly \u2013 they have unilaterally stopped more than 60% of their sea shipments to the USA, for example. One could argue that Trump got exactly what he asked for, but China is also pushing here and is ready to fight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We are somewhat fortunate in Europe that we don&#8217;t have any important elections this year, and the energy crisis is pacified until sometime in November when it gets cold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What lies ahead in the global escalation?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-continued actions from Trump that are impossible to predict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-Zapad 2025 in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-China&#8217;s continued escalation towards Taiwan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-large-scale sabotage from RU in Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-something new in 2015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then we have the atomic bomb, which is the markets where the bond market almost atomically exploded when some institutional investors in Japan started selling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to a rumor in the comments section of johanno1.se from Lynx, there were also major players in the USA selling because the financial markets have apparently grown tired of Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a personal note from the happy life of the lower class, my salary in dollars is naturally greatly affected by the weakening dollar, so I&#8217;m not exactly Trump&#8217;s biggest fanboy&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When we reach the point where the self-playing piano starts, no one knows, but we know that we reached it twice during the 20th century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Cold War was the non-escalation doctrine of the USA and Russia, and China was preoccupied internally, but today we have a very offensive Russia, a USA that is not willing to be pushed off the podium (I guess), and a China with the greatest of ambitions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A rather mixed cocktail and set up for a world war, isn&#8217;t it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At some point, it will explode, and then everything will be set in motion and won&#8217;t stop until all parties are too tired to continue fighting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>American Civil War, WW1, WW2 \u2013 five years seems to be the typical length of a major conflict, so maybe that&#8217;s what we have to deal with when it starts?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hopefully, you also read the post on organized crime in Sweden last Saturday \u2013 add to that the national police chief and others at the helm who are almost in tears of despair right now, trying to blame the citizens for the situation, and the opposition calling every attempt to resolve this at least Nazism \u2013 there is a looming risk that we will not succeed in resolving this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As far as I know, citizens have given the police and the judiciary a monopoly on violence in exchange for protection, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If that no longer applies, then perhaps it&#8217;s time for us citizens to engage in self-defense?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the times it has been done in the last 10 years, the police are never more than two hours away to arrest anyone who has formed a citizen guard because it has been deemed a greater threat than the gangs, and the clan criminals have apparently tried to protect themselves from \u2013 there are plenty of examples.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So it&#8217;s time for the police and the judiciary, and our politicians, to decide what kind of development they want in the future. I would prefer them to do their job so we can avoid citizen militias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And of course, Russia now has all the opportunities to bring us down into domestic and civil society chaos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last Saturday, I received proof that criminal clans and professional criminal gangs already have control over the judicial system because they are convicted in 50% of murder trials compared to a 90% conviction rate for other types of murderers, despite the promise to the contrary that they will crack down on gangs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Statistics don&#8217;t lie, and if you look at the sentences handed down, they are probably lower for the category of criminal clans and gangs compared to other types of murderers (drunk youths, Friday night family fights, and mentally ill individuals, for example&#8230;).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rhetoric is that they will crack down on gangs, but the reality is that many do everything to acquit or give the shortest possible sentences, and those who are paid to lead and protect the country should immediately question why. The answer is that civil society is infiltrated all the way to the top, of course, and it may be difficult to admit.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Not even during the Cold War did Russia have this infrastructure straight into the soft parts of the country, so guess if we are vulnerable today \ud83d\ude36<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Now Russia&#8217;s A-game is to try to topple governments, and I&#8217;m a bit torn &#8211; maybe an M-S government is needed for a term or two until this blows over?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>In any case, all countries in Europe need to prepare for upcoming conflicts just like Finland has done and put aside domestic squabbles.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Then we need to be very cautious with our repressive measures &#8211; just look at the USA and where they are heading, for example.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>The latest package of our tough laws sounds great for cracking down on gang criminals, as stated, but in the text it says serious crime. You and I don&#8217;t know today if in the future it will be considered serious crime to criticize the state, religions, or evade some taxes \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>An opening has been left by making the type of crime open to interpretation.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Europe is unfortunately not ready for what is coming, and I still don&#8217;t understand what the whole discussion about peacekeeping troops and &#8220;lasting peace&#8221; that Keir Starmer and Macron are pushing for wholeheartedly is &#8211; globally, we are heading towards boiling point right now.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Different continents will have different intensities in the upcoming global conflict, and Asia will be the worst.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>But in Europe, we must clarify our eastern border, or else the risk is that we will have a new Cold War right in the middle of Europe.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>The guarantor for our success is the country of Ukraine, which is taking the brunt here, but we still seem to think we have time to discuss this?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Those of you reading here know that everything is connected, but citizens will perceive this as isolated events and then become distracted.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>In the worst case, governments will fall if the opposition is a bit opportunistic &#8211; Persson from L just fell, for example, and if the Tid\u00f6 team can&#8217;t stick together, chaos will also ensue here.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And then support for Ukraine won&#8217;t be at the top of the list anymore.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>A bit of adult presence is needed right now as it&#8217;s well on its way to becoming a global storm.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Finally, you have the chance to show appreciation to MXT and his work on the website and the daily (well&#8230;) yellow posts &#8211; IT has installed a donation button on johanno1.se, if you look around a bit, you&#8217;ll see a QR code.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>There is also a donation page for Ukraine on johanno1.se with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations we have learned over time are legitimate and dare to donate to.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>On Substack &#8211; there is still a chance to follow and subscribe if it feels more right to go that route, which some have done.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><a href=\"mailto:ohanno1.se\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><a href=\"mailto:substack.com\/@johanno1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social<\/a><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The global escalation is accelerating at an ever faster pace \u2013 In recent days, China has seized a strategic island [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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