{"id":1321,"date":"2025-04-24T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-24T05:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/analysis-trump-24-april-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-25T17:06:19","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T15:06:19","slug":"analysis-trump-24-april-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/analysis-trump-24-april-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis Trump 24 April 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Today I have to try to figure out Trump because now we have enough to see the patterns &#8211; have some ideas in the end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have already delivered the final analysis on the Ukraine issue, but here I am trying to find the motivations in general.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump has denied Ukraine to buy weapons for 50 billion USD from American companies, and the Pentagon is starting to get tired of Europe supporting Ukraine so fully &#8211; they even went to Europe to put some pressure but Macron unexpectedly managed not to be talked down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia did not receive any trade tariffs and the peace negotiations are a sad affair in general where everything is completely rigged in favor of Russia. Kursk has not been mentioned at all and Ukraine left the area days before the first peace negotiation (politically!) but that little pocket Russia holds in Kharkiv is a bargaining chip mentioned in the proposal &#8211; &#8211; equal treatment is naturally absent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump praises Putin as soon as he gets the chance and at the same time he is condescending towards Ukraine, wants to colonize them, and does his best to destabilize Zelensky domestically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DOGE provides passwords to the Russian intelligence service giving them access to top-secret databases, the Russians also received new legitimate email addresses for the purpose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Trump absolutely spits and hisses against China, has been very harsh towards the EU, and crashed the relationship with all of the USA&#8217;s biggest trading partners within a few weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then we had Biden&#8217;s non-escalation doctrine towards Russia that Trump continues &#8211; but he intends to start a war against Iran, and if necessary also China, which is in line with Biden&#8217;s policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So Trump is the President of the USA and has survived the trial by fire in the form of everything being tried in the USA to bring him down. He is generally considered to be pro-Russian already so nothing can change his situation if further information were to come out on that issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So if Putin has compromising material on Trump, it&#8217;s presumably worthless?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump&#8217;s family has all the money they need now after the latest pump-and-dump stock market fraud, the family&#8217;s meme-coins, 5-million-dollar dinners, and his Truth social where he quietly sells the shares. Trump is likely good for a few more billion at this point in the game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Not to mention all the suitcases of dollars under the table for all the deals he will make for those who pay &#8211; other countries or the elite. Vietnam was the first, in their efforts to engage in fair trade with the USA, they also fast-tracked the approval of a Trump resort in the country. Trump is definitely a president for sale just like all the others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump has his guys at the FBI and CIA now, which could of course change, but he is legitimate and currently has no threats of imprisonment hanging over him. He has 4 years and after that, if he has managed to make the USA better, maybe the GOP will still be in power?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So Trump doesn&#8217;t need Putin for security or money either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So exactly WHAT is going on here &#8211; what is driving Trump who is not known for his strong ideology or for never betraying his pals directly?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What I have guessed is that &#8211;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-The USA wants to go after China before they become too strong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-The USA wants to keep Europe in check so WE don&#8217;t become too strong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-The USA wants Russia as an ally against China, and for Russia to keep Europe in check through perhaps a cold war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the Cold War was the USA&#8217;s best years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And then I believe the decision to strike Iran has already been made.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But this could have been resolved in the same way Biden did it, and Obama and the Clintons before him. These presidents managed to mesmerize us in Europe to the extent that we complied with everything and there was a somewhat united front against the threat, which is China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The situation as it has developed goes far beyond that now as the USA is in the process of replacing its Western allies with Russia, a gas station run by a criminal clan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And they are about to crash their dominant position and the special status of the dollar, which could have consequences that no one dares to guess at this point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why then?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The USA could probably have gotten the EU on board against China sooner or later through some sinister diplomacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The EU is not at all in order yet, not even with a knife to our throats are we doing the right thing now at the eleventh hour. And historically, we have collapsed like a house of cards at the slightest stress test &#8211; our infantry, which is so much better than Ukraine&#8217;s according to everyone, held out for weeks the last time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And we couldn&#8217;t handle Yugoslavia at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I am actually not getting a grip on this,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-One thought could be that Trump et al. are planning to crash the USA on behalf of Russia &#8211; but why?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump is filthy rich and has it very good, why would he suddenly become a left-wing communist and binge-read Marx, and Russia is no longer communist &#8211; they are a criminal clan that happens to have a country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And we see how Trump treats Ukraine, the man has zero empathy and would colonize his own grandmother if given the chance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is impossible that he would have high regard for Russia and its citizens &#8211; it is more likely that he is using them for another purpose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DOGE has been caught providing passwords to secret databases to IP addresses in Russia as we wrote above.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cForensic evidence\u201d exists. This is worrying because it suggests that Trump&#8217;s administration is definitely selling out the USA to Russia. I don&#8217;t think this is smoke and mirrors or an influence operation from the Democrats because there are too many whistleblowers and they have presented evidence to Congress\/the Senate several times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is VERY difficult to escape the fact that Trump&#8217;s administration is playing both sides with Russia and DOGE&#8217;s betrayal was orchestrated by Musk, and Trump is fully involved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump is now pursuing exactly the policy he intends &#8211; nothing can be blamed on anyone else, he has a majority everywhere up to the Supreme Court.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So Trump and Elon are fully aware that passwords have leaked to the Russian intelligence service.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And DOGE has also made large dumps of top-secret information that no one knows where it is &#8211; but we can guess \ud83d\ude03<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia has essentially fallen as a country due to their major mistake in the Ukraine war, but Trump and Elon are behaving like convinced communists during the Cold War &#8211; WHY THEN \ud83d\ude21<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump has managed to evade everything and now there is AI, so if a film of him in a hotel room with a twelve-year-old emerges, it&#8217;s just &#8220;fake news&#8221; and it will die out in a week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Putin HAS NO COMPROMISING MATERIAL ON HIM.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I can understand if RU would have Elon Musk in a financial bind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Trump?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a>He has all the means he needs now &#8211; he is free.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, he had almost the entire USA against him and now also the whole world, but he could have corrected the mistakes as Biden did and been praised instead?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>He had quite decent popularity figures when he took office, and even all the way up to the Supreme Court, so there was his chance to do everything right and there is plenty to draw from Biden&#8217;s well because just like in Europe, our elected officials have mismanaged things for quite a while since the times have been too good.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>It didn&#8217;t start off completely wrong with border controls, and then he wanted to broker peace and become our time&#8217;s Gandhi, defense budgets were to be halved, the USA was to withdraw so fewer of these colonization and predatory capitalist wars. Trump would simply make the world a much better place to live.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>But after two months, everything went wrong, and now he is well on his way to crashing the USA, and he has made the USA a pariah in the entire West.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Everything is always connected &#8211; with DOGE and the treatment of Ukraine, it is extremely clear that Russia has a special position where Trump favors them at the expense of the USA.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>I am ready to start looking for alternative explanations \u2013 I could understand if he does what, for example, Israel asks of him considering his family connections, but why would they want to crash the USA &#8211; the only country guaranteeing their survival (even though Israel is behaving more than questionably right now).<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Or is Trump doing the bidding of a new group of &#8220;oligarchs&#8221; who want to tear down in order to build up and hopefully end up on top \u2013 an elite&#8217;s revolution to rotate at the tax account?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>One should not exaggerate the gray eminences behind the scenes pulling the strings \u2013 in Russia, Putin simply took down the elite, arrested the country&#8217;s richest man, and then took control of everything. Yes \u2013 one could argue that he was the gray eminence and the strongest, but he had a background as a bullied rat with a prostitute mother, as far from an elite as one can get (I&#8217;m not judging the mother&#8217;s life choices, just that she was not a privileged elite!).<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Yes, when our politicians are like in Sweden, a group motivated with ample means can control and manipulate quite a bit, which we see in the various moves by the Moderates right now, but in the USA, Trump has also reached the softest and most sacred parts. If there was a gray eminence that could not be challenged, Trump would never have been able to go as far as he has, for the elite&#8217;s playing field is well on its way to changing in the USA.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>It just becomes strange speculations about it all, but I actually can&#8217;t see it \u2013 that Trump would be afraid of some hotel video or be so loyal to his best buddy Putin that he willingly crashes the USA?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>However, such crises are great opportunities for new ambitious ruthless actors, and old royalties can fall \u2013 maybe we should look at who is on the rise and who is falling in this mess?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Or is it as simple as Trump himself trying to bring down the current power structure and aiming to become the dictator of the USA?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Trying to be a Hitler, plain and simple?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>It would be a bit sad if we were heading in that direction because once again there will be enough people jumping on that train, and then Europe can forget about the alliance with the USA.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Upon reflection, maybe that is the logical explanation for what he is up to here?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>He wants to trigger a really severe recession in the USA in order to bring down the current power structures and snatch everything for his own group \u2013 just like Putin did?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>But instead of waiting for the right moment, he is creating it himself.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>It shouldn&#8217;t be a smooth transition because those in power today should at least organize some form of defense?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>The weakness of democracy and all that&#8230;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Unfortunately, I have to conclude this \u2013 Trump is trying to seize absolute power, and it is best done in a heavy crisis. I read a bit about Hitler before this post, and Trump is actually following all the steps Hitler took. Just like in Germany, there will be enough people ready to jump on the train.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>What should follow then is the arrests of opposition and influential figures in an attempt to further consolidate his power.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And external wars, of course.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Musk is a classic SA story &#8211; a disposable item.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>From the ashes will rise a final circle close to Trump, and those we are used to will one by one be imprisoned or expelled.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And DOGE has done the groundwork for them, as they have now snatched the CIA, FBI, and others&#8217; archives of compromising material on influential figures in the USA, and Russia has probably received it to prepare for the influence operations that Trump can then act on legally?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>DOGE acted swiftly after January 20, so it is likely that the authorities did not have time to hide information.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>What Trump needs Russia for is to further consolidate his power in the USA, that is my conclusion.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>I think I should post this in English as well and try to get some input from people in the USA on Substack and see what they have to say.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Quite a staggering thought actually, but it has happened before and it will happen again, so the likelihood that this is what Trump is up to is probably greater than any compromising material or that he admires Putin.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>I wrote before Trump took office that we needed a couple of months to read him, and so far we have clearly been able to assess in the Ukraine area, but now I think the overall picture is starting to become clear.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Very strong reasons for Europe to resolve the Ukraine conflict IMMEDIATELY and then position ourselves for what is to come \u2013 it&#8217;s a bit of a survival mode right now&#8230;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><a>Now you finally have the chance to show appreciation to MXT and his work on the website and the daily (well&#8230;) yellow posts &#8211; IT has installed a donation button on johanno1.se, if you look around a bit, you will see a QR code.<\/a><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>There is also a donation page for Ukraine on johanno1.se with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations we have learned over time are legitimate and dare to donate to.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>On Substack \u2013 there is still a chance to follow and become subscribers if it feels more right to go that route, which some have done.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><a href=\"mailto:ohanno1.se\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><a href=\"mailto:substack.com\/@johanno1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social<\/a><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today I have to try to figure out Trump because now we have enough to see the patterns &#8211; have [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Analysis Trump 24 April 2025 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/analysis-trump-24-april-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analysis Trump 24 April 2025 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Today I have to try to figure out Trump 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