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<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\nIt actually seems like Ukraine still holds a small area right on the Russian side of the border in Kursk \u2013 probably good defensive terrain, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Since the agreed ceasefire is not on the ground now (even though nothing is implemented yet!), Ukraine is presumably free to continue attacking at the northern front, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n I have been waiting for more attacking vectors in that area for several months because they are the low-hanging fruits before the 11th AC from North Korea takes positions along the northern front.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So now we wait and see if more attacking vectors will enter Moominvalley in Russia in the coming weeks since a number of brigades have now been freed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Well, Trump is not worse than changing his mind, but if there had been a total ban today, this attacking vector into Belgorod would not have happened \u2013 as it was before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It’s a devastating drone umbrella, and under it, UA is now working on clearing the minefields \u2013 why, you might wonder, but you probably have the answer if you look inward and seek the wisdom within yourself, and then go and read the answer on johanno1.se if it didn’t work out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It also seems that Ukraine is conducting the pre-emptive strike with a cloud of drones that are very effective \u2013 something for the West to take notes on, perhaps?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Small drones on a wire that cannot be jammed (to be replaced by AI drones in the future) flying into every opening horizontally and vertically and detonating in all enclosed spaces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We have vividly discussed before how drones, FAB, and cluster ammunition would decimate the defense down by the Dnieper, and it seems we have reached that point in the war now \u2013 we all understand that Ukraine prints out these posts daily on fax paper and sends copies to the industry to start working on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For a week now, Ukraine has been droning refineries again, and now they have probably shifted to other targets, maybe?<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hit on Engels went straight into some robot depot or similar and was felt 5km away, and the mushroom cloud was very beautiful and violent \u2013 there were also a number of strategic bombers at the site, and the base was showered in drones and shrapnel from the large explosion, so a high chance that the bombers were damaged, or the secondary explosions \ud83d\ude0d<\/p>\n\n\n\n I am starting to suspect that the secondary explosions were the fully loaded bombers, but we’ll have to wait for satellite images before drawing too many conclusions on this maybe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It’s worth noting that Engels is one of Russia’s most high-value targets as there was strategic bomber aircraft stationed there. It’s hard to know exactly what hit what, but it’s likely that the fast long-range drones hit their targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Imagine everything with lower security classification than Engels and that is 3000km within Ukraine’s border. I have been saying this since January 2024 \u2013 RU has lost the strategic bombing war, and I maintain that. The only thing Ukraine won’t lack in the future is long-range drones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The comment section was so philosophically charged yesterday that it influenced my post, I’m terrible at handling peer pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I’m watching Australia, New Zealand, Japan, and South Korea, which do not have small defense forces at all. Then moving on to Vietnam and many other countries \u2013 China’s only chance would be to go after one country at a time and hope that the others don’t unite against them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Their smartest move would be to try to repopulate the deserts in western China since 94% live east of them, which is about half the country’s area. They’ve probably already started, I think, and if they’re going to invest in something, that would be a good bang for the buck, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n They probably want a coastline on the Sea of Japan if I had to guess. There has been something recently about the Tumen River, and then North Korea can always rent out a naval base permanently, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n South Korea would probably be attractive to get rid of, and they could try to do that through a proxy war with North Korea maybe, but there’s a risk that South Korea would emerge victorious in that war looking at their defense forces \u2013 I’ve never understood why North Korea is seen as the threat when South Korea is twice as large.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If they want land that no one cares if they take by force, they have the enormous country of Mongolia with less than four million inhabitants and no one in the West knows where it is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Everything west of China has formidable defense forces \u2013 what China is doing there now is negotiating a land route to the west, which is a smart move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n China would definitely lose a naval war today \u2013 zero chance of success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Areas in Russia could probably be bought for dollars or gold, that country is thoroughly corrupt, so it should work, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n If China gets dragged into a war in the near future, my guess is they will come out as losers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No \u2013 if China seriously wants to expand further, they have a whole deserted western China to start with, actually they don’t need lebensraum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There is definitely strategic value in reaching the Sea of Japan for them, but North Korea is broke, and so is Russia, so why take it by force when you can buy it with BYD electric cars?<\/p>\n\n\n\n China is probably pushing forward like Russia and the USA, but there is no shortage of strong countries around, and I find it hard to see them as a real threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If there is a war, it’s probably because the USA starts it, that’s my conclusion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It seems like China is copying the USA’s base system in Africa and South America, and they are free to do so even if the USA doesn’t like it?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Also, I think China should export their “reforestation programs” that I have been reading about to the MENA and Africa. Australia should be able to manage on their own, but apparently, China has succeeded in planting forest land equivalent to two Swedens since the ’70s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Egypt’s rainforest in 200 years…<\/p>\n\n\n\n By the way, I am so convinced of Africa’s comeback that as soon as we can (get a job…), we will try to move back to Angola. There’s a slight dip right now, but if you believe that the world will need metals in all forms in the future, Angola has just that. As we all know, we run a farm on about 50 hectares and have a fun idea to start a B&B with a restaurant, shop, and bakery where everything eaten is from the farm, and the first stop for everything is the shop. We might need a bit more land, but then the problem is money as usual. When I arrived there in 2006, all prices were extremely inflated, then everything crashed in 2016, and if you look at who wants to shake hands with the president nowadays, it seems like an upward trend again in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n All this is much better than war, and more fun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I wonder if Google Maps now has the correct size of Africa, it was greatly reduced in all map books when we grew up because Mercator was used. It’s an absolutely enormous continent with 1.5 billion inhabitants on an area that is 5 times the size of Europe or something.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It’s like northern Sweden and that we could squeeze in 80 million people there without it being noticeable – you could hide many billions of people in Africa without them seeing each other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Here we have what we should do, but apparently we are going to keep on fighting for a while.<\/p>\n\n\n\n What I’m doing in the Caribbean, I’m not really sure, except for trying all kinds of rum and not succeeding with school… at least the company has written a letter that should help a bit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you liked the post, feel free to share it on your channels,<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you want a fun comment section – johanno1.se. The comments are of high quality, I can promise you, you learn something new every day. And you can post pictures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For those still commenting on Substack or Bluesky, switch to that thread instead – then your grandchildren will read your historical archive and start liking you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n On Substack – don’t forget to become paying subscribers even those of you who already follow. It’s great to see that some find it worth reading, appreciate all the work put into this, and took the step to subscribe \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n