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<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\nIn Ukraine, there may be around 20 battalions missing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Many things have a natural explanation, but there is quite a large number of Russian units with unknown whereabouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And as one can guess, it is a strategic offensive reserve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
According to Ukraine, Russia has an offensive reserve of 150,000 in training against the Baltics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It is true that Zelensky is currently engaging in psyops at level 9\/10 along with Trump and Putin, so it is EXTREMELY difficult to sift through the information, but much indicates that Russia has several divisions they can throw at the Baltics if the war is manageable in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Which it is not right now, it should be added because there was no ceasefire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
You know that many countries are now delivering equipment to Ukraine in secret, I will try to come back with a post about that when I have time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Now, when the comment section on johanno1.se… Sweden’s best comment section with world-leading analyses, indisputably. If you are not there reading yet, you are missing out is all I have to say, except that IT is trying to make my comments snake-green now…<\/p>\n\n\n\n
…starting to advocate for total war across the board until it becomes too much for Russia, I must remind of two things \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Ukraine can now take the war outside the country legally, Zelensky has signed that law now. They have indeed been doing it for three years already, but now it is legal. What the comment section wishes for is already happening – for example, all Russian ships with unexplained engine room explosions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-For the West to start doing this, Europe needs to take that step and escalate. So far, we have not seen it, but it is probably enough to go back to WW2 to see what happened WHEN those decisions were finally made. It culminated in mass deaths of Japanese and firestorms in German cities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We will reach a point when Europe has had enough of this, and if Putin is not completely devoid of history, he should also start sweating at the thought of Germany proudly roaring “we are back, baby, the Germans” with the thickest of all secretive army accents, against a backdrop of bratwurst and lederhosen – and waitresses who can balance 15 beer steins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It is a lie that the USA has the production capacity we need – France, UK, Germany, and Italy are not small players, and Sweden was long at the top of the world in arms production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
When it comes to the quality of weapons, Europe is also very high up. Read about our submarine that outplayed a CAG group in the Pacific and sank the aircraft carrier in an exercise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I have to stop writing EU because everyone interprets it as the EU framework, but this will be Europe in various constellations driving this forward now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We in Sweden have already taken responsibility for the Baltic Sea region, for example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And I, more than anyone, have been advocating since 2022 that JEF is the new black for\/with Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
World War II is good insofar as it gives us a time period of how long the world can endure fighting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The production was absolutely ENORMOUS, with numbers that are hard to grasp, and the same goes for the number of combatants. The British had fewer but more colonial troops – 3.5 million Indians, for example, and many ANZACs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Don’t exclude China here – electric cars were supposed to be the future according to everyone, and look at who produces the electric cars…<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I made a mistake with China when I tried to say that they are landlocked. If they have free movement in Russia, they can attack straight into the EU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
As is well known, I have been working with Chinese since 2006 and have some experience to share –<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-never work under a Chinese boss, we always sat on top of them, but those who worked under them did not last long.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-lying is part of the business strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-they are quite nationalistic and proud and do not like to mix with others and only engage in relationships with their own ethnic group – with us, it’s called racism if you act like that, but I have noticed that very few anti-racist movements are interested in China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-they have learned a lot between 2006 – 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-they look for the loose bricks in your organization always.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-they prefer to do it with business rather than weapons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-half of the construction site speaks different languages and do not understand each other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
China probably wants lebensraum but not at any cost, they have a complex population mosaic called China that they need to balance, and they are still on the rise as an industrial nation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Look at the size of their science parks (like their Silicon Valley) and their “Giga-factories,” they are huge and more are planned. Chinese industry is no longer lagging behind, and BYD as an electric car is not bad at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The cities they invest in are high-tech, and they are starting to come up with cool new technology themselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
They no longer just steal everything and copy, they steal everything and improve it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Chinese researchers are starting to move back to China for the salaries and extra perks in contracts, and even Western researchers are starting to move there and work for Chinese companies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In China, they take education, child development, and research very seriously. Not like in Sweden where industrial researchers did not get funding because they forgot words like equality and gender in the application – keywords that were missing. Apparently, it was enough to insert them in the right place, but they must be included if I understand this correctly, or has that disappeared now?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The industrial capacity China has today for the civilian market, they can have tomorrow for the military, and what turned out to be significant in the Ukraine war – drones, China is already far ahead in that and manufactures many of the components, AI, and drones for the military.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The other important aspect in the Ukraine war is the infantry and the quantity – which China also has.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And the last thing is the production capacity, which China also has.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
So, what does the country China want?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
They probably need to have outlets for their products, they want to be a major player in the G7, and they want to be on an upward curve in living standards so that citizens remain calm. An American dream but a “Chinese dream” with their own apartment and Beijing duck (one of the more expensive items on the menu) two days a week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If they can peacefully gain more influence in African countries – colonization with dollars, they are probably satisfied with that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If the sea lanes are open, and the EU and USA engage in fair trade, they are probably also satisfied.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And finally – if they can take over areas in Russia economically and then move in and increase influence demographically, that’s good as well. And maybe buy off some areas?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The USA has already started a trade war with China and tensions are high between China and the USA right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The EU has also been hovering around a trade war but right now it was about electric cars and previously solar panels, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I don’t know where China’s limit is, but when it’s reached, they start shifting to the arms industry, and then the path to actual warfare begins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Perhaps the West should be careful not to try to replicate what happened with Japan in 1990 with China, as I believe they would see it as an act of war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Will China take over Russia – quite unlikely, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Will they try to turn Russia into a resource colony – not unlikely?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The million-dollar question then is – is war inevitable, and do we need to rip off the band-aid now, or can we de-escalate after the Russian punitive expedition and calm prevails for the next 80 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
China hasn’t really started major wars, but when it’s been geopolitically interesting, they have chosen sides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then they probably tried to punish Vietnam after the US left, something they don’t like to be reminded of as the generals are still ashamed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It’s impossible to figure out what China wants based on history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
China is currently ramping up, but not at a pace suggesting an imminent war, nothing eyebrow-raising directly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/List_of_equipment_of_the_People%27s_Liberation_Army_Ground_Force<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n China is not on good terms with Russia, India, Pakistan, Japan, South Korea, or Australia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n They have also not managed to take down Taiwan, despite trying everything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The choice the West has to make here is either to let China stay out while Russia is dealt with, and whatever the outcome, China will increase its influence in Russia – unquestionably. And then we hope that the combination of Russian natural resources + Chinese industry doesn’t spell kryptonite in Mandarin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Or we provoke a war with China, which would be highly intense with conscript armies, mass production, and a global economy shifting to wartime production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If it becomes a world war, we will all have about 5 years of a COVID-like feeling again, where everything changes, and then after 5-6 years, it will start returning to normal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Asia will become a battlefield, proxy wars in Africa as well, Israel will probably be wiped out, the USA will survive without invasion, and the EU will have to fight at the front lines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The likelihood of coming out on top is probably high enough for this option to be attractive – there are other benefits for those who are fond of trading in children’s blood as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Turkey is trying to maneuver under our protection now before the storm comes, have you noticed? \ud83d\ude02<\/p>\n\n\n\n I don’t think China will escalate efforts in the Ukraine war or initiate hostilities against the West in any other way. They are probably content if Russia implodes, and all other scenarios are also okay for them – time is on their side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The central power in Moscow has poor control over the border regions with China as it is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Therefore, this will escalate from the West, the question is whether we will see a very different behavior from the USA now that we have become accustomed to the “non-escalation strategy” in the case of Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If there is a war with China, it will also be a global resource war where China will likely come out on top as they now have a backdoor to Russia’s natural resources that no one can cut off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The EU must secure Ukraine and we must start gaining strategic partners in Africa. Something that China and Russia have done in the last 10 years, as the EU has been drowned in colonial guilt, keeping us away – I know what I think about BLM that emerged at the same time as Russia re-colonized 60% of African countries in the worst possible way, but was never mentioned as the perpetrator, nor China for that matter – dead silent. Personally, I think that today, with re-colonization happening, it would be more important to highlight than looking back 300 years, but apparently it wasn’t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n China is cutting down very valuable forests in Mozambique and has essentially contributed to the beginning of a civil war in the country – a very safe country to work in before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So, expect increasing activity in Africa and South America if this escalates to round 2, which includes China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n China simply needs to secure land routes because the West will be able to dominate the seas again – so, there should be a war in the MENA region, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n -stans, China has already started securing, and Afghanistan is not happy with Pakistan and likely open to a strategic partnership.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For Europe, it’s crucial to end the Ukraine war, untangle Belarus, and turn Kaliningrad into a nice holiday destination before this kicks off so our defense is in order.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The USA cannot be invaded, but expect the best of subversive activities where there might be some kind of liberation from the United States again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Anyway – this is how the world war, IF IT HAPPENS, will look like.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For Europe’s part – get our eastern border in order as soon as possible and start tying up good countries in Africa promptly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you need help establishing yourselves in Angola, you can actually contact me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Reading about China’s and the USA’s fleets below, one might guess that some in the USA are starting to consider whether it might be smart to weaken China before they become too strong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/unpacking-chinas-naval-buildup<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n If you liked the post, feel free to share it on your channels,<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you want a fun comment section that is really picking up and is no longer just me talking it up on Bluesky – johanno1.se. The comments are of high quality, I can promise you – you learn something new every day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recommend everyone who still comments on Substack or Bluesky to switch over to that thread instead – your grandchildren will read your historical archive and start liking you. I also don’t have time to respond there as I’m getting busy at work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n On Substack – don’t forget to become paying subscribers, even those of you who already follow. It’s great to see that some find it worth reading, appreciate all the effort put into this, and took the step to subscribe \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n