This one is a bit late but also the lions raised fists \u270a<\/p>\n\n\n\n
https:\/\/twitter.com\/defenceu\/status\/1898350490775355500?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Something is happening up in Kursk \u2013 I dismissed all the concern as a nothing burger several days ago since the penetration point is very vulnerable for RU, and Budanov told me to say that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But then came the sewage pipe attack followed by RU geolocating Starlink in Kursk, enabling them to place a FAB in the control points, followed by North Koreans entering Sumy and attacking again in multiple locations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Everything is happening within a tight timeframe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If we may speculate a bit, RU has probably reached an agreement with the USA to reclaim Kursk so that Starlinks in the area become blinking red beacons for RU. Consider here that there must be a fairly large number of successful control point combat operations before UA can start putting 1+1 together. And the next item on the agenda is that Elon no longer controls Starlink \ud83e\uddd0<\/p>\n\n\n\n There has also been complaints that Starlinks haven’t been functioning, I believe, and that would significantly weaken the defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Then they received reinforcements from NK special forces and deployed them in attacks + some sewage pipe crawling, which decided Avdiivka earlier. It was about 3000-5000 new candidates to die as mentioned?<\/p>\n\n\n\n The final maintenance road is not cut at all, but it’s possible that an already pressured situation has become unmanageable?<\/p>\n\n\n\n We are still waiting for the new attack vectors from UA across the border, and I am surprised they haven’t arrived yet because the defense is weak almost everywhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Do we once again have a situation where Ukraine is prevented from acting as they see fit?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Last Saturday, we received information that North Korean soldiers had attacked into Ukraine in Sumy, the first in the world after the osints and established media reported it on Bluesky and johanno1.se simultaneously as a violent DOUBLE newsflash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n European countries are now being attacked by North Korea \u2013 does anyone feel that Russia is taking its first tentative steps towards peace in the peace negotiations?<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is indisputable that Russia needs a breather \u2013 otherwise, Trump wouldn’t have pushed so hard as he de facto does, but RU constantly shows that they shamelessly exploit the situation to their advantage and never keep any promises \u2013 which is what they have done for the past 300 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Did you know that General Percival surrendered Singapore with 90,000 soldiers when the Japanese attacked with 30,000 \u2013 the Japanese knew that Percival didn’t know their numbers, and their strategy was to show strength when they were weak, and they almost fell off their chairs at the first meeting when Percival said, “fuck it, we surrender unconditionally,” they didn’t believe one could be so lucky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Putin is doing something similar right now, but everyone can see that he’s on the decline, and it’s really only Trump who keeps painting RU as strong right now. The rest of the West is trying to provide Ukraine with what they need.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Here, Germany is saying exactly what I’ve been saying for a week now \u2013 that by September at the latest, things will explode if you thought I was just making things up (again).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump has also shut down important systems in all of Ukraine’s F-16s, which are the ones sent by EU countries, so the US MIC should die a slow death in the next 20 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There is now also much discussion about European countries leaving agreements against landmines and cluster munitions. You know how that went and that peace movements + others forced this upon us for peace in our time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Have you seen any hint in this war that RU lacks mines, cluster munitions, or thermobaric weapons?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Have you also seen how effective mines, cluster weapons, and thermobaric weapons are?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Peace movements have caused a huge number of dead Ukrainians in their desire for peace on earth, but which is actually a Russian psyops, as anyone with a bit of insight has already understood.<\/p>\n\n\n\n You didn’t miss the post about U137, did you?<\/p>\n\n\n\n It’s under miscellaneous on the website, and the discussion is open.<\/p>\n\n\n\n A bit of a struggle between democracy vs. Trump here \u2013 de facto, he has been elected president and has 4 years, and right now, until the midterm election, all power is with him \u2013 both chambers and the Supreme Court, which is a bit of a dream for a president.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the midterm election, voters can once again demonstrate how they feel the first two years have gone \u2013 you know as well as I do that the opposition is in full swing, so what the citizens currently think and feel, we don’t really know yet. Those town halls that have become lively for the GOP have reportedly had staged protesters \u2013 whether true or false, I have no idea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump is now pursuing the policies he wants, and in the case of Ukraine, it’s wrong \u2013 yes, I can think that the USA has mishandled things for quite a while on the international stage, but in the case of Ukraine, it’s black and white, can’t be spun. Either you’re on the right side of history or you’re on the wrong side of history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Promoting sacrificing a few to save the many doesn’t work morally, and if Trump had been calibrated correctly, he shouldn’t have chosen to sacrifice Ukraine. Is it global 5D chess? No, I don’t think so. However, I believe the USA is trying to make money off child blood as usual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the US election, you saw democracy \u2013 he was re-elected president because he was elected, and to circumvent that would have meant democracy had gone beyond the reservation and was no longer democracy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In Romania, Georgescu is no longer allowed to participate in the election, but that’s because he has been arrested with direct ties to Moscow, weapons, money, and a lot more. Most countries do have laws on treason or high treason \u2013 so you can’t just do as you please even though you live in a democracy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Personally, I can think that the developments we’ve had in the last 30 years or so with significantly increased crime, insecurity, corruption, and polarization in society were not at all what was best for Sweden and the citizens of Sweden, and it has not escaped my notice that we did all this in the name of goodness and the promise was that everything would get better, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Simply put, we should do what’s best for Sweden, then we should be fair to the group we chose to be part of, which is the EU, and then we shouldn’t do anything bad to others like starting wars against them or trying in other ways to profit from their misfortune.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And we should defend ourselves \u2013 self-defense, and we should defend our friends \u2013 also self-defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For quite a while, we haven’t done that \u2013 our countries have deteriorated, the EU is becoming more authoritarian (because everyone will always try to gain more power), and we in the West have started many unnecessary wars in the name of goodness in the last 30 years. And then we have disarmed to a level where we can no longer defend ourselves or help our friends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Then we can try to assist countries in improving, but a large part of our aid is just money going into the pockets of dictators with kickbacks to those running the aid from the donor country \u2013 saw a lot of that in Angola.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We have had good times, our leaders have misbehaved, it hasn’t crashed, and they have gotten away with it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Now, in this geopolitical atomic bomb that Russia has unleashed, it’s important to choose words carefully, be properly calibrated, have unwavering integrity, and have social talent and the ability to lead because one must bring citizens and other countries along on highly uncomfortable decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There are few who can handle such leadership, and none of our politicians seem up to the task, even though the current government has handled the Ukraine war very well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There are many more who can play leader in good times when nothing is demanded of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Zelensky has proven to be one of the great leaders of our time, and Putin as well, even though he ended up on the wrong side of everything, highly self-inflicted \u2013 Putin absolutely has the qualities required, but he was completely misaligned. Probably more so for Russia, as it is not an easy country to stay at the top of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So, what about Trump?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Biden was absolutely NOT a great leader, we know that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n First of all, Trump does not significantly deviate from the US line regarding the Ukraine war, other than he is more actively trying to force UA into a bad peace deal now with a bit more hands-on approach than Biden dared.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It’s not the first time Starlink didn’t work, weapons were stopped, and diplomatic pressure was sky-high for Ukraine to accept a bad peace deal, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n If Trump had been a great leader on the world stage, I think he would have approached Ukraine differently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Domestically?<\/p>\n\n\n\n As strange as it may sound, we have two options here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is clear that Trump is making significant changes and that he needed the majority he has now to be able to do so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Some of the things that are loudly criticized would also need to be done in Sweden, right? Jens Nylander has somewhat in the shadows pointed out rampant corruption in our common treasury, and tax collection is seen as party money, and the opposition is already starting to propose higher taxes. The line where we are seen as serfs whose earned money actually belongs to the state has long been crossed in my opinion. One feels that one can do as one pleases with tax collection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n THEN ONE MUST pursue a policy for the majority society WHICH IS THE TAXPAYING NEARLY GROUP INDEPENDENT OF ETHNICITY because they are the ones paying for the whole party, everything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Families with children are the country’s future even though some find it very offensive and discriminatory apparently if we are to go by deleted posts on a certain site \u2013 THEY ARE THE FUTURE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Educational system, research, making it easy for businesses and exports, and maintaining good relations with export markets \u2013 that’s how we bring in money to the country Sweden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Has the school system been managed well, has basic research been prioritized correctly in Sweden?<\/p>\n\n\n\n And so on for quite a while…<\/p>\n\n\n\n Back to Trump and his domestic policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -either he is intentionally crashing the USA to benefit an “oligarch class” that then becomes significantly richer, including himself. Good intentions are used as Trojan horses. He will manage this for a maximum of two years until the midterm election, but he will likely cause damage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -or he is genuinely trying to sort out what the USA has become in terms of corruption and weak leaders in good times who are not fulfilling their core mission but are burning dollars on other things that are fun \u2013 and then the majority society will feel that he is pursuing a policy for them and vote red again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But strong groups will not like it at all \u2013 they will not go after the gray eminences unpunished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There is an absolute cloud of information right now \u2013 for example, he is trying to lower interest rates so that the national debt becomes manageable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Or that inflation will absolutely skyrocket and everything will crash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Considering that we got negative interest rates after the turn of the millennium, which was not in the textbooks before that \u2013 can we really be sure that he will crash and that it won’t get better?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Regardless of my very loose thoughts \u2013 he has 4 years, and in the midterm election, he can be penalized with less freedom if citizens feel things are going wrong. Those who, in the name of goodness, want to remove him immediately \u2013 they have crossed the line in suggesting what can be done in a democracy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, he can be criticized.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Something that speaks against him, but that the Clintons also did, was “pay to play” \u2013 it costs 1 million USD to attend the dinners at Mar-a-Lago every weekend and 5 million USD to have a personal meeting with Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n How much do you think FIFA paid to have the trophy displayed at the White House \ud83d\ude01<\/p>\n\n\n\n It’s like he would start drinking Coca-Cola at all press conferences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Do you think Biden signed all the weapon contracts for UA from manufacturers without kickbacks?<\/p>\n\n\n\n So far, it can be concluded that –<\/p>\n\n\n\n -he is not doing what is best for Ukraine<\/p>\n\n\n\n -he is not doing what is best for Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -he is not putting the office before personal income.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The question then is how the USA will proceed, which we will have to wait and see, perhaps?<\/p>\n\n\n\n A very significant piece of information that someone posted in the thread on johanno1.se (where you should hang out if you want the latest so your lives get better right away and your grandchildren will like you) don’t remember by whom was the following –<\/p>\n\n\n\n -we have already heard that Russian mobilization is escalating because everyone wanted the signing bonuses before peace was achieved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -at Kherson, brigades refuse to fight because they do not want to die before peace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -none of the mobilized troops intend to fight, they just want the bonuses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The question is whether Trump’s “peace negotiations” seem very demoralizing to Russian soldiers right now \u2013 I guess they do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The weather is also extremely challenging for them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n POKROVSK has cut off all supply routes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Then you have the mud season, which the conqueror of mud, Argus, sorted out for us in “that other worse thread” \u2013 around mid-April at the latest, the ground will be passable again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So, there will be a month when the Russian front line soldiers will have nothing to eat, drink, or shoot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For those who still haven’t realized that Ukraine has begun offensive operations, the following will unfold \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n During the mud season, the Russian front line soldiers will be half dehydrated, half starved, and will lack ammunition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ukraine will take advantage of the entire period for what they are doing now \u2013 chipping away at the Russian defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As soon as the ground is passable, Ukraine’s offensive will intensify, and it can last at least until October this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n They have ammunition and they have personnel now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n They have superior intelligence gathering<\/p>\n\n\n\n Their drone dominance is almost 100% (in prioritized front sections)<\/p>\n\n\n\n They have equipped the brigades with heavy vehicles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n They have the will to continue fighting, Trump has already said “they can continue fighting as they want” on film and has accused Zelensky several times of not wanting peace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ukraine intends to make a move this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trump has made a whole battery of statements that are uninteresting. Then a bit more came – Lukashenko has bragged about contributing to stopping the vodka flow and that Western security services thanked him for it, it’s quite tiring \ud83d\ude10<\/p>\n\n\n\n Maxar also confirms that they have restricted access to Ukraine – a COMMERCIAL SERVICE IN THE FREE MARKET THAT TRUMP STOPPED – the man who wants capitalism, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Then there’s RUMINT and I think it’s in Kursk that as soon as UA command posts turn on Starlink, they get a FAB on them, and it happens so many times that they see a trend in it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Previous reports that the US provides targets to RU are probably the same as Starlink, and then the US (since Must no longer controls Starlink \ud83e\uddd0) has given RU access to the system, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n And now Putin refuses peace in several statements – what has Trump done to Putin now in concrete actions? On the battlefield, Ukraine continues with its local offensives and they are doing very well. It’s full combined arms warfare, and how can Putin win against the soldiers below in the video.<\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/twitter.com\/banderafella\/status\/1899045398322278908?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Then there’s more Mirage and more JDAMS (French)<\/p>\n\n\n\n And Portugal provides 8 helicopters – in fact, Ukraine has well over 100 now, airborne assault anyone?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Then I hope you didn’t miss the comments section yesterday on johanno1.se, it made me think a bit and 9 trillion USD is “foreign debt.” Federal debt is 36 trillion USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If Trump really wants to solve the debt problem, then abolishing the Federal Reserve Act is the right way to go.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So far, he has increased control over the FED, which has probably made them a bit worried.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We all know what the FED is and how the system works, where the federal government borrows “money” from the FED, and 13% of the entire federal budget is payment on loans. It was probably in 1913 and the sh1t was passed the day before Christmas Eve at 7:00 PM or something (don’t remember and don’t feel like looking it up \ud83d\ude00)<\/p>\n\n\n\n There were rumors that Kennedy was going to sign an executive order or law to reclaim the right to money when he was assassinated – which is just that, unconfirmed rumors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If Trump wants to do something good for the USA, that would be a clear step.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Before the Federal Reserve Act, the USA was probably quite prosperous and not drowning in debt, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n But that means going against the gray eminences who hold all the money, and they are strong in all countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This may be a bit unrelated, but I find it interesting because it means challenging current underlying power structures, something very few can handle. But of course, he hasn’t done that yet and probably won’t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But if he does, you will all hear that he has sold the country to Russia, but that would be good for the USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you liked the post, feel free to share it on your channels,<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you want an engaging comments section that is really starting to pick up and is no longer just me talking it up on Bluesky – johanno1.se.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recommend everyone who still comments on Substack or Bluesky to switch over to that thread instead – then your grandchildren will read your historical archive and start liking you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n On Substack, feel free to become paying subscribers, even those of you who already follow, and it’s great to see that some find it worth reading, seeing all the work put into this and taking the step to subscribe \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n ohanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85722eab-8f76-46e8-95a0-9529be2faadd_748x734.png\")
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However, a Russian robot rain came EXACTLY after the US stopped everything to Ukraine, and we all know that such operations are planned at least two weeks in advance – there’s a nail in Trump’s coffin for you.
And then the threat in Kursk that you hear about is a nothing burger – it will result in a lot of dead North Koreans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9319903e-340e-47af-a4bd-19d01dcb7a1c_582x824.png\")
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He should at least try to remove Putin, right, if it’s supposed to be fair treatment, but we already know that it isn’t.
Also, beware of hot air from Trump now where he says he will do things against Putin that are just words.<\/p>\n\n\n\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6fa0268-b725-4518-8447-8481d3977964_595x593.png\")
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