{"id":1443,"date":"2025-02-26T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-26T06:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/ukraine-daily-update-february-26-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-25T17:58:52","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T15:58:52","slug":"ukraine-daily-update-february-26-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/ukraine-daily-update-february-26-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine daily update February 26, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Update<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Meklejonen<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1894378867218907357\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Starting with what is currently a rumor, but FT claims that UA will now sign the “mineral deal” with the USA – putting SALTINT on it<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Now I can, first in the world (after the osints and established media), once again come with a revelation – what all these tariffs that Trump is scattering around are for.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

First – it is my clear opinion that USA-RU are in direct contact and adjusting their statements to assist each other in the “peace negotiations” depending on how the EU and UA react.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USA\/RU are therefore to be considered a homogeneous party in these negotiations. Ukraine or the EU do not have the same direct line to the USA and must negotiate as usual. This is a feeling I have, but they usually turn out to be correct.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now that the tariffs have made imports of, for example, Canadian aluminum expensive, Putin offers the USA to buy aluminum cheaply from Russia – at the best extra price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Notice the choice of words – Putin offers to “stabilize the price on the American market,” the audacity when it is Trump who just raised it and they are in direct contact \ud83e\udd2c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump has already stated in yesterday’s post in his own words that the USA will get advantageous raw material contracts with Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So there you have it – Trump increases import tariffs significantly from the West so that it will be advantageous to buy from Russia, then of course he will invoke good business as a reason to lift sanctions against Russia. Which he has already said he is considering doing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is EXACTLY like when the Green Party in Sweden increased taxes on nuclear power (while giving discounts to wind power), replaced someone in leadership at Vattenfall, and ran a huge media campaign to shut down nuclear power, and then blamed the market and claimed it was unprofitable. Do you think they came up with all this on their own or did they have help from the wind power industry in developing this package?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump has rigged everything to Putin’s advantage after a checklist of requests from Putin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you take this and then add that Trump has repeatedly called for new elections in Ukraine (which would crash the country and drastically worsen EU security) then you understand whose game board he is playing on \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukraine is not worse off, as the parliament has now voted to continue to trust Zelensky’s emergency powers, which was very clever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

And the EU is now coming up with its own “raw material deal” with Ukraine, but on fair terms. Considering who will now arm Ukraine and that they are to join the EU, I am very skeptical that Zelensky will sign Trump’s lousy deal to sell off gold teeth at all here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It is also a SALTINT (politico) rumor, so some caution is advised regarding RU offering the USA raw material contracts in occupied areas, and that the USA liked the proposal a lot. Waiting for something more concrete to grab onto before diving into it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/vladimir-putin-offer-sell-minerals-donald-trump-russia-occupied-ukraine<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Russia has actually come out quite hard with their initial offer where Ukraine must give up more land and demilitarize – completely unreasonable of course.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, Rubio is selling everything as a major diplomatic success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

What I actually see here is a phenomenal diplomatic failure by the USA led by Trump – an absolutely TOTAL humiliation topped by Macron’s repeated French slaps (light with a snap) in a live broadcast yesterday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It was a pure joy to watch, and King-Macron played his role well – he can drive anyone completely crazy with his French superiority style and hysterically funny English accent straight out of ‘Allo ‘Allo!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of course, Macron sees an opportunity for France to redeem itself from 1940 and the Napoleonic Wars, and of course, Germany sees an opportunity to revive its dead car industry by shifting over to fat defense contracts instead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All at the expense of the USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But this is EXACTLY what Trump has been shouting about for at least a year now whenever he gets the chance –<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Europe must take responsibility for the Ukraine war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Europe must pay for the Ukraine war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-The USA should no longer be the world’s policeman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-The USA should no longer pay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Right now, Trump is getting everything he asked for + a little more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yes, he is a bit quieter than I had imagined actually, and Monday has passed, soon he will wake up in the USA and have his Big Mac breakfast and read Johan No.1 early bird.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Right now, I think we are seeing a lot of posts from the White House that are damage control?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

So we should very soon get the receipt for what is hiding behind his 5D chess.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Is Trump pleased that the EU is doing exactly what he told us to do?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Or is he absolutely furious that Ukraine and the EU have the audacity to ruin his entire diplomatic efforts to benefit Russia and have also started freewheeling completely off script?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I have already taken a chance and rung the gong, but one of these two is the indisputable proof of where he stands, and if I am wrong, I will take it like an adult \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you have read my posts, you know that it would be a privilege for the EU to have Ukraine as our ally, and right now it looks like we are getting there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I am extremely pleased with last week and how this week has started, and I pray to the gods that Ukraine does not go and sign Trump’s raw material deal as we have read the draft of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Then Zelensky is likely politically dead, and the power struggle will begin immediately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apparently, the EU is preparing HUGE aid packages right now – what we have seen in recent days is just a taste, sort of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If I were to guess, it will look something like this – the EU “finds” +\/- 500 billion euros in Russian oligarch money, which is then decided that each country will decide how to handle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The EU will then announce that the best use of the money is to send 1\/5 directly to Ukraine and the rest straight into our defense industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Voila.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Russia has already absolutely lost this war, but it is not over until they give up of course.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This betrayal by Trump was presumably their last lifeline, and there is NO WAY that China would get involved now that the EU has so clearly chosen a side, never.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It would only be a downside for them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you have read previous posts, you know what the upside for China was \ud83d\ude04<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do you know how things are going for Russia?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here you have a sniper storming the fields supported by a “crawl-shooter,” which is a sniper without\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/banderafella\/status\/1894029073673806253\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

These are no longer isolated incidents but RU is pushing forward many sick or injured soldiers who carry out the initial attacks to locate where the defense is located.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Then we have donkey shooting, cavalry, scooter shooting, and all that stuff that is hysterically fun. Just the pack donkeys seem to have been introduced on a broad front given the number of movies seen from disgruntled Russian soldiers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And here is a video of ancient BRDMs heading towards the fronts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/polymarketintel\/status\/1894038467463541097?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Laughed-at stormtroopers, by their own<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/igorsushko\/status\/1894295939508310055\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

While Germany just released the stops and came up with a HUGE aid package.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

And it has just been clarified what Biden was up to in the last weeks in the White House, he signed delivery contracts from the defense industry to Ukraine. Good, and surely good for him as a person too \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

And from several sources, it is confirmed that the contracts will run until the end of the term (until Christmas) but that the USA is not making new promises. If I had to guess, Trump cannot break these contracts because the MIC would go completely medieval on him if he even mentioned it as a suggestion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And even the very stingy Spain has decided for the first time in modern times to give someone else money and not just demand money without reciprocation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

I have to repost this from Macron when he says straight to Trump’s face that it is Russia that should pay the USA not Ukraine – this is one of the most liberating moments in this whole war because it is the first time the West has openly opposed the USA after three years of betrayal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yes, it took a Trump for that but FINALLY \u270a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/igorsushko\/status\/1894098991589023748\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Below you have a statement and Ukraine is now completely calibrated – every point hits right in the middle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A bit mixed –<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Putin has secretly sold gold worth 100 billion USD from his gold reserves<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ryzan raff drone to a pile of rubble again<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

EU stops many more Russian banks from Swift<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

And Budanov has troll-level 7 (my idea quite pleased actually!)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Then David D Trump crushes absolutely completely here, no mercy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

And check out Rubio, “yes, we voted no to the UN statement that Russia should end the war because we did not want to ruin our peace negotiations where we ask Russia to end the war”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lord Jesus what a disaster this is \ud83d\ude32<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Give it a few months and many will need to save their careers and abandon Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And SALTINT at its best but China seems to say no to 50% cut in defense spending – can only find in alternative media.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.firstpost.com\/world\/china-rejects-trumps-50-per-cent-defence-cut-proposal-says-military-spending-ensures-sovereignty-13866637.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nice mood film with Russian cavalry \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/PStyle0ne1\/status\/1894381508334407830\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

If you liked the post, feel free to share it in your channels,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you want a fun comment section that is now really picking up and is no longer just me talking it up on Bluesky and then sitting there all alone and drunk-posting – johanno1.se<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On Substack, you are very welcome to become paying subscribers and it is great to see that some find it worth reading, see all the work put into this and took the step to subscribe \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ohanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Update Meklejonen Starting with what is currently a rumor, but FT claims that UA will now sign the “mineral deal” 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