{"id":1471,"date":"2025-02-13T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-13T06:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/ukraine-daily-update-february-13-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-25T18:19:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T16:19:00","slug":"ukraine-daily-update-february-13-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/ukraine-daily-update-february-13-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine daily update February 13, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Update<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45d77e1b-8a3c-42f8-a1d1-7c3d64c579d4_668x433.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45d77e1b-8a3c-42f8-a1d1-7c3d64c579d4_668x433.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:417px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Lions<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks for reading Johan\u2019s Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">God bless these brave warriors who will never STOP fighting until victory \ud83d\ude4f <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Wyxp0X9vJK\">pic.twitter.com\/Wyxp0X9vJK<\/a><\/p>&mdash; UKRAINIAN SQUAD\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\udde6 (@ukrainiansquad) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1887195240034869312?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 5, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I was planning to wait until the &#8220;peace meeting&#8221; in Brussels was over to write a longer post for Friday, but I got too angry at Trump and started today&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We don&#8217;t know for sure how much Trump has been talking to Putin under the table before, but the situation is extremely precarious for the little KGB rat, to say the least.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are all sorts of rumors, but now we hear directly from the US Secretary of Defense that Ukraine is indeed supposed to give up land, a bit thinly veiled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And then that the EU is supposed to take care of future protection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, what the HELL is Trump going to get &#8220;rare earth metals&#8221; for $600 billion USD for if the above was the protection he had in mind \ud83e\udd2c\ud83e\udd2c\ud83e\udd2c<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Apparently, Ukraine&#8217;s NATO membership is unrealistic?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Straight from the idiot&#8217;s mouth &#8211;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Like Putin wrote the speech for him.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeteHegseth?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@PeteHegseth<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7XAvH37JU5\">pic.twitter.com\/7XAvH37JU5<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Jay in Kyiv (@JayinKyiv) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JayinKyiv\/status\/1889725175735701649?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 12, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>What a great deal for Ukraine, give up a lot of land, give all natural resources to the USA, and then possibly get a few tired Frenchmen to guard the border \ud83e\udd23\ud83e\udd23<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is my VERY strong opinion that now is the time for the EU\/Europe\/other West to break free from paralysis and do what is right &#8211; support Ukraine until they achieve their breakthrough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Things are going very well for Ukraine now, and there is more to come, and as long as the West continues to support them, they will win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If we are to interpret this generously so far, it is a DISASTROUS strategic communication from the Trump team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And it is not escaping anyone that he treats Putin and Zelensky equally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So now that we know what the USA wants &#8211; more of the same high treason (if it is not changed immediately), then the ball is in the EU&#8217;s court, which MUST now take action, stand up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If we don&#8217;t do that, we will have the global conflict of our time on our hands in the EU, and the USA will stand and laugh and watch again until they join in because they get to sell all weapons to us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, I have said that we have to wait for Trump&#8217;s offer, and now we got it, and then we judge him based on that, something the Biden team failed at for almost three years and became the most rabid of apologists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But now we know what Trump&#8217;s game plan is, and it is worthless &#8211; &#8220;give me $600 billion USD and I will give your land to Putin, deal?&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It looks to me like the Ukrainian heroes are attacking with existing brigades and no strategic reserve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All the attack vectors we know in Kursk, Siversk, Oskil, Pokrovsk, and Toretsk are existing units and NOT even the mobile strike forces Azov or 3rd Assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This tells us two things &#8211; some of the maneuver brigades are in decent shape, and UA has a strategic reserve that will &#8220;enter the chat&#8221; at some point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And we still have Azov, 3rd Assault, 101st, presidential, and a couple of other elite units that can be pooled together in an area to fight. Yes, they are a bit scattered right now, but they are large units.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Everything is always relative, and if Ukraine can attack an area defended by 3-4 RU brigades and use a reinforced mechanized battalion to cut through the defense like a stick through a Russian samovar &#8211; it signals that the RU side is not in good shape.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And it was Russian elite units defending, imagine what it looks like over at the Dnieper, for example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Or at any other point along the northern front, or Belarus \ud83d\ude32<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yesterday, there was a rumor that UA was conducting offensive operations at Kamyanske, and I consulted my very good friend Erik14 who gave the thumbs up &#8211; one doesn&#8217;t dare to jump on such a loose rumor until his expertise has spun through in its inexhaustible cleverness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffaf0b44f-c4ff-4109-b416-06cc03fd0455_675x547.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffaf0b44f-c4ff-4109-b416-06cc03fd0455_675x547.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:434px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>You all know that the offensive started on 5\/6 February, depending on which side I wake up on, and thereafter, front commanders have a window, probably, to deal with.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That UA has started moving in the southern front is a sensation because RU should be attacking there now, which they have never gotten started with.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s not a great tactical\/strategic win for the south since there is the entire Suvorikin line with its three lines and two miles of deep mines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But just the fact that UA is fighting offensively in the area is more than enough to liven up the day considerably.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dnieper on 1.2.3\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Are the cut cables to Kaliningrad, which came at the same time as the Baltic states cut the line to Russia, UA doing or Russian self-harm?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Is the ship that sank near Usta Ulan after three explosions (maybe mines according to below) UA doing or Russian self-harm?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d52994a-7796-45a8-87a7-c3f4f69485d3_676x692.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d52994a-7796-45a8-87a7-c3f4f69485d3_676x692.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:441px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The other day, there was a rumor going around that RU will carry out actions in the Baltic Sea and blame Ukraine &#8211; is it planted by Ukraine or genuine?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So &#8211; who cares, Kaliningrad will be without power, the dock to Ustan Uga is blocked, and with the upcoming environmental disaster, the Ministry of the Environment must wake up and come out absolutely hard against Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is no need to get spun up at all, and it&#8217;s the result that counts &#8211; bad for Putin = good for us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What we are seeing since the turn of the year is first an enormous strategic drone campaign for Ukraine with no limits, it is clear, and it continues almost daily in all its glory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, yesterday RU sent rockets towards Kiev, but the bigger picture is that Russia is bleeding now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My conclusion on February 6 that the offensive had started on February 5\/6, 2025, was based on the first fluttering rumors of battalion attacks at three different attack vectors &#8211; the level of ambition was high enough to sound the gong and write history on Bluesky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It still holds true today, February 12, as my earlier guess was that front commanders have been given a window to deal with and more and more offensive operations are starting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What we are seeing are reconnaissance battles and &#8220;positioning battles&#8221; where one improves position or takes dominant terrain for a springboard for future offensive operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So my message to the world is &#8211; there is more to come, much more, this has only just begun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have also claimed that 2025 will be the most important year in our miserable lives and I stand by that &#8211; follow this because history is being written now, not just by me but also by Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The threat, of course, is that the West allows itself to be talked down by Russia, but the risk of that should be considerably less today, but we&#8217;ll see during the peace meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Zelensky himself confirms that Ukraine plans to negotiate the return of land with Kursk. It has been speculated before that the purpose was to torpedo the Russians&#8217; position, and now we have it straight from the horse&#8217;s mouth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06b20830-5f6d-48c5-b473-c5cf5e12b1fb_680x751.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06b20830-5f6d-48c5-b473-c5cf5e12b1fb_680x751.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:444px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Mango Mussolini has also imposed steel tariffs against Ukraine \ud83e\udd2c<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1e95f4b-a53c-4d2d-a469-15631dff8b08_665x690.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1e95f4b-a53c-4d2d-a469-15631dff8b08_665x690.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:375px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>We have now gone through the following inflation in the vehicles the Russian motorized infantry rides out to battle on &#8211;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Armored infantry on IFV and tank with a bit of professional pride<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Older splinter protection like BTR50 and T62, but the armored infantry swallowed their pride.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More modern soft vehicles, but the armored infantry kept their heads high.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>Old trucks from the 50s, battalion attacks \u2013 was starting to become embarrassing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chinese golf carts \u2013 like a bad joke and turn signals were broken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Motorcycles \u2013 some logic maybe with a lot of movement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scooter \u2013 people laughed but the armored infantry could keep a straight face.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tractor \u2013 moved so slowly that the infantry could have gone faster, which they also felt before the FPV drones hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Horse \u2013 now they became cavalry and even though it was fun with horses, it felt wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Camel \u2013 camel shooting probably not too common.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And finally, the crutch shooters arrived, which I have saved because NO ONE will believe this in five years, no one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But now damn it, we&#8217;ve hit rock bottom \u2013 a CRUTCH SNIPER is attacking across the fields \ud83d\ude32<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">For the sake of all Saints, I just refuse to believe this.<br><br>Another video of crippled Russians sent on a final meat assault &#8211; this one hits a new low. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TVfIXyO7Fi\">pic.twitter.com\/TVfIXyO7Fi<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Saint Javelin (@saintjavelin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/saintjavelin\/status\/1889324437008253398?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 11, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This is completely insane, the deadly red army is sending sick people who crawl across the fields or jump on crutches \u2013 I don&#8217;t think you can get more toothless than that?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Save this video too for when someone comes with the threatening red army in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Crutch sniper \ud83e\udd23\ud83e\udd23\ud83e\udd23<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(I genuinely feel sorry for the people involved, it&#8217;s not fair treatment).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maybe this paves the way for us to start prosecuting the ISIS war criminals in Sweden by the hundreds. I have long been upset that they could just come back here and everything was forgotten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.expressen.se\/nyheter\/sverige\/lina-ishaq-atalad-for-brott-mot-manskligheten\">https:\/\/www.expressen.se\/nyheter\/sverige\/lina-ishaq-atalad-for-brott-mot-manskligheten<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Putin has basically served this on a silver platter already when state TV aired Trump&#8217;s wife&#8217;s scantily clad films in prime time. Why hasn&#8217;t the world media started a campaign like &#8220;Putin embarrasses Trump&#8221;, &#8220;Putin makes Trump look weak&#8221;?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If there&#8217;s anything that would make Trump lay carpet bombs over Moscow with all B52s, it&#8217;s probably that, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead, the media is busy screaming about a lot of domestic nonsense in the USA, if the USA gets weaker, Europe gets stronger so maybe not too bad for us, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The USA has had a policy of keeping the EU in check as much as possible because a too strong EU doesn&#8217;t benefit them, and Trump is changing that now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Good Lord, how electricity prices have soared in the Baltics \ud83d\ude2c<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad85cfc-1eb9-4096-abb8-0a956315e804_1077x716.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad85cfc-1eb9-4096-abb8-0a956315e804_1077x716.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:582px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>So things look very bright everywhere except for Putin where everything is in various shades of pitch black. Ukrainian counterattacks have been successful almost everywhere and even though Russian offensives continue, they achieve nothing and various front-line and corps commanders probably haven&#8217;t read the memo yet that they should focus on defense from now on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The strategic drone warfare is hurting Russia and Ukraine has started to broaden its operations to target Russian interests outside the country. Those with a good memory will recall that they passed a law some time ago to take the war beyond the country&#8217;s borders and there are rumors that all of the US&#8217;s red cards and geographical limitations have been removed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Light blue and positive &#8211; that&#8217;s the situation, but slightly worried about what Scholz will come up with after the peace meeting because he&#8217;s the one who could disrupt EU unity under the banners.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Update Lions Thanks for reading Johan\u2019s Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. I was [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1471","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ukraine daily update February 13, 2025 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/ukraine-daily-update-february-13-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ukraine daily update February 13, 2025 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Update Lions Thanks for reading Johan\u2019s Substack! 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