{"id":1477,"date":"2025-02-10T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-10T06:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/ukraine-daily-update-february-10-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-25T18:22:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T16:22:00","slug":"ukraine-daily-update-february-10-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/ukraine-daily-update-february-10-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine daily update February 10, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>We must never forget the sacrifice made by the Ukrainian defense forces \ud83d\ude2c<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50e8b4f4-14a4-4ca2-b1dd-252a4b026186_681x830.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50e8b4f4-14a4-4ca2-b1dd-252a4b026186_681x830.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:479px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Lions<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Don\u2019t STOP supporting Ukraine \ud83e\udef6 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mMNluATYWz\">pic.twitter.com\/mMNluATYWz<\/a><\/p>&mdash; UKRAINIAN SQUAD\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\udde6 (@ukrainiansquad) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1888620800535670832?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 9, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On the 5th\/6th of February \u2013 the exact date is up for debate among historians, the offensive operations by Ukraine began, which I still guess means that different fronts get a window to try to relate to because dates are probably too difficult, and then some unit commander, somewhat surprised, has managed to get everything in order and starts up happily ahead of everyone else.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What historians will agree on, again, is that the date I established first in the world after all the open-source intelligence and established media is the date that matters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I conveyed my courteous order in a tweet on Bluesky on the 6th of February, which should be enough, the world&#8217;s experts received the message express early the next morning, and Ukraine understood that they had to start their offensive then and got a little panicked as they were not completely prepared \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Kursk, they opened up on a large scale, and in Pokrovsk, UA has recaptured several towns, everything is still rumors for now it seems. But historically, keeping things under wraps has meant anything but peace and quiet for the Russians.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44fd9e3a-3973-4385-93d1-d21749a04dba_675x871.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44fd9e3a-3973-4385-93d1-d21749a04dba_675x871.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:477px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>There are rumors of offensive operations near Toretsk \ud83e\uddd0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48c4e65-06cb-4661-8bd6-1c430ebe1203_677x790.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48c4e65-06cb-4661-8bd6-1c430ebe1203_677x790.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:431px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The logical next step would be \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-more attack vectors at the northern front in different locations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-concern in Belarus<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-battles at the Dnieper after a crazy pre-emptive strike with drones, Himars, and JDAMS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>-exploit openings along the fronts, regain the initiative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As usual, everyone is too late on this and doesn&#8217;t understand that the 2025 offensive has begun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The situation is excellent \u2013 RU is tired after an extremely long offensive that surprised everyone, even Budanov, UA has received Patriot missiles and aircraft, UA has received equipment and has reorganized personnel and geographical limitations, and red cards are supposed to be gone according to themselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The weather is a few degrees below zero, which allows them to cross marshes and small waterways, probably, where the lazy Russians haven&#8217;t mined.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then anything can happen, like the spring offensive of 2023 that started on the 3rd-5th of May (historians are still arguing about my date, and now I&#8217;ve forgotten it \ud83d\ude2c) or when they failed to take the area behind Sejm in August 2024 \u2013 where I assumed it was resolved after a period of silence, and then the blow came when it became clear that the critical attack had failed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If there are only battles inside the Kursk bulge, it probably means that UA cannot open up more attack vectors to the west, but we hope that the west has learned and that this is not just a facade for negotiations by a naive west that believes that Russia will follow an agreement for the first time in 300 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;ve been watching films from the first years of the war \u2013 the first faltering steps. Yes, it was a bit during Friday&#8217;s drinking when I was looking for videos and going through my Twitter list before I saw double of all the rum, which is produced in the country, incredibly, and I live in the epicenter\/ground zero for Friday drinking \ud83e\udd29<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The difference between those films and how Azov or 3rd Assault clear defensive systems today is like the step from crawling to learning to walk, and then cycling. Mastering clearing defenses is like riding a unicycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most difficult part is getting inside the defensive system because the red side has prepared its defense against just that, and then everything must be cleared of Russian bastards. And then one must immediately switch to defense and combat the rapid response force, and then, or before, endure a devastating indirect fire. It&#8217;s very difficult, especially when FAB is present.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Shoutout to all the armchair warriors who want to continue arguing about the world&#8217;s best infantry \u2013 you should be ashamed even though you don&#8217;t have the sense to do it because you would have stumbled upon the first landmine and lain there sulking without legs, and then no one would have helped you because everyone would have read your tweets about how bad the Ukrainian soldiers are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, I still find column driving in mechanized warfare on roads strange, but I have understood one thing, and that is that our mechanized warfare in basic training did not factor in mines as it looks in real life, and neither has NATO doctrine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We conducted battalion attacks across fields on the battle line, and in reality, half of the vehicles would have been knocked out by mines, at least.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(calling them battalion attacks might be a stretch, we probably managed to scrape together three companies&#8230;).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is still almost insurmountable, and I believe that drone mine clearance and identification will become significant in the future \u2013 Western experts are working on it, or they are trying to persuade Ukraine to reveal how it&#8217;s done so they can steal the idea and claim it as their own.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, UA has learned to break through minefields, but they still move in columns and are easy targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The only reason I can think of why we didn&#8217;t fight against deep minefields is that there haven&#8217;t been any proper exercises on the matter because the defender has always managed to halt everything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The tank has been adapted to become a sharpshooter with explosives rather than a battering ram, and we have seen that all fragmentation protection is good in this war. Or everything can be taken out by drones, so nothing is really better than anything else.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A good weapon station has proven to be excellent, and IFVs definitely have a future, but one should probably do as Ukraine and have a simple vehicle with a well-produced cheap weapon station in the thousands instead of a few hundred Rolls-Royces with the world&#8217;s most advanced turret costing 9 million euros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The West has mass-produced blast-protected jeeps, MRAPs, and all those, but they should build tracked IFVs with weapon stations, albeit cheap, and yes &#8211; it works perfectly fine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, wheeled vehicles also work well, but they must be APCs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But ultimately, it all comes down to personal skills and marksmanship \u2013 those who never falter and die behind piles of spent casings every day so that we don&#8217;t have to think about the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How many times in this war has UA retreated?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Very few times, and they have fought out of insane numerical disadvantages almost the entire war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most important thing in the West is to have highly motivated soldiers, and that is not achieved by political mismanagement, so our politicians also have a great responsibility in times of unrest, even if they don&#8217;t seem to understand it \u2013 all our parties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But now, all of this may become secondary because it actually seems like Ukraine is heading towards a resounding victory here \u2013 the coffee grounds never lie, but the only thing it doesn&#8217;t know and has underestimated throughout the war is the West&#8217;s ability to betray Ukraine, which is also the unknown factor in 2025. Everything looks bright now, but a little stumbling block for Ukraine so that things don&#8217;t go too well can always come for the tenth time in this war.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>So what is it that we&#8217;re seeing that made us ring the bell on February 6th in a solemn ceremony here at the editorial office?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Looking at MXT&#8217;s legendary lottery rows, we see how RU&#8217;s offensive is starting to lose momentum now, and a not entirely bad guess was that RU&#8217;s last card to play was to pretend to be strong until Trump took over?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>It&#8217;s not down by half, but a significant decrease.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Below you can see the graph that I produce entirely on my own with a quantum computer and not just copying, and it shows a clear decrease.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Considering that UA has just started offensive operations, this tells us that RU&#8217;s offensive capability has likely begun to diminish (for this time in the near future!).<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"width\":\"620px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"linkDestination\":\"custom\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9df8072b-ef87-49fb-86c9-ce2ec6458e8f_909x582.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9df8072b-ef87-49fb-86c9-ce2ec6458e8f_909x582.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:620px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>That&#8217;s the first sign.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>The second was the offensive in Kursk where three attack vectors with battalion attacks cut through defenses that on paper were multiple brigades of RU elite forces.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And the third was that UA carried out a series of attacks down in Pokrovsk, and now there are rumors about Toretsk.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>UA doesn&#8217;t have an acute shortage of equipment \u2013 a huge amount has been delivered since late autumn \u2013 winter, but not much is being written about it anymore.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>UA&#8217;s REMO program and the programs in Europe are also running hot, where the BMP-1 becomes a vehicle with the latest weapon station of the 2025 model, as well as the BTR-60, and they received at least 300 units from Bulgaria.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>They have probably also sorted out personnel now, perhaps when they moved 50,000 from the shaft to the tip and then disbanded the other brigades. They are already soldiers who just need to learn how things work in the brigade they have been moved to.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>If UA managed to carry out offensives in 2022, it would be quite strange if they couldn&#8217;t do it in 2025, right?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And now the top-tier aircraft has arrived, and they have received the Patriot \u2013 a good chance of Russian aircraft raining down again soon.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Of course, they are also constantly targeting airbases and LV, but it&#8217;s not showing up on the loss lists anymore \u2013 I have a LOT of open-source intelligence tweets confirming it, but the lottery row is still at zero. Not sure if it&#8217;s intentional or if the open-source intelligence is starting to lie, but it&#8217;s a bit strange.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"width\":\"428px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"linkDestination\":\"custom\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76ee9a88-2317-473a-9a99-9a573e687767_675x645.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76ee9a88-2317-473a-9a99-9a573e687767_675x645.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:428px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>It&#8217;s not just refineries that are being taken out&#8230;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Regarding the refineries, the most optimistic figures now show a 50% reduction, and then everyone says there is redundancy. It could also be that the redundancy was used up during UA&#8217;s refinery attacks in 2024 and that now it&#8217;s a real decrease?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Then there&#8217;s the oil exports and fuel depots, as well as ammunition depots and military equipment manufacturing.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And now the partisans are on steroids.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"width\":\"390px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"linkDestination\":\"custom\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54468207-dce8-435b-83f4-987e5aef8c7f_676x606.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54468207-dce8-435b-83f4-987e5aef8c7f_676x606.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:390px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Everything is activated right now, but the West is calmed with promises of negotiations where Zelensky talks about a fair peace \u2013 do you think it means giving up a lot of land to Putin?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>I would be very surprised if the West sells out Ukraine in 2025 after what they have shown they can achieve.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>All the West needs to do now is to continue SELLING equipment to Ukraine and then DO NOTHING \u2013 it&#8217;s difficult for current politicians to argue for anything else without appearing pro-Russian, right?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Yes, Scholz can never hide that he&#8217;s bought, but he&#8217;s alone now actually, and we hope he becomes history in the election soon, even though Afd is also bought by Putin, unfortunately.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"width\":\"405px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"linkDestination\":\"custom\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F28975592-7fcd-429d-a2dd-cc0fda1a1613_677x727.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F28975592-7fcd-429d-a2dd-cc0fda1a1613_677x727.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:405px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>If we don&#8217;t see more attack vectors at the northern front, my conclusion is that the West still has limitations despite all the messages that everything has been removed, we&#8217;ll see.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>This would ultimately mean that the current offensive attempts are just for negotiating position in consultation with the West, but I&#8217;m not quite ready to believe that yet.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>The negotiations are absolutely high-risk for UA, and if they have the slightest opportunity to strike anyway, they will, and it&#8217;s clearly a low point for RU now.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Russia will never voluntarily release occupied areas in Ukraine if they don&#8217;t have to. Or they won&#8217;t give up an inch unless forced, and the only way to force them is to collapse the country.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>A not so small dig at the Biden enthusiasts that Carillo is now coming out hard against Biden, and he\/she\/they (I&#8217;m not clear on pronouns here and cover all bases to not upset anyone) probably has pretty good insight into this, I guess. A fair aftermath that obviously won&#8217;t make it into the history books, where the USA saved the world as usual.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"width\":\"447px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"linkDestination\":\"custom\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F615bcad1-9f2c-42e0-9972-7935e8d4a2e9_667x876.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F615bcad1-9f2c-42e0-9972-7935e8d4a2e9_667x876.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:447px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And it&#8217;s nice that Sullivan&#8217;s career is over, even if it&#8217;s more about a power takeover than punishing him for betraying Ukraine.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"width\":\"483px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"linkDestination\":\"custom\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a7df5ec-6eba-43c0-a8b0-d6c6613ba553_673x750.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a7df5ec-6eba-43c0-a8b0-d6c6613ba553_673x750.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:483px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>The inventive Ukrainians have covered mines in foam and painted them to blend in completely with the terrain, and then released them with drones \u2013 it&#8217;s quite interesting that no one previously thought of building mines already camouflaged. In basic training, half of mine laying was to disguise them.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>On a muddy road that&#8217;s been churned up, it&#8217;s perfectly fine to manufacturing camouflage them, right?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"width\":\"480px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"linkDestination\":\"custom\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa348ce-8fe3-4da0-865e-a083d11d82d2_672x867.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa348ce-8fe3-4da0-865e-a083d11d82d2_672x867.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:480px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>This one must be included \ud83e\udd2c<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>One of the Israeli prisoners is released and gets to say a few words into a camera at Hamas before walking over, and he is overjoyed to reunite with his wife and daughter after 1.5 years in captivity. What Hamas hasn&#8217;t told him is that they have already killed his entire family&#8230;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:embed {\"url\":\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VividProwess\/status\/1888262475251908993\",\"type\":\"rich\",\"providerNameSlug\":\"twitter\",\"responsive\":true} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Hamas forced Eli Sharabi to speak on stage: &quot;I&#39;m so happy to return to my wife and daughters.&quot;<br><br>He had no idea they were brutally murdered on October 7th.<br><br>Hamas laughed and told him his brother was murdered.<br><br>Hamas are the sons of Satan himself.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qYuRZy8jm6\">pic.twitter.com\/qYuRZy8jm6<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Vivid.\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf1 (@VividProwess) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VividProwess\/status\/1888262475251908993?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 8, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:embed -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Here&#8217;s a mechanical breakdown during WW2 \u2013 what do you see?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Well, 20-30 vehicles, right.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>We&#8217;ve been fed a bit with movies and history and feel that a large attack is just a division on the move, but it&#8217;s not entirely uncommon for it to look like this, right?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>With this, I want to say that the Ukraine war is high-intensity.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:embed {\"url\":\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WW2Facts\/status\/1887967092046991781\",\"type\":\"rich\",\"providerNameSlug\":\"twitter\",\"responsive\":true} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A column of tanks and other armoured vehicles of the Panzerwaffe near Stalingrad, 1942.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/History?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#History<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/WWII?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#WWII<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tjPrgHP7Zx\">pic.twitter.com\/tjPrgHP7Zx<\/a><\/p>&mdash; World War II History (@WW2Facts) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WW2Facts\/status\/1887967092046991781?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:embed -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>If you want more signs than you need, it&#8217;s SALTINT (at its best&#8230;) now that RU is pulling its last defense away from Moscow to fight against UA. Not sure exactly what it means in practice and saltint as mentioned.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"width\":\"406px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"linkDestination\":\"custom\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a3fe305-6549-412c-8c87-70f0ca362543_678x703.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a3fe305-6549-412c-8c87-70f0ca362543_678x703.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:406px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And the Ukrainian laser troops keep fighting on \ud83d\ude01<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"width\":\"421px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"linkDestination\":\"custom\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0af3bd7-7c47-4bae-9381-d3c44b8fbd6e_680x722.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Also have a feeling that Mirage will be a &#8220;JDAM carrier&#8221; for a while now, or if that task will be given to the F-16. Or if the Eastern flights handle it and the Western flights provide protection. In any case, the point is that JDAMs will increase significantly.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>At Dnepr, UA will need to carry out a huge pre-emptive strike to even consider a large-scale river crossing, and JDAMs have proven to be effective, or maybe Hammer as the onion eaters call it?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>It has not escaped anyone how Israel largely defeated both Hamas and Hezbollah using JDAMs after combating the air defense with minimal air losses.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Ukraine&#8217;s reconnaissance is completely superior, and in the area behind the southern front, ATESH reigns, and the target list is long.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>What the Russians have been up to since the last incident is digging very deep and building good bunkers, but evidently, such things are completely taken out by the right JDAM, Lex Israel.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Moving every fifth hour is simply something they are not capable of, and they also want luxury, so the staff have built themselves small underground palaces filled with imported spirits and escorts.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Surely it has been quite a while since you heard about combat armies or corps headquarters behind the southern front?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>1.2.3&#8230;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>By the way, do you know what the Pokrovsk offensive\/bulge is?<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>It&#8217;s 2 major access roads into an area teeming with brigades, or sorry RU has expanded, but if UA can hold the flanks, they have coverage of all access roads and can start knocking out the maintenance \u2013 unless they are pushed back.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>You are beginning to understand that things are in motion here, right, and the intensity will hopefully increase (because the West did not let itself be talked down) so that even the experts and media can understand that it is a UA offensive.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Then there will be a break for the clay season, but sometime in April, it should be passable again according to previous analyses of mudslides and grassroots in the other thread.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>A good start to Monday with a better world-leading earlybird \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Feel free to comment on the website as it is more accessible to everyone than Bluesky and Substack, but if it doesn&#8217;t feel right, continue in the channel you prefer.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And if you liked the post, please share.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And just want to mention the disconnection of the power grid in the Baltics, Russia is becoming increasingly isolated.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:embed {\"url\":\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/naforaccoon\/status\/1888435301669892440?s=46u0026t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\",\"type\":\"rich\",\"providerNameSlug\":\"twitter\",\"responsive\":true} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The historic and epic moment Estonia uncoupled its power grid from russia forever. <br><br>This has Berlin wall vibes. <br><br>The only way this video could be better is if it was decoupled via Neptune missile to the russian side of the grid. But that\u2019s just me. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/8kbgFWn207\">pic.twitter.com\/8kbgFWn207<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Rocke Fella &#8211; NAFO Raccoon \u25b3 (@NAFORaccoon) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NAFORaccoon\/status\/1888435301669892440?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 9, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:embed -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>And then when the idiot Macron thought that Putin would keep a promise not to invade Ukraine when Russia has broken everything they have ever promised in the past 200 years, it should be a crime to be so stupid.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"id\":301,\"width\":\"405px\",\"height\":\"auto\",\"sizeSlug\":\"full\",\"linkDestination\":\"none\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"678\" height=\"721\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/13.-Macron.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-301\" style=\"width:405px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/13.-Macron.png 678w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/13.-Macron-282x300.png 282w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/13.-Macron-11x12.png 11w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px\" \/><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We must never forget the sacrifice made by the Ukrainian defense forces \ud83d\ude2c The Lions On the 5th\/6th of February [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1477","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ukraine daily update February 10, 2025 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/ukraine-daily-update-february-10-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ukraine daily update February 10, 2025 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We must 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