{"id":2061,"date":"2025-07-04T11:13:47","date_gmt":"2025-07-04T09:13:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/the-war-in-ukraine-statistics-on-russian-losses-up-to-june\/"},"modified":"2025-07-05T19:39:05","modified_gmt":"2025-07-05T17:39:05","slug":"the-war-in-ukraine-statistics-on-russian-losses-up-to-june","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/the-war-in-ukraine-statistics-on-russian-losses-up-to-june\/","title":{"rendered":"The war in Ukraine + Statistics on Russian losses up to June"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Once again, Russia attacked Ukraine during the night. Reports indicate a total of 550 drones and robots, of which Ukraine managed to shoot down 478. More information on the results of the attacks will be provided in the comments below. <br>Further down, you will also find an overview of Russian losses from February 2022 until the end of June, where some positive trends can be discerned as it may be interpreted that Russia is no longer able to supply the fronts with equipment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russian losses:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>1120 KWIA <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2 Tanks <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>10 AFVS <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>50 Artillery systems <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1 MLRS <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>205 UAVs <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>112 Vehicles &amp; Fuel tanks <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3 Special equipment<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large losses\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"819\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/2025-07-04-819x1024.jpg\" alt=\"Russian losses in Ukraine - 2025-07-04\" class=\"wp-image-2034\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/2025-07-04-819x1024.jpg 819w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/2025-07-04-240x300.jpg 240w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/2025-07-04-768x960.jpg 768w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/2025-07-04.jpg 1080w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Overview of Russian losses per month<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We are now in July, and to get a sense of how losses have evolved over time and what the trend looks like, I will go through some of the different types of losses.<br>As always, a big thank you to Ragnar Gudmundsson, follow him on Bluesky where he updates with new figures every day: <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/ragnarbjartur.bsky.social\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/ragnarbjartur.bsky.social<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">KWIA<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When it comes to dead and wounded Russian soldiers, December 2024 was the highest month ever (49,150), closely followed by January 2025. Since then, it has decreased, and in June, it was 32,680. It shows a downward trend, but June still ranks among the higher months in the entire war. <br>The average per day is 1089 in July. <br>The average since this phase of the war started on 2022-02-24 is 836\/day.<br><br>As mentioned, there has been a downward trend since January with a slight peak in March, but as you can see in the image below, we have had reduced losses before, only to increase again. It is possible that December\/January was the peak and that we will not see those levels on a monthly basis again. But of course, it&#8217;s only speculation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"606\" height=\"463\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/KWIA-2025-07-04.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2036\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/KWIA-2025-07-04.png 606w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/KWIA-2025-07-04-300x229.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Equipment <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall losses of Russian ground-based hardware do not follow the same pattern. Instead, there was a slight dip in December and the peak came in April. Since then, it has decreased.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"606\" height=\"469\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Equipment-Summary-2025-07-04.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2052\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Equipment-Summary-2025-07-04.png 606w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Equipment-Summary-2025-07-04-300x232.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tanks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When it comes to tanks, there has been a slow downward trend since the record month of October 2023 when they lost 520 tanks. In June, we were down to 113 tanks, the third lowest month since the war began. In April 2023, it was 84, and the following month 108. The decline then was probably not due to a lack of tanks but rather a pause after the Russians finally took Bakhmut and at the same time awaited the Ukrainian offensive.<br>One can speculate on why tank losses are decreasing. Have they run out? Are they saving them? Is it perhaps wasteful, as they are quickly taken out by drones, etc.? Here is a post where I discuss it a bit: <a href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/haller-ryssland-pa-att-fa-slut-pa-stridsvagnar\/\">Is Russia Running Out of Tanks?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regardless, it can be noted that tanks are a resource that the Russians do not exploit in the same way as before. The average loss per day in June is 3.77. Perhaps that is now the limit of what they can produce. After all, it&#8217;s about 1400 per year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"606\" height=\"481\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Tanks-2025-07-04.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2046\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Tanks-2025-07-04.png 606w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Tanks-2025-07-04-300x238.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">APVs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When it comes to other combat and armored vehicles, it does not quite follow the tanks&#8217; pattern. Just like with tanks, losses increased significantly in October 2023 when the Russians started their offensive, but the peak came a year later, in October 2024. Since then, the decline has been steep.<br>Just like with tanks, June was the third lowest month so far with 270 vehicles and an average of 9 per day.<br>It is very likely that the Russians have reached the limit here too in terms of what they can produce. The stocks are not endless, and 9 per day amounts to almost 3,300 per year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"606\" height=\"469\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/APVs-2025-07-04.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2038\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/APVs-2025-07-04.png 606w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/APVs-2025-07-04-300x232.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Artillery<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When it comes to artillery, the situation is a bit different. There was a remarkable decline in December 2024 and then a sharp recovery. There could be many reasons for this; the Russians attacked heavily with significant manpower losses, perhaps they did not use as much artillery, maybe Ukraine&#8217;s ability to neutralize it was lower at that time, or maybe Russia&#8217;s supplies were running low but later received help from North Korea (and possibly China, among others).<br>Currently, we are in a downward trend; we will see if it continues.<br>In June, the Russians lost 1,243 pieces, while the peak in December was 1,690.<br>One problem with artillery is that we do not know exactly what is included. Considering that they have lost a total of 29,447, I assume that mortars are included in the reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"606\" height=\"481\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Artillery-2025-07-04.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2040\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Artillery-2025-07-04.png 606w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Artillery-2025-07-04-300x238.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLRS<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>MLRS has always been relatively low and fluctuated significantly. July 2023 is the record month so far with 69 pieces, closely followed by November of the same year. <br>In June, we had 27, slightly below the average.<br>When there are so few, it is difficult to assess any trends; it could just as well be coincidences. At the same time, we have not reached the same levels as in 2023. It may also be the case that Russia has reached the limit of what they can deliver to the front.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"606\" height=\"469\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MLRS-2025-07-04.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2054\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MLRS-2025-07-04.png 606w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MLRS-2025-07-04-300x232.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vehicles and Fuel Tanks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a category of equipment that has had an upward trend since February 2023 (of course with occasional dips). <br>I suspect that one of the reasons for the increase is that the Russians have switched to smaller but more vehicles as their stocks have dwindled. We saw Chinese golf carts that seem to have been replaced by motorcycles, etc.<br>April of this year is the record month with 4,018 pieces, and in June, we had 3,395.<br>Now it&#8217;s only two months, but the decline from April to June is actually the largest decline so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"606\" height=\"481\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Vehicles-2025-07-04.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2048\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Vehicles-2025-07-04.png 606w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Vehicles-2025-07-04-300x238.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Special Equipment<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>This is also a category where losses are low, like for MLRS. However, the trend since June-October 2024 is clear. One of the steepest declines, even though there was a peak in April this year. The record in June 2024 was 284, while in June we had 19, the lowest since December 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"606\" height=\"469\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Special-Equipment-2025-07-04.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2050\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Special-Equipment-2025-07-04.png 606w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Special-Equipment-2025-07-04-300x232.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Number of Engagements<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The number of clashes at the front is interesting as it should reflect the intensity of the war. At an overarching level, it fairly closely follows the Russian losses of manpower. There are some differences between them, but in both cases, December 2024 is the record month, and both had a sharp dip in February.<br>The difference is that when it comes to the number of engagements, it has increased slightly more after the low point than the number of killed and wounded soldiers.<br>This could mean that they are now attacking with fewer soldiers, but it could also indicate that Ukraine is finding it harder to eliminate them.<br><br>There are some interesting &#8220;micro-trends&#8221; that I won&#8217;t delve into here, but user 205 has noted that KWIA has been significantly higher than the number of engagements in some places. This could indicate that Ukraine has carried out a local offensive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"881\" height=\"508\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Combat-engagements-2025-07-04.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2042\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Combat-engagements-2025-07-04.png 881w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Combat-engagements-2025-07-04-300x173.png 300w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Combat-engagements-2025-07-04-768x443.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 881px) 100vw, 881px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s a bit unclear, but here I have combined KWIA and combat engagements in the same image (from March 2023). <br>Orange represents KWIA. It can be seen that they have largely followed each other, but also that the difference we see now is higher than ever.<br>If we draw conclusions from reduced losses of tanks and other armored vehicles that they are using fewer of them now, it could partly explain the difference. Each vehicle contains a crew and possibly additional soldiers, and if they are not used as frequently anymore, it could account for some of the decrease. It&#8217;s not as easy to eliminate as many soldiers with just one or two drones anymore.<br>But that&#8217;s hardly the whole truth; the difference is too significant. It&#8217;s more likely that they are using smaller groups today and that Ukraine chooses to retreat instead of taking their own losses. This would align with Russia slowly but steadily gaining ground.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"591\" height=\"502\" src=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2058\" srcset=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image.png 591w, https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-300x255.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 591px) 100vw, 591px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Apologies for the very late post today!<br><br><strong>SLAVA UKRAINI!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The war in Ukraine, news, and a review of statistics on Russian losses from the start of the war until June this year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2036,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[29],"class_list":["post-2061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ukraine","tag-war-in-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - 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