{"id":2411,"date":"2025-08-14T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T05:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/ukraine-daily-update-august-14-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-08-15T08:19:19","modified_gmt":"2025-08-15T06:19:19","slug":"ukraine-daily-update-august-14-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/ukraine-daily-update-august-14-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine daily update August 14, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Zelensky has confirmed that RU has no intention whatsoever of stopping the war &#8211; instead, they are significantly reinforcing. Based on what we know about Russia, we can be quite certain that these negotiation rounds are a war strategy, and from experience, they intend to come up with something additional &#8211; exactly what I am trying to speculate about \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!NxSf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68dc9439-5a5f-413b-a907-95a2375db730_828x1015.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!NxSf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68dc9439-5a5f-413b-a907-95a2375db730_828x1015.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:336px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, things are moving quickly in hockey &#8211; yesterday, the Russian MoD confirmed that only ground troops and the air force would participate, and today Belarus confirms that nuclear forces are naturally also participating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/eng\/news\/2025\/08\/13\/7525986\">https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/eng\/news\/2025\/08\/13\/7525986<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is also good reading, you already know everything if you have been following the posts, but it is a serious publication unlike my wild guesses and constant misses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-tovima-com wp-block-embed-tovima-com\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"KbfMwiogQS\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tovima.com\/wsj\/the-russian-military-moves-that-have-europe-on-edge\/\">The Russian Military Moves That Have Europe on Edge<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;The Russian Military Moves That Have Europe on Edge&#8221; &#8212; tovima.com\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tovima.com\/wsj\/the-russian-military-moves-that-have-europe-on-edge\/embed\/#?secret=nhVX55LaWj#?secret=KbfMwiogQS\" data-secret=\"KbfMwiogQS\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Zelensky released some important information, RU losses are 1:1 KWIA as we previously guessed. Then the total number is what is reported, which I long didn&#8217;t believe was the case, sad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>KWIA was also 1:3 in favor of UA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, UA previously confirmed that 80% of the wounded return to their units, with 18 dead for Ukraine and 531 for RU, that&#8217;s a kill ratio of 1:30 \ud83d\ude36<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/russian-losses-3-times-higher-than-ukraines-zelensky-says\">https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/russian-losses-3-times-higher-than-ukraines-zelensky-says<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>UA has also attacked nodes of the Druzhba oil infrastructure &#8211; they haven&#8217;t been able to do that in an entire war, so this is significant, perhaps the biggest since Kursk in August 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reason, of course, is the EU &#8211; an older article.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/my-europe\/2022\/05\/31\/why-the-druzhba-pipeline-was-spared-from-the-eu-ban-on-russian-oil\">https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/my-europe\/2022\/05\/31\/why-the-druzhba-pipeline-was-spared-from-the-eu-ban-on-russian-oil<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, Biden, Scholz, Macron, Starmer, Boris Johnson, von der Leyen, NATO, and everyone else have throughout the entire war prevented Ukraine from attacking critical infrastructure in Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump probably also prevented UA attacks on refineries in February this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No one has stopped Russia, which has completely knocked out all UA refineries, oil transport, electricity production, and other things that they have surely rebuilt several times over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Shortening the war has not been a priority for our leaders after all&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.kyivpost.com\/post\/58040\">https:\/\/www.kyivpost.com\/post\/58040<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now we have the major node that I always forget where it is, Tomsk, Omsk, somewhere that Ukraine hasn&#8217;t been allowed to target in an entire war, if they can take out the node, it&#8217;s game over for Russia&#8217;s oil industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Either Ukraine has said &#8220;screw it&#8221; and is going all out, or Trump isn&#8217;t as sinister as we think, I&#8217;m guessing Ukraine is going all out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia has never said a word about the refineries, so neither will Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But that should mean they have some allies in Europe, and I think I know who \ud83e\uddd0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From what I can see, Ukraine has a little gas left, but the tank is echoing quite empty now, yet they remain silent and keep fighting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The number of downed UAVs is also steadily decreasing as RU uses improved versions and has changed tactics, building large quantities of long-range drones &#8211; 79,000 per year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/russia-aims-to-build-79-000-shahed-type-drones-in-2025\">https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/russia-aims-to-build-79-000-shahed-type-drones-in-2025<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You have probably also noticed that no one talks about the atrocities anymore, it has become normalized. It&#8217;s not very normal if you are subjected to them &#8211; if you have been castrated, it&#8217;s lifelong, and if you have been raped daily for two years as a woman or man, it&#8217;s also lifelong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, we can argue for a coldness and indifference from Europe that doesn&#8217;t at all match the humanitarian superpower we consider ourselves to be, but from what I have seen around the world, we are still light years ahead in terms of humanity compared to many other countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is indisputable that the conflict in Ukraine is the worst in terms of human suffering and also the conflict that poses the highest risk to Europe, and both civically and politically, it has not been handled properly for over three years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What are the popular demonstrations on the streets about today?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They should be about burning down Russia and paving over the sh1t, but you have never seen that, and all the different organizations that are supposed to protect people and us like the UN, Amnesty, and the Red Cross have, in the worst case, turned against Ukraine instead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A classic example is when the Red Cross deceived the defenders of Azovstal into surrendering and then turned their backs, they arrived at the camps and laughed at the prisoners instead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Or Amnesty, which criticized Ukraine for abuses in the war instead of Russia for a long time until the pressure became too great, and the UN, which consistently kept the number of civilians killed to a minimum, a number that no one who has taken a basic math course believes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the past year, have they conveyed any other figure of civilians killed as a truth without flinching?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Something will happen between today and the summer of 2026, I am quite sure because Russia is now increasing significantly in everything that can be interpreted as an intention for more war. They are their own worst enemies, so timelines never match, but we can assume that they have something planned after they put out the peace smoke.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You already knew earlier that they trained militias in the Balkans to overthrow governments in Moldova and perhaps Romania, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And then they made a deal with the strong clan leader of Libya to start pushing migrants again, have we also discussed that they have something new from 2015 in the works?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/russia-belarus-attempting-to-institute-renewed-eu-migrant-crisis-with-help-from-libyan-warlord-telegraph-reports\">https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/russia-belarus-attempting-to-institute-renewed-eu-migrant-crisis-with-help-from-libyan-warlord-telegraph-reports<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Czechia is also at risk of getting a pro-Russian leader in October, by the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have managed to keep my feeds free from Russian influence, but I notice quite a few around me slipping into the wrong narratives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Drone flyovers of German high-value targets were five hundred in three months &#8211; that&#8217;s a high level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ukrinform.net\/rubric-society\/4023658-over-500-spy-drones-spotted-over-germany-during-first-quarter-of-year.html\">https:\/\/www.ukrinform.net\/rubric-society\/4023658-over-500-spy-drones-spotted-over-germany-during-first-quarter-of-year.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sabotage is rampant, but our countries are increasingly keeping a lid on it, the above report only came out because someone leaked it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Is there anyone reading these world-leading posts and believing that the only country Russia is flying drones over is Germany?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Anyone \ud83e\uddd0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So we have many thousands of flyovers over military bases, naval bases, substations, nodes, ammunition depots, radio towers, and other things that in the event of war will be pre-targeted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>War preparations?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Big things like the Baltics closing the border and expelling Russians, they can&#8217;t keep that a secret, but we don&#8217;t hear about everything that can be kept under wraps.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Therefore, I continue from yesterday &#8211; the Balts know that NATO has abandoned them, so they have turned to Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine is not extraterrestrial, so they have promised that when it hits the fan, they will start their own offensive, but it is important that RU is allowed into the Baltics, and with joint forces, they can then make a decisive move. If the border is closed, RU will instead try to take down Ukraine before turning to the Baltics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, I&#8217;m not sure if I believe in this myself because it would require a lot of trust and different countries unreservedly trusting each other, but what could offset this is &#8220;your enemy&#8217;s enemy.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Probably not all of Europe is at all aware of this, maybe the Balts, Finland, and Poland?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We have had signs pointing in that direction &#8211; Finland has promised to fight with Estonia and Poland with Lithuania.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>Other parts of Europe have vaguely expressed themselves on the issue only and now they want a ceasefire in Ukraine and have prepared a white paper to wave around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It will be the dirtiest asymmetric warfare you have ever seen but the starting shot must be Russian.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why is that?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because then no cowardly and weak politicians in Europe can complicate things, they are faced with a fait accompli and must comply \u2013 the ball is in play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Considering how the situation is developing, Ukraine has probably informed this circle that they will not be able to hold out much longer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The situation itself simply forces a counterattack because it can no longer be avoided.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Belarus must rise up like a man, woman, person, or any other gender identity but I&#8217;m not listing all of those.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The problem I struggle with is not that Ukraine will not attack into Russia but that Europe will not do its part \u2013 I am like a resigned man\/woman\/other gender identity on the third divorce when it comes to Europe actually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any country in Africa has proven to be a more loyal buddy than Europe when it really matters, with Europe as the wingman you had to go home alone from the bar every night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Substack \u2013 there is still a chance to become subscribers and it is valuable to me if you want to become paying ones. All content is posted freely to everyone but it still takes a lot of time to put together, costs 80 SEK per month and then you skip a dinner at McDonald&#8217;s so it&#8217;s also healthy \u2013 Johan No.1 makes you healthier too \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Continued appreciation for the site johanno1.se is always gratefully received and there is a QR code for the purpose that you absolutely must not miss as we have expenses and there is a donation page with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations we have learned over time are legitimate and dare to donate to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you liked the post \u2013 please share in your channels and most importantly, feel free to share the English version with people you think may appreciate posts and comments they have not been able to read before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\">https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"mailto:ohanno1.se\">johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"mailto:substack.com\/@johanno1\">substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zelensky has confirmed that RU has no intention whatsoever of stopping the war &#8211; instead, they are significantly reinforcing. Based [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ukraine daily update August 14, 2025 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/ukraine-daily-update-august-14-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ukraine daily update August 14, 2025 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Zelensky has confirmed that RU has no intention whatsoever of stopping the war &#8211; instead, they are significantly reinforcing. 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