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<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\nYou understand, just like I do, that if Putin can once again ask the US and Europe for help to stop Ukraine, they can restore everything in a few months and continue the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The trick is to keep the pressure up – use satellites and drones to monitor the targets, and as soon as they start to finish repairs, send in a new robot, and continue until RU runs out of gas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This won’t win the war, but a significant step forward is if Europe remains silent now and doesn’t allow itself to be talked down by Putin, again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
But it seems so, it seems like we in Europe have accepted the fact and now, finally, after over three years of war, won’t pull the rug out from under Ukraine again just when they are starting to regain hope.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
So THAT is the difference from my previous promised results that ended up in nothing because the US and Europe saved Russia just when it was needed. This war has come close to ending several times, but it must be acknowledged that Putin knew how to talk the West into submission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If the entire VDV had been trapped on the wrong side of the Dnieper in 2022, the war would probably be over now – +25,000 of their best soldiers, and when they were overrun, there would be no Surovikin Line on the southern front – a “all in” move from Ukraine would have decided the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Now they had to attack Kherson from the west instead after the VDV were released, and then not attack towards Crimea before summer 2023 after the Surovikin Line was ready \ud83d\ude21<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That was Biden, by the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It’s truly incredible that we have been watching the buildup towards something and the steps taken, so the likelihood of success is high enough to make one excited – and then we ruin the whole party when it’s Russia we could get rid of for good. What were we thinking, really?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Now in August, UA is targeting fuel, LNG, and oil pipelines. They are hitting oil depots and then the refineries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why they didn’t start with Moscow, I don’t know – that would have caused the most damage. We sincerely hope that this is not a ploy to achieve a ceasefire. If it is, I will close the account and start growing tomatoes instead, that’s how upset I would be \ud83d\ude36<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The next series of targets coming at the end of September or beginning of October is the electricity infrastructure for the operation to turn off the lights, which will be epic this time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Just as Ukraine is gradually draining Russia, they can turn off the lights in Russia one region at a time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Public discontent provides fertile ground for protests that can lead to revolution and liberation in various republics with minority populations, which is, of course, the underlying idea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
But wars are not won with strategic bombing or indirect fire alone – there must also be infantry advancing, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
There is very little infantry left on the front lines; Ukraine has a drone shield and is trying to kill as many Russians as they can.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The brigades are somewhere else with all the heavy vehicles we never see, doing what?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Preparing for an offensive, of course, that’s what they are doing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Everything is always relative, that must not be forgotten, but if Ukraine can target what they want and attack where they want when they want, they have a chance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And most importantly – they remain silent so the US and Europe don’t leak the battle plans to Putin again; it’s difficult for me to handle the betrayal that we did \ud83d\ude21<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That was the positive side; the other side is that RU has not run out of offensive gas at all. I don’t believe for a second the media rounds claiming the offensive is over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We have long written that RU is still on the rise and will open up at the Dnieper as well, and that they have their strategic offensive reserve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is now clear to me that China and Russia have a larger escalation planned, which may or may not happen depending on how they interpret Europe’s actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We will see exactly what unfolds, but there is too much happening now for it not to be an upward trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We discussed the Baltic Sea the other day, and it is boiling, and RU’s war preparations against Europe are at a very high level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Recently, China has made several peculiar statements, and Xi has reportedly purged many senior officers in a manner not seen since Mao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Either the officers didn’t want war or they did want war – your guess is as good as mine \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n Anyone who doesn’t understand that the hundreds of drone flights over military installations in Europe are to assess our capabilities and alertness needs to do military service.<\/p>\n\n\n\n RU is constantly testing Europe and then observing if we change any routines, and if we don’t, they take it as an opportunity to continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Today, they are certainly observing whether Europe is preparing to enter the Baltic states and Ukraine, which it seems we are not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Both Germany and Poland have declared that they will not send troops to Ukraine – unnecessary statements that make one wonder if Europe is already wavering?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Now we have also seen Azerbaijan and the UK – when Azerbaijan sided with UA in words, numerous Azerbaijani targets were targeted in Ukraine, contaminating their oil exports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Now, when the UK has been tough on Russia and wants troops in Ukraine, Putin then places a robot in the English consulate in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This has worked very well throughout the entire war, but it’s only what we see –<\/p>\n\n\n\n Protests, demonstrations, opposition aiming to bring you down, economic warfare from Trump, and then attacks on you as a person through threats, gangs, planted illegal films, and if you haven’t done anything – that too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n All of this is simmering in the background, and if you have a career at the top, they will try to get to you – and if you do nothing, they will fabricate something.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The entire SEB leadership fell into a honey trap so the FSB could launder money through the bank, for example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I don’t think Europe has much time left either; France is in recession and a government crisis, Poland’s president is anti-Ukraine, the Czech Republic could turn pro-Russian in October, in Sweden we have a slight recession warning, and Germany is shaking in its foundations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Autumn usually sees good stock market crashes.<\/p>\n\n\n I am curious about the USA because either it will crash with a big bang or Trump, at the expense of everyone else, has done what turned out well for the USA – the USA usually excels at letting someone else take the hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is clear that Trump is losing more and more ground though.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Now China has its big day – the victory over Japan, and the only country in Asia that is not there seems to be Japan. They are not very keen on being reminded of that time at all and wanted no one else to go there. Quite a significant loss of prestige for them in Asia, one must admit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 29 countries, about the same number that came to Putin’s May 9th event this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The term used for these is “Global South,” and it is a fairly large group of countries beginning to align themselves under Russia and China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It should be the other way around, but if no one waves a sensible alternative, this is absolutely to be expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Yes, there are reasons to be glad that we no longer stop Ukraine because the expectations are really low, but a lot is happening around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I believe we are entering the most dangerous period of the war in the coming months, and then we will see if Russia and China dare to escalate or not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n They probably prefer that Europe does not declare war on them, I guess, but what Russia hopes for is to advance their positions without us daring to do anything, to manage to balance that fine line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Furthermore, China’s plan is as follows – they start small conflicts, and the country that stands by their side gets to buy Chinese weapons. If this sounds familiar, it’s because China has taken a page from the USA’s playbook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Voila – now they can shift from civilian production to military and rake in huge amounts of money even in a war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I think the West must decide what they want to do with China because they will not stop, just like Russia, they are in an expansion phase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Considering Taiwan’s limited area and drone and robot weapons, I guess the likelihood of a successful invasion has increased significantly with the warfare of 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clouds of autonomous AI drones hovering over Taiwan and a rain of robots targeting logged objectives?<\/p>\n\n\n\n China has obscene amounts of both in addition to all conventional weapons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ukraine is the lock Russia must pick to reach Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Taiwan is the lock China must unlock to expand in Asia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Continued appreciation for the johanno1.se website is always gratefully received, and there is a QR code for this purpose that you absolutely must not miss as we have expenses and there is a donation page with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations we have learned over time are legitimate and dare to donate to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you liked the post – please share it in your channels and most importantly, feel free to share the English version with people you think may appreciate posts and comments they have not been able to read before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n