https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/ragnarbjartur.bsky.social<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\nLosses of personnel (KWIA = Killed & Wounded In Action) and equipment:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n The Russian losses of KWIA have decreased significantly since the turn of the year, and the trend continues since the last review. However, looking at the entire war, the losses are still high, and they are currently just at the average level. There is speculation as to why the numbers are decreasing. When it comes to the number of engagements, it remains at approximately the same level. Russia is still slowly advancing. The intensity of the war is not significantly lower to explain this. Some argue that Russia is attacking with fewer soldiers, which could be an explanation combined with a significant increase in the number of drones. It seems that they do not need as many soldiers. A more somber explanation could be that Ukraine is finding it harder to push back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Regarding military equipment, there has also been a slight decrease recently, but overall, it is still high. As we will see further down, the type of equipment that Russia is losing in Ukraine has changed.<\/p>\n\n\n\nLosses of artillery and MLRS<\/h3>\n\n\n\n The losses of artillery have also decreased slightly recently, but it has fluctuated more during the war and has not decreased as much. There was a significant decline earlier, but North Korea has likely come to the rescue. The trend is currently downward, but whether it is temporary can only be speculated, and the reasons for the decrease are uncertain. Russia continues to use artillery at approximately the same rate as before. In the worst case, Ukraine is finding it harder to neutralize them. MLRS losses have varied throughout the war, and there are few pieces being taken out, making it difficult to draw conclusions from that.<\/p>\n\n\n\nTanks and armored vehicles<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The downward trend in tanks has been ongoing for a long time, although it varies slightly, and we are now at the lowest level throughout the war. The trend seems to have leveled off, but this is because only a few tanks are being used now. It cannot decrease much further. Some days there are zero tanks in the daily loss report. It is suspected that Russia is running out of tanks. They do not have an abundance of them, but it is more likely that they have changed tactics and are conserving them. It is too costly to have them taken out by cheap drones. When it comes to other armored vehicles, the situation is similar. There has been a significant decrease for a long time, although there may be a slight increase recently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
As mentioned, I suspect a change in tactics. Perhaps we will see larger mechanized losses in the future when they believe they can make a breakthrough at a certain front.<\/p>\n\n\n\nUAVs (Drones, etc.) and air defense<\/h3>\n\n\n\n Regarding UAVs, we see an almost logarithmic increasing curve where the number has risen significantly, mainly since the turn of the year. Russia has evidently managed to increase its manufacturing capacity, likely with significant help from China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
On the other hand, air defense is on a downward trend. I believe this is because Russia is struggling to manufacture at the rate they are being used. Additionally, they are also used to protect locations inside Russia that are difficult for Ukraine to reach. Here, too, there are very few losses per day, often none at all, making the statistics less reliable for detecting trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\nLogistics, other vehicles, fuel trucks, etc.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n Regarding logistics and “soft” vehicles, the curve had previously been upward and slowly increasing, but that trend has now reversed and turned downward again, although the losses are still very high. There could be several reasons for this, one of which is related to the reduced use of tanks and armored vehicles. Fewer maintenance vehicles such as fuel trucks and recovery vehicles are needed. If Russia is using fewer soldiers in their attacks, this applies to them as well. It could also be that they have learned to protect themselves better, and by increasingly using lighter vehicles, they may be harder to take out, even though more of them are required. However, there are still many losses.KWIA and logistics, monthly overview per year<\/h3>\n\n\n\n Another overview where it is easier to see how things have developed. At the top, we have the losses of soldiers, and even though they have decreased, they are still the second highest for the same period compared to other years during the war. This also shows how logistics in the form of regular “soft” vehicles has been.<\/p>\n\n\n\nNumber of combat engagements<\/h3>\n\n\n\n Regarding the number of combat events, there was a peak at New Year, then it decreased before rising again, and now it has decreased slightly once more. Overall, it can be said that there is not a clear trend but rather very high activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\nRatio of Russian equipment losses compared to Ukrainian<\/h3>\n\n\n\n Throughout the war, Russia has lost more equipment than Ukraine. Now in 2025, there was a brief period in May and just a few weeks ago when it was the opposite. Currently, the ratio over the last 30 days is 1.0. Both sides are losing approximately the same amount.<\/p>\n\n\n\nArtillery and drones<\/h3>\n\n\n\n Russian artillery attacks have decreased slightly recently but are at roughly the same level as throughout 2025. The significant change is the drones, which have increased significantly. Some days we see over 6,000 and if this trend continues, it will surpass that as an average. However, we can sense a decreased rate of increase; perhaps they have reached their upper limit, and it will plateau. I suspect that this is only temporary. Drones are cheap and effective, and with support from China, unfortunately, they can likely continue to increase their numbers. It is challenging to halt this as well. Drones do not require large factories that Ukraine can take out. In that case, the chances may be greater if they target ammunition production or the petrochemical industries they depend on.<\/p>\n\n\nSummary<\/h2>\n\n\n\n Since the last time I went through the statistics, not much has happened. The trends are pointing in roughly the same direction. Russia is increasing its use of both suicide drones on the front lines and in its nightly terrorist attacks with Shaheds, etc. The decrease in armor, etc. continues as well as the loss of soldiers, yet they continue to make small advances on the front lines. When it comes to equipment, both sides are losing about the same amount.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
So, things don’t look very bright for Ukraine. Previously, they have exchanged land for significant Russian losses, and even though the losses are still high, unfortunately, it seems that the situation is roughly the same for Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What has actually happened since last time, which is very positive, is not related to any of the above. It is, of course, the fact that Ukraine has once again started to launch attacks deep into Russia and has managed to strike at oil refineries, depots, pump stations, and factories. This, of course, does not have an immediate effect (fuel shortage also complicates matters), but it is something that in the long run will destroy the already fragile Russian economy and hit hard on all fronts as shortages and rising fuel prices affect everything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If Ukraine can continue and perhaps even increase the pace, it could be decisive in the end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
News, the war in Ukraine<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":805,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"\n
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Gillar statisitk och redovisar bl.a. ryska f\u00f6rluster och en hel del annat. Postar mycket av nyheterna i kommentarerna som h\u00e4mtas fr\u00e5n olika k\u00e4llor. F\u00f6rutom Ukraina handlar det om olika h\u00e4ndelser i Sverige och Europa, klimatet, Israel-Palestina och f\u00f6rst\u00e5s en hel del kring USA och Trump. Har en f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga att reta upp de som gillar den sistn\u00e4mnde eftersom jag \u00e4r starkt kritiskt till det mesta han tar sig f\u00f6r. IT-ansvarig och sk\u00f6ter drift, underh\u00e5ll och vidareutveckling av webbplatsen, s\u00e5 ni vet vem ni ska skylla p\u00e5 n\u00e4r det kr\u00e5nglar! SLAVA UKRAINI","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/MatsExtrude"],"url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/author\/extrude\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2660","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2660"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2660\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2689,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2660\/revisions\/2689"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/805"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2660"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2660"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2660"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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