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<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n-Russia with China has received help in setting up an entirely new arms industry producing 1500 tanks, 1000 robots, 79,000 Gerandrones per year<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Ukraine is backing down on all fronts, and northern Luhansk is starting to look serious.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Europe is completely ineffective in drone defense even though we promise powerful retaliation \u2013 hot air.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Europe’s defense forces cannot fight in 2025, and Putin and China know it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Country after country in Europe is backtracking on promises of troops in Ukraine in peacetime, even though they could have just kept quiet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-No one wants an air defense zone over Ukraine even when Russia sends drones into Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Russian subversive activities in Europe are winning over country after country, creating government crises so that the countries become at best indifferent and at worst hostile to the EU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-China has thrown its white gloves into Russia’s corner and been open about it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Europe is facing a financial crisis where only a triggering factor is needed, which Russia will provide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That list doesn’t make anyone happy at all – I get depressed just writing it \ud83d\ude36<\/p>\n\n\n\n
One reason might be that they no longer care about our stop blocks \u2013 it’s full asymmetrical warfare. It must have been a liberating feeling, to say the least.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
But ultimately, after over three years of not being held back anymore, you don’t win any war if you don’t have the material. I think UA can handle 60% now, and Europe is arming itself instead of Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The drone race is always close, so he has no reason to be cocky there either \u2013 Zelensky, of all people, knows that the scales tip every 6-12 months and that China is in the race for Russia’s next capability boost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
So what makes Zelensky lively?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I can think of two reasons \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Zelensky is convinced that Europe will soon be dragged into the war because he knows Russia’s plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Ukraine has agreements with enough sub-republics and -regions that there will be a revolution, and that ball is rolling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UA is very street-smart, and if they didn’t feel the wind at their backs, they wouldn’t behave like this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Something is fishy overall right now \u2013 China is talking big, everyone wants to be friends with Lukashenko, and Zelensky is more positive than me when everything is going backwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Things are not as they seem, that’s the only conclusion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What I DON’T think is the reason for his joy \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Trump is actually playing on Team Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Europe has grand military plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Probably Ukraine has set things in motion, and Chinese\/Russian escalation is also underway, which Ukraine is aware of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
So Zelensky is happy because we will be dragged into the war \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I rejoice with Ukraine, we need to get involved in this and really take it to Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Unfortunately, war is also business \u2013 Trump is a bit more explicit, but our arms manufacturers also want to get big orders, and politicians listen to money, and our citizens are always easier to handle if there is an external enemy justifying harsh measures – like Chatcontrol 2.0 that Sweden intended to vote for as the humanitarian superpower we are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I remember when both the Palestinians and Israel declared Wallstr\u00f6m persona non grata, so we haven’t done very well when wielding our humanitarian superpower sword.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I continue to look ahead \u2013 we engage Africa with fair trade agreements, we swallow our pride with the USA and make a NICE trade deal with them \u2013 we and they buy from each other, we claw back manufacturing to Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We permanently solve our eastern front, and our surplus can help in Asia during the world war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
China \u2013 Russia \u2013 India can buy from each other, it should work out well \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Europe has a bright future if we make the right moves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If we make the wrong decisions, we will end up in a cold war under Russian dominance, and the USA will sell us security at a premium again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yes, there are those in Europe who feel it would benefit them, just as the wind and solar lobby toasted with champagne when our nuclear reactors were shut down \u2013 not because they are environmentalists but because they want to make money, as someone has to rebuild what has been lost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Zelensky and Ukraine are the key \u2013 without them, it would have been over, and with them, we have a chance, but we must make the right decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Going back to WW2, Germany had prepared for the next war, and Europe was stuck in yesterday’s \u2013 Poland had a more modern tank than the Germans, albeit in small numbers, and France had more (modern) tanks and aircraft than Germany when they were attacked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What Germany did was to identify today’s warfare and leave yesterday behind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Russia has now been forced to do the same, and today, in the fall of 2025, they have gotten organized.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Unlike in 1940 when the smoke cleared after a few intense summer months following Europe’s attempt to choose peace in 1938 and 1939, over two million Allied soldiers were lost, and Europe was completely overrun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ukraine is currently in the middle and doesn’t seem to intend to throw in the towel, which is good, but what does the risk list say about the consequences if UA loses the entire war?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Europe is not working with a risk list now, but we should because it’s game over if Ukraine and Russia turn against us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hungary, Serbia, Slovakia, Ukraine, and Russia, followed rapidly by Moldova, Romania, Bulgaria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It would be full-scale war, and even if we come out on top as we always have \u2013 except in 1914, 1939, throughout the Cold War, and in a large number of wars in the 19th century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
But there will be a great deal of suffering.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We know that Europe currently lacks the courage to make tough decisions, so if we were heading in that direction, we wouldn’t have stopped it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
As I said \u2013 Ukraine stands between us and the bleak, some of us saw this already in 2022 and have followed the war every day since then, trying to report to keep up the interest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This is our era’s global conflict, and with major global movements come great opportunities and the risk of violent downside \u2013 nothing comes for free.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WW2 ended with Europe lying crushed under the Soviet boot and buying oxygen from the USA at five times the market price \u2013 the USA deliberately led us there together with the Soviet Union, Europe couldn’t resist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Churchill did his best, he actually wanted Poland to join the West but the USA handed Poland over to the Soviet Union.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sweden, on the other hand, did the opposite and sent back all the Balts to the Soviet Union so they could be killed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Moreover, Sweden probably considered the fines we received from the Allies after the war as voluntary reconstruction aid to Europe or something shameful like we were.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Also, look into which banks financed Hitler’s rearmament in the 1930s by the way \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n
My warning about this downside is therefore well supported by history, and the only variable so far is that Russia made the cardinal mistake of going after Ukraine first.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This is the Soviet Union’s Winter War or the USA’s Vietnam War, but with the difference that there is no opposition stabbing them in the back at the right moment \u2013 they have been given endless chances, almost to the point where one starts to suspect that the West does not want them to fail so that we return to at least a Cold War.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Vietnam was lost due to a Russian influence operation, not because the USA lost the war – that’s how toxic these operations are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Did you know that North Vietnam started the war and that they went very hard on South Vietnam after the USA left? The Vietnamese boat refugees in the 1980s were South Vietnamese trying to escape the atrocities where several million were killed by North Vietnam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
You probably didn’t know that because the same day the USA left Vietnam, calm settled over the universities and the demonstrations against the Vietnam War ceased on that day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Did you ever hear Palme or the 68 movement in Sweden go crazy over Vietnam after the USA left?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And yet so many question my descriptions of Russian subversive activities today as pure fantasies – they simply refuse to see the forest for all the trees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In order for us to come out on top in this global conflict of our time, we need to straighten out our eastern border, Ukraine wins the war, we mine said border again, and never issue a visa to a Russian again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yes, it will be like the Hunger Games, but we will build our “The Wall” and Black Watch will become Finland, the Baltics, Belarus, and Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It’s time for Africa to have its golden age and for Europe not to constantly have a threat of war hanging over it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We fought throughout the 19th century, had two devastating wars in the 20th century, and then a Cold War that only ended in the 1990s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
By the way, the USA had its golden age during the Cold War.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It’s time for us to do like the USA and isolate ourselves so that it becomes impossible to reach us – best done together with Belarus and Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I think we can afford to start looking ahead now that Ukraine seems to be catching a glimpse of dawn, but as you can see, we will be forced to make some tough decisions in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
By the way, who has talked about JEF since 2022?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This will be covered in a separate post sometime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
On Substack \u2013 there is still a chance to become subscribers and it would be valuable to me if you want to become paying subscribers. All content is posted freely to everyone, but it still takes a lot of time to put together, costs 80 SEK per month, and then you skip a meal at McDonald’s, so it’s also healthy \u2013 Johan No.1 will make you healthier too \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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