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<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\nThis article has something fun in every paragraph, the best reading of the year \ud83e\udd23\ud83e\udd23<\/p>\n\n\n\n
https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/c07vm35rryeo<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n This was not at all on my bingo card – we’ve had 9 months to understand Trump and the USA, which is quite a long time so we definitely haven’t misunderstood the situation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We also have almost three years with Biden and Sullivan’s betrayal towards Ukraine – a strategy that Trump fully embraced and reinforced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Why did the USA and Trump change course, a few suggestions \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n -The USA and Europe have realized that we need Ukraine’s technology for war, that we are hopelessly behind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -Europe is not ready for full-scale war if Ukraine falls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -China is talking about introducing a SWIFT killer and the USA has started wars for less.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -China is actually an active part in the UA War and on May 9th they chose to show it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -China recently had a meeting with the “global south” where they were open about having a lot of weapons and wanting to advance their positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -The USA probably tried to economically bring down China and almost crashed themselves in the process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -US finance has identified Russia as the next smash-and-grab target?<\/p>\n\n\n\n -The USA realized that Russia will never become their enemy’s enemy against China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This is good for Ukraine and I like that \u2013 now my constant hobbyhorse remains that we must see it in action as well BUT… the USA won’t contribute much, just sell weapons to Europe who will give them to Ukraine and start pressuring Europe to do more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The USA will probably now take on the tough rhetoric against Russia so we win the PR war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ukraine still needs to win the war but if they can now roll out their full asymmetric warfare, they will do it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As a return favor, we will assist the USA in the war against China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Did you see that Ukraine and Kazakhstan had a confidential conversation in the USA \ud83d\ude0d\ud83d\ude0d\ud83d\ude0d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Game on \u2013 I think it’s on now, those sitting on the fence just needed the USA to step in with their support to dare to choose a side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When I was in Ghana, both presidential candidates declared themselves winners and everyone held their breath. The US ambassador then got into his embassy car with the flags on the hood and went to the home of one candidate, and five minutes later the media hailed him as the winner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia has what they have, we have described it in detail, and they also have over half a million in FSB, GRU, Rosgvardia, SVR, and other various armed paramilitary units for domestic upbringing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If all the old -stan countries like Azerbaijan, Armenia, Georgia, and Kazakhstan choose Ukraine and the West, Russia doesn’t stand a chance to stop it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And if regions in Russia start declaring their freedom and storming provincial headquarters, Russia is helpless.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The sh1tland would collapse within months when this kicks off \u2013 and that’s Ukraine’s plan, we know that \ud83d\ude0d<\/p>\n\n\n\n USA\/Biden\/Sullivan followed the USA’s old line during the Cold War that Russia absolutely must not fall, and Trump adopted that line but was even worse for nine long months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The USA and Trump know very well the consequences of what they have done now, and what did Trump mean by “Ukraine may be able to do even more”…<\/p>\n\n\n\n IT’S GAME ON NOW, RUSSIAN BASTARDS \ud83d\udca5\ud83d\udca5\ud83d\udca5<\/p>\n\n\n\n By the way, don’t think we got this for free \u2013 the whole of Europe will soon have to provide aircraft and ships against China \ud83d\ude04<\/p>\n\n\n\n Back to the world before Trump at the UN – do you see what Russia is doing right now?<\/p>\n\n\n\n They are retaliating softly against Europe \ud83d\ude04<\/p>\n\n\n\n When Ukraine sends drone swarms into Russia, Russia sends drones and aircraft into Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When Ukraine closes all airports, Russia closes our airports. The costs for airlines skyrocket after such an action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The purpose is, of course, to create the feeling that if Ukraine stops, our lives will be easier \u2013 Russia does this in frustration and hopes that we also get frustrated and return to Biden’s and Sullivan’s old USA line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n What Ukraine has now rolled out over Russia harms them \u2013 it’s just sad that Ukraine didn’t get to do it before the summer of 2025 when Russia was at its weakest, but “better late than never” as they say in boot camp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For those who have read about Russian subversive activities for a few years now, you have known that Russia has tentacles into Islamists, right-wing extremists, and left-wing extremists, and that the Palestinian demonstrations are a bit of a modern Cold War classic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n You have also known since winter that this summer there would be unrest in our European cities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Right now, Palestinian demonstrators have destroyed Milan, the UK had a good demonstration that was immediately hijacked by the Russians, and the weekend after, there was a “remove Starmer” demonstration that turned violent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Netherlands is shaken by protests against migration, and in France, gangs have taken to the streets and are burning down Paris suburbs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In Sweden, we have a fairly high level of gang warfare and Palestinian demonstrators harass members of parliament to and from work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The most obvious thing since the turn of the millennium is that Islamists will soon mobilize to meet the racists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When the broad masses join in, any government in Europe will have problems, and in the UK, they are already there – now we just need a bit of gang riots, a Palestinian demonstration going off track, and then the Islamists besieging a couple of churches, and it will probably turn into a full-blown situation with some police officers in the middle of a surging crowd \ud83d\ude04<\/p>\n\n\n\n That’s what Russia is planning, and my laughing emoji above is not meant seriously \u2013 in the UK, it’s serious now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Those of you who laugh heartily at my warnings about escalation have probably noticed the amount of unannounced military exercises that Europe is currently engaging in. Since “the best is to lay low” was the favorite a few months ago, I wonder if you are now against all the unannounced exercises in Europe and that half of Europe is now promising to shoot down Russian aircraft if they come again?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Or have you started to change your mind and it’s good now, there’s nothing easier than being reactive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia is now testing where the line between Article 4 and Article 5 lies, they have understood that it is stretchable and subjective, but they also understand that it can go the other way if they are unlucky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n What ingredients are missing in the Russian soup simmering on the stove?<\/p>\n\n\n\n -Operation to turn off the lights for Europe – there we are helpless and very high probability of power outages this winter. Even if we try, we can’t stop it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It’s under Article 5, can be denied by Russia, and we prefer not to invoke Article 5 so expect a lot of technical faults and unexplained fires when it starts to get cold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -a financial black swan, the stock market starts to rise in deep red and then Russia will provide a black swan for Europe, ideally if capital starts to flow from Europe to the USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This is such a low-hanging fruit that I don’t think they will miss it – also full deniability and under Article 5 on that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n -Expose Poland’s bluff with “we will shoot down anything flying into our territory”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n They are helpless in the next 6-9 months against drone swarms period, and if Russia wants to embarrass the Poles, they can. If you have prepared for yesterday’s war twice in a row, you have.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It won’t trigger Article 5 anyway \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n -An Estonian rebel movement seeking autonomy in a certain area and rumors of little green men in the eastern forests of the Baltics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It will definitely come if we are not already there, just that we don’t hear anything. We have sent our Special Operations Forces there anyway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Since the last thing we want is to invoke Article 5, we will definitely come here, but Russia will stop short of a full invasion, which would then trigger Article 5, which they also do not want.<\/p>\n\n\n\n “all we need to do is continue to support, and Ukraine will win”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Great \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n How do you think our willingness to support looks in an acute financial crisis when we run out of money?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Or if we get new governments that are anti-Ukraine disguised in budget discipline and peace movements?<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Netherlands and the Czech Republic are up next, and in France, Le Pen’s party is breathing down Macron’s neck.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And Keir Starmer’s Labour is busy avoiding votes of no confidence or new elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The ironic thing is that the full asymmetric war that we denied Ukraine when they could have easily won is the full asymmetric war from Russia that is now washing over us – karma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As I said – Ukraine stands between us and a lot of trouble, so supporting them to a victory is the best we can do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I don’t think we can overstate what an enormous morale boost this was for the Ukrainian forces and what an enormous PR crash Putin Trump has caused.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Will he even survive this, Swan Lake in black and white on a TV near us in a few months?<\/p>\n\n\n\n On Substack – there is still a chance to become subscribers and it is valuable to me if you want to become paying ones. All content is posted freely to everyone, but it still takes a lot of time to put together, costs 80 SEK per month, and then you skip a meal at McDonald’s, so it’s also healthy – Johan No.1 makes you healthier too \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Continued appreciation for the site johanno1.se is always gratefully received, and there is a QR code for the purpose that you absolutely must not miss as we have costs, and there is a donation page with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations we have learned over time are legitimate and dare to donate to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you liked the post – please share it in your channels and above all, feel free to share the English version with people you think may appreciate posts and comments they have not been able to read before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n