First of all, they were discovered by mistake when testing some anti-drone equipment, and the soldiers saw that there were 15 drones circling over the base located in eastern Belgium. One can imagine the panic reaction of the responsible officer \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yes, they flew across the entire Belgium undetected as they were shipborne, fifteen of them across the whole country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then the drones flew over to Germany and shut down an airport, right on time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/munich-drones-europe-belgium-military-base-russia-threat-nato<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Take a look at the distance from eastern Belgium to Munich.<\/p>\n\n\n\n These are not FPV drones, they fly over long distances and must be some kind of reconnaissance\/attack drones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Belgium has zero control over its military installations – truly unexpected (not), but at the same time, I find it hard to understand how radar and visual observations completely missed 15 large drones. All defense forces across Europe know that Russia has been actively flying drones over us in the past year, and we are supposed to have both military and civilian radar coverage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 15 drones simultaneously, what does that tell us – now I am making a very important point that I hope does not escape you; if you want to fly drones over a Belgian military\/air base to scout and log targets, do you do it with 1-2 drones or 15?<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you want to scare the civilian population, do you fly drones over a military base in eastern Belgium or perhaps rather over some city center and circle around with a few drones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n To me, this looks like a final exam test of mass drone swarm operations, they are shipborne and the Russians can keep 15 of them in the air simultaneously without us detecting them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n What happens the day they are 40-50-100 with warheads and dive into our frontline fighters, missile depots, radar stations, and aerial refueling aircraft at any airbase?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Obviously, Europe has no control except at airports where they are detected due to the security routines where they are used to checking for birds – but Europe can’t shoot down more than a few drones yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n A larger swarm could then hit their targets with a 95% success rate, and a frontline fighter does not need a direct hit to be grounded. In a first strike, a ship could engage a large portion of the aircraft parked at a selected airbase in Europe. Just like Ukraine did with the Russian strategic bomber.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If you look at where our fighter jets are based in Europe, there are not overly many airbases to choose from – maybe 10-15.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It doesn’t take a German eco-friendly military genius to understand that for Russia, it would be a fully feasible operation to strike simultaneously against these – they can do it if they want.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If I were Europe right now, I would be so damn nervous because we have made it very clear that this is not Article 5 to allow Russia to train and field-test this new capability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Then when it’s time to invoke Article 5, we won’t have any air force left after our version of Pearl Harbor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I don’t know why the Belgians were so open about the violation, but in Sweden, we have had drones over the Karlskrona naval base and in Denmark over their military installations – how many have they kept secret. Norway, Denmark, Germany, Sweden, Poland, Belgium in a week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The first thing we heard was that Germany had 500 observations up to K2, a leaked secret report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But no one has told us that it’s drone swarms, I thought until now that it was just individual reconnaissance drones but many times. That’s how the discussion went on johanno1.se and no one had perceived it differently there – Johan No.1 feels thoroughly fooled \ud83d\ude21<\/p>\n\n\n\n You don’t hear from many countries because they keep silent – it seems the pattern is to first carry out the exercise against a military target and then steer over the cloud to an airport, and then everyone exclaims “they are disrupting our airports”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n At least that’s how it has been presented to me in recent weeks, that Russia has been trying to disrupt our passenger flights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Apparently, that wasn’t the case now when the Belgians said too much – it seems quite clear that Russia has now practiced drone swarms against military targets in Europe, with drones that can carry a significant payload.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There are 1000 ships in the shadow fleet, and Europe has no control over them – they are lined up along the coasts of Europe right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/omni.se\/a\/QMd7dq<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n This drone capability comes in a container and the targets are likely pre-programmed, maybe there is AI as well. It would be quite clever if they flew to a fixed coordinate and then autonomously searched for pre-programmed target types?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Any ship can carry 2-3 containers and two operators with a computer. This could be on hundreds of ships today without us knowing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Take a look at this, 700 drones in a container airborne in a minute – “the SWARM” \ud83d\ude36<\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/www.youtube-nocookie.com\/embed\/YxlcFnNmlCE?rel=0&autoplay=0&showinfo=0&enablejsapi=0<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n China could have provided this without breaking a sweat – now it was FPV drones but the same concept applies to all, at least Shaheds can come in containers and be fired off vertically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia has started using autonomous loitering drones extensively at the frontlines, so it’s already scaled up with autonomous AI drones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia also has proof that we cannot defend ourselves against the drone weapon yet after the tests in Poland, and now over other countries in Europe – in a year we may be able to defend ourselves, but today we stand there watching them, if we even see them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We already know that Russia will escalate and that Europe has no defense, but for me, a strong force posture would have been better than this fiasco – we retaliate with something we can do so that Russia starts to feel uneasy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Instead, Finland was forced to release the ship they boarded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If there is a Russian first strike, then our air force, missile depots, missile carriers, and other assets that we would use for retaliation will be neutralized as far as Russia can.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We are reactive, and we will not invoke Article 5 unless there is such an operation so that Russia knows they can strike first and if they have a significant impact – then Europe will be left without any possibility of retaliation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The USA will be preoccupied with everyone who has been competing until now to hate the USA intensely – they will be fully engaged in Asia and trying to save Israel from being overrun. The USA has just added more capability to MENA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The USA and Ukraine may already know that there will be a new Pearl Harbor, that’s why Zelensky is so jittery and the USA has started to threaten Russia?<\/p>\n\n\n By the way, you haven’t seen the gangs yet, or the saboteurs who have infiltrated. They are held back until dusk, and there are many of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So, the EU granted 400,000 Russians Schengen visas in 2024, so everything Russia wanted to infiltrate has been brought into the EU – and now, when you see the level of drone violations, do you think they have infiltrated GRU operators in large numbers or not?<\/p>\n\n\n\n I’m not joking when I say a gang member + manpads near an airbase, they exist. When our top aircraft are about to fly sharp missions, it’s enough to have a gang member on a roof within 4km of the airport to shoot down an F35 – all flights are vulnerable during takeoff and landing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Many are probably deceived by the West’s passivity thinking that it’s not a threat we see – our governments must know what they are doing, so there is no danger, and Johan No.1 screams for fun and for a quick payment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The problem is that we have no defense against drones, so the passivity is because we can’t do anything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n FRA is increasing readiness at all its installations (from MXT on johanno1.se), and this is regarding targets in Sweden that are far below F35 or missile arsenals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/omni.se\/fra-hojer-beredskapen-ar-oroliga-for-sabotage\/a\/4B5zn9<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n If Omfall B or whatever the hell it was is highly plausible because we can’t defend ourselves against a first strike from the shadow fleet – and we also can’t combat 2500 Gerand drones per month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If our aircraft and the few missiles we have left are destroyed on the ground, what do we have left to retaliate with when we decide to take on Russia?<\/p>\n\n\n\n If we start rolling the mechs eastward, we will also get a first test of whether we have learned the 3D warfare of 2025 – I don’t think so, but time will tell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n How many believe that Europe still has the will to conquer Moscow if our Pearl Harbor turns deadly and the first ground confrontation leaves 20 mech brigades burning and bleeding because they still don’t understand warfare in 2025?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Every damn country will have two parties on each side of the centerline screaming for peace and peppering the parliaments with votes of no confidence, it’s already happening in France and the UK is next.<\/p>\n\n\n\n France;<\/p>\n\n\n\n https:\/\/omni.se\/oppositionen-kraver-macrons-avgang\/a\/xmG8wn<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Is the will still there to recapture the Baltics after such a blow?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Magyar has already told us that with his drone battalion, he can take out all top aircraft in Europe at the bases – are we really not listening, are we still so naive and arrogant, I don’t want to believe it, but everything indicates that it is so \ud83d\ude10<\/p>\n\n\n\n I think the following is a good description of how it could look, China is infinitely ahead in this, and RU naturally has a few surprises in store – an HMMRW blast-protected jeep with a small package for 48 autonomous AI drones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Cheap, many, and already deployed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I wonder if the “loitering munitions” that RU is increasingly using, surely over 1000 daily, could come from these types of Chinese platforms?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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