{"id":3200,"date":"2025-10-29T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T06:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/ukraine-daily-update-october-29-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-10-30T06:52:45","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T05:52:45","slug":"ukraine-daily-update-october-29-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/ukraine-daily-update-october-29-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine daily update October 29, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

When all eyes are on Pokrovsk, Russia is well on its way to neutralize the area east of Kupiansk and the city of Kupiansk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

According to my post last Friday, Lyman, Siversk, Kostiantynivka, Pokrovsk, Pokrovske, and Stepnohirsk do not look better, and in Lyman, things are moving (backwards) fast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ukraine will never be able to retake this area by force, the only way to regain the territory is if Russia leaves all occupied areas and goes home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What is Europe’s plan here since everyone in Europe says that Ukraine should have a “just peace”?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

How – a just peace is surely to regain Luhansk, do you think Europe is planning to recapture Luhansk for Ukraine?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I guess many leaders in Europe don’t have a plan, but they believe that a ceasefire is a first step in the right direction – once we get there, the rest will be resolved, kind of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since Ukraine is now retreating everywhere and is about to lose several dominant terrain sections – what do we think will happen next?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Will they continue to retreat, and if so, how far?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Russia now enjoys China’s digital battlefield, which is evidently putting Ukraine under intense pressure – is this digital capability, by Russian standards, a rather luxurious ability on the rise or on the decline?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to MXT daily reports, the FPV drones have increased by a thousand per day in recent months, and according to UA reports, there is a lot of loitering ammunition in the air now, which are autonomous “attack drones” – both are bad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If the digital battlefield and China’s kill-chain are working now – is the latter also working?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A month ago, I wrote something like “Pokrovsk will fall in the future” and received a lot of pushback, including Kenneth Gregg’s post that his battalion in Myrnohrad was doing well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kenneth Gregg is silent today, isn’t he?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Kupiansk, the Ukrainian mechanized counterattacks failed, and the town has actually fallen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At Pokrovsk, UA has been engaged in a month-long battle around the Russian breakthrough northeast of Pokrovsk, and it is still ongoing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We who are pro-Ukraine have a bias and do not want to talk about setbacks, but the situation at the fronts does not look good at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is so bad that France is probably starting to consider sending in the Foreign Legion if necessary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The reason MUST be that China is handling the RU digital battlefield and kill-chain because RU ground forces are horse-drawn artillery with hepatitis and turtle tanks, mixed with a bit of scooter shooting and crutch shooting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One or two crutch shooters have been seen attacking across the fields as well, without crutches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Not many discuss this split, and we get stuck in the idea that the Russian military is close to collapse – it is probably not a very fun collection today apart from the priority units and just as poorly as we hear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

First of all, RU is holding back mechanized units, but so is Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But above the violent offensives of crutch and crutch shooters, thousands of drones hover, and a Chinese eye behind large bottle-bottom glasses sees everything that moves – nothing escapes the little multitasking Chinese.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest technology meets Tannenberg, but Ukraine cannot combat these Chinese multitasking bottle-bottom glasses, only the crutch shooters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We will look at what is happening in action, and Ukraine is currently retreating everywhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This recently flew by about some planned Russian coup – could that have been what made Ukraine so positive earlier?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We can assume they are trying this, and the candidate presented is likely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Now we have a pretty big event around the corner, and that is the Trump – Xi meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The tip seems to be that there will be a trade deal – the USA says that China has given in, and China says that the USA has given in, so both can declare themselves winners forever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The only way for Europe to achieve peace is if China stops supporting Russia, and they will only do that if forced – a trade deal is not exactly coercive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The only way to get Russia to stop killing children is if they cannot continue because they have no ammunition, and they will have it until China stops supplying them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

How does China’s digital battlefield fare against UA qualified mechanized forces?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UA failed in Kupiansk, and a couple of counterattacks northeast of Pokrovsk have failed with significant losses – do you think it was the crutch shooters or the crutch shooters who found their inner Viking and an extra magazine?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Or a little Chinese with bottle-bottom glasses who has a whole palette of indirect capabilities and sees everything that moves?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So how does Ukraine stop Russia?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When the area east of Oskil is cleared of the Russian bastards, a lot of Russian brigades are released to engage in other activities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I don’t think Ukraine will be able to stop Russia as long as China can operate their digital battlefield. Rather, the pressure on the frontline units will increase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USA and Trump, you can try to figure out – Venezuela is to be leveled, and Russia is bringing in LV and anti-ship missiles there because China is supporting them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Venezuela is a problem for the USA because China has entered the country – do you need more evidence than Maduro standing at the podium showing off his new Huawei phone that he urged everyone to buy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So the USA is trying to kill two birds with one stone – overthrow Maduro and install a USA-friendly figure who gives them first dibs on the oil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But in Ukraine, RU should be treated with kid gloves – a very big difference and not consistent at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USA is economically pressuring China, but there will be a trade deal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The only thing that has really happened here is that Ukraine has stopped caring about what the USA\/Trump says about the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Probably Europe has also stopped listening to the USA – Trump probably did not approve of the French buildup with troops.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Ukraine had the drive in offensives that we see from RU, we would say that they were on their way to winning the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

RU’s offensive is not diminishing, and UA says they will increase the pace in the future – RU has more gas, and they have had a sustained offensive since the fall of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

How do we break the trend – that is the question all European leaders are asking themselves right now?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Or is war fatigue spreading, and our leaders are either eager for a ceasefire and eternal peace or are preoccupied with domestic politics?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Or are they like Kier Starmer on their way out and have other things to think about – a “lame duck” period?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We know that Ukraine will fight on until the last FPV drone, but there is a risk that we will actually get there if Europe does not start making some tough decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Foreign Legion is a step in the right direction – Macron can be trusted a bit.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

When all eyes are on Pokrovsk, Russia is well on its way to neutralize the area east of Kupiansk and 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