{"id":3399,"date":"2025-11-28T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-28T06:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/ukraine-daily-update-28-november-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-11-29T09:42:50","modified_gmt":"2025-11-29T08:42:50","slug":"ukraine-daily-update-28-november-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/ukraine-daily-update-28-november-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine daily update 28 November 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I have the impression that Europe&#8217;s leaders are now taking a tough stance against the USA and Trump&#8217;s more than ugly attempts to favor Putin, and that Putin now cannot agree to any ceasefire\/peace plan because of this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rubio has even come out and said that defense guarantees can be discussed after Ukraine signs the peace agreement &#8211; this is directly ridiculous, and then he was the adult in the room but evidently career before integrity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!qMJH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a29daf0-c03e-4e45-9550-09401f4b379f_828x725.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!qMJH!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a29daf0-c03e-4e45-9550-09401f4b379f_828x725.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:408px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>What has also happened since the last post is that a conversation between Witkoff and RU has been leaked, where it is very clear that Witkoff acts as a support function to Russia and helps torpedo all of Zelensky&#8217;s attempts to reach Trump, coaching Putin to succeed much better. Presumably with Trump&#8217;s approval.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!cyTA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb56a49a4-abfa-455b-bca0-51ddbc35921c_828x802.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!cyTA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb56a49a4-abfa-455b-bca0-51ddbc35921c_828x802.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:407px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Witkoff has known when important events are supposed to happen and has leaked to Russia so they can act before or position themselves advantageously.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example &#8211; &#8220;We can give you Donbass if you conquer it&#8221; and then a major Russian offensive begins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And then Trump says &#8211; &#8220;well, Russia has taken it so then they just get it fairly.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They have simply agreed beforehand on how to work against Europe and Ukraine to achieve the goal that Russia should profit in Ukraine. How this is good for the USA, we can continue to ponder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!m19D!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd26d7a2f-763a-4dcb-abd7-bc3f97d9c93f_828x330.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!m19D!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd26d7a2f-763a-4dcb-abd7-bc3f97d9c93f_828x330.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:406px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>While the USA refuses to meet with Kaja Kallas now, they are so angry with the EU, which is perfect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!fG8q!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a0d4ea7-b131-4b46-be39-fb26a33c9ba9_828x1300.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!fG8q!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a0d4ea7-b131-4b46-be39-fb26a33c9ba9_828x1300.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:461px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>We already have all the evidence we need for what we suspected last spring before Trump made a U-turn in the summer that the USA is playing a double game with Russia, and that Europe and Ukraine are not part of the closed circle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden did the same before &#8211; had a direct line to Putin where he leaked important information, and the only time Ukraine kept quiet was with Kursk so they caught Putin off guard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But that ruined Trump&#8217;s bargaining chip anyway later after Biden also didn&#8217;t want to mention it at all, and it was rumored that the USA was furious about it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Zelensky has told us what it looked like from 2022 to 2025, and Trump is so transparent that now we get almost everything in real-time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The USA is just like the bank, not our friend &#8211; we have four years of this now, and then one occasion where Trump fooled us this summer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Europe refused to listen to everyone saying that the right strategy is to lie low &#8211; if they haven&#8217;t risen, they are at least on their way to standing up now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Macron was smart &#8211; &#8220;the day there is a ceasefire, we send our brigades into Ukraine.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This crashed the RU strategy completely &#8211; golf claps to Macron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With a bit of luck, we are past a ceasefire now, at least Kasparov went crazy about it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-bluesky-social wp-block-embed-bluesky-social\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:oyzatboanf3omf2eievuwzwd\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m6ha25f4es2w\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreib3tetwaedukwibgtgosb47edrobke3xwxbjp7m4jjxjphac55igm\"><p lang=\"sv\">Galet \ud83d\ude33x.com\/oko_gora_tg\/&#8230;<\/p>&mdash; <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:oyzatboanf3omf2eievuwzwd?ref_src=embed\">Johan No.1 (@johanno1.bsky.social)<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:oyzatboanf3omf2eievuwzwd\/post\/3m6ha25f4es2w?ref_src=embed\">2025-11-25T11:22:53.512Z<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>But as has been said more than once in previous posts &#8211; it does not solve the overarching problem that Ukraine is fighting against Russia, North Korea, and China simultaneously.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the summer, I have gone through the fronts in my posts, so this is not news.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine showed tactical adaptation about a month ago and managed to hold the fronts together, but it required them to use their offensive strategic reserve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Europe needs to do more &#8211; much more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some believe that Europe is planning for more severe explosive measures against Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!5QLz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc0f4e98c-58e6-4cd9-bab6-3268319eaf9d_828x1184.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!5QLz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc0f4e98c-58e6-4cd9-bab6-3268319eaf9d_828x1184.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:494px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I have been screaming about the USA since 2022 with a break this summer when Trump seemed to be heading in the right direction, and now we are back at the baseline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In another forum, one was torn to pieces if criticizing Biden, but Trump seems okay to criticize &#8211; completely unable to see the USA&#8217;s red line since 2022, so it&#8217;s good that Europe&#8217;s leaders can throw off ideological blinders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump&#8217;s all tariffs, which I still believe were an attempt to trigger a crash in a country other than the USA, were also exciting &#8211; it ended with Ukraine getting some but Russia none.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Haven&#8217;t we long passed the point where Europe should stand up, or else we engage in self-harm? I think so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After all, Europe&#8217;s leaders have the most important task of looking after the best interests of Europe&#8217;s citizens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We must not forget China, but here too, the USA\/Trump strategy does not seem to be what I seriously thought it was, and I am very surprised right now, bordering on bewildered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump has just bowed to China and reprimanded Japan for trying to provide Taiwan with some form of security guarantees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Taiwan is not doing well right now, and the risk of China taking action has increased exponentially.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This should send shockwaves through the entire West, including the USA, but I have not followed the aftermath.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!TT9q!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff73d47aa-8340-41d5-ae76-db33674ffe2d_828x902.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!TT9q!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff73d47aa-8340-41d5-ae76-db33674ffe2d_828x902.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:466px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In these posts, we have also discussed that Europe may lack what China holds back, and as always, it turned out to be true &#8211; that Johan No.1 is on top of things.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>50 companies in Europe have so far had their production disrupted in this way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!wpQZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe607820b-be53-4663-a728-3fa5772f196c_828x1095.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!wpQZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe607820b-be53-4663-a728-3fa5772f196c_828x1095.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:482px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;ll say it again &#8211; this could very well be a coordinated attack against Europe from the USA, China, and Russia where they are trying to bring Europe under a Russian Cold War boot and then the USA sells us security at five times the price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s hard to see a common denominator other than this &#8211; they are pulling in the same direction on that issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Europe tried all spring to approach China, but we were rebuffed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia plans to continue waging war against us just below Article 5, and Moldova is a very good candidate along with little green men in the Baltics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The USA has been very hard on us throughout the war, I think, but it has escalated under Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, no one wants a return to a Europe that colonizes the world, but we have been submissive enough to harm ourselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China seems to have structural financial problems within the country that could bring them down &#8211; if the right buttons are pressed and we in the West unite, maybe we can economically bring down China?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia is busy with Ukraine, but since we have done absolutely nothing, they have calmly prepared for phase 2, which is to go after us &#8211; now everyone with a bit of insight says this, not just Johan No.1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hamas terrorist cells in Europe that Israel gave us were unsettling, where mass murders were planned.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Poland and the Baltics have war-preparing sabotage in the country and use the term hybrid warfare themselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia tried to politically bring down Moldova and Romania but failed &#8211; no one probably believes they have given up these attempts, everything is a few murders away from escalating, and GRU kills when needed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In previous posts, we have shown that the Baltics have barely built any defense lines yet, and now this osintar came to the same conclusion &#8211; when I looked, there were 40km ditches.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-bluesky-social wp-block-embed-bluesky-social\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:oyzatboanf3omf2eievuwzwd\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m6lv4zyzd22d\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreibfkk3fmrhw2e2f6q7so7gau2ohm6cr2jgk3bvaeo4oi6ofgqitjy\"><p lang=\"sv\">Gary Kasparovx.com\/aseyevstanis&#8230;<\/p>&mdash; <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:oyzatboanf3omf2eievuwzwd?ref_src=embed\">Johan No.1 (@johanno1.bsky.social)<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:oyzatboanf3omf2eievuwzwd\/post\/3m6lv4zyzd22d?ref_src=embed\">2025-11-27T07:50:58.164Z<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, we are extremely unprepared as we do not master drone weapons or the warfare of 2025, but do you know what is even worse?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A ceasefire in Ukraine, or God forbid that Ukraine throws in the towel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Europe is approaching the point where we will intervene, and that is welcome \u2013 exactly how this will look, we do not yet know, but troops in the Baltics, Belarus border in Ukraine, and some kind of no-fly zone\/LV zone in western Ukraine are the most likely scenarios in addition to SOF in various places we will never find out about.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keir Starmer has ongoing existential problems, but Merz dares and Macron is very French even though his domestic problems always start as soon as he opens up to Putin, correlation 1 on that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Nordics are still on the right track, and we have had several sensible statements recently &#8211; we are showing our teeth and the claws are out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!8wal!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c9574eb-6479-4a6e-ae61-6149af4ecbb2_828x824.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!8wal!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c9574eb-6479-4a6e-ae61-6149af4ecbb2_828x824.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:399px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>We need to avoid a scenario where Ukraine cannot hold out and accepts any peace, because then it will be too late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If Europe can balance on this fine line, this might work, but we need to be able to read the room correctly because Zelensky is not Gandalf and cannot handle everything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I am satisfied with how we have confronted the absolutely shameless attempts by the USA to give Russia a rigged victory in negotiations &#8211; Europe deserves top marks for that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I am also pleased that all those who have constantly advocated in comments under my posts on all platforms that Europe&#8217;s low-key approach was the only right one have now been proven completely wrong. I don&#8217;t think they care the least bit, but now they advocate for this new approach instead &#8211; being reactive is easy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Already today, the foreign legion is somewhere in eastern Poland training with Ukrainian instructors for the war of 2025, and they are the only unit that can deploy quickly without a lot of political (non) decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We may have avoided 1938, but we have a whole series of very difficult decisions ahead of us where we will have to sacrifice lives, but if we solve the Russia problem once and for all, we will hit many birds with one stone and, above all, de-escalate the global conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I believe that China needs Russia to keep Europe in check, and if Russia turns inward, we have built our modern Maginot Line from northern Finland to eastern Ukraine, and then when we send our capabilities to Asia, China will have a tough time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then there will be a shift, and they will probably turn against Russia instead and reclaim what they lost to them in the 1800s and then some.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I maintain that if Europe brings back manufacturing from China\/Asia and then turns towards Africa with FAIR trade agreements where we get the natural resources we need and they, in the first step, gain access to our internal market and then integrate with us step by step, Europe and Africa will emerge as an economic spearhead in the next 50 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The winners will be Europe-Africa, and it will not be aid but an absolutely enormous market for Europe for our products and an absolutely enormous market for Africa for the natural resources they have. Then we will rebuild our welfare again, and the countries that chose us will build up their countries into modern wonders in a relatively short time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It has apparently already begun, posted in 205 on johanno1.se &#8211; does Johan No.1 have it under control, he wonders himself now, the meeting was also in Luanda, which is in Angola, the country I always talk about, right? \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have a separate post coming up about Angola, but if a company wants a bright future, Africa is a very good suggestion, and Angola is even better.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/eu-african-union-summit-angola-critical-minerals-security-belt-and-road-global-gateway-initiative\/a-74888365\">https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/eu-african-union-summit-angola-critical-minerals-security-belt-and-road-global-gateway-initiative\/a-74888365<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You can be sure of one thing, and that is that Russia and China do not like this, so Europe also needs to be prepared to lend out some SOF to clear out Chinese and Wagner, but one should not underestimate the various African countries&#8217; own abilities to clean up the mess, they just need a viable alternative to choose instead.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I have the impression that Europe&#8217;s leaders are now taking a tough stance against the USA and Trump&#8217;s more than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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