{"id":4125,"date":"2026-03-01T10:12:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-01T09:12:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/usa-israel-and-iran-russian-losses\/"},"modified":"2026-03-02T06:35:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T05:35:21","slug":"usa-israel-and-iran-russian-losses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/usa-israel-and-iran-russian-losses\/","title":{"rendered":"USA, Israel, and Iran + Russian losses"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The conflicts between Israel + USA against Iran continue. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and several Iranian leaders have been killed in an attack, and Iran has promised “an unprecedented revenge operation.” Iran has managed to attack several targets with its Shahed drones, both American bases and purely civilian targets. At the same time, both Israel and the USA have struck several targets in Iran. It is difficult to get a clear picture of what both sides have actually achieved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death is celebrated by many, while reports also emerge from Iran of people mourning. It is a great success for Israel and the USA, but one may wonder if it will have any significant impact. Apparently, three new leaders have already been appointed to take over after him. The risk is that his fanatical followers may now see him as a martyr. Iran, of course, stands no chance against the USA and Israel if they are truly determined, but on the other hand, we know that religious fanatics can be willing to do almost anything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Once again, Trump exceeded his powers as president and attacked without congressional approval, even though four from each side were informed beforehand. There will probably be no direct consequences this time either. At the same time, he is walking a fine line. Even though virtually all Republicans still support him (many argue that they dare not do otherwise because they know that Trump has the power to ensure they lose in the next election), he has now angered several of his MAGA supporters. One of the fundamental ideas behind America First has been that the USA should not engage in wars that do not concern them. American soldiers are now at risk, but the threat level has also increased for all Americans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attack on Iran is also an attack on Russia. Iran has (mainly in the past) assisted Russia with Shaheds and other equipment. How much they have delivered recently is hard to say, as Russia seems to have ramped up its own production significantly, but regardless, the deliveries that do occur are unlikely to continue. However, the hardest blow to Russia is probably more psychological. They now seem to be losing yet another ally, and once again, it turns out that it is not worth entering into security agreements with Russia; they do not lift a finger when their help is truly needed. This is, of course, positive for Ukraine. With a bit of luck, we may also see a decrease in the nightly UAV attacks in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the Iranian people deserve to be liberated and the current regime violates human rights, the war will still be classified as an unprovoked illegal attack. The UN is unlikely to be able to do anything, and the USA will, of course, veto any actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is much speculation about why Trump is entering this war.
Trump and the USA are entering the war with the justification that Iran is a threat to all (which they, of course, to some extent are right about) and that they must not acquire nuclear weapons. At the same time, that threat would have been averted with the previous attack. Trump came out strongly against those who dared to suggest that the attack had not had a significant impact. At the same time, reports emerged that Iran was actually not very close to developing functional weapons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Could it be that Trump feels compassion for the Iranian people? I find it hard to believe, even though he suggests it himself when he urges them to rise up. It is much easier to defeat a country when you have the majority of the population on your side. Those who support Trump prefer that aspect, but regardless of whether it is a genuine reason or not, the result of a free and democratic Iran would be a tremendous success, primarily for the population but also for global security. Depending on how the war ends, we may also draw conclusions from this. If there is a settlement with a new regime in Iran without much change, it is a sign that it was not so important. Not much has changed in Venezuela. The same regime continues to rule, although they have released many political prisoners, so some positive outcome did come out of it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Is it that Trump wants to go hard against Russia’s allies to reduce their influence? Not impossible at all. Regardless of whether one believes that Trump wants to end the war in Ukraine for his own gain or because he cares about the Ukrainian people, it is, of course, a significant advantage to weaken Russia. This increases the chances of peace agreements in the long run but also gives the USA a much better negotiating position, even in terms of economic deals. Russia is rich in natural resources, and the worse off they are, the better deals the USA can get. Even though opinions may differ on Trump and his economic knowledge, we can be quite sure that money is high on his agenda. (Selling golden shoes has proven that he is willing to go to great lengths for the opportunity to make money).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump surely also wants everyone to see that he has full control over the USA and at the same time demonstrate that they have the world’s strongest military force that can strike hard anywhere. This gives them an advantage in all forms of negotiations and agreements with other countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Opinion poll numbers in the USA ahead of the midterm elections are slowly deteriorating. Starting a war is a good way to shift focus away from Epstein, rising consumer prices, etc. In this case, he will also ensure strong support from Israel and the Israelis living in the USA. But as I wrote above, it may actually turn out to be a foolish move as it does not align with what MAGA envisioned with America First. Congress is also upset as they have once again been overridden.
For my part, who really does not want to see Trump in power, I hope he digs his own grave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Another aspect is oil and oil prices. If this continues for several weeks while maritime transport at the Strait of Hormuz remains halted, prices will rise. This benefits both the USA and Russia but will lead to generally increased prices. Johan No.1 might even argue that this is exactly what the USA wants, to crash the economy to emerge as the victor. The conspiracy theorist who believes that the USA is serving Russia’s interests might even dare to suggest that this has been orchestrated with Putin. Oil production in Russia is not doing well, and the only way for Russia to earn more money is through higher oil prices.
Personally, I do not believe that Trump actually benefits from rising oil prices. There is a risk that it will also impact gasoline prices in the USA. This would diminish the chances of a successful midterm election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Just like with Venezuela, I have mixed feelings. The chances of the Iranian people achieving their liberation have significantly increased, and Russia has been weakened at the same time. Khamenei got what he deserved. On the other hand, one can question whether it is really good for the USA to unilaterally (or in this case, together with Israel) decide to attack another country? I would have preferred to see Khamenei brought before the International Court in The Hague and an attack on Iran sanctioned through the UN. Now, the UN is weak and cannot achieve anything on its own, but should the USA be the world’s police force and do as they please whenever they want?

The war has greatly deteriorated the security situation, and some even discuss that the risk of a third world war has increased (although I do not believe we will end up there). It is easy to sit on the sidelines and think that it is entirely right to intervene and overthrow a country, but soldiers and civilians die on both sides.
War is a tragedy and should be avoided for as long as possible.
I ask myself whether this war was really necessary and worth the price it will cost. I have no answer at this time.
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Russian losses in Ukraine<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Once again a large number of UAVs. High numbers for artillery and soft vehicles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n