{"id":4147,"date":"2026-03-04T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T06:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/reflection-anniversary-ukraine-march-4-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-03-05T06:47:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T05:47:58","slug":"reflection-anniversary-ukraine-march-4-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/reflection-anniversary-ukraine-march-4-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Reflection Anniversary Ukraine March 4, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Big things are happening – the fourth anniversary of the Ukraine war has passed, Ukraine is flaming Russian military industry and the counterattacks are very successful. On top of that, Iran is out as a support which will probably be noticed quite soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attack on Iran went well as we guessed it would in the previous post about the attack on Iran – it was needed anyway since Iran is the same destructive hydra in MENA as Russia is for us, and all sensible assessors stand behind this, and the USA has done the right thing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The guess that Iran’s leaders were the archetype of those who choose to go down in a big fireworks display was excellent, but what we haven’t seen yet is that they have activated all terrorist cells and paid the gangs and criminal clans in cash for a lot of terrorist acts – there will be a very dramatic death in the West in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A bit hard to see that it would surprise the USA, so maybe a move from them to play that card?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now, essentially only the ground invasion remains when the IRGC has been weakened a bit more, which will be taken care of by the citizens in Iran with the help of SOF from Israel and the USA, and if necessary, the USA has its Marine Corps ready, but the hard work must be done by the oppressed people in Iran, that is clear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Exactly when is impossible to say, but the citizens should be able to handle the regime since the country is fed up with oppression. There are many rumors right now, but some say that the regular army is a bit on the fence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It will be like breaking a fistful of spaghetti when it happens – a sudden collapse that spreads throughout the country over a few days and the usual exodus of the elite to Turkey and Russia. They are no longer welcome in Dubai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So far, a bit surprised that none of the US ships have been sunk, and it is highly notable that what the Chinese have delivered in the last 2-3 months has not worked particularly well – this is probably a Nagasaki against China as well, which so far looks promising.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

China has (probably…) delivered LV, anti-ship missiles, various types of missiles, and radar. The idea was that Iran would be able to defend itself and preferably get the USA to back off, but at the very least show that Chinese technology is not as bad as to be labeled “designed in the USA” instead of “Made in China”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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According to the previous world-leading post that described how this would go, the USA and China engaged in full-scale electronic warfare, and then we got to see how their own systems worked in the electronic warfare environment and how the opponent was disrupted – so far, the USA seems to have been able to protect its fleet and target objectives in Iran almost arbitrarily with extremely small losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Terror bombing cannot be prevented – Shaheds will continue to drone over MENA for a while longer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

China has also announced that their red line was Iran – then the question is what they can do about it, but at least we are at the diplomatic stage on that front if anyone was wondering.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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I believe this seems to be cooling for Russia and China. If the US aircraft carriers had sunk already, it would have been the opposite, cooling for the USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Then maybe China will take advantage with Taiwan when the USA is busy – who knows, but such things must be taken into account and prepared for.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The USA is probably very satisfied, MENA is buying security at five times the market price, and just as Johan No.1 predicted, everyone is now running to the USD and the national debt – problem solved, and my dollar salary is back from toilet paper, gracias gracias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But for the advance to Iran to pay off, the USA needs to install a government friendly to them that gives them priority on all oil and reconstruction – somewhere along the line, tax money has been moved into private company pockets, which is always one of the sub-goals of such attempts to help the disadvantaged and make the world a better place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Johan No.1 supports the attack on Iran as the regime has been so destructive that it must go, now it remains for the country to start the journey towards normalization, but it should be possible, and there Europe can always be a willing and reliable partner for stability and peace post-war, instead of legitimizing the regime through state visits with covered heads.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anyone who is now screaming about violations of international law and kept quiet until today will not go to heaven at all – surprisingly many, but most are the usual suspects whose inclinations were anticipated, such as the Palestinian demonstrations, for example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I didn’t know that Carl Bildt and Fredrik Reinfeldt had taken the Iranian money, but I know now – Judas No.1 and Judas No.2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is also a special place in hell for people like G\u00f6ran Greider who apply ideology and idealism to reality and think that Iranian women should keep quiet and endure the oppression for the overarching goal of making the world a better place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our political parties and their representatives have tweeted sensibly even though the Feminist Initiative took a clear stand, and spiced it up a bit extra to avoid any misunderstandings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is intriguing that our only pure feminist party turned out to be on everyone else’s side except for the oppressed women – a silent shift in goals?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Then I also fell seriously ill for a week and discovered that the toughest employers in Sweden, the subscribers of Substack, absolutely do not accept any sick leave or waiting days, but hopefully, by coming back with full vigor, it will be enough for a reactivation of the paid subscriptions that have plummeted significantly, which was not so fun \ud83d\ude10<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And if you haven’t won the jackpot yet and started subscribing – do it to feel happiness in life.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Twitter celebrated the anniversary of the Ukraine war with a large number of films from the beginning of the invasion that I have now saved. As mentioned, I will open a YouTube channel and park the films there for the historical archive in the future, but now I am starting to have trouble devoting all paid working hours to this, which is very unfortunate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Back to Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Today’s post (should have been on the anniversary…) is a day for reflection and prayer – four long years of war have passed, and the disappointments have been endless and gigantic, but we have learned along the way as we have applied history to our assumptions and then witnessed a 1939 global conflict start playing out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

None of you reading these world-leading posts have previously seen the start of a world war or how a Hitler evolved from a mediocre painter after a childhood full of abuse to opening assembly line death camps more efficiently than a Ford factory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But now we have seen it – Twitter has given us all the information unfiltered so that we can analyze it ourselves and build our own chain of events that is most accurate in the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We have also seen Europe’s total inability to make tough decisions and that the USA does everything with an ulterior motive – just like during WW2, so it seems that history is repeating itself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In our time, it was a little rat-like boy with the worst possible start in life who took on the mantle – weak, frail, protruding ears, and a single mother who supplemented the household income with services to the soldiers at a nearby army base she unexpectedly became pregnant by. The unwanted son was named the worst name she could think of – Vladimir, and at some point, the rat managed to find his way into the KGB as a trainee, and the rest is history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This tough-as-stone national father with a black belt in judo, who always has his right arm at the imaginary pistol holster and controls the lives of tens of millions of people, began his career as a life-saving handyman in an oversized suit who ruthlessly clawed his way forward over the bodies of those who stood in the way of his ambitious career plans to become a short dictator who started at least one world war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Because the third world war is actually underway now, I post Zelensky’s statement to emphasize it, but the only thing missing is actually for China to do something in Asia, right – then it’s a world war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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We have seen how Putin has radicalized and how the Russian army, and the country of Russia, has blown all boundaries of what is reasonable – then the quick-witted understand that anything can happen in the future, which Johan No.1 usually tries to reason about even though he is perceived as on the verge of diving into the rabbit hole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now Iran is two-faced – they show the boundlessness that we have suspected Russia will also manifest, but the attack is also a cooling bucket of ice water over Putin and Xi, which is probably one of the purposes of the operation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The constant hanging question in the air – why doesn’t the Russian army revolt. The answer is that they treat their own worse than the enemy, so it’s too difficult to break free. They have had rampant desertion and refusal of orders, but it hasn’t been enough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2022, Scholz (possibly through a higher officer, can’t remember) and Macron made efforts to convince Zelensky that Russia would not attack – it was so ingrained in us in the West to accept that history always repeats itself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But even today, there are fully functioning, sensible people who believe that Putin will not escalate any further at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why do you think the French aircraft carrier is in the Baltic Sea?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Of course, the Russian drone that circled around it – a statement. Unclear if it could be shot down and most importantly, how would the close defense have fared against the swarm of drones in the cassettes on the ship?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.svt.se\/nyheter\/inrikes\/rysk-dronare-narmade-sig-hangarfartyget-charles-de-gaulle<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

One thing I have learned – low affective responses simply do not work against certain types of people, and if you are not willing to defend the free world, someone else will, or else they are no longer free, or they are dead, and we write tough letters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One could argue that this also applies to those living in vulnerable areas taken over by gangs and criminal clans, but it is a completely different discussion that in our desire to do good, we allow 700,000 of our citizens to live under clan and gang rule and the hundreds of thousands of girls who do not receive equal treatment because it would be considered racist to give them the right to be children.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now in 2025, the EU has taken a stand against the US tariff war – all those who previously said to lay low and not escalate made the right decision – were they wrong, or has the situation just changed?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Or was a low affective response tried and it didn’t work?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.svt.se\/nyheter\/utrikes\/senaste-nytt-om-usa-och-gronland?inlagg=79a3b48fd653d854f10168a8bbfbc766<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

What is actually happening is that Europe is now starting to do what we should have done four years ago, and the consequence is that Ukraine has been completely left to fight an existential war alone, without friends, and has been betrayed dozens of times by the morally superior West.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In addition, the USA and Europe have long ensured that Russia would not lose the war, even though Europe is now slowly getting organized, and I am waiting for more good news.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On February 24, 2022, one of the first pieces of information on Twitter was a short clip from the airborne operation at Hostomel, helicopters flying in low, and I thought “Operation Garbo” and “Red Storm” – now it’s on, my goodness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It was a strange feeling that I couldn’t handle, so I had to have a few Mariestad beers and dig up some extra ranch dip for the barbecue chips as I was working in Sweden during COVID at the time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Airborne operations on the Uppsala plains were one of MekB10’s tasks besides conducting a landing in Oexl\u00f6sund, so one has grown up with that actually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Another early circulating video was when Biden asked Zelensky if he wanted to fly to the USA, and instead, he went out on the street with those remaining from the government and called for excessive force against the Russian bastards – a true leader.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At that time, I was also on the blog Cornucopia, which is an excellent historical archive, and wrote the post below on the first day (and many more…) – you can see for yourself how I calibrated myself on D-Day and on the other side, a unanimous media screamed that the war would be over in three days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Who was right and who was wrong?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Putin f\u00f6rklarar krig mot Ukraina – anfaller med robotar, artilleri – mycket h\u00e5rda markstrider p\u00e5g\u00e5r efter anfall \u00f6ver gr\u00e4nsen p\u00e5 flera platser<\/a><\/blockquote>