Part two of this week’s post reflects on the global conflict and what we can expect. We have two parallel boosters firing off simultaneously \u2013 Ukraine is on its way to beating Russia in a fair war, and the other is a global escalation that the US is also demonstrably involved in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Russia is firmly stuck in the quagmire in Ukraine with no obvious way out; the best they can hope for is that the fronts don’t collapse too quickly, really.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In Russia, several public figures and military bloggers have now begun openly criticizing the war \u2013 you do NOTHING in Russia without backing, so some group is starting to catch a whiff of fresh air. That’s what we’ve learned after four years of Russian school.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Putin intends to counter this by escalating into Europe, and he has Trump with him on that move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Before that, he will be humiliated on May 9, where now a total of 3-4 countries have registered participation compared to 30 last year, and they are pulling together all the LV they can find from all over Russia into Moscow. It would be fun if Ukraine targeted all undefended targets out in the country on May 9 instead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Which booster will be first is the one that gets there first, but Ukraine cannot be expected to take any kind of global responsibility and adjust this year’s military operations according to what Putin intends to do in the Baltics, so they are pushing at the pace they can manage \u2013 who gets there first is probably still an open race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Since you have followed this site daily for four years, you know that Putin will end his days dangling by the feet from a gas station, deep-marinated in gasoline, and really hoping the mob has Russian cigarette lighters that don’t work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What Putin probably thinks is to survive politically by opening a conflict front in the Baltics \u2013 above all, Russia can only do one thing: when the level of violence is not enough, they increase the level of violence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In Ukraine, they get the same dose of violence back as a backlash, so then it\u2019s no longer fun \u2013 new victims are needed who are not as feisty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The day the fronts collapse in Ukraine, Putin\u2019s days are probably numbered unless there is something else to cling to, like some kind of half-invented conflict with us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It is statistically certain that the US and Russia have agreed on a whole chain of escalations without Europe being involved at all in the discussions \u2013 Venezuela, Syria, Cuba, Ukraine, and probably also against us in Europe but also Svalbard and maybe Cyprus?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trump on the phone, Vance and Trump\u2019s sons visited Bosnia and Hungary, they have openly supported Fico in Slovakia, and I recall Bulgaria being mentioned \u2013 the problem for them is that when they show up, their pals immediately lose the election. The worst was with the pope who died just days after JD Vance visited him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Even though the US seems (we don\u2019t know for sure yet) to have the edge aimed at China, they absolutely do not want a roaring strong Europe that gets a petro-euro; we are probably a bigger threat to the US in that regard than China actually is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The signs are everywhere \u2013 already in autumn 2025 in the posts about Operation Baltics, we described how RU had set up a strategic offensive reserve they began hiding at the border with the Baltic states.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Newly produced materiel is not reaching Ukraine, a new military district is being formed, conscription and recruitment to newly established divisions and some army corps are taking place where training is provided by veterans from the Ukraine war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
New depots are being built in the Pskov area where, however, Ukraine has droned those depots at least three times in 2026; they are probably helping the Baltics as best they can.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Camouflage nets over the train station in Pskov, and in 2025 it was mainly artillery units transported through the city but did not show up in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A trick they used during the Cold War was to hide all offensive materiel in barns and camouflaged depots near the border with free Europe so we wouldn\u2019t get the warning we expected on a clear buildup \u2013 maybe something like that is being tried?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The level of sabotage against Europe is enormous, but there are also direct war preparations where RU has scouted road bridges, railway tracks, junctions, and other targets that would prevent our movements toward the conflict area.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That Russia is preparing for a conflict with the Baltics is beyond all doubt, and they have been actively doing so for over two years now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Recently, Musk cut Starlink in RU and we cheered, but it was at RU\u2019s request as they quickly cut their Telegram as well \u2013 units in Ukraine were left high and dry where UA carried out a lightning offensive in several places, so something was more important for Putin than the Ukraine war where he deliberately threw his own under the bus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Mobilization is something many have settled on \u2013 not unreasonable at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Recently, Belarus has mobilized reservists, increased training, and Lukashenko has announced that they are preparing for war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Since 2023, Belarus has had the privilege of having its defense forces trained by Wagner veterans but has also built up a drone weapon modeled after the Russian one. Europe needs a few more decades to be able to form requests to start thinking about that, so we are a bit behind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ukraine does not like Belarus building firing positions against their land border \u2013 my guess is that Belarus is building a defense against Ukraine so that Ukraine cannot strike the flank to help the Baltics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Zelensky has recently ONCE AGAIN warned that a battle plan for conflict in the Baltics is on Putin\u2019s desk for approval.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trump has on several occasions done the following \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Confirmed that the US will not help if Russia attacks the Baltics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Delayed already paid weapons deliveries mainly to the Baltics, Poland, and Germany but also other countries in Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
-Given orders to start pulling troops out of Eastern Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Finland has recently begun increasing readiness at the eastern border, and in the coming months we will hear more and more from leaders in Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Now Russia is not complete idiots because they have royally burned themselves in Ukraine \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The threat Russia has now built up is the following \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The shadow fleet with drone cassettes that can carry out a first strike against targets in Europe, and Europe knows this very well. They lie like a string of pearls along our coasts from Greece to Estonia. Europe has all high-value materiel at a few bases, about a dozen air bases for example, and large central depots for missiles, fuel, and ammunition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Presumably, RU has now also planted explosives on all sea internet and power transmission cables around Europe; most recently, GUGI was stationed for a month outside the UK, so the transatlantic cables as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
GUGI are specialists in destruction; that is the only thing they do, never build anything, only destroy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
When the Iran war started, I was surprised and asked why terrorist attacks and demonstrations hadn\u2019t started properly \u2013 then they did, I think, after reading my posts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Russia also has a large number of groups available to create chaos on the streets \u2013 left, right, Islamists, gangs, criminal clans, and also groups passionate about various issues that have been infiltrated over time, even if some have a very hard time understanding it.<\/p>\n\n\n
That RU did not attack our energy infrastructure in the winter of 2026 surprised me, but what they actually did was to practice attacks on all kinds of targets \u2013 this has now started to emerge even in Sweden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why do you think they rehearse, for example, opening all the dam gates to the hydropower wide open one day in late autumn?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then you have the public figures, influencers and others who promote Russia’s cause. Quite a few of those who lead the debate have been burned, but there is a cadre of politicians in Europe who are bought and will be activated at the right moment to overturn votes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The wife receives a few million per year in her newly started limited company to sit on WhatsApp in an empty meeting room in a legitimate (Russian-controlled) company that buys the wife’s consulting services in exchange for you doing a favor at the right time \u2013 that’s how it works and the Tax Agency doesn’t care since they get tax on earned money, no one else seems to care either so my question is if anyone has the right contacts so one can get this deal too?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
When the conflict finally comes, all countries in Europe must vote to sacrifice our sons’ and daughters’ lives, which is already a sky-high level of fear for our politicians who preferably just want press conferences about new benefits for their own voter groups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If the vote is close, those bought politicians can overturn the decisions \u2013 everyone can breathe a sigh of relief that democracy won so no difficult decisions had to be made this time either. Then we wish the Baltics good luck and remind them of the Baltic extradition, so don’t even try again, you democracy destroyers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What is a realistic level of conflict against Europe and why?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
There are probably three arms to that hydra \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The USA wants a weak, divided and worried Europe that buys security from them at five times the market price just like during the Cold War when the USA had its best years ever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Soon it will be too late as Europe slowly starts to get organized, four years too late. On one level, one understands why World War II just became a run-over Europe with wars elsewhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
China, Russia, the USA, Asia, Africa and South America know very well what a roaringly strong Europe is capable of, it\u2019s in the background \u2013 no one wants a strong Europe again except Europe, and when the Germans start roaring about Festung-Europe with lots of new divisions, even we get reasonably scared.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In 2008, the USA managed to lay the sourdough with us so we got the PIIGS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Now in 2026, the EU is infinitely stronger to resist an acute financial crisis \u2013 which probably will come this autumn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The USA has pressed every key on the keyboard since the turn of the year, it is clear that they are rushing towards something where a qualified guess is that a financial crisis will wash over us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Money is scared and volatile \u2013 bad political decisions or external threats can speed up those flows lightning fast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
USA’s endgame is probably to get Russia to open a conflict front against Europe just as the financial crisis hits so capital flees to the USA, we get PIIGS 2.0 but their petrodollar and national debt are saved. The bonus, as usual, is that finance in the USA can earn their blood money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Russia wants Europe to stop supporting Ukraine because the whole self-inflicted mess is becoming unpleasant for them, and then Putin wants to survive a few more years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The proposal on Putin’s desk is probably to open a conflict front in the Baltics but while Europe (NATO can be forgotten) manages to agree on a response. Those of you who have already dismissed this because you thought I imagined a major attack into Europe can calmly read on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What is the risk for Russia \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Baltic Fleet and Kaliningrad are obviously vulnerable and then of course the Russian troops that enter the Baltics. I don’t think they expect Europe to unite in retaliation against targets in Russia \u2013 Russia is also risk-takers who basically only back down from obvious violence so it is highly likely they will try to stretch the boundaries as far as possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Something that could precede a conflict is if RU brings troops into Kaliningrad again and then the Baltic Fleet leaves the quay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Zapad 2025 was the obvious cover for the preparations but it did not come \u2013 I could imagine that this escalation needs to happen in time so that it causes maximum damage before a financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
How do you do this now in the best way (asking for a worried friend in a bunker in Altai)?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The usual disinformation is already underway about Russian minorities in the Baltics. The Baltics are trying to counteract but quite a lot of sabotage has been carried out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Going to war with Poland is out of the question, but you also need to get Poland to stay out of the conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The key to this is probably the following \u2013 Poland has promised to defend Lithuania together with Germany. Estonia and Latvia have their old agreements to hope for but Europe has ALREADY TODAY not followed them \u2013 we have known for a long time that a nice agreement on shrimp shell paper with hard promises has about the same value as the shrimp shells.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yes, Finland has promised to defend Estonia but how they will get troops over after a conflict start is unclear to me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then Russia must project a big threat against Europe without going to war against Europe, the geranium threat today is a big threat to us and then it will probably be the usual nuclear threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If they think they can get away with that, they place the Baltic Fleet by Europe’s coasts and open the missile tubes without saying a word.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Otherwise, they probably move the Baltic Fleet to Murmansk because if Russia has learned anything the hard way, it is that their big ships are just big targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Unfortunately, one more thing can actually be done \u2013 a tactical nuclear detonation in Ukraine to show that they dare to scare Europe. The USA will not hesitate, Trump probably wanted to blow up Iran with nuclear weapons already?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Now Putin probably has two choices to make \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n
– a limited attack into the forests in eastern Baltics in the area west of Pskov, NE Latvia and\/or SE Estonia. I believe in Estonia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This area is basically undefended and can relatively easily be occupied with a smaller force that then goes on the defense \u2013 these units are already in the area on the Russian side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Everyone is calm because there are not 200,000 mechanized units but what is needed is maybe 20,000 light units that are already ready to be deployed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Here RU then stops and the disinformation campaign goes bananas all to prevent a coordinated European response.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then come demonstrations, gang wars and a wave of unexplained technical failures in our arms industry\/power supply which Russia flatly denies. The USA with Trump at the forefront calls us warmongers because we have the audacity to point out Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
When our governments try to agree on a military response, several parties will become the greatest champions of peace and the politicians no one guessed will vote no “because they want to save the children”.<\/p>\n\n\n
A military response is completely absent, the Baltics have to deal with this \u2013 probably some deployable capability that doesn\u2019t require parliamentary approval, like our Baltic boat, will be sent to the Baltics but no one manages to make the decisions to retake the occupied area by force, so they stay a few miles away to protect the capitals “against continued Russian attacks” that never come.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then in October all the countries\u2019 Chiefs of Defense breathe a sigh of relief because it\u2019s the rainy season, everyone knows that no military operations can be conducted then \u2013 ask the Germans. “We\u2019ll solve this next year, in 2027 we\u2019ll really give the Russians a beating.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A financial crisis \u2013 PIIGS 2.0 \u2013 a few government crises later, Europe\u2019s Chiefs of Defense start thinking about budget discipline because the politicians are just trying to survive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
– an attempt at a full invasion of the Baltics is his second option.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
No, I don\u2019t think they dare start with that but on both sides of the Suwalki Gap, remote mining and drone units will be on high alert, the Russian version of Defcon 1 where they\u2019re not completely drunk on Sundays. IF Poland or Germany start moving troops through, a decision will be made whether to mine again and drone away the long columns of unprotected mechanized units or if they assess that they\u2019re just driving into Lithuania.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If Russia feels that Europe is completely paralyzed, they might very well try to run over the Baltics but for that they probably need to feel that we are cowardly, scared, and have the same decision paralysis as during the first four years of the Ukraine war \u2013 and they don\u2019t know that for sure yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What they don\u2019t want is to go in big and get beaten immediately like in 2022, so the most suitable approach is probably to test the waters a bit first and then advance positions if they assess it\u2019s possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The materiel is already stored in depots in the Pskov area and the command structure for the new military district with units for a limited operation in the Baltics is already in place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If Ukraine signals that a few divisions are leaving Ukraine, we know they are going for the higher option.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The window for Russia is probably closed during autumn 2026, I guessed autumn 2025 for the simple reason that Europe has finally begun to understand that interceptor drones work well against Geran, so we are now manufacturing those \u2013 training + getting them out to units remains but once that is done, the Geran threat is eliminated which is a big part of keeping us grounded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If Russia chooses the higher level, they need to ensure that no reinforcements arrive in the Baltics in time \u2013 apparently Europe will not deploy troops to the Baltics at elevated threat levels according to agreements with the Baltics, the Russian bastards got confirmation of this already during Zapad 25 which was very unfortunate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Suwalki Gap is probably quite easy to close but then the Baltic Sea Fleet must be sacrificed to stop movements by sea \u2013 guess if our government will dare to run the Finland ferries to the Baltics when all Russian submarines are on standby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What the Russians will also immediately do is fortify islands in the Baltic archipelago, the islands in the Gulf of Finland and maybe \u00c5land with anti-ship missiles and air defense equipped Spetsnaz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What does the political landscape in Europe look like today and how does Russia think?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Denmark already has a political crisis so can probably be expected to remain passive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sweden has elections in September so we\u2019re probably locked in then?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Finland stands strong but they have an eastern border to Russia to defend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
For the Baltics, it probably doesn\u2019t matter \u2013 they choose war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Poland got a difficult president but they hate the Russians so there it\u2019s probably necessary not to poke them too hard with a stick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Germany will NEVER be able to vote for a timely operation, they still have too many old STASI officers in their politics so that critical week will yield nothing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
France with Macron is a wildcard, if Putin is unlucky the Foreign Legion will be deployed on the day and choose war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Other countries in Europe will not participate \u2013 anyone who thinks Spain will send troops to the Baltics and in the UK Starmer is just trying to survive, forget it beyond some symbolic gesture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ukraine is fully occupied with its war but can always spare some capability so it\u2019s important that Russia doesn\u2019t collapse in Ukraine before they escalate in the Baltics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
How do you further lock Europe \u2013 Svalbard, Cyprus?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In 2022 it was actually urgent but Ukraine stopped the party, Hungary had mobilized and if Kiev fell they would enter Ukraine \u2013 this is now accepted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Belarus would attack towards Lviv and close the border to Europe but Ukraine held out so the Russian bastards fled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
There was nothing wrong with the Russian planes \u2013 they had 1500 operators nested in Kiev, they dropped paratroopers over the presidential palace and almost took Hostomel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Ukrainian armed forces were in the eastern part of the country so old veterans looted weapon depots to be able to defend Kiev.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Platoons were at junctions west of Kiev, they were wiped out but prevented the Russian spearheads from entering Kiev.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hostomel was defended by all available units that just fought fiercely until reinforcements arrived.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then the big fuel shortage \u2013 the units coming down from Belarus had sold the fuel for alcohol. Since the war was paused until the Olympics were over to curry favor with China, no one could drive off-road and were limited to the main roads.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Small Ukrainian needle sticks that stopped the entire huge vehicle column made the soldiers idle their vehicles for heat until they ran out of fuel and the tankers couldn\u2019t get through.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A logistical nightmare for the Russian command which led to Ukraine surviving.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
When Ukraine then tried to win the war in 2022 and 2023, the USA stopped it when Europe was too cowardly to dare oppose the USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
All that is behind us, but it\u2019s not behind Russia \u2013 they have learned lessons and will try the same rope trick again but without all the mistakes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
At some point this autumn the danger will be over but until then it\u2019s absolutely high risk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What Europe should do pronto is huge military exercises in Finland all summer, deploy the damned brigades to the Baltics we promised them according to agreements and then openly prepare a strike against the Baltic Sea Fleet and Kaliningrad that we advertise like McDonald\u2019s new burger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Our heavy attack should do something for all the tax billions?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Remove the damned shadow fleet, we know which ships have the cassettes with Geran drones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We must project a sufficiently large threat already today but we don\u2019t \u2013 until we do, Russia will continue on the current path because they never stop until they are stopped.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yes, Ukraine might manage to end the war before the Russian escalation starts but if you want peace, you prepare for war.<\/p>\n\n\n
The downside for Russia has been minimal so far \u2013 we need to significantly increase that downside for them to refrain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Poland should, for example, deploy a couple of divisions against Kaliningrad and be very clear that any Russian invasion of the Baltics, any of the countries, will lead to them taking back Kaliningrad for the Germans but keeping it as repayment for the last war the Germans fought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This is the threat to Europe and everything is now in motion \u2013 if you don\u2019t see the signs, you don\u2019t want to see the signs or you have been paid not to see the signs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This is not the escalation of the whole year but only the part directed at us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Iran war is becoming exciting for a very simple reason, Israel absolutely wanted regime change \u2013 now their situation is quite critical really even if it is early.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yes, it is early because the US probably plans at least one more strike here in the coming months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
But the two things that stood out were immediately a red flag \u2013 first, the US and Israel actually baited Iran to retaliate against surrounding countries by starting to attack oil infrastructure inside Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We said immediately that these were not military targets, starving out Iran through this takes years \u2013 Lex Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The result you know \u2013 an acute fuel crisis that will probably hit Western countries hardest, Japan and Australia are starting to be in a bad position and Europe has to choose between doing as the US says so we get their oil or turning off the lights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The second was that before a month had passed in time when Israel started fighting IRGC and Basij groups on the streets with drones, AR10s and Apaches were in place \u2013 they are almost perfect against soft and hard ground targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
IRGC had begun to desert in small numbers, the border with Pakistan and Afghanistan was full of waving, terrified former genocidaires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We then see how militias form in Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan \u2013 flags are waved and slogans chanted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then come videos of them rolling towards Tehran and finally when they are in place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Even commercial flights landed in Tehran and out poured militiamen ready to murder Iranian civilians.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Now they are in place in Tehran and other cities \u2013 how the citizens of Iran will be able to carry out their revolution now is questionable but the much bigger question is why Israel and the US did not fight these long snakes of Toyota pickups as they slowly advanced towards Tehran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
They could see individual rocket launchers and attack them just as they fired, they chased Basij patrols on the streets of Tehran \u2013 they did not lack eyes on the ground then.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It is hard to come to any other conclusion than that causing a fuel crisis is part of the plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Russia and China would probably have preferred that the US did not attack Iran I guess even if everyone tries to find advantages \u2013 they would have been greater if Iran had not been leveled and absolutely no one can reasonably weigh the risk that a popular revolution might have succeeded, then it would be game over for the world\u2019s largest terror exporter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Russia is being cajoled by the US so it is unlikely they will face troubles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Turkey is in the game and at least Macron spoke off-script and threatened French problems if Cyprus was attacked \u2013 there are two to choose from for that war crime, Turkey or Greece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The next obvious escalation is in Asia which is the area where The Great War between China and the US will be fought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If the US agrees with China to divide the world between them just as they have done with Russia, we have a problem but I refuse to believe that before I see it \u2013 mostly because it is a bit like nuclear weapons, too bad to even discuss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Australia has big problems \u2013 China is not a big admirer of Australia so maybe they will continue to have big problems?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Taiwan has at least been to China and been offered a Hong Kong solution now that the US will not support them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Japan is rearming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The positive thing is that China understood that their technological leap was about as successful as the Great Leap \u2013 shoddy construction that was substandard. We did not know that before but now we know it after the Iran war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
However, China has quantity and someone must have said that quantity is a quality in itself \u2013 manufacturing and soldiers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
China has big problems \u2013 now the EU did not want a trade agreement with them because we run Europe First, their housing bubble is leaking and Chinese can be quick to demand accountability. They have previously lynched managers of banks and housing companies who froze assets or speculated away money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In the next post we will return to Europe \u2013 we can either continue to squander every chance we get or we can move towards a booming golden age, the coming years will decide. Exactly everyone else will do their utmost to ensure we continue to squander every chance, what we have not yet seen but which exists as an alternative is to start assassinating heads of state who could not be bribed and try to start low-intensity civil wars among us, the building blocks have been laid for that since before 2015 but especially 2015 and onwards gave a lot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That is how it looks in the year of grace 2026, we can all hope that Europe\u2019s mosaic of more or less worthless heads of state with their sluggish staffs collectively find their inner angry little Viking sometime before this autumn. All decisions going forward will be staggeringly difficult for our governments to make and everything will involve blown-up infrastructure and fallen soldiers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Part two of this week’s post reflects on the global conflict and what we can expect. We have two parallel […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"\n