{"id":5609,"date":"2026-08-13T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T05:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/europe-and-lng-13-august-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-08-13T22:48:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T20:48:13","slug":"europe-and-lng-13-august-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/europe-and-lng-13-august-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Europe and LNG, 13 August 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That the USA has crossed over to the dark side with Darth Donald at the helm is almost indisputable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the USA wants to pave over Iran and salt the earth, JD Vance has asked Ukraine not to attack oil terminals in Novorossiysk in the Black Sea. According to MXT on johanno1.se, it&#8217;s because Chevron is a co-owner. Which is worse, that Chevron exports Russian oil or that JD Vance does not treat them equally?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!eoXv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd3b4c9b8-948e-4862-bc91-dc52be333da0_828x686.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!eoXv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd3b4c9b8-948e-4862-bc91-dc52be333da0_828x686.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:397px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Caspian Sea also died down so Russia can continue to transport war materiel to Iran undisturbed \u2013 I haven&#8217;t read anything but those ships were easy targets for Ukraine so why stop?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This was the case until sometime in 2024 with constant stoppages and red cards as soon as Ukraine tried something that worked, and now we in the West demand that Ukraine not attack Russian oil infrastructure so that we can still continue buying from them in 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But Europe stands on Ukraine&#8217;s side, someone screams bright red in the face over all baseless accusations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yes, I actually believed that, at the turn of the year Russian gas will be finished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So Europe has made good use of this time, LNG imports directly from Russia are skyrocketing in 2026 and so far this year we have paid them 6.6 billion USD directly into the war chest just for the gas and in six months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then Russia takes those 6.6 billion USD we paid them and buys all the technology they need from Europe for their arms industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!PR9S!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1662254-b902-4e9f-ab79-ae6d716f2c5a_828x1422.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!PR9S!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1662254-b902-4e9f-ab79-ae6d716f2c5a_828x1422.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:576px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Above was Austria, before that it was Germany.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/english.nv.ua\/nation\/german-probe-uncovers-russian-military-tech-scheme-50608977.html\">https:\/\/english.nv.ua\/nation\/german-probe-uncovers-russian-military-tech-scheme-50608977.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It has previously been proven that when direct exports to Russia approached zero, exports to countries like Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and India increased by 2000%-5000% instead \u2013 the same products still reached Russia, just a new route and a bit more expensive for them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You don&#8217;t need a PhD from Harvard to understand that if Russia receives hard currency from Europe and then can buy all the technology they need from Europe, the war will last longer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the worst is what we don&#8217;t hear about, the silence and absence of things that should be happening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For example, Ukraine had a major campaign against LNG and oil export terminals up in the Baltic Sea and started attacking cargo ships up there \u2013 they have stopped doing that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;They&#8217;re preparing for a huge blast,&#8221; screams the same person as above, even more upset now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We&#8217;ve been piecing this together since 2022 and when it looks like a black scorpion and crawls like a black scorpion, then it is a black scorpion \u2013 so infinitely many of our early suspicions turned out to be true, so I can safely place a black scorpion on the fact that I&#8217;m not wrong. Costs 50 SEK at the terrarium so I can afford that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Europe has asked for a postponement to fill up LNG stocks before winter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Otherwise, I used to bet 500 SEK from Erik14 earlier when I was on another blog, he will probably have to start writing here soon, otherwise I&#8217;ll be disappointed and won&#8217;t pay back the five hundred.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He can at least come in here and say hi, I owe him that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bible studies are underway, I know the wait is hard, holy water for most but exorcism for Dengamle by the way \u2013 I have correspondence with the Vatican&#8217;s chief exorcist so the doses will be right.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since spring, I have warned that LNG is a form of blackmail that will work and that&#8217;s how it looks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For quite a while it was India, they bought Russian dirty oil, refined it, and sold us refined products Made in India. The statistics for sales of Russian LNG and oil are about as credible as any parliamentary party&#8217;s election promises now one month before the election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you read through below, Europe is currently buying all the Russian oil and LNG they can get their hands on, we have sharply increased our purchases in 2026. There are no tears left but with friends like these, Ukraine hardly needs any enemies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-centre-for-research-on-energy-and-clean-air wp-block-embed-centre-for-research-on-energy-and-clean-air\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"XwDUemOpjh\"><a href=\"https:\/\/energyandcleanair.org\/july-2026-monthly-analysis-of-russian-fossil-fuel-exports-and-sanctions\/\">July 2026 \u2014 Monthly analysis of Russian fossil fuel exports and sanctions<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201cJuly 2026 \u2014 Monthly analysis of Russian fossil fuel exports and sanctions\u201d \u2014 Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air\" src=\"https:\/\/energyandcleanair.org\/july-2026-monthly-analysis-of-russian-fossil-fuel-exports-and-sanctions\/embed\/#?secret=Z3zEWR0ytk#?secret=XwDUemOpjh\" data-secret=\"XwDUemOpjh\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I will not take this tangent as I have made a binding holy vow in incense not to discuss &#8220;certain&#8221; things, but shutting down our own LNG, oil production, nuclear power, and mining in Europe was a disaster. There were zero shortages of warnings about what we now see and the consequence is that at night when it is windless, Putin can tell us to jump, and then we jump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Russian decline is solely due to Ukraine attacking their oil infrastructure, nothing else. If there were more to get, Europe would buy more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The USA has already chosen a side and you can&#8217;t blame them for doing what&#8217;s best for them as long as they are open about it. Few people reading here probably feel that Trump and the USA are our best friends anymore, I guess?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Iran, China, and India also do as they please and what is best for them, the first two are also our enemies and you can hardly accuse an enemy of not doing what is good for us, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We in Europe face an acute threat \u2013 Russia is in full hybrid war with us and plans to jump on the Baltics. Between us and a war stands Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In that situation, transferring hard currency in the order of the annual Swedish defense budget 4.5 years into the war (that&#8217;s just LNG and the first six months of this year) and then also selling all the technology they need to build the weapons they use against Ukraine is hard to justify on all possible levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So wrong, so infinitely wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But this is not the worst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You know just as well as I do what Europe would need to do and right now Europe has held back weapons Ukraine desperately needs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zelensky recently said he suspects it is to put pressure on them and I interpreted that as the USA, posted that earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We refuse to point out Russia for the terrorist attacks in recent months, or the forest fires and the state-organized trafficking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">RU has parked destroyers in the English Channel, their shadow fleet operates almost unchallenged with few exceptions, they have sent two large destroyers from the Northern Fleet into the Baltic Sea and so on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This one<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!dwPl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc4a5d1-f113-47e1-8a47-16a64aa81ffb_828x718.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!dwPl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc4a5d1-f113-47e1-8a47-16a64aa81ffb_828x718.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:452px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And this one<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-militarnyi wp-block-embed-militarnyi\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"WRITOH952i\"><a href=\"https:\/\/militarnyi.com\/en\/news\/russia-deploys-destroyer-admiral-levchenko-to-baltic-sea-reportedly-to-escort-shadow-fleet\/\">Russia Deploys Destroyer Admiral Levchenko to Baltic Sea, Reportedly to Escort &#8220;Shadow Fleet&#8221;<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201cRussia Deploys Destroyer Admiral Levchenko to Baltic Sea, Reportedly to Escort \u201cShadow Fleet\u201d\u201d \u2014 Militarnyi\" src=\"https:\/\/militarnyi.com\/en\/news\/russia-deploys-destroyer-admiral-levchenko-to-baltic-sea-reportedly-to-escort-shadow-fleet\/embed\/#?secret=XLluDqayrq#?secret=WRITOH952i\" data-secret=\"WRITOH952i\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We do not shoot down Russian drones, we do not want to send troops into the Baltics, we will not defend Ukraine with our air defense, and we have refused to release the frozen Russian oligarch money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The pressure is called LNG \u2013 we buy 60% from the USA but that has dropped to 40% now in July 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/us-lng-exports-europe-decline-asia-prices-surge-2026-07-01\">https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/us-lng-exports-europe-decline-asia-prices-surge-2026-07-01<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We are 25% below the level we should be in stocks and it is right on the edge that we will have power outages this winter. Since we are all environmentally conscious, we know that this year will be the El Ni\u00f1o of the millennium, which will give large parts of Europe a freezing cold January \u2013 February. 80% of my electricity consumption is December \u2013 February, so if it gets cold the need skyrockets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In continental Europe, they have gas for heating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This has made us dependent on Russia for this winter and is probably why we are now completely silent except when it comes to secretly asking Ukraine to stop everything that is going well.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our 21st sanctions package was almost more watered down than the Lindsay Graham package in the USA where Trump has arbitrary veto power over everything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-eu-perspectives wp-block-embed-eu-perspectives\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"PaVQtfU8tS\"><a href=\"https:\/\/euperspectives.eu\/2026\/07\/eu-russia-sanctions-21-package-greece-compromise-lng-shipping\/\">EU approves watered-down Russia sanctions to break Greek deadlock<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201cEU approves watered-down Russia sanctions to break Greek deadlock\u201d \u2014 EU Perspectives\" src=\"https:\/\/euperspectives.eu\/2026\/07\/eu-russia-sanctions-21-package-greece-compromise-lng-shipping\/embed\/#?secret=4nfUutucdd#?secret=PaVQtfU8tS\" data-secret=\"PaVQtfU8tS\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Play for the galleries, window dressing, Potemkin facade \u2013 call it what you will.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We know what Putin intends to do \u2013 he will put his highest gear in and try to conquer Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts starting this autumn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When he succeeds with that, he will be secure because that was his promise to the country after about ten revisions; if he just pretends nothing happened, he will get by.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After that, Russia will demand peace in our time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I don\u2019t think Europe can hold out; once again, we will let ourselves be talked down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The troika that was Starmer-Merz-Macron already has a ready plan for eternal peace; we shall send peacekeeping forces into Ukraine and rebuild the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When instead we should have a clever plan for war, how to snatch Kaliningrad and let Belarus gain its freedom from the Russian yoke.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now this is going to be nuanced endlessly and then when it happens everyone will just shrug and move on, but then it will be the beginning of our era\u2019s global conflict instead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That was our Chamberlain moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cUkraine will ignore it,\u201d many are now screaming, righteously outraged over all the swearing in church.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oh really, they have already stopped attacking the LNG terminals after demands from Europe and the USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since the USA has now stopped supporting Ukraine, Europe holds all the leverage \u2013 EU membership and weapons support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ukraine cannot afford to ignore that, and trading two oblasts in eastern Ukraine for EU membership is something the country will accept, unfortunately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It doesn\u2019t end there because Russia is an empire smelling morning air with a loose-running half-crazy little man in platform shoes who comfort-eats caviar and does not trust his personal security.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Russia currently has an air bridge to North Korea for weapons and personnel. They will reinforce the North Korean 11th AC with an additional 30,000 \u2013 50,000 troops so it becomes almost a full army corps. It is their special forces corps and they have fought well according to Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThat\u2019s not much,\u201d someone now says, but we in Europe consider under 10,000 troops in the Baltics fully sufficient, so 50,000 North Koreans should be a threat, or are we using different yardsticks?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">North Korean ballistic missiles operated by North Koreans themselves are now in place in Voronezh and Zelensky recently said they have started firing missiles at Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It seems the North Koreans will be along the northern front and 30,000 \u2013 50,000 troops then free up 3 Russian army corps or over an entire Combined Arms Army from that area who can do other things.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Russian units up there have had relative calm and have been able to be re-equipped and trained for a couple of years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Parts of the Rosgvardia have been reorganized into maneuver brigades with tanks, artillery, air defense, drone groups and fragmentation protection \u2013 and are a completely external resource.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There have been many air transports between Belarus and China this year; I saw here that Belarusian SOF are in China to learn drone warfare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-militarnyi wp-block-embed-militarnyi\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"oMPI6B6rxo\"><a href=\"https:\/\/militarnyi.com\/en\/news\/belarus-special-forces-china-joint-exercise\/\">Belarus Sent Special Forces to China for Joint Tactical Exercises<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201cBelarus Sent Special Forces to China for Joint Tactical Exercises\u201d \u2014 Militarnyi\" src=\"https:\/\/militarnyi.com\/en\/news\/belarus-special-forces-china-joint-exercise\/embed\/#?secret=CA5h1ksDJD#?secret=oMPI6B6rxo\" data-secret=\"oMPI6B6rxo\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is also a veritable air bridge from Russia and Belarus to countries in Africa, here is one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-eritreanpost wp-block-embed-eritreanpost\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"TF6UdEez0D\"><a href=\"https:\/\/eritreanpost.org\/2026\/07\/25\/belarusian-cargo-plane-makes-three-recent-flights-to-eritrea\/\">Belarusian Cargo Plane Makes Three Recent Flights to Eritrea<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201cBelarusian Cargo Plane Makes Three Recent Flights to Eritrea\u201d \u2014 EritreanPost \u1261\u1235\u1323 \u12a4\u122d\u1275\u122b\" src=\"https:\/\/eritreanpost.org\/2026\/07\/25\/belarusian-cargo-plane-makes-three-recent-flights-to-eritrea\/embed\/#?secret=8goVaMQSBC#?secret=TF6UdEez0D\" data-secret=\"TF6UdEez0D\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They often stop over in Syria and then down to Africa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The level of Russian and Chinese preparations is high if anyone has missed it \u2013 if you ask \u201cpreparations for what\u201d you will have to read the posts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two Russian destroyers from the Northern Fleet into the Baltic Sea are added capability and the surface ships they have parked in the English Channel are not liked at all by the British.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">During 2025-2026, Russian ships suitable for seabed operations have been lying over all the sea cables around Europe. I can\u2019t post all the links but it was after Russia cut 11 sea cables in the Baltic Sea earlier so no one really needs to wonder about the underlying plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recon drones over our high-value targets have been legion for two years already; in 2025 Germany had 1,500 reported incidents, that was only Germany and what they chose to disclose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At one point there were IT attacks on our hydropower plants in Sweden where they opened the dam gates wide for a day or so. Below is Norway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/aug\/14\/russian-hackers-control-norwegian-dam-norway\">https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/aug\/14\/russian-hackers-control-norwegian-dam-norway<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The water reservoirs earlier, here Finland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-foreign-policy wp-block-embed-foreign-policy\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"MagJfxZZLl\"><a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2024\/07\/26\/russia-sabotage-poison-finland-water-treatment\/\">Is Russia Trying to Poison Finland\u2019s Water?<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201cIs Russia Trying to Poison Finland\u2019s Water?\u201d \u2014 Foreign Policy\" src=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2024\/07\/26\/russia-sabotage-poison-finland-water-treatment\/embed\/#?secret=pO4qWD225R#?secret=MagJfxZZLl\" data-secret=\"MagJfxZZLl\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And now this summer the highest level of forest fires ever, where France has now arrested 420 people for arson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cvgxjn92x9jo\">https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cvgxjn92x9jo<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That Spain keeps silent along with everyone else except Portugal, which openly reports arrests, is infantile. Portugal has arrested 150 but that number is probably outdated now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Not to mention state-organized trafficking where Ceuta and Melilla are the only open routes now that all other countries have closed. Apparently, there will be an attempt on August 15 to storm the enclave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s all connected \u2013 it is Russia that has started a hybrid war against us and the level now in 2026 is almost the highest possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Anyone with rudimentary brain capacity understands that it won\u2019t end here unless Ukraine wins the war and Russia collapses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And in this whirlwind, Europe buys all the Russian gas and oil they can get, then directly sells all the technology Russia needs to continue the war, and asks Ukraine not to attack targets that would shorten the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I say it \u2013 we are handling this almost worse than the lead-up to WW2, now it\u2019s said and no nuance will make me change my stance for at least two hours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Russia only recognizes strength and they have almost a spinal reflex to jump on weak, submissive countries with low-affect responses \u2013 if we don\u2019t project strength, we get war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s not more complicated than that and we have known it for 300 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">How much time we have I don\u2019t know, only that Budanov confirmed before Christmas 2025 that Russia was ready to attack the Baltics in 2027. When during 2027 was unfortunately not specified and Russia has had 8 months to try to accelerate the timeline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Before that it was 2029-2030 so they had already accelerated the timeline \u2013 German Breuer should be ashamed of his terrible analyses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When I started writing about Operation Baltics in early autumn 2025, my main scenario was operations that would fall under NATO Article 5 \u2013 that is actually where we are now in August 2026 and rapidly increasing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As I began to dive into the secret information I get from spies who could be paid with the paid subscriptions on Substack, I understood that Russia is preparing for a full-scale invasion of the area in the Baltics north of the Daugava River.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s quite simple \u2013 Germany and Poland will defend Lithuania so Russia refrains from entering there except for operations below the level of war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In April this year, all the Russians\u2019 work on infrastructure was completed \u2013 all roads, road bridges, railway tracks and train stations running east-west towards the Baltic eastern border are reinforced for heavy transport.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Belarus, which is to project a threat without going to war, has also done its part now.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Russian mobilization is coming this fall. It has actually already started quietly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!lq2G!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b58dc85-cf14-4bd8-aaa6-b99fca91d8c1_828x255.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!lq2G!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b58dc85-cf14-4bd8-aaa6-b99fca91d8c1_828x255.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:451px;height:auto\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump withdrew all American combat units from Poland, Germany, and the Baltics during 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">30,000 \u2013 50,000 North Koreans are now in place or on their way who can take over guard duty at the northern front in Kursk and Belgorod Oblast, freeing up equivalent numbers in Russian units.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two destroyers from the Northern Fleet are inside the Baltic Sea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Only Putin knows Putin\u2019s timeline, and his analysts have a very large amount of information to piece together, but to me it is indisputable that Russia is making preparations that are probably nearing completion to invade the Baltics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, the LNG weapon has been fully utilized, so Europe will be afraid to make Trump or Putin angry; we cannot afford an import stop right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">How Europe acts in the coming period will shape our lives for a very long time ahead \u2013 do we want to be cowards with a little natural gas or keep our grandiose coal-black self-image flanked by angry buzzing drones in a cold meeting room in the middle of a freezing winter when the power went out?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now my spies in Russia are signaling that they have not been paid, so a paid subscription to Substack for those of you who read daily is now about securing the realm\u2019s safety \u2013 take the step into the light.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As a bonus for subscribers, the unedited film of Dengamle\u2019s exorcism will be released in about a week; without spoiling, it ended with us realizing that we need stronger stuff than this.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>That the USA has crossed over to the dark side with Darth Donald at the helm is almost indisputable. While [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5609","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Europe and LNG, 13 August 2026 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/europe-and-lng-13-august-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Europe and LNG, 13 August 2026 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"That the USA has crossed over to the dark side with Darth Donald at the helm is almost indisputable. 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