{"id":7147,"date":"2022-11-22T09:20:03","date_gmt":"2022-11-22T08:20:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-11-22-4\/"},"modified":"2026-09-23T09:04:32","modified_gmt":"2026-09-23T07:04:32","slug":"2022-11-22-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2022-11-22-4\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-11-22"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>14:13<\/h2>\n<p>What does the thread think about Ukraine receiving deliveries of a lot of equipment that was used in the latest large exercise Iron Spear or whatever it was called?<br \/>\nI&#8217;ve seen two hints, one pro-Russian and one UA but otherwise silence as expected.<\/p>\n<p>UA has lowered its number of MBTs, they wanted 1500 now it&#8217;s 200. Same for IFVs.<\/p>\n<p>It would be fun if the West, besides Fluffe and the gang who donated 250 million SEK to the World Food Programme and Gr\u00f6trock and announced that they had given Ukraine what they wanted, could deliver the equipment Ukraine needs to hunt toads in pits near the border.<\/p>\n<p>As I said, I have zero evidence for this except that I am quite sure that 250 million SEK to the World Food Programme was not on Ukraine&#8217;s list that the government delivered after \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>14:25<\/h2>\n<p>Putin will probably be shot by his bodyguard.<br \/>\nThere is a long and fine tradition of the most well-guarded despots always being taken down by the bodyguard\/life guard.<\/p>\n<p>It becomes a Catch-22, to be able to protect him against armed violence someone with a weapon must be near him.<br \/>\nIf the bodyguard is 40,000 \u2013 50,000 strong and rotates, eventually there will be someone who has strong reasons to take up the offer.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>18:44<\/h3>\n<p>As long as the West supports, the answer is no to both 1 and 2.<\/p>\n<p>The longer time goes, the higher the risk that Western support will fail.<\/p>\n<p>A ceasefire is never in Ukraine&#8217;s interest but if support falters and hope begins to falter, it can go quickly even in Ukraine and one can give up some land for some kind of peace.<\/p>\n<p>That gives Russia the opening they need so the absolutely most important thing in all categories here is that the West does not falter.<\/p>\n<p>Russia knows that so they will strike our soft parts this winter, the power supply.<\/p>\n<p>The West should\/will of course send offensive weapons so Ukraine can throw Russia out. There will never be peace after that but there is no crack Russia can exploit.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>19:09<\/h3>\n<p>Yep, Russia is not exactly known for keeping agreements or keeping anything at all for that matter.<br \/>\nIt is if they manage to cause division in the country.<\/p>\n<p>The point of painting the threat, which is not unrealistic, is to highlight the importance of the West continuing its support and especially sending offensive weapons.<\/p>\n<p>Now I begin to suspect something is going on because pro-Russian forums are starting to sulk.<\/p>\n<p>If offensive weapons come, this problem disappears like a Russian when the cheap vodka runs out.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>19:14<\/h3>\n<p>Do not underestimate the Gr\u00f6trocks and the 250 million SEK to the World Food Programme when Russian tanks run over tiny little children on the streets of Kiev.<\/p>\n<p>What makes the laughter turn to tears over the charade is that it is reality where thousands die and our clown government with Fluffe at the forefront runs around like a kindergarten class and thinks they make a difference.<\/p>\n<p>They have, as the icing on the dull salmon, communicated outwardly that Ukraine got exactly what they wanted. That Ukraine did not wish for 250 million SEK to the World Food Programme is surely understood by everyone in this thread so confiscate with lies a couple of weeks into the mandate period accordingly.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>08:19<\/h3>\n<p>Can one be convicted of aiding and abetting this heinous crime if one was aware of it but did not report it?<br \/>\nI am thinking here of the elite\/the ruling families who bathe in billions from the criminal clan regime&#8217;s ravages and sit in Londongrad laughing at the sanctions.<\/p>\n<p>Peskov, Lavrov, etc. can probably imagine taking one for the team as long as the family lives like gods in their townhouses and only eats at the most expensive restaurants.<\/p>\n<p>I am not well versed in this but I recall that during Soviet times it was mostly diplomats who were allowed to come (and that was of course exploited to the max) but that visas were otherwise restrictive or did the elite&#8217;s children also travel freely then?<\/p>\n<p>Before someone screams abuse \u2013 isn&#8217;t it enough to withdraw the visa privilege and then introduce confiscation of criminal assets (their money) so the problem is solved?<br \/>\nBoth are privileges that one earns, not an absolute right.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>08:24<\/h3>\n<p>That reaches the rear bases in the darkest Donbass which leave moon craters behind and almost NS maintenance roads outside Ukraine&#8217;s land border as well as Rostov-na-Don.<\/p>\n<p>You don&#8217;t have to be related to Patton to understand that next will be deep strikes all winter to maximally disrupt the possibility of supply.<\/p>\n<p>Now they have communicated the Turkish ammunition but there is probably other ammunition that works just as well which maybe has not been communicated yet?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>14:13 What does the thread think about Ukraine receiving 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[&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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