{"id":7709,"date":"2023-03-23T09:26:15","date_gmt":"2023-03-23T08:26:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-03-23-2\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T14:53:43","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T12:53:43","slug":"2023-03-23-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-03-23-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-03-23"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:03 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Lions (and lionesses!\u2026and if I forgot any group, them too!).
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1638603635989815296?s=46&t=PQgW5Q4P3G8DvDN_LGl2ig<\/a><\/p>\n

Now one should probably be cautious and then there are no embarrassing films but with the wrong nationality, I am confident in myself today.<\/p>\n

Do you think Ukraine wavers in its belief in victory, not for a second.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/christopherjm\/status\/1638565780844363776?s=46&t=PQgW5Q4P3G8DvDN_LGl2ig<\/a><\/p>\n

Putin sits at the press conference praising that all trade will now be conducted in renminbi,
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/watcherguru\/status\/1638349879171792896?s=46&t=t83UBqcskAdl8SPV3N30Dw<\/a><\/p>\n

Oryx reports that T55s are now on their way to the front (unmodified), BT-50 is the new black and to Ukraine’s great surprise they almost break through in smaller reconnaissance battles on the southern front and the Russians are pulling units away from Bakhmut.<\/p>\n

The T55s thus take up transport space and workshops instead of all the T80s they have put aside (which they haven’t actually put aside\u2026) and above all the optics and electronics are terrible.<\/p>\n

Do you think they will roll for a month before they break down with technical faults in the rear?<\/p>\n

We have known this for a long time, the division commander who took his own life when he realized the extent of the looting in the depot etc.<\/p>\n

KOS only discusses some of what was taken first because of the value but a lot has been stolen \u2013 and this is why RU is finished because they have run an Afghan straight through the entire defense force.<\/p>\n

Already posted by a light in the thread so just for reference.
\nhttps:\/\/m.dailykos.com\/stories\/2023\/3\/22\/2159645\/-Quick-Explainer-Russia-s-lack-of-range-finders-or-why-ancient-T55s-are-being-pulled-from-storage<\/a><\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Ukraine is making small gains up in northern Luhansk.<\/p>\n

And the Leopards are in Bakhmut\u2026<\/p>\n

Then the world is upside down, according to Erik13 the 22nd Spetznaz is on defense at Zaporizia and has been exposed in these reconnaissance battles \u2013 yep they are in the area but why have elite units on the front line getting hit with drone grenades and artillery?<\/p>\n

In Kherson and all autumn newly mobilized and DPR\/LPR and the (relative) elite were held back \u2013 smart fighting.<\/p>\n

Then they attacked with everything on January 6 and have heavily decimated the competent reserve up until today \u2013 poorly fought.<\/p>\n

And now Spetznaz are in a ditch on the front line in Zaporizia eating drone-dropped wing grenades and being decimated?<\/p>\n

OR\u2026<\/p>\n

So UA managed a breakthrough in their RECONNAISSANCE BATTLES and Spetznaz were the task force?<\/p>\n

OR\u2026<\/p>\n

They have such big problems with motivation that they can’t get regular units into the ditch, missing pay, poor food, too little ammunition and constant death in unnecessary attacks?<\/p>\n

Who knows when it comes to that rolling circus with extra chaos but all options are terrible for RU.<\/p>\n

Then we have the report from the blogger that RU is weakening in Bakhmut.
\nAre they running out of units?
\nDidn’t they have 130,000 in northern Luhansk?
\nAnd 350,000 total (but that was not the elite who can fight but the total number and we understand that in the thread).<\/p>\n

And from Erik14 that UA is advancing towards Klischiivka\u2026<\/p>\n

The first step in an old classic pincer maneuver at Bakhmut, which might be the first step in the spring offensive?<\/p>\n

Russian infantry in Bakhmut is presumably on foot so it could get lively if UA mech breaks through.<\/p>\n

From the stands it looks difficult, sweaty and anxiety-filled now in the Russian command center. Flickering gaze, shiny forehead and they smell anxiety as they sit there googling about asylum.<\/p>\n

A bit like that reserve major during our final exercise when the whole battalion stood with juice mixers in the middle of the field.<\/p>\n

The Russians will try to attack until they can’t attack anymore and Ukraine is in full control now.<\/p>\n

Up in northern Luhansk the Deepstatemap is unchanged but there were reports that UA is inside and sniffing in Dibrove and then north of Kupiansk they are said to have consolidated the line by crossing the river again.<\/p>\n

All unconfirmed Twitter rumors but I’ll take everything on a day like this \ud83d\ude00\u270a<\/p>\n

We are now reading more and more positively about Germany and they have if not taken the lead at least accelerated quite well here in recent months.<\/p>\n

Take a look at what they have donated so far, looks brilliant and fun to be called Van nowadays \ud83d\udc4d
\nhttps:\/\/www.oryxspioenkop.com\/2022\/09\/fact-sheet-on-german-military-aid-to.html<\/a><\/p>\n

Posted by none other than Erik14 already but anyway Girkin is worried about UA offensive. He shares this concern with Prigozin who is so stressed he has started sending letters by mail to all sorts of people.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1638780365920665601?s=46&t=I63qt17V3H5mBmiIsmMCzA<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:23 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

+ 1 Well written and entertaining!<\/p>\n

Now it\u2019s important to always have chips and dip at home!<\/p>\n

Welcome also to ERIK13, apparently missed his post!?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:33 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Ukraine is far from perfect, that Cossack slipped up once and talked about \u201cAzkenazi\u201d whom Zelensky met to steal money.<\/p>\n

Then there is the whole thing with nationalism which is amplified 100 times in war, to us it sounds a bit silly but to them it is important. Someone asked why Valhalla always came up in the films for example.<\/p>\n

There is probably some war-romanticism too. They officially celebrate Bandera Day.<\/p>\n

But yes, there were nationalist and ultras in large numbers who participated in the ATO and then they have probably phased them out.<\/p>\n

Wild guess is that they are all back and fighting now.<\/p>\n

That said, the Russian sewer soldiers are 100 times worse every day.<\/p>\n

Then I think like this \u2013 the war unites so Zelensky of Jewish descent takes a selfie with a soldier with a totenkopf badge and both wanted to take the selfie?<\/p>\n

Doesn\u2019t that say the most?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:40 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h4>\n

Thanks, that is an encouraging interpretation! You have a wonderful ability to always be positive!<\/p>\n

(Now this will be my last post in this thread, hadn\u2019t seen your post before I wrote the post a bit up).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:22 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Absolutely, put in a disclaimer today that I take everything*<\/p>\n

22 Spetznaz are marked in that area, we know that 14 Spetznaz took heavy losses at Vuhledar and that Spetznaz also fought at Kreminna (north of there) and Soledar.<\/p>\n

Then I thought they all went down to Bakhmut but had to backtrack on that in the end.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not unreasonable but as said a Twitter rumor at best.<\/p>\n

*All unconfirmed Twitter rumors but I take everything on a day like this \ud83d\ude00\u270a<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:42 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

It seems like the T55 came from the Far East (is it still called that or is it Russian Asia something?)
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1638840595014901762?s=46&t=2ayH4g6vMSVSSiqLNwJItw<\/a><\/p>\n

If they had 3000 T80s and 600 T90s the trains would be full of them, period.<\/p>\n

They have probably been in depots in the west and the older models in the east.<\/p>\n

Looking at the pictures of what they have taken they probably had to take those that still work.<\/p>\n

T62 and T55 are absolutely sh@t. Rolling coffins and some debaters try to claim they are good as IFVs and deadly.<\/p>\n

But we got to see T62 in combat in Kherson for example.<\/p>\n

They will probably roll for a month max before they stop at some roadside?<\/p>\n

This is death throes, if you have deployed your last usable units in the battles but can\u2019t bring up armor it\u2019s because you don\u2019t have it.<\/p>\n

Now they don’t perform much better with decent armor anyway, but it gets even worse with the T62 and T55\u2026<\/p>\n

The air force \u2013 we have the same there with technical faults and lack of spare parts + pilot shortage. Not all of the hundreds of planes are flight-ready.<\/p>\n

Then RU has deployed T90S in Ukraine, which are the export version manufactured to order. Someone’s contract is broken.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:46 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Ukraine \u2013 we probably top that \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1638835324120907777?s=46&t=2ayH4g6vMSVSSiqLNwJItw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:47 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Damn, that was supposed to be a reply to the above.<\/p>\n

But everyone probably sees that it’s over.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:21 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Seems like they chose an autumn theme when painting their tanks, ranging from green and rust-red to yellow!
\nStrange camouflage colors for spring?<\/p>\n

I have to say I’m a bit impressed if they manage to get some of those piles of junk moving!<\/p>\n

High risk they break down before they even do any good.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:23 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Now I figured out their plan. They will probably just drag those corpses to the front and use them as tank obstacles instead of those silly pyramids.<\/p>\n

It could actually become a bit tricky to get past if they line them up in double rows!?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:29 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

+1 That looks good!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:07 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

A fitting use \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:20 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

The best defense of Avdiivka feels like going on the offensive in Bakhmut to start with.
\nWhen you have cleared there, you free up several brigades + you shake the Russian command seriously.<\/p>\n

But of course, you have to hold Avdiivka in the meantime.<\/p>\n

If you open a threat against Horlivka, the units at Avdiivka are closest and must be sent there to die.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:23 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

+1 Not a bad idea!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:26 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

It all ends with a dead Russian.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:29 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Since Oxy had to eat crow for putting his reputation on the line that T55 would never be seen in combat in Ukraine, he is now hedging his bets.
\n\u2019<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/oryxspioenkop\/status\/1638846511428562944?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
15:34 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n

I’m a bit more generous, they can play “ole, dole, doff” but replace it with KIA, WIA, POW!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:41 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:03 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Prigozhin is worried.
\nDon’t understand why he doesn’t take Wagner back to Donbass before it’s too late.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/PStyle0ne1\/status\/1638903944771502088?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:03 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Maybe he will?
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/michaeldweiss\/status\/1638914191443607558?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:16 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Interesting.. Is he finally starting to see which way the wind blows..<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

18:05 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Found this about James V<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/johnnyfiveaces1\/status\/1527084112825094145?s=46&t=2ayH4g6vMSVSSiqLNwJItw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

23:03 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Look at that.
\nNow that one writes “a friend of mine” which in turn you don’t get to know who it is..<\/p>\n

You can’t trust anyone.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

06:32 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Has this been posted?
\nIt could get lively ahead<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1639105170373230592?s=46&t=E_h9rBbQSHgMhsyVWR5jHQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

07:25 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

+1<\/p>\n

So we don’t need to be afraid that Russia will get loads of drones from China, they prefer to sell to those who can afford to pay!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:03 \u2013 Johan No.1 Lions (and lionesses!\u2026and if I forgot any group, them too!). https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1638603635989815296?s=46&t=PQgW5Q4P3G8DvDN_LGl2ig Now one should probably be […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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