{"id":7713,"date":"2023-03-24T09:49:35","date_gmt":"2023-03-24T08:49:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-03-24-2\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T14:53:52","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T12:53:52","slug":"2023-03-24-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-03-24-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-03-24"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>09:58 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>It was a bit disappointing that everything sensational we latched onto during the big hacking day yesterday was immediately denied by the Ukrainian leadership, it became a bit difficult to pursue it further then \ud83d\ude00<br \/>\nGood thing it wasn\u2019t Friday yesterday, today is Friday.<\/p>\n<p>Saw this morning that it turned into a night of fighting. I really urge everyone not to take any breaks now that a good loss is just around the corner. Losing Dengamle was sad enough.<br \/>\n(You need to confirm your boat spot soon, Dengamle).<\/p>\n<p>Trump and Putin have at least quarreled.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DarthPutinKGB\/status\/1638966178944020481?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DarthPutinKGB\/status\/1638966178944020481?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Absolute lions, lionesses, vixens and other species.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/flunkertungle9\/status\/1638845705535012866?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/flunkertungle9\/status\/1638845705535012866?s=20<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UKikaski\/status\/1637042674665504768?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/UKikaski\/status\/1637042674665504768?s=20<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1637056792248176641?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1637056792248176641?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The only ones who haven\u2019t understood that this isn\u2019t over yet are actually the Russians.<\/p>\n<p>Russian units live in an information vacuum so they can\u2019t coordinate, but still they are increasingly refusing to fight, area by area. The winter probably wasn\u2019t so fun, ammunition shortages, hunger, blocking battalions, and certain death are clearly being questioned in some places.<\/p>\n<p>The bubble list is boiling as usual \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<p>Right now my Twitter feed is completely flooded with wing grenades against Russians in trenches. You have to give them credit for adapting to the situation as best they can, but they try to cover the trenches with whatever is available in the terrain, not prepared materials like large tarps or camouflage nets \u2013 that\u2019s not enough.<\/p>\n<p>They are completely defenseless and many videos are just murders, but they can also choose to leave Ukraine. The Stuka effect is running 24\/7 and Russians in trenches now sleep with both eyes open.<\/p>\n<p>Yesterday we got info from a living star in the thread that an artillery battery initially had 8 Orlan drones, some broke and they got a few more \u2013 fewer and fewer.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine \u2013 hold my craft beer (am I using that right?)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheDeadDistrict\/status\/1639105170373230592?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheDeadDistrict\/status\/1639105170373230592?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Why not clone something tenfold that has worked excellently.<\/p>\n<p>One of my biggest missteps in this war was when I dismissed the drone weapon as not being the new black after a few months, saying that only swarms of those could be something.<\/p>\n<p>You probably can\u2019t be more wrong and it\u2019s lucky that the Russians are as unintelligent as the undersigned.<\/p>\n<p>The funniest thing is probably that it\u2019s China selling the knife that delivers the deadly swarm.<\/p>\n<p>Iran\u2019s chief mullah gets completely owned on Twitter, I laughed so hard I cried.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/reshetz\/status\/1639007453189742593?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/reshetz\/status\/1639007453189742593?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Now the Russians have given up at Vuhledar, the southern front never got going, what has happened in northern Luhansk is what I\u2019m most curious about (a swarm of ground hornets?), in Bakhmut they are abandoning Wagner and instead putting everything into the metropolis and the war-deciding Avdiivka\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Avdiivka can be lost and it won\u2019t affect anything, but it would be good if they could hold the city, and right now it\u2019s not at all on the verge of falling \u2013 looks good in my opinion, they are hitting the Russians from all directions now \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<p>Then UA is pushing forward beyond consolidation battles in Bakhmut right now.<\/p>\n<p>And rumors are circulating about a Russian spring offensive, one really hopes for one.<\/p>\n<p>Night and day, yin and yang \u2013 <\/p>\n<p>The Russians are pulling T55s out of storage.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1638840595014901762?s=46&amp;t=2ayH4g6vMSVSSiqLNwJItw\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1638840595014901762?s=46&amp;t=2ayH4g6vMSVSSiqLNwJItw<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Ukrainian workshops have serviced 3000 vehicles that are back in combat (could be the same ones multiple times!).<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1638835324120907777?s=46&amp;t=2ayH4g6vMSVSSiqLNwJItw\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1638835324120907777?s=46&amp;t=2ayH4g6vMSVSSiqLNwJItw<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here Noel has summarized Russian T90 losses, quite a few.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ukraine_map\/status\/1638367234962726913?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ukraine_map\/status\/1638367234962726913?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<p>My impression is that Russia does not have front-line workshops and not as well-developed workshops as Ukraine and all of Eastern Europe, so many of their vehicles have either been left behind in rear areas or in large depot areas down in Crimea, Rostov-on-Don, Donbass and Belgorod.<\/p>\n<p>You understand how many vehicles Ukraine will have going forward when they roll into these depots down in Crimea and the darkest Donbass.<\/p>\n<p>I also don\u2019t think Abrams are needed and the US has a delivery just as a threat but preferably they want the war to be over \u2013 that\u2019s what I think.<\/p>\n<p>I have believed since last spring that we are being fooled by the fact that Russian BTGs are going towards zero and that UA is conserving lives and I still believe that.<\/p>\n<p>Now the Russian spring offensive is dangled in front of us as an existential threat but it can only be more of the same but with fewer numbers and T55s.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine holds firmly to the baton and when they decide to go on the offensive they do it, trust the plan (TM Qanon).<\/p>\n<p>For a year the slime gnome (TM to the medalist, I laughed until I cried) has managed \u2013<br \/>\n(stolen from some forum, sharing is caring)<br \/>\n-Another 1300 km of NATO border against the country.<br \/>\n-The Baltic Sea is now a NATO inland sea.<br \/>\n-Europe\u2019s strongest army is in Ukraine.<br \/>\n-The free West is united on most things.<br \/>\n-Russian problems are obvious to all, not least the inability to oppress their neighboring countries.<br \/>\n-The Russian military with VDV, Spetsnaz and its proud history is absolutely humiliated,<br \/>\n-The economic damage we won\u2019t fully understand for a good while, the country is completely crashed.<br \/>\n-Visa problems and general Russophobia.<br \/>\n-The president himself is a wanted fugitive.<\/p>\n<p>Russia should soon turn inward in my opinion but maybe they need to get it really rubbed in their face first and that\u2019s what UA has been preparing for since last fall and what they are now setting the starting blocks for.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a geopolitical atomic bomb and I wonder how fun the Russian elite think this is?<\/p>\n<p>They went from Londongrad and billions in Switzerland to being wanted and renimbi in a year\u2026<\/p>\n<p>China and Russia are not good friends and if we can see that it\u2019s a dysfunctional relationship with only one winner, the Russian elite can also see that.<\/p>\n<p>Then I wonder how the Chinese feel about standing on the same side as Russia IF there are sanctions \u2013 many will probably think it unnecessary.<\/p>\n<p>Russia is not invited to the next summit China is having with everyone \u2013 everywhere. Speaks volumes in my opinion.<\/p>\n<p>Death to Putin and may Russia turn inward \u270a<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>10:13 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>+1 Good review!<br \/>\nAll the pieces are starting to fall into place! The bubble that Russia turns inward might be the best..<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>06:41 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Brilliant night shift as usual by Erik14 and Matsextrude stayed awake longer than normal, lots of interesting information to start the day with \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<p>I understand how Biden feels when he gets his early bird, we are all presidents.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>06:55 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>They adapt<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1639452077431701504?s=46&amp;t=IwzjvGIqlvQEWWM7npoSJQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1639452077431701504?s=46&amp;t=IwzjvGIqlvQEWWM7npoSJQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>09:33 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>09:58 \u2013 Johan No.1 It was a bit 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