{"id":7871,"date":"2023-05-11T09:21:20","date_gmt":"2023-05-11T07:21:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-05-11-2\/"},"modified":"2026-09-25T09:02:53","modified_gmt":"2026-09-25T07:02:53","slug":"2023-05-11-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-05-11-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-05-11"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>09:26 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Just wrote in yesterday\u2019s thread that the Dutch at work report that the Netherlands is in the final phase of agreeing with Denmark and Germany on F-16s for Ukraine, very close.<\/p>\n<p>Also remembered that UA has \u201cseveral dozen trained pilots\u201d so they are one air route away from being deployed in combat.<\/p>\n<p>No reason to distrust them so F-16s in UA after a while now seems confirmed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>09:37 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>+16 Hope it doesn\u2019t take long!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>09:39 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>The details around the Azov attack near Bakhmut are becoming known and it\u2019s what we guessed \u2013 RU is low on armored vehicles in Bakhmut and Azov chased them around with infantry fighting vehicles and tanks like glorified bouncing prey.<\/p>\n<p>MT wrote this morning that Ukraine War report reports a shortage of close-range anti-tank weapons. It\u2019s a thesis we have pushed for a long time in the thread that they would have a shortage of anti-tank missiles and close-range AT weapons, and if it turns out to be true it will be a violent summer.x<\/p>\n<p>We saw at the T-junction how the anti-tank missile missed when the tank triggered an explosion in the ground and one should probably be very clear that the effect of close-range AT and missiles is directly correlated to experience and handling. You have to expose yourself when shooting and direct fire on the target from attacking mechanized units is very strong visual and auditory stimuli. Inexperienced shooting might get off a shot but miss.<\/p>\n<p>The defense should have learned from the southern front and disguised themselves as families instead and sat down in the forest rather than fleeing the tanks on foot \u2013 has rarely worked since some genius came up with putting soldiers on horses and giving them long pointed spears.<\/p>\n<p>It seems more like a massacre than a battle and the counterattack from the task force apparently failed completely as well. Since the area is supposed to be crawling with VDV I wonder if the counterattack was VDV or not, I have no information on that.<\/p>\n<p>To be sympathetic to the Russians, they had apparently taken these positions relatively recently but that\u2019s probably how it looks around all of Bakhmut I think \u2013 they have focused on taking Bakhmut not on defending themselves.<\/p>\n<p>If Wagner lost 500 in that battle as Prigozhin said then they took 10% losses of what they have left in one day, they would have about 5000 left. I have no idea if that is true and am going by Prigozhin\u2019s word here.<\/p>\n<p>Now Gregg, and others, write that they continue attacking in the same area so they are expanding and exploiting that breakthrough for a more extensive combat objective. One can thus assume this was a sub-goal.<\/p>\n<p>I maintain that those were not reconnaissance battles \u2013 reconnaissance battles are with platoon (possibly company) strength and you fight reconnaissance until you make contact and then withdraw \u2013 that is the definition of combat reconnaissance. In reconnaissance you don\u2019t even seek combat but only observe.<\/p>\n<p>I maintain that we have gotten the details because Prigozhin outed it all on Telegram.<\/p>\n<p>There are also battles up towards Soledar, in the built-up area of Bakhmut, north of Bakhmut, Avdiivka, Vuhledar, Kreminna and Kupiansk as well \u2013 intensity unknown on all due to opsec.<\/p>\n<p>In this Bakhmut attack I think territorial forces first fought in the area and then the 3rd Assault brigade slipped in for a larger operation that broke through immediately.<\/p>\n<p>There are over 20 UA brigades at the Bakhmut front\u2026<\/p>\n<p>I know of a total of three attack vectors in Bakhmut where they have had successes but only this one do we have details on.<\/p>\n<p>Then they have apparently flattened the Russians quite a bit in the built-up area of Bakhmut with artillery \u2013 they have five artillery brigades along this front from SW of Bakhmut up to Soledar, a forest of barrels.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s full opsec that applies and we also have a 3-day delay on everything.<\/p>\n<p>If Budanov has managed to fool the combat leadership with my battle plan they start with the scope in Bakhmut quickly followed by crossing the Dnipro and then the Azov push while keeping pressure up between Vuhledar \u2013 Horlivka. And northern Luhansk keeps going.<br \/>\n(I have to find that long post but I think it was like that)<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll see, there were many yellow thumbs up when I sent that plan on WhatsApp because they had planned to put everything on one card straight into the city of Donetsk for some reason I never understood, with the Leopards first as well.<\/p>\n<p>Bakhmut is developing into the kind of offensive we can expect when we see how UA has acted before but the area is poorly defended just like northern Luhansk is poorly defended and you get advance.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Great Offensive,\u201d Desert Storm when UA reaches legendary level with violent aggressive breakthroughs, mines and all that just like we learned in Saving Private Ryan \u2013 that is presumably at the southern front.<br \/>\nThat\u2019s because you have to break through very well-prepared defenses so you can\u2019t fight the way you do in Bakhmut and up in northern Luhansk (famous last words).<\/p>\n<p>TheDeadDistrict thought yesterday that the offensive had been going on for a week, so a day or two before we rang the bell on May 4 in the thread. I think it\u2019s obvious that these are not \u201creconnaissance battles\u201d at Bakhmut and we only know of one of at least three attacks there yet.<\/p>\n<p>At Bakhmut the offensive has presumably started, it\u2019s not reasonable that these are reconnaissance battles.<\/p>\n<p>About a week ago yesterday according to Deaddistrict so between May 2-4?<br \/>\nConsider that we get all information with a three-day delay as well.<br \/>\nFor me that fits.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1656203422352171010?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1656203422352171010?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>David D whom I respect to read because he has a physical board with the units in his living room is also of the opinion that the offensive started \u201ca little while ago\u201d.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1656203422352171010?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1656203422352171010?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The window to start offensive operations must be initiated and they have started in Bakhmut.<\/p>\n<p>Our thought has been that within a window most fronts start simultaneously and since the reconnaissance battles have been fought across all fronts it looks like it\u2019s going in that direction.<\/p>\n<p>This would then mean that we very soon will start getting information about movements at the southern front and Dnipro, my thought was crossing the Dnipro first or simultaneously with advances at the southern front and then the marine brigades that are rampaging between Kinburn spit and the Crimea bridges or being shipped across the Dnipro.<\/p>\n<p>3rd Assault brigade has personal weapons and support weapons from the West, drives M113 and then Soviet tanks. Probably also lots of Western ATGMs.<\/p>\n<p>It is a brigade with Western weapons but not Leo, Bradley, CV90 or Challenger if I understand this correctly.<\/p>\n<p>For the undersigned I interpret the battles around Bakhmut as UA having achieved great successes very fast \u2013 an enormous positive that they have cut through Russian defenses as they have, sensational.<\/p>\n<p>And then UA is probably still holding back their best brigades for a violent offensive and breakthrough at the southern front which is this war\u2019s hardest operation.<\/p>\n<p>I have a hard time sitting still and have completely forgotten that I have a job here.<\/p>\n<p>Then I ask you to read the text in the tweet below, SECTORS \u2013 plural. It\u2019s not just at one place but several where RU has faltered around Bakhmut \u2013 this is probably bigger than what we know.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656335799087157249?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656335799087157249?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I don\u2019t know where the 93rd Brigade is fighting in Bakhmut but here is a video of them walking among destroyed trucks in the Russians\u2019 rear \u2013 they have taken terrain, how much is unknown.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656369854016811010?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656369854016811010?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>David D with the analog wall map with units is apparently an old veteran of the higher school. Now you don\u2019t dare write to him anymore when you only did your military service \ud83d\ude22<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1656364923218194447?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1656364923218194447?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Drone swarm on the way<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rybar_en\/status\/1656052065142034435?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/rybar_en\/status\/1656052065142034435?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Russian barbarians really have their subversive tentacles straight into the West, they should be cut off legally.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.expressen.se\/nyheter\/kremls-hemliga-plan-falska-protester-mot-erdogan-och-turkiet\/\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.expressen.se\/nyheter\/kremls-hemliga-plan-falska-protester-mot-erdogan-och-turkiet\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This kind of thing always makes you too positive and now it\u2019s the end of boats and high seas for a while but with the success they have had at Bakhmut, and that it is early May, it feels like a lot will happen before summer is over \u2013 the previous assessment stands that the war will end this summer (and summer is long in Ukraine, the last leaf probably falls in October \ud83d\ude00).<\/p>\n<p>Then we must not forget that thousands if not tens of thousands of Ukrainians will fall in this offensive and the country will pay a terrible price for this. At T0504 there were 5-6 destroyed M113s, PTGBs and some tank so UA is taking heavy losses now as the attacking party.<\/p>\n<p>The difference from the Russians\u2019 suicide attacks where they run with drawn sabers screaming across the fields is that they achieve their combat objectives and inflict existential damage on RU.<\/p>\n<p>The large scale at Bakhmut has presumably started.<\/p>\n<p>Now we are waiting for the Azov thrust aka the chess move and the revolving door in northern Luhansk is probably chugging along?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>09:40 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>The details about the Azov attack at Bakhmut are starting to become known and it\u2019s what we have guessed \u2013 RU is low on armored vehicles in Bakhmut and Azov chased them around with armored personnel carriers and tanks like glorified hopping prey.<\/p>\n<p>MT wrote this morning that Ukraine War report reports a shortage of anti-tank guided missiles. It\u2019s a thesis we have pushed for a long time in the thread that they would have a shortage of ATGMs and anti-tank weapons and if it turns out to be true it will be a violent summer.x<\/p>\n<p>We saw at the T-junction how the ATGM missed when the tank triggered a mine in the ground and you should probably be very clear that the effectiveness of anti-tank weapons and missiles is directly correlated to experience and handling. You have to expose yourself when you shoot and direct fire on the target from attacking mechanized units is very strong visual and auditory stimuli. Inexperienced shooting might get off a shot but miss.<\/p>\n<p>The defense should have learned from the southern front and disguised themselves as families with children instead and sat down in the forest rather than fleeing from the tanks on foot \u2013 it has rarely worked since some genius came up with putting soldiers on horses and giving them long pointed spears.<\/p>\n<p>It seems more like a massacre than a battle and the counterattack from the task force apparently failed completely as well. Since the area is supposed to be full of VDV I wonder if the counterattack was VDV or not, I have no information on that.<\/p>\n<p>To be sympathetic to the Russians, they apparently took these positions relatively recently but I think it looks like that all around Bakhmut \u2013 they have focused on taking Bakhmut not on defending themselves.<\/p>\n<p>If Wagner lost 500 in that battle as Prigozhin said then they took 10% losses of what they have left in one day, they would have 5000 left. I have no idea if that is true and am going by Prigozhin\u2019s word here.<\/p>\n<p>Now Gregg, and others, write that they continue attacking in the same area so they are expanding and exploiting that breakthrough for a more extensive combat objective. So one can assume this was a sub-objective.<\/p>\n<p>I maintain that those were not reconnaissance battles \u2013 reconnaissance battles are with platoon (possibly company) strength and you conduct combat reconnaissance until you make contact and then withdraw \u2013 that is the definition of combat reconnaissance. In reconnaissance you don\u2019t even seek battle but only observe.<\/p>\n<p>I maintain that we have gotten the details because Prigozhin outed it all on Telegram.<\/p>\n<p>There are also battles up towards Soledar, in the Bakhmut settlement, north of Bakhmut, Avdiivka, Vuhledar, Kreminna and Kupiansk too \u2013 intensity unknown on all due to opsec.<\/p>\n<p>In this Bakhmut attack I think territorial forces fought in the area first and then the 3rd Assault brigade slid in for a larger operation that broke through immediately.<\/p>\n<p>There are over 20 UA brigades at the Bakhmut front\u2026<\/p>\n<p>I know of a total of three attack vectors in Bakhmut where they have had successes but only this one do we have details about.<\/p>\n<p>Then they have apparently flattened the Russians quite a bit in the Bakhmut settlement with artillery \u2013 they have five artillery brigades along this front from SW of Bakhmut up to Soledar, a forest of barrels.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s full opsec and we also have a 3-day delay on everything.<\/p>\n<p>If Budanov has managed to fool the combat leadership with my battle plan then they start with the scale in Bakhmut quickly followed by crossing the Dnieper and then the Azov thrust while keeping up the pressure between Vuhledar \u2013 Horlivka. And northern Luhansk is chugging along.<br \/>\n(I have to find that long post but I think it was like that)<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll see, there were many yellow thumbs up when I sent that plan on WhatsApp because they had planned to put everything on one card straight into the city of Donetsk for some reason I never understood, with the Leopards first as well.<\/p>\n<p>Bakhmut is developing into the kind of offensive we can expect when we see how UA has acted before but the area is poorly defended just like northern Luhansk is poorly defended and they are making progress.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Great Offensive\u201d, Desert Storm when UA reaches legendary level with violent aggressive breakthroughs, mines and all that just like we learned in Saving Private Ryan \u2013 it is presumably at the southern front.<br \/>\nThat\u2019s because you have to break through very well prepared defenses so you can\u2019t fight the way you do in Bakhmut and up in northern Luhansk (famous last words).<\/p>\n<p>TheDeadDistrict thought yesterday that the offensive has been going on for a week, so a day or two before we rang the bell on May 4 in the thread. I think it\u2019s obvious that these are not \u201creconnaissance battles\u201d at Bakhmut and we only know of one of at least three attacks there yet.<\/p>\n<p>In Bakhmut the offensive has presumably started, it is not reasonable that these are reconnaissance battles.<\/p>\n<p>About a week ago yesterday according to Deaddistrict so between May 2-4?<br \/>\nConsider that we get all information with a three-day delay too.<br \/>\nFor me that fits.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1656203422352171010?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1656203422352171010?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>David D whom I respect to read because he has a physical board with the units in his living room also believes the offensive started \u201ca little while ago\u201d.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1656203422352171010?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1656203422352171010?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3LuedkMKSZA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The window to begin offensive operations must have opened and they have started in Bakhmut.<\/p>\n<p>Our thought has probably been that within a window, simultaneous starts occur on most fronts, and since reconnaissance battles have been fought across all fronts, it looks like it\u2019s heading in that direction.<\/p>\n<p>This would then mean that we will very soon start to get information about movements on the southern front and the Dnipro; my thought was crossing the Dnipro first or simultaneously with advances on the southern front, and then the marine brigades wreaking havoc between Kinburn Spit and the Crimean bridges or being shipped across the Dnipro.<\/p>\n<p>The 3rd Assault Brigade has personal weapons and reinforcement weapons from the West, operates M113s and then Soviet tanks. Probably also lots of Western ATGMs.<\/p>\n<p>It is a brigade with Western weapons but not Leo, Bradley, CV90, or Challenger if I understand this correctly.<\/p>\n<p>For the undersigned, I interpret the battles around Bakhmut as UA having achieved great successes very quickly \u2013 an enormous positive that they have cut through Russian defenses as they have, sensational.<\/p>\n<p>And then UA is probably still holding back their best brigades for a violent offensive and breakthrough on the southern front, which is the hardest operation of this war.<\/p>\n<p>I find it hard to sit still and have completely forgotten that I have a job here.<\/p>\n<p>Then I ask you to read the text in the tweet below, SECTORS \u2013 plural. It is not just at one place but several where RU has faltered around Bakhmut \u2013 this is probably bigger than we know.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656335799087157249?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656335799087157249?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I do not know where the 93rd Brigade is fighting in Bakhmut but here is a video when they are walking among destroyed trucks in the Russians\u2019 rear \u2013 they have taken terrain, how much is unknown.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656369854016811010?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656369854016811010?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>David D with the analog wall map with units is apparently an old veteran of the higher school. Now one dares not write to him anymore when one only did the conscript service \ud83d\ude22<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1656364923218194447?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1656364923218194447?s=46&amp;t=RGJNj9z_l4MCA0ApK8WOfQ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Drone swarm on the way<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rybar_en\/status\/1656052065142034435?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/rybar_en\/status\/1656052065142034435?s=46&amp;t=J0IY2Dmyk3XlMuedkMKSZA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Russian barbarians really have their subversive tentacles straight into the West, they should be cut off legally.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.expressen.se\/nyheter\/kremls-hemliga-plan-falska-protester-mot-erdogan-och-turkiet\/\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.expressen.se\/nyheter\/kremls-hemliga-plan-falska-protester-mot-erdogan-och-turkiet\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This kind of thing always makes one too positive and now it\u2019s the end of boats and high seas for a while but with the success they have had at Bakhmut, and that it is early May, it feels like a lot will happen before summer ends \u2013 the earlier assessment stands that the war will be over this summer (and summer is long in Ukraine, the last leaf probably falls in October \ud83d\ude00).<\/p>\n<p>Then we must not forget that thousands if not tens of thousands of Ukrainians will fall in this offensive and the country will pay a terrible price for this. At T0504 there were 5-6 destroyed M113s, ATGMs, and some tanks so UA is taking heavy losses now as the attacking party.<\/p>\n<p>The difference from the Russians\u2019 suicide attacks where they run with drawn sabers screaming across the fields is that they achieve their combat objectives and inflict existential damage on RU.<\/p>\n<p>The large scale at Bakhmut has presumably started.<\/p>\n<p>Now we wait for the Azov thrust aka the chess move and the revolving door in northern Luhansk is probably chugging along?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>09:41 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>Sorry for thread spamming \ud83d\ude10<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>10:09 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>Dengamle \u2013 I think the events on the ground support your hunting rights.<br \/>\nThe document is signed and sent and applies immediately so your indisputable right to as much criticism as you want is restored \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>10:13 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>+100 <\/p>\n<p>Spring is definitely here!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>10:21 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>Then I am aware that you invented the cavalry a bit by accident and maybe haven\u2019t gotten full credit for it in history writing but it was your merit. If I remember correctly you got on a horse you used for transport to reach a very red apple and used a long stick because it was too high up.<\/p>\n<p>It was at the same time as the rest of the village formed up to fight with the neighboring village and since you managed to poke the horse in the eye with the stick it bolted straight through the neighboring village\u2019s formation and their shaman was impaled on the stick, the apple was there too. The neighboring village immediately folded and somewhat surprised you received the village\u2019s cheers where you sat on the horse eating the apple.<\/p>\n<p>The rumor spread and the cavalry was born, for quite a while red pennants were used on the lances until the late 1800s which originated from your red apple on the stick.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s how it went, it was lively and improvised back then \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>10:27 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>That\u2019s it \ud83d\ude00\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>10:27 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>Saw that you proved it mathematically below \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-3\">\n<h5>10:54 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n<p>Ha, ha, wonderful! Think of all DENGAMLE has been through! \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-3\">\n<h5>12:31 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n<p>Exactly, irrefutable evidence too! \ud83d\ude09<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>12:58 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>UA forward southwest of Vuhledar according to twitter god. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1656571938179895297?s=46&amp;t=7Gt5ltNBjIULf6pq39k_aw\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1656571938179895297?s=46&amp;t=7Gt5ltNBjIULf6pq39k_aw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>12:59 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1656563677812727808?s=46&amp;t=7Gt5ltNBjIULf6pq39k_aw\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1656563677812727808?s=46&amp;t=7Gt5ltNBjIULf6pq39k_aw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>13:19 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>Just lies!<br \/>\nZelensky has said the offensive can\u2019t start yet! \ud83d\ude09<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>13:37 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Russian armor on the way to reinforce Bakhmut \ud83d\udc47<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1656573845791285250?s=46&amp;t=7Gt5ltNBjIULf6pq39k_aw\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1656573845791285250?s=46&amp;t=7Gt5ltNBjIULf6pq39k_aw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>13:58 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Now this one popped up, same show every time I always hit the mark with Accentman \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<p>Now you understand it\u2019s not reconnaissance battles, he can also draw on the map which makes it clearer.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/V2xK5CuhCJI\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/youtu.be\/V2xK5CuhCJI<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>13:59 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>That looks like the beginning of a breakthrough \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>14:00 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>Check out Accentman below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>14:35 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>The rat buses are leaving Kherson<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656635343695650825?s=46&amp;t=YUpiHYn9EZRseuJjmNxL1A\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656635343695650825?s=46&amp;t=YUpiHYn9EZRseuJjmNxL1A<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-3\">\n<h5>14:52 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n<p>Sorry! I will stop trying to be funny through irony. \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>15:03 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>+1 <\/p>\n<p>Ah, you missed him this morning in yesterday\u2019s thread? <\/p>\n<p>I thought a couple of months ago that they were about to take care of that flank when they made some smaller attack. Then nothing more happened. <\/p>\n<p>Great to see they are finally running them over!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>15:06 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>+1 Another sign that they are fleeing.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>15:13 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>I missed him\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-3\">\n<h5>15:25 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n<p>Understand if you didn\u2019t get my weak attempt at irony earlier!<\/p>\n<p>He is often a day or two ahead of DeepStateMap and now that it has started moving offensively it\u2019s hard to wait for the next video\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>19:28 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>18:40 \u2013 I am seriously behind, we had lots of meetings with the client and one day when I have processed this trauma there will be a post about what it\u2019s like to work in one of Africa\u2019s most chaotic countries \u2013 every day is chaos.<\/p>\n<p>So the joy of reading that the offensive is picking up in Bakhmut helps like balm.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-4\">\n<h6>19:38 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h6>\n<p>I am the one who stops with laughing yellow faces, I will start using them again \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-4\">\n<h6>19:39 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h6>\n<p>I seem to have totally lost focus here \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>22:11 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Things are going well now \ud83d\udc47<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656753475563188224?s=46&amp;t=uI8NUyLKT3RMV_H1Xc3-DQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1656753475563188224?s=46&amp;t=uI8NUyLKT3RMV_H1Xc3-DQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>22:13 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Lots of indirect fire in the reconnaissance battles\ud83d\udc47<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/azovsouth\/status\/1656751344600993792?s=46&amp;t=uI8NUyLKT3RMV_H1Xc3-DQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/azovsouth\/status\/1656751344600993792?s=46&amp;t=uI8NUyLKT3RMV_H1Xc3-DQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>22:34 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Have you seen this? Amid all the chaos, they have kept their sense of humor \ud83d\ude00\ud83d\udc4d\ud83d\udc47<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/friaukraina\/status\/1656748143310958607?s=46&amp;t=uI8NUyLKT3RMV_H1Xc3-DQ\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/friaukraina\/status\/1656748143310958607?s=46&amp;t=uI8NUyLKT3RMV_H1Xc3-DQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>07:46 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Apparently chaos among the Russians according to themselves.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1656891350808252419?s=46&amp;t=vl2E0IR7YnEXvqBV71n0Yw\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1656891350808252419?s=46&amp;t=vl2E0IR7YnEXvqBV71n0Yw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>09:26 \u2013 Johan No.1 Just wrote in yesterday\u2019s thread that the Dutch at work report that the Netherlands is in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7871","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraine","category-arkiv01"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>2023-05-11 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-05-11-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2023-05-11 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"09:26 \u2013 Johan No.1 Just wrote in yesterday\u2019s thread that 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