{"id":8100,"date":"2023-08-03T09:45:05","date_gmt":"2023-08-03T07:45:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-08-03-2\/"},"modified":"2026-09-26T11:21:50","modified_gmt":"2026-09-26T09:21:50","slug":"2023-08-03-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-08-03"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:51 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Good morning thread and once again thanks Erik14 for a solid night shift \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n

Today is a special day with too much work for some strange reason.<\/p>\n

\u201dNow the tanks are rolling \ud83d\udc4a\u201d is probably about time to write but without an exciting story built up over weeks so we just write that.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

11:21 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Good morning!<\/p>\n

I who praised your endurance with your essays in yesterday\u2019s thread, so no essay today? Hate chance, I shouldn\u2019t have written anything! \ud83e\udd23<\/p>\n

Guess I\u2019ll have to read yesterday\u2019s again if the withdrawal gets too hard.<\/p>\n

Take it easy so you don\u2019t get exhausted from having to work!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:16 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Very spot on \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:10 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

P6 and P8 are probably what\u2019s interesting and why people have started biting their nails. It\u2019s still too early to predict anything but as you write IF Ukraine enters the season with poor ground bearing capacity, everything stops, Russia mobilizes and they give the West an enormous list of materiel they need because they have shot everything \u2013 no one today can say how the West will react, it\u2019s uncharted territory.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s probably also why Ukraine is betting everything on one card here, I guess.<\/p>\n

You actually have three scenarios on the table \u2013 the army refuses war\/the army conducts spontaneous retreat or palace coup are the two least likely in my opinion.<\/p>\n

The most likely scenario is that Putin et.al declare a smashing victory and to save world peace they leave all of Ukraine. The question is the naval base in Crimea but there Ukraine might be forced to give in. If Putin et. al. fail to read the room (which apparently is a very Russian trait) then the others will kick in.<\/p>\n

Then power can quietly be transferred to the next candidate, Patrushev?, and everyone in the elite can continue to enrich themselves.<\/p>\n

My two cents.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:24 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Ukraine has hit a ship \ud83d\udc47
\n(Better than third?)<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/golub\/status\/1687347193579966464?s=46&t=PX-UBFAdPi8WpOAy44JheQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:24 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Shoigu admires the technical marvel CV90<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1687347024746729472?s=46&t=PX-UBFAdPi8WpOAy44JheQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:26 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Forgot \u2013 better than third on that?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:30 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:33 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h4>\n

Yes, the silver medal is yours!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:51 \u2013 Johan No.1 Good morning thread and once again thanks Erik14 for a solid night shift \ud83d\udc4d Today is […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8100","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraine","category-arkiv01"],"yoast_head":"\n2023-08-03 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2023-08-03 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"10:51 \u2013 Johan No.1 Good morning thread and once again thanks Erik14 for a solid night shift \ud83d\udc4d Today is […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Johan No.1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-08-03T07:45:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-26T09:21:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"johan No.1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"johan No.1\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2023-08-03-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2023-08-03-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"johan No.1\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7\"},\"headline\":\"2023-08-03\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-08-03T07:45:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-26T09:21:50+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2023-08-03-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":375,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Ukraine war\",\"Arkiv01\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2023-08-03-2\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2023-08-03-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2023-08-03-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"2023-08-03 -\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-08-03T07:45:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-26T09:21:50+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2023-08-03-2\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2023-08-03-2\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2023-08-03-2\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Hem\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"2023-08-03\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"Johan No.1\",\"description\":\"News and analysis about the war in Ukraine and other global events in world politics and security.\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Johan No. 1\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/cropped-No1-Logo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/cropped-No1-Logo.png\",\"width\":512,\"height\":512,\"caption\":\"Johan No. 1\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7\",\"name\":\"johan No.1\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"johan No.1\"},\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/author\\\/johan\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"2023-08-03 -","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"2023-08-03 -","og_description":"10:51 \u2013 Johan No.1 Good morning thread and once again thanks Erik14 for a solid night shift \ud83d\udc4d Today is […]","og_url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/","og_site_name":"Johan No.1","article_published_time":"2023-08-03T07:45:05+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-09-26T09:21:50+00:00","author":"johan No.1","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"johan No.1","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/"},"author":{"name":"johan No.1","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7"},"headline":"2023-08-03","datePublished":"2023-08-03T07:45:05+00:00","dateModified":"2026-09-26T09:21:50+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/"},"wordCount":375,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#organization"},"articleSection":["Ukraine war","Arkiv01"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/","name":"2023-08-03 -","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2023-08-03T07:45:05+00:00","dateModified":"2026-09-26T09:21:50+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2023-08-03-2\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Hem","item":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"2023-08-03"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/","name":"Johan No.1","description":"News and analysis about the war in Ukraine and other global events in world politics and security.","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#organization","name":"Johan No. 1","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-No1-Logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-No1-Logo.png","width":512,"height":512,"caption":"Johan No. 1"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7","name":"johan No.1","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"johan No.1"},"url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/author\/johan\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8100","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8100"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8100\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8101,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8100\/revisions\/8101"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8100"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}