{"id":8846,"date":"2024-02-21T10:02:36","date_gmt":"2024-02-21T09:02:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2024-02-21-2\/"},"modified":"2026-09-28T08:03:37","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T06:03:37","slug":"2024-02-21-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-02-21-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2024-02-21"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:42 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

The Lions
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1759311647011741987?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

ATACMS is back, woohoo \ud83d\udca5\ud83d\udca5
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/bayraktar_1love\/status\/1760044262018691168?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

While the Russians are losing fields with equipment, they managed to show off a whole Bradley and some HUMVEEs as war trophies from Avdiivka, they shot a handful of prisoners and UA took some losses during the urnesting. What a choice that uninjured soldier made who stayed with his comrades who could not be moved and was then shot dead. How would one have acted oneself and did this good deed serve any purpose at all except that for the faithful it was a deed that counts.<\/p>\n

And Murz is shot \u2013 he went bananas over Russian losses in Avdiivka and was found dead. Does anyone here feel that the stress level is starting to get quite high in the Russian leadership, I think so \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

What a damn support package it was yesterday \u2013 could \u201cunspecified underwater combat systems\u201d be some submarines (not seriously meant). The only thing missing was maybe Gripen.
\nCombat Boat 90 is almost perfect for landings with a lot of fire on the target so the defense down on Crimea and between Kinburn Spit \u2013 Crimea must be trembling for countless hit-and-runs with them going forward instead of on jet skis.
\nLooks good going forward because Hungary is probably completely cornered now and will not dare to try to obstruct again in next week\u2019s vote \u2013 next week the door is presumably open?<\/p>\n

In the speculation about what is shooting down all the modern Russian aircraft, no one has really discussed SOF with manpads, right?
\nNot everything needs to be Patriot, since it is repetitive bombings of Avdiivka for example where they do the same approach daily, a SOF group would know exactly where to position themselves to get a hit.
\nOr it\u2019s Patriot or something else \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

China can hardly take a clearer stance against Russia than this, right? All the pessimists who claim otherwise have never had proof, only assumptions.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1759680860909932866?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

I believe China\u2019s (possible) mediation behind the scenes should be seen in light of the fact that they themselves want an end to the war rather than trying to get a win for Russia but that is my opinion.<\/p>\n

That Dubai is now also starting to close Russian accounts is hugely significant, just like China stopping doing banking with Russia. No transactions, nothing, right?
\nThe oligarch wives will soon become our era\u2019s great peace advocates, \u201cout of Ukraine now\u201d will be chanted so it echoes in the penthouses in Moscow\u2019s finer neighborhoods when weekend trips to Dubai are cut \ud83d\ude00
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/nexta_tv\/status\/1759508247923290558?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

When you know that Poland imported a lot of grain from Russia during 2023, you really wonder how they can block Ukraine \u2013 it is such an obvious Russian subversive activity and very strange that the country has not managed to address this yet.
\nYesterday they became violent and some driver was assaulted and a lot of grain on trains was spilled on the ground \u2013 Poland should take it easy because they have built up a decent amount of goodwill but if they start falling back into this it could blow up fast.
\nSince the actions are illegal, and now also criminal, it is presumably a police matter?
\nLike saving the minks got to block Arlanda for five months and no one did anything.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/friaukraina\/status\/1759312459326697765?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

I took from Surtrutn to refrain from domestic politics but a certain party surprises daily right now, I almost feel sorry for them.
\nSwitching to another OT \u2013 with CO2 emissions, vegetation has apparently increased sharply I read. If one may guess, increased CO2 emissions contribute to increased greenery which reduces CO2 emissions?
\nI don\u2019t know if there is any correlation the other way around \ud83d\ude00
\nEnd of guest appearance in biology.<\/p>\n

When you see the German deindustrialization, you understand why they jumped on all weapons contracts and cooperation with UA \u2013 business is business.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/peverhill\/status\/1756599510434713947?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

I was quite wrong about UA\u2019s promise of \u201can eye for an eye\u201d when the Russian rocket rain started this winter \u2013 RU has shown continued willingness to shoot rockets at Ukraine despite burning oil industry.
\nHowever, the rocket campaign is an absolute violent failure \u2013 last year the density was about a hundred rockets and 2-3 week intervals I think and LV was not sufficiently developed.
\nNow they can probably send off 35 at best, often significantly fewer, they have shortened the window by a few days and then Ukraine shoots down 90% of the rockets on a good day. Including those that cannot be shot down.
\nThe tube air defense probably works as it should because shaheds and other junk are heavily decimated during approach \u2013 poor return for 1.5 tons of gold that the Russians paid \ud83e\udd23\ud83e\udd23
\nUnclear if all 6000 have been delivered or if that is the contract.
\nIf anyone has the total number it would be interesting, there were 300 shot down early January sometime, they topped up with a North Korean and then they had 850 total or something?
\nThe production plants for rockets all seem to have had technical faults so I don\u2019t think new production is ramping up directly.<\/p>\n

This one is highly interesting, the key witness against Hunter Biden had contact with FSB. Ok, he may not be the best child of God but the Russians have actively been involved and reinforced and whipped up opinion and that is what is important.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/rpsagainsttrump\/status\/1760065012649894195?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Biggest losses in BMP by far in the family of armored vehicles.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/verekerrichard1\/status\/1754271079575519434?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

This one is good ammunition when someone says that RU is saving its best vehicles, T62 and T54-55 are low and T80 and T72 high in the category of turret kills.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/verekerrichard1\/status\/1754086892209938452?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

We finish with a \u2013 positive \u2013 positive here \u2013
\nA bit hidden in the list is the Belgians\u2019 IFV they sent, at Oryx the map is masked and the name no one recognizes because the Belgians are apparently completely visionless and it is not listed on Wikipedia but they have some kick in them and add capability.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/front_ukrainian\/status\/1759966407985414324?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

This weapons package we will be able to live on all weekend and then there will be ratification for NATO next week so then there will be a big party next weekend again \u2013 some concern for health here.
\nHave had the highest possible bosses here visiting and I work for a larger consulting firm, one was English (all my bosses\u2019 direct superior) where it turned out we worked at the same company early 2000s and that we met in Angola among other places \u2013 we sat the whole evening talking memories. Guess if Johan No.1 got a stronger position against the project manager and his accomplice in the Netherlands \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:27 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Thanks for today’s report!<\/p>\n

Yes, AIFV-B-C25 I have completely missed, it was apparently already seen at the end of August.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/praisethesteph\/status\/1697197277989757278<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:50 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Probably no one has figured out what it is but it is a fully-fledged IFV.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
14:06 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n

That’s probably because it looks a bit strange, you might almost think it was developed in the 30s.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not exactly state-of-the-art but probably does its job at least as well as the Soviet variants.
\nhttps:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/AIFV<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
14:33 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h6>\n

YPR has a heavy machine gun in an open turret but this one has a 25mm Oerlikon in a closed turret so a bit more punch.<\/p>\n

The Belgians are said to have had 514 according to the article, then the question is how many they had left but maybe some have been delivered?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:57 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Badaboom, following up above where you said “500 sounds very high, a couple of hundred I can imagine. Based on Russian photos\/video”.<\/p>\n

You then posted a picture of a soldier presumably captured and wrote “go through Russian channels”.<\/p>\n

I find nothing on the Russian channels I check so repeating \u2013 could you post a couple of links supporting your claim above that a couple of hundred have been captured, would be appreciated.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:42 \u2013 Johan No.1 The Lions https:\/\/x.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1759311647011741987?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w ATACMS is back, woohoo \ud83d\udca5\ud83d\udca5 https:\/\/x.com\/bayraktar_1love\/status\/1760044262018691168?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w While the Russians are losing fields with […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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