{"id":8965,"date":"2024-03-30T09:31:25","date_gmt":"2024-03-30T08:31:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2024-03-30-2\/"},"modified":"2026-09-28T09:38:14","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T07:38:14","slug":"2024-03-30-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-03-30-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2024-03-30"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

09:43 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Yesterday Zelensky confirmed what we have reasonably suspected in the thread \u2013 the USA has absolutely tried to persuade Ukraine to stop bombing the refineries.<\/p>\n

Then Zelensky confirmed the other thing we have reasonably assumed in the thread \u2013 UA intends to go on the offensive this year.<\/p>\n

He doesn’t say it outright now but I guess the fighter jets are the critical line because the FAB bombers must be removed.
\nSo that was settled and we were okay calibrated as usual \ud83d\ude00
\nhttps:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kovdehn2tm2a<\/a><\/p>\n

The longer time goes on, the more obvious the West\u2019s betrayal here is and that some countries have now broken away, most notably Macron with his newfound energy, probably due to their setbacks in Africa, but quite early in the war JEF started moving in the same direction when Germany slowed down as much as they could.
\nThe USA had from the start of the war the strategy MXT suspected \u201cto give them just enough to keep their nose above water,\u201d almost makes you start suspecting that MXT is related by marriage to the White House.
\nhttps:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kovjv4fxey2z<\/a><\/p>\n

We have often discussed this in the thread but it often gets pushback that one is then following a pro-Russian narrative \u2013 I personally think this should be exposed because it is too serious.<\/p>\n

My children\u2019s future and mine lie in the hands of absolute bunglers who both misread the room completely and then make wrong decisions based on wrong information from incompetent experts. Maybe I forgot something in that chain but it roughly seems to look like that \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

Exactly everything that we in the thread thought should come has come but far too late.
\nThen our suspicions have almost always been confirmed even though it sounds speculative and over the course of the war we have calibrated ourselves to recognize hypocritical betrayal even better perhaps.<\/p>\n

The fact that Ukraine has not given up and sacrificed the eastern oblasts is because they are Ukrainians, nothing else, and I have boiled it down to “the world’s best infantry”.
\nMany countries would have thrown in the towel already when all their buddies betrayed them but Ukraine holds together and keeps going.
\nThat many Western war veterans and elite soldiers in the international legion have left because it was too difficult but that Ukrainian teachers, librarians, fathers of five, and civil engineers continue to fight every day says quite a lot about the Ukrainian national spirit.<\/p>\n

It is rare during this war that RU has made a breakthrough, they have either taken a village after a tactical retreat or they have walked over the fallen defenders lying behind a pyramid of empty shells.<\/p>\n

The Russians, on the other hand, have become world champions in cowardly flight and to deal with the problem the old favorite blocking battalions were reintroduced with a suitable portion of torture, murder, sexual violence, and harassment.<\/p>\n

Now, for over two years with growing surprise, we have seen Russian barbarism spread out, torture centers in every community, raped, tortured and murdered five-year-old children in front of their parents, castrated prisoners of war and then the old classic of amputating arms or legs to create disability. All prisoners of war who return have undergone starvation and torture to a level that they are irreparable and the Russians kill more often than not surrendering Ukrainian soldiers.<\/p>\n

They pulverize every community within range of their artillery.<\/p>\n

Every month some high politician or military in the West is caught receiving payments from the FSB and Russia runs subversive activities on an enormous scale in the West through the far right, far left, peace movements, environmental movements and various groups, for example pro-P\u2026a (if you don\u2019t believe this yet, it\u2019s time to rethink).<\/p>\n

Russia carries out murders in the West to promote its agenda (ask the defected Russian pilot in Spain), they smuggle drugs, weapons, they create organized crime that destroys our societies.<\/p>\n

They carry out coups in the West \u2013 (ask Moldova).<\/p>\n

The refugee wave in 2015 was a weapon signed by Putin and right now they have created the Africa corps whose purpose is to destabilize about fifteen countries in Africa which gives RU \u2013 richer oligarchs, volunteers to the war and refugee waves to Europe.<\/p>\n

Russia was behind October 7, they equipped and trained H\u2026as, they paid the leaders millions of dollars in bribes and invited them to Moscow to persuade them. They have assisted with know-how for the infrastructure underground and during the attack Russians were present and ensured it succeeded.<\/p>\n

Together with Iran they have a plan in the Red Sea with Houthi who have cut many internet cables and sunk international cargo ships and daily fire anti-ship missiles and drones at Western warships in the area.<\/p>\n

In the Baltic Sea Russia has carried out sabotage against several communication cables, some power cables and then we have NS1-2.
\nWinter 2023 the electricity price skyrocketed and surprisingly many nuclear power plants around Europe were down with technical faults, we had at least one accident with a technician who forgot a wrench as I recall. Whether Russian sabotage was involved in our electricity supply I have no evidence for but it fits into the bigger picture, but I don\u2019t draw big conclusions from that.<\/p>\n

The shutdown of nuclear power made the West dependent on Russian gas and gave Putin a gas weapon \u2013 draw your own conclusions.<\/p>\n

They are trying to stir up unrest in South America.<\/p>\n

They have paid millions of dollars in plane tickets to get all kinds of refugees to Mexico who are supposed to enter the USA. What worked in Europe probably works in the USA too, they reasonably think.<\/p>\n

I put a monthly salary on the fact that they finance the aid organizations\u2019 larger boats that transport refugees across the Mediterranean. These started picking up those who capsized near Europe but the transponders now show that they pick up refugees already inside Libyan waters \u2013 refugee smugglers then.<\/p>\n

Most of the above is an absolute truth except for a couple of speculative points and anyone reading this and thinking everything is speculative and exaggerated has slept through 2022 \u2013 2024.<\/p>\n

That the USA still pursues its strategy of not escalating is very strange, isn\u2019t it?
\nOr that Germany does the same.
\nBut the West is even worse, through lax sanctions Russia can still import everything, the components in their missiles largely come from the West and they import ingredients for explosives that they don\u2019t have from the West so they can manufacture shells.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/stasolenchenko\/status\/1773669895382646838?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

What are their goals with their strategy or is the goal not to escalate when Russia is already in full war with the West and has destabilized us for fifteen years?<\/p>\n

France has as the first major country spoken out completely and all is forgiven.<\/p>\n

The criminal clan Russian Federation must fall, Ukraine understands that, Eastern Europe understands that, France is beginning to understand that because they are now directly exposed in Africa, and eventually the USA and the rest of the EU will also understand that.<\/p>\n

The goal must be that the Russian Federation is split up into natural components so that a future threat becomes significantly smaller and manageable.<\/p>\n

Then the West can have an iron curtain Finland \u2013 Baltics \u2013 Belarus eastern border \u2013 Ukraine and Kaliningrad will become our new destination for tax-free with the ferries.<\/p>\n

Then we have solved the problem that has been constant since the end of World War II \u2013 the Russian problem.<\/p>\n

Yes, there may be some reason to believe that China will do a Russia here and increase its efforts when Russia falls, but the West is free to try to win over the new countries to us, right, and if it doesn’t work, it doesn’t work. Already today we have taken Armenia and Georgia under our wings, which is good.<\/p>\n

That’s how it looks, and to not manage to read the room correctly for over two years is absolutely remarkable.<\/p>\n

I do not see China as the same threat that the USA considers it to be; the USA feels challenged by China in a way the EU does not, and the EU should be careful about playing along with the USA here as it does not benefit us. So far, for over two years, China has not gone over to the dark side.
\nConsider that all Western signals intelligence helps Ukraine and that the West sends all weapons except nuclear weapons to Ukraine and that the rhetoric is very harsh.<\/p>\n

If China wanted to respond proportionally to that, they would have done much more than they do today, and that must be seen for what it is, right.
\nThat they have smuggled in components, drones, and artillery ammunition is not proportional, so they have shown restraint if we consider that they stand on the Russian side in this war.<\/p>\n

Then anything can happen, and of course, we have only seen two of China’s cards so far; the above about China was just to air some thoughts.<\/p>\n

Zelensky, the man with integrity, issues an ultimatum to the USA. Very nice.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/maks_nafo_fella\/status\/1773812825812525263?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

And here is an important message to the West, some you cannot negotiate with.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/gaughen\/status\/1773896630644691023?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Overall, I feel that Ukraine has this under control and that 2024 will be a good year, but the Western strategy mainly from the USA and Germany should be discussed, and it is nice that Macron has deviated from the script.
\nIt is also reassuring that Zelensky confirms that there will be an offensive and that the betrayal by the USA and Germany is now outed so they can no longer work in the shadows.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:29 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Thank you!<\/p>\n

Right now, the USA is not even giving enough for Ukraine to manage, so it is all the more important that France and others have woken up. Germany is still a bigger contributor (even though they are cowardly when it comes to Taurus).<\/p>\n

That million shells and the aircraft are really needed, but should have been in place already last spring.<\/p>\n

It is completely incomprehensible that everything takes so long. Meanwhile, it is the Ukrainian population that takes the hit. If Russia continues to knock out the energy, it can become unsustainable, and we may see many more Ukrainian refugees in Europe. Apart from everything else, purely selfishly, all countries should realize that it is also in their own interests to stop Russia preferably yesterday and not tomorrow.<\/p>\n

How come we here understand that but not the West’s leaders?<\/p>\n

Almost makes you think that there are enormously many more people within politics and the military who are bought by Russia than one could ever have imagined.<\/p>\n

We must hope that it is now seriously realized that one must dig deeper regarding the Russian influence operations so that more and more is revealed. The only way to stop it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:07 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Yes, there are many moles in the West if you ask me, but then we have the old classic \u2013 \u201chard times produce strong men (and women, and all other genders), strong men (and women, and all other genders) bring good times, good times produce weak men (and women, and all other genders), weak men bring hard times (and women, and all other genders).<\/p>\n

It is simply a bunch of incompetents who have managed to worm their way in because no demands have been made and they are experts, specialists, military or politicians who have never had to deliver, and now suddenly it is required that they are experts in the field, which they cannot manage. This is absolutely damn hard and demands its man (or woman, or other gender).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:00 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

China is tricky, yes absolutely, but I think there can be a balance with them provided that you set some reasonable limits.
\nIt is important to understand that in China it is okay to lie if it is business, so a promise is worth nothing, for example.<\/p>\n

Yes, maybe it won’t work, but first it should be tested, and the USA rattles the saber quite a bit against China because they are stealing market shares from them, which is called capitalism, market economy, and business as the USA claims to protect.<\/p>\n

The border with Belarus is an option; I don’t think Ukraine has too much up against that border today, but they hide behind enormous minefields.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:29 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

You have naivety, selfishness, complacency, incompetence, and surely something else playing a part.
\nIt is always easier to do nothing, and all our leaders and experts have never had to justify their salary until today.<\/p>\n

Every crisis is exactly the same \u2013 no one does anything, and everything goes wrong, and then they promise to do better, and it is the same chaos at the next crisis. But this time you cannot sit it out and wait.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:50 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Words.<\/p>\n

A ban is mandatory, and Ukraine must follow it \u2013 no, we don’t have that.<\/p>\n

The USA has expressed that they do not want Ukraine to enter Russia and are critical of the support to Ukraine because otherwise Ukraine will lose. They try to strongly influence Ukraine not to bomb the refineries in Russia.<\/p>\n

Zalizhny felt forced not to carry out his offensive in 2022 after the USA wished so.<\/p>\n

In 2023, Ukraine withdrew from Belgorod because the West wished that they would not enter Belgorod.<\/p>\n

In 2022, Ukraine released the VDV from Kherson because the USA wished so.<\/p>\n

I did not think that reasoning above was entirely honest.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

09:43 \u2013 Johan No.1 Yesterday Zelensky confirmed what we have reasonably suspected in the thread \u2013 the USA has absolutely 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