{"id":9334,"date":"2024-07-18T10:19:19","date_gmt":"2024-07-18T08:19:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2024-07-18-4\/"},"modified":"2026-09-30T12:00:02","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T10:00:02","slug":"2024-07-18-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/","title":{"rendered":"2024-07-18"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>11:33 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Here we have Russian LV in Belgorod \ud83e\udd23<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk7rj4j5726\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk7rj4j5726<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And the rest of Russia&#8217;s LV apparently stands by Putin&#8217;s dacha.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk7v6rjlk2o\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk7v6rjlk2o<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Today we will get a statement from the Blenheim meeting and we will see which way it goes and if the EU manages to unite under the flag \u270a<\/p>\n<p>There are two things that are potentially decisive for the war right now \u2013 how Western materiel can be used and all the rumors about peace negotiations.<br \/>\nFor example, here a Russian officer comes out and says the war will end this year and we know from Zelensky that there will be peace negotiations this autumn, he will present a NEW proposal.<br \/>\nIf you ask me, it is the USA driving this over Ukraine&#8217;s head but we have not yet received confirmation so this remains speculation on my part.<br \/>\n(excuse the source but the message is what&#8217;s interesting)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/aussiecossack\/status\/1813496850219237865?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/aussiecossack\/status\/1813496850219237865?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And Ben Hodges speaks frankly and says outright that the West does not support Ukraine to win, clearly and plainly.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk3epzdi72c\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk3epzdi72c<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Regarding Western materiel, I want to show below the completely unreasonable positions of the USA and Germany here, it ultimately concerns the entire Western group and that we are betrayed by our pals. Things like this can have major consequences, not least for the US arms industry. And no, nothing lasts forever \u2013 just look at how the USA has pulled back compared to 2001 to understand that the world is in constant change. Or how China has evolved from 1980 until today.<\/p>\n<p>There has been a huge discussion in the thread about how weapons with components from, for example, the USA can be used and Defluencer wrote:<br \/>\n\u201cThere are thus no export rules preventing us from sending Swedish Gripen to Ukraine, as long as they continue to be handled by Swedish soldiers and remain under Swedish command, meaning that Sweden actively enters the war.\u201d<br \/>\nApparently, it is the re-export to a third country that is tricky, sending weapons to Ukraine from countries that have bought parts for weapons they themselves manufactured from the USA, or entire weapons platforms from the USA.<br \/>\nI can understand the purpose of this \u2013 the USA sells weapons to Pakistan who then sell them on to the Taliban who kill American soldiers with them. Reasonable.<\/p>\n<p>In the broader discussion from several thread members (not Defluencer!) it is argued that this is how business works and it is something the West has to abide by. Like some kind of natural law.<\/p>\n<p>If I remember this correctly, the USA, France, and Germany have been major exporters of components (USA), weapons and weapons platforms (Germany, France) to Russia. The biggest was probably the Mistral ships which were canceled in time and France is still upset about that, almost more upset than that the magic line never worked.<br \/>\nThis continued openly after 2014 and these countries have thus assisted Russia in its rearmament ahead of the war start in 2022 even after Russia, poorly disguised (green men), entered Ukraine. In 8 years you can build up quite a bit.<\/p>\n<p>Then components from the USA and the West continue to flow into Russia still in 2024 because sanctions are not properly enforced \u2013 they are a paper product without practical effect.<\/p>\n<p>Suddenly pulling the card that weapons in the EU have parts from the USA or Germany and therefore cannot be sent to Ukraine because the end-user agreements say so is deeply unethical (and worrying) even if it would be correct according to contracts. And we haven&#8217;t even touched on betraying our closest allies or not looking after our own backyard as in the case of Germany.<\/p>\n<p>The outcome is that the USA and Germany have NO objections to all the weapons and materiel they sold to Russia being used to kill civilians in Ukraine \u2013 because that follows the agreements made.<\/p>\n<p>And they have no control function to prevent Russia from getting components for their weapons systems manufactured in their countries \u2013 there are no practical consequences and imports are not stopped after 2.5 years.<\/p>\n<p>BUT they have objections to, and actively block, the weapons they sold to the entire West from being used to defend Ukraine and demand that this is followed.<\/p>\n<p>And they actively control through requirements to third parties and directly with Ukraine that the weapons they send absolutely must not be used against targets in Russia that are potentially war-winning.<\/p>\n<p>You surely haven&#8217;t missed that production of Storm Shadow is in full swing again but that no orders have been placed for Taurus even though the manufacturer themselves have announced they can produce large quantities of Taurus in a short time. Without knowing, I think Germany is holding back.<\/p>\n<p>And then Germany halves support to Ukraine in 2025, and goes at half speed in its military budget according to Saltarens post yesterday.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/germany-halve-military-aid-ukraine-despite-possible-trump-white-house-2024-07-17\/\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/germany-halve-military-aid-ukraine-despite-possible-trump-white-house-2024-07-17\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The USA and Germany have completely lost their way here \u2013 they have also completely lost their way legally.<br \/>\nThere is no equal treatment at all and the expression \u201claws are only for those who follow them\u201d has probably never fit better.<\/p>\n<p>An absolute wild guess \u2013 I think the US arms industry at some point will rebel whether it is Trump or Biden and then the floodgates will open. As soon as the EU starts moving towards its own weapons production with 100% own components, Tomahawk will also come to Ukraine and Biden will be standing shouting that Moscow shall be leveled with the ground in sunglasses and uniform, and Trump will be behind waving a huge American flag looking murderous. But this won&#8217;t help Ukraine in the near term \ud83d\ude10<\/p>\n<p>Then to point two which really surprised me and I will keep it short and just factual, I have for several days read in the thread that things looked very positive for Biden, that the shooting had no effect, that he has a chance to win, etc. Several knowledgeable people spoke out and others in the thread were told not to paint the devil on the wall.<br \/>\nThen I came across this from CNN yesterday.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CollinRugg\/status\/1813557975761773006\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/CollinRugg\/status\/1813557975761773006<\/a><br \/>\nAnd now I felt it was time to check polls for the first time so I went to the institutes namedropped in the thread, FiveThirtyEight for example.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/polls\/president-general\/2024\/national\/\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/polls\/president-general\/2024\/national\/<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/interactive\/us-2024-election\/trump-biden-polls\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.economist.com\/interactive\/us-2024-election\/trump-biden-polls<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/latest-polls\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/latest-polls<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.270towin.com\/2024-presidential-election-polls\/\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.270towin.com\/2024-presidential-election-polls\/<\/a><br \/>\nIf you want to be realistic for a second and stop dreaming, it looks to me like the EU fairly quickly needs to unite under the flag and we can hope the Blenheim meeting has been fruitful \u270a<\/p>\n<p>I want to take the opportunity to kill another myth \u2013 in the EU there is enough existing materiel to win the war and Ukraine has gone from 0 USD to 20 billion USD arms industry in a few years, and their weapons platforms are magnitudes cheaper to manufacture than those in the rest of the EU, and better than anything RU can deploy.<br \/>\nThe EU has production of all the materiel needed, we do not need the USA and if there is only the will we can do like Ukraine and increase production of materiel that outclasses everything RU has and can manufacture \u2013 RU is outpaced both in quality and quantity.<br \/>\nGermany may need to be handled because they have deliberately dawdled with the Lithuania brigade for some reason and then it starts to become a security policy risk but the EU is not Germany, Germany is just one country in the EU.<br \/>\nThen the EU can do like Poland and buy from South Korea and there are surely dozens of companies outside the USA that put new weapon stations (towers) on older vehicles in REMO. This has been going on throughout the war and we are now starting to see those vehicles in Ukraine but there are tens of thousands of old fragmentation shields left in barns in the EU that can be refurbished \u2013 there is no shortage of anything.<\/p>\n<p>Back to the fronts.<br \/>\nI know I can&#8217;t kill this truth because Zelensky has come out and confirmed that the daily lottery numbers were somewhat correct, and KWIA, so I have had to settle for the fact that non-war-related injuries were not counted in the +30% and that they don&#8217;t include everything that dies in the rear.<\/p>\n<p>But\u2026<br \/>\nThis is, I believe, now the fifth time we get information about a single regiment we didn&#8217;t know about that has been wiped out 4-5 times. In this case, a RU army brigade has 12,000 total losses \ud83d\ude32<\/p>\n<p>We know that DPR, LPR, Wagner, and Storm Z have been pushed harder than ethnically Russian army units and have suffered even worse losses.<br \/>\nThe biggest jokes, the 155th and 810th marine infantry, have been wiped out so many times I&#8217;ve lost count. Then we had the 72nd MRB that went and died at Vuhledar and then took more hits in Bakhmut.<\/p>\n<p>12,000 from just a single regiment\u2026<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk6y434i22p\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk6y434i22p<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I can&#8217;t find it on the unit maps but the 6th CAA is up in northern Luhansk.<br \/>\nAs I said, this can&#8217;t be pushed too far but David D (and I) have a slightly different view on Russian losses than the mainstream.<br \/>\nWhat is interesting in this case is that the soldier says the official number is 6,000 but the reality is 12,000.<br \/>\nThe other thing is \u2013 who is pushing all this negative reporting about the war right now \ud83e\uddd0<\/p>\n<p>Those who really should be praised for their support are Denmark, they have sent as much military aid as the UK and half of what Germany has sent.<br \/>\nFrance is behind and also Macron went completely silent so no extra points for smart politics.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxkaf4n2bc2y\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxkaf4n2bc2y<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The only factory in Russia for SPG is burning like a Christmas tree<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxkchc3wig23\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxkchc3wig23<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And Russia can only produce 100 artillery barrels per year for all weapon types with barrels. A somewhat limiting factor, right, and now we understand why all new tanks are modifications of older tanks and new production is close to zero \ud83d\ude00<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CasualArtyFan\/status\/1813552965766332515\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/CasualArtyFan\/status\/1813552965766332515<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And here you have grenades distributed to Russian soldiers.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/gerashchenko_en\/status\/1813513431343038593?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/gerashchenko_en\/status\/1813513431343038593?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Brits now want to try to ensure that sanctions are followed and squeeze the Russian shadow fleet \u2013 interesting. There will probably be a statement in two days when the US calls and says they don&#8217;t want to do it at all and that it was all a misunderstanding.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/marionawfal\/status\/1813542410175041847?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/marionawfal\/status\/1813542410175041847?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Freedom and Russian have carried out explosive sabotage in Perm<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk7yuldes2o\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk7yuldes2o<\/a><\/p>\n<p>North Korean training commanders are now in Russia. So the rumor might have been true that NK would send soldiers to Ukraine as we guessed. Of course, they haven&#8217;t landed in Ukraine yet \ud83d\ude00<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/bayraktar_1love\/status\/1813347415803474430?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/bayraktar_1love\/status\/1813347415803474430?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Continued warning on China and Belarus, now Lukashenko has unilaterally removed the visa requirement for the EU to travel to Belarus. It&#8217;s a rather strange move and I gladly welcome suggestions on what is going on.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/igorsushko\/status\/1813648188836073887?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/igorsushko\/status\/1813648188836073887?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This probably couldn&#8217;t go worse \ud83d\ude32<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/FAFO_TV\/status\/1813599564487893406\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/FAFO_TV\/status\/1813599564487893406<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Waiting eagerly for the statement from the meeting in Blenheim and Zelensky&#8217;s follow-up.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>11:46 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>The thread has since the start of the war identified that the smallest piece of land ceded to RU can be turned into a win for Putin.<br \/>\nThen it is no secret that Russia always breaks all agreements.<\/p>\n<p>So the likelihood is very high that they will enter an agreement, rearm, and then attack again \u2013 Ukraine or another country in the EU.<\/p>\n<p>My thought is that the better outcome is if Russia instead turns inward in power struggles for a couple of years and then splits into a few smaller components. If we don&#8217;t want war in the EU.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>11:48 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>So everyone who disagrees with me wants war in the EU \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>12:34 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>If you want peace, you should prepare for war is a phrase I coined.<\/p>\n<p>It can also be rewritten to say that you should prepare for the worst, which also originally comes from me.<\/p>\n<p>Without further mocking Biden&#8217;s inactivity, common sense is to prepare for Trump winning and take measures already now, and if Biden wins, and if he suddenly becomes Ukraine-friendly and not a vampire bloodsucker \u2013 then everyone is happy and we go back to liking the USA.<\/p>\n<p>I would have done that.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>12:46 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Sounds promising from Blenheim.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is going to be a bit of pressure on Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Poland \u2014 the big security actors in Europe \u2014 to make some kind of demonstration that Ukraine\u2019s future is in hand.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201d In its statement Downing Street noted that Blenheim Palace is \u201cthe birthplace of Churchill who stood up to a previous generation of aggression on European soil.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/07\/18\/world\/europe\/europe-leaders-meet-blenheim-palace-uk-starmer.html\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/07\/18\/world\/europe\/europe-leaders-meet-blenheim-palace-uk-starmer.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The wings of history \u270a<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>12:52 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>Yes, one starts to wonder a little if the support is starting to wane, hope the meeting results in something positive.<\/p>\n<p>The economy in Russia is slowly collapsing deeper and deeper and the hardware is probably soon running out. If the West increases support a bit and stops messing around with restrictions, Ukraine can probably hold out until Russia hits rock bottom and then run them over.<\/p>\n<p>Regarding the US election, the fat lady hasn&#8217;t sung yet but the bell is tolling and it would probably be best if we in Europe prepare ourselves (to stand on our own feet and not by currying favor with Trump).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-3\">\n<h5>12:58 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n<p>No, now you are wrong! \ud83d\ude09<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>13:03 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>Sounds good so far.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>14:57 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>The question is what is defined as critical?<\/p>\n<p>Unmodified T54s are critical to me, if Ukraine had battalions with T54s the consensus in the West would be that the country was finished.<\/p>\n<p>Or that motorcycles and golf carts have replaced IFVs, and that MTLBs are becoming more common instead of BMPs and BTRs.<br \/>\nBMDs haven&#8217;t been seen for a long time by the way but BTR40 and BDM2 have started to appear.<\/p>\n<p>There are thousands of armored vehicles left at the fronts, that we should be clear about, but in the depots not so much.<br \/>\n700 tanks that can be brought into okay condition and a few thousand with fragmentation protection.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>15:10 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Blenheim,<\/p>\n<p>Denmark comes out wildly shadowboxing, Mette has gotten far too little attention but Denmark has sent a lot of unit-level equipment and from reserve stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Zelensky is really trying to appear as a great man,<br \/>\nThe Ukrainian president urges Europe\u2019s leaders to show the collective will to take these steps to help stop Russia\u2019s aggression.<\/p>\n<p>We are now hearing from President Volodymyr Zelensky who insists Russian missiles, drones and planes must be \u201ddestroyed\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>He says: \u201dThere must be a collective will to shoot them down just like the Iranian missiles and drones.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201dYour bravery can be decisive,\u201d he tells leaders in the room.<\/p>\n<p>\u201dPeople should feel Europe is becoming closer,\u201d Zelensky adds.<\/p>\n<p>Zelensky has done his part \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>15:21 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>\ud83d\udc4d Hopefully people realize it&#8217;s time to listen to him and do as he says!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>11:33 \u2013 Johan No.1 Here we have Russian LV in Belgorod \ud83e\udd23 https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk7rj4j5726 And the rest of Russia&#8217;s LV apparently [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraine","category-arkiv01"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>2024-07-18 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2024-07-18 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"11:33 \u2013 Johan No.1 Here we have Russian LV in Belgorod \ud83e\udd23 https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk7rj4j5726 And the rest of Russia&#8217;s LV apparently [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Johan No.1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-18T08:19:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-30T10:00:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"johan No.1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"johan No.1\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"13 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2024-07-18-4\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2024-07-18-4\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"johan No.1\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7\"},\"headline\":\"2024-07-18\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-18T08:19:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-30T10:00:02+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2024-07-18-4\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":2649,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Ukraine war\",\"Arkiv01\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2024-07-18-4\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2024-07-18-4\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2024-07-18-4\\\/\",\"name\":\"2024-07-18 -\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-18T08:19:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-30T10:00:02+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2024-07-18-4\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2024-07-18-4\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/2024-07-18-4\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Hem\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"2024-07-18\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"Johan No.1\",\"description\":\"News and analysis about the war in Ukraine and other global events in world politics and security.\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Johan No. 1\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/cropped-No1-Logo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/cropped-No1-Logo.png\",\"width\":512,\"height\":512,\"caption\":\"Johan No. 1\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7\",\"name\":\"johan No.1\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"johan No.1\"},\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/en\\\/author\\\/johan\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"2024-07-18 -","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"2024-07-18 -","og_description":"11:33 \u2013 Johan No.1 Here we have Russian LV in Belgorod \ud83e\udd23 https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxk7rj4j5726 And the rest of Russia&#8217;s LV apparently [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/","og_site_name":"Johan No.1","article_published_time":"2024-07-18T08:19:19+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-09-30T10:00:02+00:00","author":"johan No.1","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"johan No.1","Est. reading time":"13 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/"},"author":{"name":"johan No.1","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7"},"headline":"2024-07-18","datePublished":"2024-07-18T08:19:19+00:00","dateModified":"2026-09-30T10:00:02+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/"},"wordCount":2649,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#organization"},"articleSection":["Ukraine war","Arkiv01"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/","name":"2024-07-18 -","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-07-18T08:19:19+00:00","dateModified":"2026-09-30T10:00:02+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-18-4\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Hem","item":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"2024-07-18"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/","name":"Johan No.1","description":"News and analysis about the war in Ukraine and other global events in world politics and security.","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#organization","name":"Johan No. 1","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-No1-Logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-No1-Logo.png","width":512,"height":512,"caption":"Johan No. 1"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7","name":"johan No.1","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"johan No.1"},"url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/author\/johan\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9334","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9334"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9334\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9335,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9334\/revisions\/9335"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}