{"id":9336,"date":"2024-07-17T10:33:31","date_gmt":"2024-07-17T08:33:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2024-07-17-2\/"},"modified":"2026-09-30T12:00:18","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T10:00:18","slug":"2024-07-17-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-17-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2024-07-17"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>14:04 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Today is meeting day at Blenheim Palace and we will see what the EU leaders come up with, I am still holding on to my grumpy post.<br \/>\nOne of the points is presumably a poorly hidden UA discussion and Kier Starmer&#8217;s early statement sounds promising.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordmail.co.uk\/news\/24452033.45-european-leaders-join-summit-blenheim-palace\/\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.oxfordmail.co.uk\/news\/24452033.45-european-leaders-join-summit-blenheim-palace\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I am of the opinion that our future is at stake here. Apparently migration and circular economy thinking are also on the agenda, so we will see which takes precedence \u2013 maybe Kier Starmer wants to buy organic tomatoes from Zelensky and that is why he is involved?<\/p>\n<p>It apparently got a bit heated around the USA but my position on Trump has been very clear for a long time to everyone following the thread, and choosing to misinterpret irony is also a way to start a discussion if one wants to.<\/p>\n<p>My position on the USA is also crystal clear \u2013 the USA is not Ukraine&#8217;s and the EU&#8217;s friend right now because their intention is a negotiated peace and they are in direct contact with Russia without Zelensky being involved.<\/p>\n<p>So if criticizing the USA in any way stirs emotions, then these people have been blinded by domestic politics in the USA and no longer look out for Ukraine&#8217;s best interests.<\/p>\n<p>Since Zelensky&#8217;s position on negotiated peace has previously been crystal clear (the 1991 borders) and coincided with the West stopping deliveries of materiel, one can guess that this has been used as pressure (guess on my part).<\/p>\n<p>Zelensky left the NATO meeting very disappointed and previously all parties have PROMISED that all discussions about peace negotiations shall include Ukraine and Zelensky leads these \u2013 which the USA has now abandoned because they have direct contact with Russia without Zelensky&#8217;s involvement.<\/p>\n<p>The USA has also, in violation of international law, forced Ukraine not to fight on equal terms \u2013 the examples are many now and verified.<\/p>\n<p>The USA has also forced several countries in the EU to delay materiel deliveries and to prevent Ukraine from using their weapons against targets in Russia even though these countries wanted to give Ukraine that possibility, we know that.<\/p>\n<p>Just because Trump is sh1t does not mean that Biden and the USA are our friend \u2013 if you wholeheartedly support the USA&#8217;s actions then you do not want the best for Ukraine. And ultimately, what is best for Ukraine is also best for the EU.<\/p>\n<p>As a Swede living in the EU (when I am home in between) and supporting Ukraine, I simply cannot see that the USA&#8217;s actions are for my best in any way.<\/p>\n<p>Everything I brought up the other day that the USA has blocked or sabotaged has been confirmed over time by Zelensky or others in the administration, so these are not free fantasies or &#8220;craziness&#8221;. Just because one cannot keep up with the flow of information does not mean it is not true.<\/p>\n<p>David D has for a long time pushed the line that the USA has actively blocked and has also highlighted all examples of what they could have done.<br \/>\nA negotiated peace where Putin gets a piece of land in Ukraine, large or small, and his administration is preserved will lead to an increasing conflict where countries in the EU will be drawn in after a few years \u2013 this is highly probable and above all Putin has told us this many times. Can one completely dismiss that while there is a full-scale war of extermination in Ukraine? Of course not.<\/p>\n<p>Now either Biden or Trump will win the election and very little will get better for Ukraine is my opinion. The USA is not our friend just like the bank.<\/p>\n<p>Then I have to remind that the USA had a coalition to protect the Red Sea against the Houthis but civilian ships are being taken out on a rolling basis there. This barely reaches the media at all but I actually do not know what that coalition is doing right now.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhmglor4h26\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhmglor4h26<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This one should make everyone even more worried \u2013 the USA will abandon Taiwan if Trump becomes president.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/rpsagainsttrump\/status\/1813342588562280541?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/rpsagainsttrump\/status\/1813342588562280541?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And since Sullivan, Kirby, the Pentagon and Biden have been very clear that they want to avoid nuclear war and escalation at all costs, all threats of nuclear weapons from Russia right now are exactly that.<br \/>\nDo Germany and the UK need to give up territory now for peace? (to highlight the madness of the USA&#8217;s position from the Biden administration)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/rpsagainsttrump\/status\/1813342588562280541?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/rpsagainsttrump\/status\/1813342588562280541?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>An open question \u2013 we have seized a whole bunch of politicians with Russian connections in the EU and now many of them are probably identified.<br \/>\nAnd then we have Trump who is an obvious Russian asset in the USA together with JD Vance who is probably Putin&#8217;s first choice.<br \/>\nWhich politicians, if any, in the USA and maybe the EU are bought by China?<br \/>\nThe likelihood that some are should be high but it is never up for discussion.<\/p>\n<p>We discuss another angle instead.<br \/>\nWhat would happen if Ukraine went and allied with China instead?<br \/>\nChina has taken an enormous technological leap in recent years, for example Huawei has now built a city for R&amp;D which they have made attractive to bring in expertise and many Chinese researchers and workers outside China are returning \u2013 they no longer just hack servers in the West and steal our research but they have ambitions to conduct research themselves.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/mitchpresnick\/status\/1812864235266818118\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/mitchpresnick\/status\/1812864235266818118<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/mitchpresnick\/status\/1813278684788183116?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/mitchpresnick\/status\/1813278684788183116?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The 2008 crisis for the PIIGS was partly because China learned to copy their industry and sold the same products, with slightly lower quality, much cheaper.<br \/>\nThe threat to Sweden and high-tech West was always that China would learn our high-tech industry and sell the same products, with slightly lower quality, much cheaper.<br \/>\nSolar cells are probably behind us and China is taking sodium-ion batteries seriously?<br \/>\nChina&#8217;s battery production for electric cars lowers prices but is starting to put Western battery companies out of business.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/wmhuo168\/status\/1813075415281594748\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/wmhuo168\/status\/1813075415281594748<\/a><br \/>\nAnd their electric car manufacturing has already caused several major car manufacturers in the West to give up electric car initiatives.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine is an extremely attractive country for agriculture, industry and geostrategic location not least on the border with the EU as well as waterways \u2013 and they have an endless need for investment and rebuilding.<br \/>\nChina has had its eyes on Ukraine for a long time and with this war maybe the opportunity has opened up to tie them as a strategic partner?<br \/>\nUkraine already feels betrayed by the EU and the USA today and right now it looks really bad to be honest, the USA has completely lost its way and the EU does not dare.<\/p>\n<p>What happens if China manages to get Russia to retreat to the 1991 borders and completely ends the war in the way the USA intended but cannot because they are a cowardly street dog who is also afraid of being shot?<\/p>\n<p>Wild speculation \u2013<br \/>\nThe EU would breathe a sigh of relief that the war is over so they would not have to make any difficult decisions and France would immediately start its cooperation with China which they have now prepared together with Ukraine. That was actually why Macron took such a tough position against Russia and Xi Jinping visited him in 2024.<br \/>\nThe reason the USA plays for Russia is precisely to prevent China from getting access to Ukraine.<br \/>\nEnd wild speculation.<\/p>\n<p>There are some signs that China is sniffing around the outskirts,<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/ukraines-zelenskiy-says-chinas-xi-told-him-he-will-not-sell-any-weapons-russia-2024-06-13\/\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/ukraines-zelenskiy-says-chinas-xi-told-him-he-will-not-sell-any-weapons-russia-2024-06-13\/<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/China%E2%80%93Ukraine_relations\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/China%E2%80%93Ukraine_relations<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And that China has entered militarily in Belarus is another sign that they are advancing their positions.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe RU will be allowed to keep a smaller naval base on the backside of Crimea or something as a consolation prize?<\/p>\n<p>Is this completely out of the question?<\/p>\n<p>No one knows for sure what China\u2019s next step will be, we can probably start by stating that, and they have already managed to make a golden deal with Lukashenko right under Putin\u2019s nose, so why wouldn\u2019t they succeed in taking Ukraine as well?<br \/>\nUkraine will be a reconstruction Mecca for 15 more years, enormous contracts will be awarded and China definitely wants to be part of this, we can probably assume.<br \/>\nI have many times said that the EU should be cautious with China and not play along in the US game without any barriers \u2013 the US does what is best for them, or so they believe.<\/p>\n<p>Can China route its trade route (Belt and Road) via Turkmenistan (yes, I\u2019ve missed some -stan countries) and then Azerbaijan \u2013 Georgia \u2013 Ukraine, they have an attractive trade route straight into the EU.<br \/>\nRouting it via Turkey and Iran means they have two large unpredictable countries to deal with instead of smaller countries that need business.<br \/>\nYou then have both the Caspian Sea and the Black Sea as transport routes.<\/p>\n<p>Then if you have Crimea as a huge tax-free trading zone (taxfree zone) you can also transship by sea through the Bosporus and get out into the Mediterranean or up to Western Europe via the Mediterranean.<br \/>\nImagine what this would mean for Ukraine in terms of trade \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine will not be part of the EU for many years but they will probably get trade agreements and access to the EU internal market fairly quickly.<br \/>\nEnd of speculation that China will come out winning from this because the US is a scared street dog and the EU is terrified to make a single decision.<\/p>\n<p>And you probably all understand that in the direction this is going right now, the endgame will be either war with China or that the US backs down to China, and if it becomes war the EU will be dragged in whether we want it or not.<br \/>\nHad the war in Ukraine been extinguished in 2023 \u2013 2024, China\u2019s expansion would not have happened and they would have crawled back into their hole.<br \/>\nThat\u2019s how it looks and we have the US to thank for this, whatever their motives may be, because the US is actively STOPPING all countries in the EU from doing what is right for Ukraine all the time.<\/p>\n<p>The war in Ukraine is going excellently despite the US\u2019s constant betrayals,<br \/>\nThe back of the Russian artillery is completely broken and UA continues to decimate it hard.<br \/>\nRemember that RU had 10,000 shells at best (or was it more, 15,000-20,000 in the beginning?) so they are really on the decline.<br \/>\nMoreover, RU has poor accuracy so a RU shell is not equivalent to a UA shell at all.<br \/>\nBut we already knew this in the thread<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhm6g2pt22u\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhm6g2pt22u<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nuclear power plants in RU are having problems with major power outages as a result, probably can\u2019t be attributed to Ukraine but it could always be some of the liberation fronts in Russia.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/nexta_tv\/status\/1813222048103034893?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/nexta_tv\/status\/1813222048103034893?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/albafella1\/status\/1813216435834863932?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/albafella1\/status\/1813216435834863932?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trains with T54 are on their way to Ukraine, again. As always \u2013 if they had T90M we would have seen trains with T90M, right.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxg54i32yk26\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxg54i32yk26<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And here is a train with T62, admittedly modified but T62\u2026<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxi25bwbgs2y\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxi25bwbgs2y<\/a><\/p>\n<p>UA armed forces, which now number 1,250,000, are getting better personal equipment and we all see how the beggar camp Russian army is equipped nowadays.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1813415235467788778?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1813415235467788778?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Krunky is also a war trick \u2013 there are hundreds of boats for amphibious combat now with UA. RU is pulling units from the Dnepr front now up to the northern front.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/maks_nafo_fella\/status\/1812798570140926203?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/maks_nafo_fella\/status\/1812798570140926203?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And here you have the list of UA strategic offensive reserve, several divisions strong.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1813378161431990737?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1813378161431990737?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Zakharova and Lavrov are in New York (again) for the UN and since Russia is the chair country in the Security Council, not much is likely to happen there. When Russia was accepted as a country in the UN is a very good question.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/runews\/status\/1813090067604557976?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/runews\/status\/1813090067604557976?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Russia and China have let the West finance all these organizations and then they have bribed their way to loyalty with a fraction of that amount \u2013 hats off.<\/p>\n<p>Always fun to challenge the narrative \u2013 the Palestinian president blames the war in G..a on H..as. Totally OT of course if it weren\u2019t for the fact that China has invited H..as and Hez..ah to China for meetings. That actually surprised me that China was driving 7 October \ud83d\ude32<br \/>\nSo the question is \u2013 do the demonstrators at all universities in the West stand on Palestine\u2019s side or on H..as\u2019s side?<br \/>\nWill they start protesting against H..as now instead of I..el?<br \/>\nOr will they continue to be useful idiots for Russia and China?<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/avivaklompas\/status\/1812895781541535884?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/avivaklompas\/status\/1812895781541535884?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Big day today with the EU leaders in Blenheim together with Zelensky, and NATO is also there.<br \/>\nEveryone except the USA is there \ud83d\ude00<br \/>\nNow in 2024 we are actually at a tipping point so what happens in the coming months will be decisive.<br \/>\nHigh hopes for the day \u270a<\/p>\n<p>I hope everyone understands that it is Russia that is in desperate need of a ceasefire here in order to regroup and jump on Ukraine again. All the damn negotiations right now are just a way to give RU the upper hand again.<\/p>\n<p>Here are how many agreements RU has broken with Ukraine.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhnp52qss25\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhnp52qss25<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Forcing Ukraine to the negotiating table now is a very big mistake and the USA is forcing this by denying UA materiel, preventing countries in the EU from sending materiel and preventing UA from using materiel in the best way.<br \/>\nThe USA has also previously prevented the use of ITS OWN materiel manufactured in Ukraine in the best way and according to international law\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>14:09 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Today is meeting day at Blenheim Palace and we will see what the EU leaders cook up, still holding on to my sour post.<br \/>\nOne of the points is presumably a poorly hidden UA discussion and Kier Starmer\u2019s early statement sounds promising.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordmail.co.uk\/news\/24452033.45-european-leaders-join-summit-blenheim-palace\/\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.oxfordmail.co.uk\/news\/24452033.45-european-leaders-join-summit-blenheim-palace\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I am of the opinion that our future is at stake here. Apparently, mi\u2026on and circular economy thinking is also on the agenda so we will see what takes precedence \u2013 maybe Kier Starmer wants to buy organic tomatoes from Zelensky and that is why he is there?<\/p>\n<p>Apparently it got a bit heated around the USA but my position on Trump has been very clear for a long time for everyone following the thread and choosing to misinterpret irony is also a way to start a discussion if one wants to.<\/p>\n<p>My position regarding the USA is also crystal clear \u2013 the USA is not a friend of Ukraine and the EU right now because their intention is a negotiated peace and they are in direct contact with Russia without Zelensky being involved.<\/p>\n<p>So if criticizing the USA in any way stirs up emotions, these people have been blinded by domestic politics in the USA and no longer look out for Ukraine&#8217;s best interests.<\/p>\n<p>Since Zelensky&#8217;s position on negotiated peace has previously been crystal clear (the 1991 borders) and coincided with the West stopping deliveries of materiel, one can guess that this has been used as pressure (a guess on my part).<\/p>\n<p>Zelensky left the NATO meeting very disappointed and previously all parties had PROMISED that all discussions about peace negotiations would include Ukraine and Zelensky would lead them \u2013 which the USA has now abandoned because they have direct contact with Russia without Zelensky&#8217;s involvement.<\/p>\n<p>The USA has also, in violation of international law, forced Ukraine not to fight on equal terms \u2013 the examples are many now and verified.<\/p>\n<p>The USA has also forced several countries in the EU to delay materiel deliveries and to prevent Ukraine from using their weapons against targets in Russia even though these countries wanted to give Ukraine that opportunity, we know that.<\/p>\n<p>Just because Trump is sh1t does not mean that Biden and the USA are our friends \u2013 if you wholeheartedly support the USA&#8217;s actions, then you do not want the best for Ukraine. And ultimately, what is best for Ukraine is also best for the EU.<\/p>\n<p>As a Swede living in the EU (when I am home occasionally) and supporting Ukraine, I simply cannot see that the USA&#8217;s actions are in my best interest in any way.<\/p>\n<p>Everything I brought up the other day that the USA has blocked or sabotaged has been confirmed over time by Zelensky or others in the administration, so these are not wild fantasies or &#8220;craziness.&#8221; Just because one cannot keep up with the flow of information does not mean it is not true.<\/p>\n<p>David D has long maintained the line that the USA has actively slowed things down and has also highlighted all the examples of what they could have done.<br \/>\nA negotiated peace where Putin gets a piece of land in Ukraine, large or small, and his administration is preserved will lead to an increasing conflict where EU countries will be dragged in within a few years \u2013 there is a high probability of this and above all Putin has told us this many times. Can one completely dismiss this while there is a full-scale war of extermination in Ukraine? Of course not.<\/p>\n<p>Now either Biden or Trump will win the election and very little will get better for Ukraine, in my opinion. The USA is not our friend just like the bank.<\/p>\n<p>Then I have to remind that the USA had a coalition to protect the Red Sea against the Houthis but civilian ships are being taken out one after another there. This barely reaches the media at all but I actually don&#8217;t know what that coalition is doing right now.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhmglor4h26\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhmglor4h26<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This should make everyone even more worried \u2013 the USA will abandon Taiwan if Trump becomes president.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/rpsagainsttrump\/status\/1813342588562280541?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/rpsagainsttrump\/status\/1813342588562280541?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And since Sullivan, Kirby, the Pentagon, and Biden have been very clear that they want to avoid nuclear war and escalation at all costs, every threat of nuclear weapons from Russia right now is exactly that.<br \/>\nDo Germany and the UK need to give up territory now for peace? (to highlight the madness of the USA&#8217;s position from the Biden administration)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/rpsagainsttrump\/status\/1813342588562280541?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/rpsagainsttrump\/status\/1813342588562280541?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>An open question \u2013 we have seized a whole bunch of politicians with Russian connections in the EU and now many of them have probably been identified.<br \/>\nAnd then we have Trump as an obvious Russian asset in the USA together with JD Vance who is likely Putin&#8217;s first choice.<br \/>\nWhich politicians, if any, in the USA and maybe the EU are bought by China?<br \/>\nThe likelihood that some are should be high but it is never up for discussion.<\/p>\n<p>We discuss another angle instead.<br \/>\nWhat would happen if Ukraine went and allied with China instead?<br \/>\nChina has taken a huge technological leap in recent years, for example Huawei has now built a city for RochD that they have made attractive to bring in expertise and many Chinese researchers and workers outside China are returning \u2013 they no longer just hack servers in the West and steal our research but have ambitions to conduct their own research.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/mitchpresnick\/status\/1812864235266818118\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/mitchpresnick\/status\/1812864235266818118<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/mitchpresnick\/status\/1813278684788183116?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/mitchpresnick\/status\/1813278684788183116?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The 2008 crisis for P\u2026GS was partly because China learned to copy their industry and sold the same products, with slightly lower quality, much cheaper.<br \/>\nThe threat to Sweden and high-tech West was always that China would learn our high-tech industry and sell the same products, with slightly lower quality, much cheaper.<br \/>\nSolar cells are probably behind us and China is taking sodium-ion batteries seriously?<br \/>\nChina&#8217;s battery production for electric cars lowers prices but is also starting to bankrupt Western battery companies.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/wmhuo168\/status\/1813075415281594748\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/wmhuo168\/status\/1813075415281594748<\/a><br \/>\nAnd their electric car manufacturing has already caused several major car manufacturers in the West to give up electric car initiatives.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine is an extremely attractive country for agriculture, industry, and geostrategic location not least on the border with the EU as well as waterways \u2013 and they have an endless need for investment and rebuilding.<br \/>\nChina has had its eyes on Ukraine for a long time and with this war, the opportunity may have opened to tie them as a strategic partner?<br \/>\nUkraine already feels betrayed by the EU and the USA and right now it looks really bad if I am to be honest, the USA has completely lost its way and the EU does not dare.<\/p>\n<p>What happens if China manages to get Russia to retreat to the 1991 borders and completely end the war in the way the USA intended but cannot because they are a cowardly street dog who is also scared of shots?<\/p>\n<p>Wild speculation \u2013<br \/>\nThe EU would breathe a sigh of relief that the war is over so they wouldn&#8217;t have to make any difficult decisions and France would immediately start its cooperation with China which they have now prepared together with Ukraine. That was actually why Macron took such a tough position against Russia and Xi Jinping visited him in 2024.<br \/>\nThe reason the USA is playing for Russia is precisely to prevent China from getting access to Ukraine.<br \/>\nEnd of wild speculation.<\/p>\n<p>Some signs are there that China is sniffing around the outskirts,<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/ukraines-zelenskiy-says-chinas-xi-told-him-he-will-not-sell-any-weapons-russia-2024-06-13\/\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/ukraines-zelenskiy-says-chinas-xi-told-him-he-will-not-sell-any-weapons-russia-2024-06-13\/<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/ChinaUkraine_relations\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/ChinaUkraine_relations<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And that China has entered Belarus militarily is another sign that they are advancing their positions.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe Russia gets to keep a smaller naval base on the backside of Crimea or something as a consolation prize?<\/p>\n<p>Is this completely out of the question?<\/p>\n<p>No one knows for sure what China&#8217;s next step will be, we can probably start by stating that, and they have already managed to make a golden deal with Lukashenko right under Putin&#8217;s nose, so why wouldn&#8217;t they succeed in picking up Ukraine as well?<br \/>\nUkraine is the mecca of reconstruction for another 15 years, enormous contracts will be awarded and China definitely wants to be part of this, we can probably assume.<br \/>\nI have said many times that the EU should be cautious with China and not play along with the USA&#8217;s game without any brakes \u2013 the USA does what is best for them, they believe.<\/p>\n<p>Can China route its trade route (Belt and Road) via Turk\u2026stanbn (yes, missed some -stans) and then Aze\u2026an \u2013 Ge\u2026en \u2013 Ukraine, they have an attractive trade route straight into the EU.<br \/>\nRouting it through Turkey and Iran means they have two large unpredictable countries to deal with instead of smaller countries that need business.<br \/>\nYou then have both the Caspian Sea and the Black Sea as transport routes.<\/p>\n<p>Then if you have Crimea as a huge tax-free trading zone (taxfree zone) you can also transship by sea through the Bosporus and get out into the Mediterranean or up to Western Europe via the Mediterranean.<br \/>\nImagine what this would mean for Ukraine in terms of trade \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine will not be part of the EU for many years but they will probably get trade agreements and access to the EU internal market fairly quickly.<br \/>\nEnd speculation that China will come out winning from this because the USA is a cowardly street dog and the EU is terrified of making a single decision.<\/p>\n<p>And you probably all understand that in the direction this is going right now, the endgame will be either war with China or that the USA backs down to China, and if there is war the EU will be dragged in whether we want it or not.<br \/>\nHad the war in Ukraine been extinguished in 2023 \u2013 2024, China\u2019s expansion would not have happened and they would have crawled back into their hole.<br \/>\nThat\u2019s how it looks and we have the USA to thank for this whatever their motives may be because the USA is actively stopping all countries in the EU from doing what is right for Ukraine all the time.<\/p>\n<p>The war in Ukraine is going excellently despite the USA\u2019s constant betrayals,<br \/>\nThe back of the Russian artillery is completely broken and UA continues to decimate it hard.<br \/>\nRemember that RU had 10,000 shells at best (or was it more, 15,000-20,000 at the start?) so they are really on the decline.<br \/>\nMoreover, RU has poor accuracy so a RU shell is not equivalent to a UA shell at all.<br \/>\nBut we already knew this in the thread<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhm6g2pt22u\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhm6g2pt22u<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nuclear power plants in RU have problems with major power outages as a result, probably cannot be attributed to Ukraine but it could always be some of the liberation fronts in Russia.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/nexta_tv\/status\/1813222048103034893?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/nexta_tv\/status\/1813222048103034893?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/albafella1\/status\/1813216435834863932?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/albafella1\/status\/1813216435834863932?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trains with T54 are on their way to Ukraine, again. As always \u2013 if they had T90M we would have seen trains with T90M right.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxg54i32yk26\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxg54i32yk26<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And here is a train with T62, admittedly modified but T62\u2026<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxi25bwbgs2y\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxi25bwbgs2y<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The UA armed forces, which now number 1,250,000, are getting better personal equipment and we all see how poorly equipped the beggar camp Russian army is nowadays.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1813415235467788778?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1813415235467788778?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Krunky is also a war trick \u2013 there are hundreds of boats for amphibious combat now with UA. RU is pulling units from the Dnepr front now up to the northern front.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/maks_nafo_fella\/status\/1812798570140926203?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/maks_nafo_fella\/status\/1812798570140926203?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And here you have the list of UA strategic offensive reserve, several divisions strong.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1813378161431990737?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1813378161431990737?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Zakharova and Lavrov are in New York (again) for the UN and since Russia is the chair country in the Security Council not much is likely to happen there. When Russia was accepted as a country in the UN is a very good question.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/runews\/status\/1813090067604557976?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/runews\/status\/1813090067604557976?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Russia and China have let the West finance all these organizations and then they have bribed their way to loyalty with a fraction of that amount \u2013 hats off.<\/p>\n<p>Always fun to challenge the narrative \u2013 P\u2026as president blames the war in G..a on H..as. Totally OT of course if it weren\u2019t for the fact that China has invited H..as and Hez..ah to China for meetings. That actually surprised me that China was driving the 7 October \ud83d\ude32<br \/>\nSo the question is \u2013 are the demonstrators at all universities in the West on P\u2026as side or on H..as side?<br \/>\nWill they start protesting against H..as now instead of I..el?<br \/>\nOr will they continue to be useful idiots for Russia and China?<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/avivaklompas\/status\/1812895781541535884?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/avivaklompas\/status\/1812895781541535884?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Big day today with EU leaders in Blenheim together with Zelensky, and NATO is also there.<br \/>\nEveryone except the USA is there \ud83d\ude00<br \/>\nNow in 2024 we are actually at a tipping point so what happens in the coming months will be decisive.<br \/>\nHigh hopes for the day \u270a<\/p>\n<p>I hope everyone understands that it is Russia that is in desperate need of a ceasefire here in order to regroup and jump on Ukraine again. All the damn negotiations right now are just a way to give RU the upper hand again.<\/p>\n<p>Here are how many agreements RU has broken with Ukraine.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhnp52qss25\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kxhnp52qss25<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Forcing Ukraine to the negotiating table now is a very big mistake and the USA is forcing this by withholding UA materiel, preventing countries in the EU from sending materiel and preventing UA from using materiel in the best way.<br \/>\nThe USA has also previously prevented the use of ITS OWN materiel produced in Ukraine in the best way and according to international law\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>14:32 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>Not unlikely, their stated motive to avoid a third world war is for me a pretext and the motive is still hidden.<br \/>\nIf we entertain the thought that it is as you wrote \u2013 to ensure that Russia does not collapse then the USA must get a negotiated peace and in my opinion it is likely that Putin will get a small piece of land somewhere and then he can declare victory and withdraw his beggar camp.<\/p>\n<p>He will then immediately be able to start step 2 in his diabolical plan that we already know.<\/p>\n<p>China has already today advanced positions \u2013 they are in Belarus and they have imposed sanctions on the USA for the USA\u2019s aggressive support to the terrorist state Taiwan. As well as now having a base in Cuba.<\/p>\n<p>So if this is the USA\u2019s plan \u2013 what is their end game?<\/p>\n<p>I believe that if we continue on the current path the USA will in a few years face two choices<br \/>\n-retreat significantly from China which has now taken over Africa, has BRIICS with its own currency and BRIICS-MILITARY-UNION and footholds in several countries in South America and Europe.<br \/>\n-Declare war on China and try to crush them economically and militarily.<\/p>\n<p>A NATO for BRIICS is probably not many years away \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>14:36 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>Has anyone ever wondered if there is personnel in the Biden administration who are compromised by Russia or China?<\/p>\n<p>In Europe we are quite open about Orban, Fico, Serbia and a lot of MEPs who work for Russia as well as Le Pen and Farage.<\/p>\n<p>Have China and Russia completely ignored doing the same with the USA that has worked well in Europe, and worked excellently with Trump and MAGA?<\/p>\n<p>I have no idea at all and am asking the question?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>14:38 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>Forgot Sven Wollter<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/drdanielschatz\/status\/1804475843689034103?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/drdanielschatz\/status\/1804475843689034103?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>15:54 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>The USA enjoys all sorts of advantages for the responsibility they have taken on.<br \/>\nNow that they are completely leaving walkover, will they accept that all advantages disappear?<br \/>\n-import tariffs to the EU<br \/>\n-no trade via the dollar<br \/>\n-EU, China, and Russia enter whichever countries they want if those countries want, like Cuba.<br \/>\n-the large financial institutions will be replaced by the EU&#8217;s counterparts.<br \/>\n-No one answers when Biden calls.<\/p>\n<p>The UK has managed to become completely marginal after Brexit but now Kier Starmer might try to change that through fair treatment of the mates.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>16:10 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>1. Yes, but the USA still wants the same advantages but to back away from its self-imposed role.<\/p>\n<p>2. Is that so? If you google around, China intends to have a very good relationship with Belarus going forward and sees them as a strategic partner. Do you think it is the proximity to the EU that appeals or the country itself?<\/p>\n<p>3. You misunderstood the point \u2013 China gets Russia out of Ukraine, and gains access to Ukraine in exchange.<br \/>\nThey are not mediating peace but stealing Ukraine from the West and Russia.<\/p>\n<p>4. Yes, we really have to hope that China is collapsing because otherwise it will get lively.<\/p>\n<p>5. I have the impression that China sells electric cars, batteries for electric cars, solar panels and batteries for storing solar power for example and that they dominate in that?<br \/>\nThen their arms industry is starting to become quite large and technically developed.<br \/>\nSteel and concrete sound like they are still at developing country level.<br \/>\nI understand that more is included in the concept but what I think is that China is developing transport routes that are not easy to block off by the USA if they want and that take them straight into the heart of the EU. On the way, there is a string of countries developing their infrastructure and that are small enough that they cannot cut off cooperation with a new government.<br \/>\nThen companies like their regular car manufacturers and telecom industry as well as computers have probably started to take significant market shares too?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>16:29 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>That is terribly important now when the West might be expected to have to wage war on other ground than their own going forward.<\/p>\n<p>\u201dThere are thus no export rules preventing us from sending Swedish Gripen to Ukraine, as long as they continue to be handled by Swedish soldiers and are under Swedish command, meaning that Sweden actively enters the war.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Yes, the point is probably then that while we use US equipment as we please, we get our own arms industry going.<br \/>\nWe can&#8217;t be completely incompetent, can we?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>16:49 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>A question that of course reveals my incompetence even more \u2013<\/p>\n<p>If you use processors from Cisco or graphics cards from Nvidia or that type of components, can the USA then slow down or is it only the bigger parts like engines and radar that you write about?<\/p>\n<p>Why doesn&#8217;t the USA prevent Russia from firing missiles at Ukraine when 30%-40% of the components come from the USA or is it okay according to the agreement they have with Russia that aggressive war is okay?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>17:13 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>14:49, now I got high blood pressure \ud83d\ude21<\/p>\n<p>So Russia can continue to lob 800 FAB bombs a week onto Ukrainian soil without exposing their own planes to any risk as long as they don&#8217;t cross the border at the northern front.<\/p>\n<p>RU can also continue with all missile platforms inside Russian territory beyond the 100km line because Ukraine is not allowed to shoot them out with Western weapons there.<\/p>\n<p>Then RU can also move many brigades from the northern front to occupied areas because now there will be no UA offensive up at the northern front.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>17:21 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Has Xi Jinping had a stroke?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jurgen_nauditt\/status\/1813541137312854203?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/jurgen_nauditt\/status\/1813541137312854203?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>17:28 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>Blood pressure went down to 190\/120 when I read Pollingerg4Hire above<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>07:02 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>14:04 \u2013 Johan No.1 Today is meeting day at Blenheim Palace and we will see what the EU leaders come [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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