{"id":9356,"date":"2024-07-27T11:32:05","date_gmt":"2024-07-27T09:32:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2024-07-27-2\/"},"modified":"2026-09-30T12:03:51","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T10:03:51","slug":"2024-07-27-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-27-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2024-07-27"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>11:51 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>That&#8217;s exactly what I&#8217;m saying, everyone can see it from the troop movements.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine has deployed offensive capability up at the northern front but got a flat no, yesterday we called it standing with your beard in the mailbox.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, a Twitter rumor at best but over time all these rumors have proven to be true.<br \/>\nReally hate the Biden administration \ud83d\ude21\ud83d\ude21\ud83d\ude21<br \/>\nThat this is happening in 2024 is absolutely incredible.<\/p>\n<p>Then I also say that UA has offensive capability \u2013 how do you think they plan to storm into the northern oblasts.<\/p>\n<p>(They have sabotage units in Russia for a long time so that&#8217;s not what is meant)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>12:02 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>I&#8217;m staying positive anyway even though the USA has been betraying Ukraine every day all week.<br \/>\nThe post below was written before Erik14 revealed the USA&#8217;s intentions.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m also working on the violent victory post when Ukraine&#8217;s 2024 offensive sweeps over the potato fields so now they damn well better start otherwise thirty minutes have been wasted on nothing \ud83d\ude10<br \/>\nA cliffhanger is that it will be better than a blue smurf which is also a dish.<\/p>\n<p>The other day we learned that RU moved everything they can to SE Crimea and it&#8217;s not because it&#8217;s safer there but so they can evacuate faster.<\/p>\n<p>But then the navy retreated from the Sea of Azov so it&#8217;s a bit unclear how they will be able to escape without the ropuchas when the bridge falls. Why Ukraine hasn&#8217;t rained Storm Shadows on them is unclear though.<br \/>\nWe have known for a long time that operational security is tight over the southern front.<br \/>\nThe Kerch bridge can therefore be taken out whenever Ukraine wants \u2013 I think everyone can agree on that by now. In the worst case, they can carpet bomb the bridge with 5,000 drones, that works too.<br \/>\nThe funny thing about all this is that since the Russian technical platform is completely subpar, all these LV systems are now just big bullseye targets on eastern Crimea.<\/p>\n<p>Now I am quite alone in my analysis that Ukraine has offensive capability in 2024 but they do and now Biden just needs to turn into a human instead of a vampire and lift all geographical restrictions and give the go-ahead to the fully fueled F-16s standing in Romania to receive UA pilots.<br \/>\nUkraine has an extreme amount of fragmentation protection, we&#8217;ve counted this several times already and when a relatively newly formed assault battalion (not the brigades) got Marders, all the others also have equipment.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/nitro19820\/status\/1816988798926094462?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/nitro19820\/status\/1816988798926094462?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Maybe the West has decided that there will be offensive operations against Crimea and that the northern front must not be touched, and then they will negotiate when Crimea is retaken or isolated? That way they think they can avoid escalation and this has already been hinted at from the West. We&#8217;ll see if units start leaving the northern front since they don&#8217;t need 3:1 for defense up there otherwise Ukraine probably hopes for permission to carry out offensive operations up there because there are still endless infiltration points that are poorly defended.<\/p>\n<p>If we piece together all the statements made, it is definitely a UA offensive that Zelensky hopes for in order to negotiate.<\/p>\n<p>A bit like 2022 again when they wanted to storm down along the eastern bank of the Dnieper which was undefended but were forced to attack straight on the VDV on the western side because the USA demanded it \u2013 that Ukrainian soldiers should die in vain.<br \/>\nRegarding ammunition supply, I have to remind that they had 300,000 South Korean shells for that so they have enough now.<br \/>\nAt least the Russians are starting to get nervous about Crimea.<\/p>\n<p>Now you all, just like me, will feel much better after seeing this \ud83e\udd29<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3ky6wlpgght2x\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3ky6wlpgght2x<\/a><\/p>\n<p>And now it&#8217;s game over for Orban, this far but no further for that Trojan truffle pig.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3ky6tpslkne27\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3ky6tpslkne27<\/a><\/p>\n<p>My god, what a bad hire JD Vance seems to have been (as we said immediately), yes it&#8217;s full mudslinging before the election as usual but the GOP has really left an open goal here. I thought it would be Nikki Haley and considering that Kamala Harris was always considered at least VP she would have been a good counterbalance.<br \/>\nNow all that remains is for D to come up with a very suitable VP \u2013 I still believe that strong support for UA would attract the sensible GOP.<br \/>\nUnfortunately, Trump has probably understood the UA war now and is starting to SAY the right things so sensible GOP will probably vote for him.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/fredfellaimo\/status\/1816841248088510680?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/fredfellaimo\/status\/1816841248088510680?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><br \/>\nCan&#8217;t figure this one out, Team Trump is angry at Iran but isn&#8217;t Iran allied with Putin?<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/IranObserver0\/status\/1816537435494564119\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/IranObserver0\/status\/1816537435494564119<\/a><\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ve come to the point where it&#8217;s a hate crime to say that biological men can&#8217;t have children if they say they can have children, kind of-<br \/>\nI think this is how you tie a society in knots \u2013 everything is subjective and everyone can always win every argument just by saying it&#8217;s not so.<br \/>\nEventually no one dares to say anything and everything must always be discussed ad absurdum because there is never a correct answer or solution.<br \/>\nThen there is a smart group that uses all this for their own purposes, charlatans who can bypass the experts and the real pros by playing many different cards.<br \/>\nTrump is a prime example of this for instance, right.<br \/>\nIf you are trained in this and out for a purpose it feels like a pretty good infrastructure to bring down respected people or threats or delay decisions ad absurdum, always playing many different cards.<br \/>\nThe Soviets did this to their academics and respected citizens and during the Cold War the peace movements were hopeless. The Soviet forces were swarming in the Baltic Sea and not a sound but if a single American soldier set foot on Gotland they went wild.<br \/>\nA bit like today when I..el is a big aggressor and the West&#8217;s guilt for colonization is sky-high but no one talks about Russia&#8217;s and China&#8217;s recolonization of Africa, or the Ukraine war\u2026<br \/>\nThere all the movements are completely silent and now soldiers in Burkina Faso engage in cannibalism as a ritual and Wagner steals gold mines from the locals by shooting the owners.<br \/>\nRussia is today a big chaos but during the Cold War when the Soviet Union was somewhat functional it was the same thing \u2013 everyone knows the &#8217;68 movement.<br \/>\nThrough South America, for a year or two among refugees there have been groups of well-trained, short-haired Chinese men entering the USA.<br \/>\nThen the Chinese have all kinds of contacts with the criminal gangs in South America.<br \/>\nThe Chinese mafia is also well developed.<br \/>\nToday&#8217;s reflection exercise here is that China may be starting to become the new Soviet for subversive activities, little by little?<br \/>\nWhen they opened their first base in Cuba and were behind October 7, you start to wonder.<br \/>\nThe whole diagnosis we have in the West I believe is largely that Russia is behind it but China is surely on the rise. For example, in influencing social media and trends they can certainly be behind some through their technology.<br \/>\nWe know they influence the US election for example.<br \/>\nWhen it came to hacking and stealing information they were probably the worst?<br \/>\nBy applying cancel culture and then bribing for loyalty you can probably make quite big changes in a society.<br \/>\nRight now the government that has contributed the most weapons for the free West in modern times is the least child-eating nazi&#8230;ters according to some opposition. Rallying under the banners in troubled times would have been better<br \/>\nWe openly talk about those with Russian connections today but we never talk about those with Chinese connections.<br \/>\nWith what we see, China should also be involved in influencing us and people in decision-making positions must be paid to have their loyalty with China.<\/p>\n<p>Have noted several well-known names who all think it is very important to know what is in the secret weapons packages and to whom, for example SAAB&#8217;s new order. Today, in 2024, one should consider carefully whose interests one is consciously or unconsciously serving. Below is an example of about a dozen I have seen trying to shape opinion on this issue.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/annaardin\/status\/1816893636040359986?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/annaardin\/status\/1816893636040359986?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Among the worst is the up to 700,000 children that RU is now training to become the next generation of soldiers. The idea is to have an army of kidnapped Ukrainian children to handle special operations in 5-10 years \u2013 that\u2019s how diabolical the Russians are, by the way.<br \/>\nHere UA goes through domestic weapons production \u2013 a lot.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3ky6u74atjk2f\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3ky6u74atjk2f<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Somewhat quietly, the situation in Africa is getting worse but this is no news to the thread as we have discussed it often.<br \/>\nMost recently, soldiers in Mali and Burkina Faso have been filmed eating people.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/drewpavlou\/status\/1815895618294014351?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/drewpavlou\/status\/1815895618294014351?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is kind of Russia\u2019s thing \u2013 to destabilize countries to the maximum and African countries are extremely fragile. In West Africa, there are a whole bunch of countries that suddenly have military leaders and the \u201ccoalition of shahed\u201d has made several statements.<br \/>\n-the West are colonizers and responsible for all evil.<br \/>\n-the West must leave their countries and Africa-<br \/>\n-Russia is welcome.<br \/>\n-no raw materials shall be sold to the West.<br \/>\n-raw materials can be sold to Russia.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, reports come in about an epidemic of rapes and cannibalism and the West is completely silent.<br \/>\nThe sensitive issue is of course the reference to colonialism here, the slightest attempt to help the people in these countries and the dictators will scream colonialism and all Russia-infiltrated groups in the West will scream colonialism.<br \/>\nNow I did a quick search on all the usual organizations and their statements about Russia in these countries. I can\u2019t find anything where they condemn Russia for what they are doing.<\/p>\n<p>Or that China sells weapons to all these countries.<\/p>\n<p>But it is Russia that has destabilized the situation in all of Africa.<\/p>\n<p>This could probably become a national war as well, heard a bit about that in Nigeria and now a well-organized protest is on the way.<br \/>\nWe already know that Russia uses the migration weapon so a heavily destabilized West Africa with refugee flows and NGO ships ferrying refugees into southern Europe is definitely on the agenda.<\/p>\n<p>Then they get all the natural resources as a bonus and Wagner gets to do what they like \u2013 murder, rape, and torture at all ages.<\/p>\n<p>Wagner steals gold mines,<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/philipobaji\/status\/1816572252856393742?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/philipobaji\/status\/1816572252856393742?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Do you think the civilian women and children brought to these farms that Wagner has turned into torture-rape-murder centers feel that this is going in the right direction right now, that not escalating is good?<br \/>\nI think the children tortured and murdered after being raped probably think that Biden could have done more, or the EU for that matter.<\/p>\n<p>This whole anti-colonial movement is just as cynical as the movements during the Cold War, charlatans who use a good cause to benefit Russia and China at the expense of the citizens in most African countries. By pushing this issue hard, all these movements are also guilty of what is now coming.<\/p>\n<p>I was on this about China a few weeks ago and that they are creating infrastructure towards the EU.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/caspiancenter\/status\/1816145873937834230\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/caspiancenter\/status\/1816145873937834230<\/a><\/p>\n<p>FSB caught with sabotage in the EU.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kyawnsm7su27\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kyawnsm7su27<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here you have China\u2019s economy from 30 years ago, big changes are happening<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/kanthan2030\/status\/1816164365931798798?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/kanthan2030\/status\/1816164365931798798?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>RU is starting to catch up on the digital battlefield and that is what we see in all these videos with shorter reaction times. Then the FAB bombs on top and we probably have the answer to why they are advancing right now.<br \/>\nGet rid of the FAB bomb traps and it\u2019s game over.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kyawsbh54w26\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kyawsbh54w26<\/a><\/p>\n<p>There are 900 M46s in storage, that\u2019s two weeks\u2019 losses \ud83d\ude32<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1816435409116664089?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1816435409116664089?s=46&amp;t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Russia is really in serious decline, two pieces of information that reveal the condition are the M46 and that Russian tank barrels explode from North Korean ammunition \u2013 things are not going well at all.<br \/>\nThe economy is finished according to the central bank governor and new weapon production is minimal.<br \/>\nSalaries for soldiers in the special operation are starting to reach those of the oil industry.<br \/>\nPutin and Russia never expected a long drawn-out war of attrition but that is where they are now.<br \/>\nNow in 2024 and lagging into 2025 is the time to make the world a better place but the West is still dawdling.<br \/>\nWhen the Ukrainian mech offensive sweeps across the fronts, everyone will understand what buildup they have had and how poor the condition was of the Russian barbarian horde. We in the thread already know this but the average person does not want to believe it is true.<\/p>\n<p>Adding the link from erik14 this morning just for my own archive but just as we suspected, the USA has stepped in and stopped UA from a mech offensive into the northern oblasts. The Biden administration is NOT Ukraine\u2019s friend \ud83d\ude21<br \/>\nThe fastest way to win the war was this, USA can go to hell.<br \/>\nDidn\u2019t bother to change my entire post for today so it was written before we got proof but fun that we guessed right again \ud83d\udc4d<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/maks23.bsky.social\/post\/3kyavv3kud62w\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/maks23.bsky.social\/post\/3kyavv3kud62w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>13:31 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>Yes, at the Surovikin line on the southern front, all the mines Russia had left were laid and there Ukraine was forced to attack by NATO.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine has received OBSCENE amounts of mine-clearing equipment from the West.<\/p>\n<p>I think Ukraine learned a costly lesson in 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Drone superiority should Ukraine have now if they pool together at one front.<br \/>\nThey may not get their own CAS but the drones can probably do much of that work.<br \/>\nThe FAB bomb traps must go \u2013 still remains as the USA does not allow it.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, the West is far too submissive towards Russia, China, Hungary, Iran and so on.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>17:36 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>Thanks for today\u2019s essay!\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>21:02 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Let\u2019s forget about blue smurf on plate one for a while and look at the witches from Bucha.<br \/>\nHere you have real heroines, tough fighters with morning breath.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DakdaR22\/status\/1817186774201815169\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/x.com\/DakdaR22\/status\/1817186774201815169<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>00:03 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>10:55 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n<p>One thing I have previously tried to bring up is that in times of tolerance, equal value for all and so on, our elected representatives have consistently not lifted up our own minority peoples. For example, the Sami are apparently declining as a group as I understand it and with the quite unique culture they have, it should be very interesting in these times to highlight them one might think but it is not done with the same energy as we want to help the rest of the world.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>11:51 \u2013 Johan No.1 That&#8217;s exactly what I&#8217;m saying, everyone can see it from the troop movements. Ukraine has deployed [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-arkiv01","category-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>2024-07-27 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-07-27-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2024-07-27 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"11:51 \u2013 Johan No.1 That&#8217;s exactly what I&#8217;m saying, everyone can see it from the troop movements. 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