{"id":9392,"date":"2024-08-06T10:14:10","date_gmt":"2024-08-06T08:14:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2024-08-06-2\/"},"modified":"2026-10-01T08:04:30","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T06:04:30","slug":"2024-08-06-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/en\/2024-08-06-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2024-08-06"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

12:46 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Don’t have time for a post today but I have two indicators to keep an eye on,
\n-UA mechanized units north of the border at the northern front.
\n-UA ambush battle at the Dnepr or the beaches towards Crimea.<\/p>\n

I’ve been arguing for a while that RU cannot defend the entire front and over in Kursk the defense is terrible.
\nBut you also can’t draw big conclusions from a tweet from some unknown source \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

But if there is photographic evidence of mechanized units north of the border inside Russia, then it’s on.
\nAnd above all, we know what the US called Ukraine and asked them not to do.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:50 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h4>\n

It’s not just one tweet but several, so it does seem like something is going on after all.
\nWho is behind it and how serious it is, of course, cannot be determined yet.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:30 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Igor Shusko should be taken with some filtering.
\nAnyway, he writes that there are battles up to 200km inside Russia \ud83d\ude32<\/p>\n

https:\/\/x.com\/igorsushko\/status\/1820704427524694249?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:39 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

200km? You probably multiplied by 1000 out of pure wishful thinking. He writes 200m.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:40 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h4>\n

That’s about three discus throws.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:27 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Ground attack in the Kursk region so something seems to be going on<\/p>\n

https:\/\/x.com\/maks_nafo_fella\/status\/1820816668097921200?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:28 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Just second on that \ud83d\ude0e<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:29 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

It says meters \ud83d\ude33<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:58 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

If Russia cannot defend its land border and Ukraine starts pushing into RUSSIA with mechanized units you can be very sure that it will cause chaos in the Russian command.<\/p>\n

We are not there yet so we have to wait a few days or longer but I believe it is confirmed that mechanized units have crossed the border. Then it’s more than just some sabotage units.<\/p>\n

The fact that Ukraine has also shot down helicopters means they have air defense with them, maybe F-16s are lurking in depth?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

20:44 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Ukraine has reached Sadzhe which is 10km deep and they have been fighting for a day. One is amazed at Putin’s arrogance.<\/p>\n

There are so many reports that these are mechanized units, possibly plural, that it cannot be dismissed.<\/p>\n

It is also the case that “freedom russia” and other volunteer units DO NOT have Bradleys \u2013 which according to the above are operating and rampaging in Kursk as maneuver brigades.<\/p>\n

Then they clear mines \u2013 why do you think?
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/noelreports\/status\/1820878134884925847?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

They have air defense cover with them we know for sure and according to the above they also have artillery with them.<\/p>\n

Does this sound like the guys in freedom russia doing a raid or does it sound like a somewhat more ambitious attempt to invade Russia \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

23:03 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Well, a good evening with some exceptions for serrated knives in the back but unfortunately I will soon be on the plane and can’t follow the invasion of Russia which feels tough \ud83d\ude2d<\/p>\n

Seems to be several penetration points and above all units behind ready to exploit breakthroughs.<\/p>\n

In a few days we will know what this is \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n

Has the US changed its mind, has the US completely fooled us all along or has Ukraine thrown off the yoke?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

23:33 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Remember this<\/p>\n

https:\/\/x.com\/heroiam_slava\/status\/1820823255365697734?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

12:46 \u2013 Johan No.1 Don’t have time for a post today but I have two indicators to keep an eye 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