Ukraine and the world daily update 18 May 2025

The negotiations in Turkey are going great – Russia sent some low level id1ots so Marco Rubio left, and then the low level management threatened Ukraine with forever war and want lots of more territory than they hold today.

Ukraine sent their defense minister and the head of military intelligence, and the President intended to be there but it was to low of a level of the Russians even for him.

Ukraine is leaking to the press which is good.

Has anyone seen Starmer, Macron and Merz lately?

A couple of days ago the threatened Putin with german-level violence if he did not want peace.

Where is that violence?

First we zoom out a bit –

Trump together with the troika – Starmer, Macron and Merz have held Ukraines hands tied since beginning of the year so that it shall be peace in our time. Somehow it is ukraines fault that it is war not peace 😐

Ukraina stopped attack the refineries, they left Kursk two days before peace negotiations in Moscow, they did not drone the 9th May parade and they did not further attack across the northern border (almost).

At the same time none of the id1ots above go hard on Putin – he continues with his genocide in Ukraine.

China have shown their loyalty towards Russia on the 9th May together with 29 more countries – a larger group now than 2023 when it was only the old soviet republics.

China and possibly also Russia has instigated the war between India- Pakistan.

Russia threatens the Baltics and Finland and has a strategic offensive reserve ready for a limited campaign.

Russia also has offensive capacity in Ukraine and is about to start.

Ukraine is playing wests game here, kudos, but the fact remain – either Russia win or Ukraine win. The longer this drags on the closer to global conflict it gets.

Trump blows both hot and cold and it is hard to figure out his long term plan if any.

Back to the meeting to bring peace in our time –

Ukraine and Russia agreed on a ceasefire the month before Putins 9 May parade – only Ukraine adhered to it and Russia did not.

Europe and USA stopped to discuss that ceasefire a while after they noticed Russia did not care. Before that it was extremely important.

Nobody thanked Ukraine after a month for following up on the agreement.

Before the parade 9th May Putin panicked and BEGGED Ukraine for a ceasefire 8-10 May. Ukraine scared all the days before but did not bomb the parade.

Xi Jinping also begged Ukraine to not bomb the parade and Ukraine did fly +500 drones daily over Russia including Moscow but went silent on the parade day.

Likely a request from Europe and Trump.

Putin projected strength – lots of vehicles, lots of soldiers, ten countries joined with their soldiers and 29 big leaders including China.

Xi was there last 2015 so a bit of a biggie.

After the parade our troika Starmer, Macron and Merz went absolutely medieval on Putin – “if you don’t follow a ceasefire from the 12th May we will rain death upon you, capiche”.

They had a meeting with Zelensky and called Trump – all bet their full prestige on this.

Putin replied – foooock you I will not consider a ceasefire you d1cks (after he just got it for his parade 😐) but I can come to Turkey for peace talks on the 15th if Zelensky dare to show up and meet me.

Out troika replied – “yeah, ok – only for this time but you need to come there otherwise it will be consequences for you, biig consequences”.

Trump got all excited and tweeted that he would meet his two buddies in Istanbul for McDonalds.

Full-Prestige-Invested.

Zelensky spotted an opening and confirmed he would come to negotiate with Putin in person.

Putin now looked weak – he can not come to Turkey if Zelensky demands it, and he turks might send him to Hague anyway.

Zelensky did his bit – got off the plane, waved and said peace in our time.

Then Ukraine started to hint that Putin would not come – media ignores it.

Putin – “you guys are nerds”.

Trump – “they got great kebab here in Qatar, I will stay for another two days”.

Macron, Starmer and Merz turned off their phones.

And then it is all lost – the world media “ Zelensky will not attend the meeting”, “Zelensky accuses Putin”, “all three will not come to the meeting”.

And then swedens biggest newspaper – “it is the Ukrainian people that rejects trumps peace plan”.

Game over, Putin survived.

In swedish we use the expression – “not so good” – for really big fiascos like these.

-Starmer, Macron and Merz have now held back Ukraine long enough to allow Putin to prepare for his offensives.

-Nothing ever have consequences for Putin, that is the message he takes with him.

-Starmer, Macron and Merz have show that they are weak – Russians can smell weak miles away.

-Trump is now passive and on a Ghandi-mission in the middle east and got trade deals to do.

Europe should have gotten their big-boy pants on by now by all accounts – WHAT THE FUCK HAPPENED.

We know Zapad25 is in September and Russia uses excercises to mobilize for war. Right now they are also extremely concerned for the Russian minorities in the Baltics and raise frequently that it is ancestral Russian land that the west took from Russia.

Russia has submitted a notice to mariners that 22 areas in the Baltics are no go zones from now until September.

Even CNN understands Russia has offensive plans.

https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/ukraine-russia-talks-istanbul-turkey-intl#cmap774b300003b6ml0nozdyd

We know Russia mobilizes 50 000 – 60 000 monthly since beginning of the year.

India got Pakistan, Bangladesh, Talibans and China against them and they are looking for friends now.

Then the psyops has started – “india is etnically cleansing their muslim population”, a powder keg that.

Are we being tough on Putin.

Will he retract his claws?

I do not think so, I think this encourages him to go further – and soon.

As soon as Putin do some kata-moves in the air Starmer, Macron and Merz are trying to hide behind each other – for f sake…

Our opposition are getting excited now and that means more war.

September is not far off – Baltics will be attacked.

Good idea to support India here – anyone heard anything?

We have Thyberg-gate in Sweden, an appointment of a senior diplomat in Sweden as national security adviser and 33 minutes after the appointment the government got nude pictures of him by email.

Apparently old from a dating site, account closed down years ago.

The email address used to send the pictures was protonmail and a name to another top diplomat in the foreign ministry.

Secret police immediately arrested him, he got beaten up, released, went to hospital and now he apparently committed suicide – all in a couple of days.

Some days after the first arrest another diplomat in Sweden got arrested, or civil servant in the foreign office, we don’t know yet.

And in a town further north – a prominent man in the kurdish diaspora arrested by secret police posing as a delivery service and phone repair men.

Media gets all the information almost in real time.

But all different media gets different information so they all contradict each other.

Who said Sweden was boring 😀

Rather safe to say that security services from third country somehow is in on this to some extent.

We will have AI translation of the Swedish posts from next week and I post them all on Substack so if you can curb your excitement until then – all posts will be in English and Swedish

You have a chance to become a free or paid subscriber on Substack still, or otherwise follow on Bluesky or check out the homepage.

As soon as the AI translation is up I sincerely recommend johanno1.se as it is plenty of initiated comments in the comment field.

substack.com/@johanno1

johanno1.se

https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social


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20 reaktioner på ”Ukraine and the world daily update 18 May 2025”

  1. AFU: ”In total, 167 combat clashes were recorded during the past day.
    Yesterday, the zombies launched 75 aviation strikes on the positions of our troops and settlements, dropping 106 controlled aviation bombs. In addition, 2960 kamikaze drones were involved for the impact and carried out 4735 shells, including 122 from the jet systems of salvage fire.”
  2. Hög anfallsnivå på Pokrovsk, Novopokrovsk och Lyman medan Siviersk stiger. Fortsatt stridigheter i Kursk.
     
    Update as of 08.00 18.05.2025 on the Russian invasion
     
    In total, 167↗️ combat engagements were recorded over the past day.⏱️145, 165, 168, 163, 166, 155, 161, 196, 193, 196, 171, 200, 269, 253, 216, 199, 199, 177, 178, 168, 174, 156, 175, 168, 144, 165, 96, 127, 162, 143, 125, 111, 99
     
    #Kharkiv 3⏱️5, 6, 3, 4, 7, 3, 3, 6, 4, 11, 18, 4, 5, 5, 6, 8, 2, 2, 9, 6, 0, 0, 0, 4, 4, 0, 1, 2, 7, 1
     
    #Kupyansk 1⏱️4, 4, 1, 2, 5, 2, 3, 3, 4, 6, 3, 5, 7, 6, 6, 5, 6, 9, 7, 3, 4, 5, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 7, 11, 4
     
    #Lyman 24💥↗️

    ⏱️17, 16, 24, 29, 20, 25, 8, 17, 27, 24, 21, 31, 22, 16, 27, 27, 36, 21, 18, 20, 22, 19, 15, 20, 14, 25, 12, 14, 17, 20
     
    #Siverskyi  10💥↗️

    ⏱️4, 3, 5, 3, 6, 8, 4, 8, 5, 6, -, 0, 3, 3, 1, 4, 2, 4, 6, 2, 3, 5, 8, 12, 3, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2
     
    #Kramatorsk 8⏱️8, 8, 4, 4, 9, 10, 6, 10, 5, 4, 10, 6, 8, 6, 6, 13, 10, 16, 13, 8, 13, 1, 6, 4, 5, 7, 6, 8
     
    #Toretsk 14💥↘️⏱️19, 8, 18, 6, 9, 6, 12, 15, 9, 13, 8, 6, 16, 7, 8, 4, 10, 6, 14, 9, 29, 16, 17, 13, 23, 10, 18, 26, 11
     
    #Pokrovsk 54💥💥💥

    ⏱️52, 75, 74, 54, 60, 70, 60, 65, 71, 61, 77, 78, 115, 78, 113, 83, 64, 85, 75, 59, 64, 68, 44, 65, 56, 53, 61, 39, 54, 64
     
    #Novopavlivka 23💥💥↗️

    ⏱️18, 23, 26, 30, 24, 13, 19, 31 , 28, 32, 23, 24, 52, 66, 23, 15, 16, 13, 23, 13, 13, 19, 10, 15, 17, 19, 5, 12, 9, 9
     
    #Huliaipil  0⏱️0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 13, 0 , 0, 1, 1, 2, 7, 5, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0
     
    #Orikhivsk 7↗️⏱️2, 3, 3, 3, 6, 6, 2, 6, 3, 7, 4, 14, 3, 3, 5, 4, 5, 0, 5, 1, 4, 4, 9, 3, 5, 3, 4, 3, 3, 1
     
    #Prydniprovsky 2⏱️0, 1, 1, 5, 4, 1, 3, 6, 5, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1 , 1, 3, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0
     
    #Kursk 14💥

    ⏱️13, 14, 9, 12, 9, 8, 25, 19, 19, 19, 11, 18 23, 23, 20, 33, 21, 25, 15, 23, 15, 30, 27, 26, 22, 21, 16, 20, 23, 21
     
    In the Kursk sector, 14 firefights took place yesterday. The enemy 🇷🇺 carried out 15 air strikes, dropped 20 guided bombs, and made 224 artillery attacks, including three from multiple launch rocket systems.
     
    Over the past day, the aviation, missile forces and artillery of the Defence Forces🇺🇦 hit four areas of concentration of personnel, weapons and military equipment and four enemy 🇷🇺 artillery systems.

  3. Russia’s Shaheds are getting more dangerous
    Numbers scraped from the Ukrainian Air Force’s reports on Shaheds incoming, lost, and shot down also show a major uptick in their effectiveness, even as the total number of Shaheds Russia sends is on the decline. One hundred and eleven made it through in February, compared to 404 in March and 424 in April. Meanwhile, the number of Shaheds that the Air Force reported as launched dropped by about a third between March and April.

    How?

    ➖Russia has been sending them in larger swarms

    ➖Outfitting them with jet engines

    ➖➖Maximum payload that these Shaheds carry has tripled from about 30 kilograms to 90 kilograms.

    ➖➖Bring Shaheds higher in the sky, as needed, reaching a ceiling of around 2 kilometers. The vertical range of a Browning machine gun like the one that Oleksiy shoots is, he says, more like 1,800 meters. Shoulder-mounted surface-to-air missiles like the Soviet Igla and American Stingers work at higher ranges, but are in shorter supply.

    ➖Shaheds are also flying with Starlink Terminals that keep them connected to pilots in Russia in flight.

    What Ukraine is doing about it? Se artikel: https://kyivindependent.com/how-russias-shaheds-are-evolving-and-what-ukraines-air-defenses-are-doing-about-it/

     

  4. Inte fanken hade jag kunnat gissa 2022 att det skulle vara nordkoreansk ammunition och iranska drönare som tillfälligt räddade världens näst största och bästa armé från att köra i diket.

    Nu vill jag se extrema kwia eller helst noll, dvs att de dragit hem till mordor.

  5. Westley Richard

    Hamasledaren Mohammed Sinwar har hittats död i en tunnel i södra Gaza, rapporterar TT med hänvisning till den saudiska tv-kanalen al-Hadath.Sinwar ska ha varit målet för israeliska attacker mot Khan Yunis förra veckan.

    Mohammed Sinwar tros ha blivit Hamas militära ledare i Gaza efter att föregångaren, hans bror Yahya Sinwar, dödades i oktober 2024.

    Hans död kan påverka förhandlingarna mellan Israel och Hamas, sa en högt uppsatt israelisk tjänsteman till Jerusalem Post förra veckan.– Om han är ute ur bilden bör det förenkla försöken att nå en överenskommelse.

    https://omni.se/a/25zV7x

     

  6. Westley Richard

    Vem skickade mejlet med nakenbilderna på Tobias Thyberg? Svenska Dagbladet har talat med flera källor på och runt UD och flera av dem säger att spåren pekar mot Ryssland.Det som talar för att ryssarna var inblandade är att mejlet skickades så kort efter att Thyberg presenterats som nationell säkerhetsrådgivare, till de personer som skött rekryteringsprocessen, säger källorna.Personen som skickade bilderna lyckades skada den svenska regeringen, skapa en debatt som rör homosexualitet och få bort en person med stor erfarenhet av Ryssland och Ukraina från en viktig post.Andra källor som tidningen talat med säger att det skulle kunna vara någon som hyser ett agg mot Thyberg eller Ulf Kristersson, eller en politisk motståndare.

    https://omni.se/a/mP2Kwl

    UD jobbar frenetiskt med att lägga skulden på ryssarna, för inte skulle väl någon på UD kunna vara så rutten så att den sticker en kniv i ryggen på en medarbetare?

     

  7. Westley Richard

    Ryanair vill införa en gräns på högst två alkoholhaltiga drycker per passagerare på flygplatser, rapporterar TT. Bakgrunden är återkommande incidenter med berusade resenärer ombord, enligt bolagets vd Eddie Wilson.– Vi har regelbundet medarbetare som blir överfallna, säger han till nyhetsbyrån.Ryanair serverar visserligen alkohol ombord, men enligt Wilson är kabinpersonalen utbildad att hantera berusade passagerare – något han menar att flygplatspersonalen ofta brister i.Samtidigt planerar flygbolaget att expandera i Sverige när den svenska flygskatten slopas den 1 juli. Danmark väljs däremot bort på grund av att en ny flygskatt införs.

    https://omni.se/a/Jb8r4R

    Varför inte köra den svenska varianten med PEthprover som vid körkort?

     

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