{"id":10722,"date":"2026-10-18T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-18T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/?post_type=exmediatt&p=10722"},"modified":"2026-10-19T08:53:27","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T06:53:27","slug":"putin-nojer-sig-inte-med-bara-donbas-alla-reserver-utplacerade-for-zaporizhja-offensiven","status":"publish","type":"exmediatt","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/putin-nojer-sig-inte-med-bara-donbas-alla-reserver-utplacerade-for-zaporizhja-offensiven\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin n\u00f6jer sig inte med bara Donbas: alla reserver utplacerade f\u00f6r Zaporizhja-offensiven"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Idag kommer de st\u00f6rsta nyheterna fr\u00e5n Huliai Poli-riktningen. Ryska styrkor f\u00f6rst\u00e4rker f\u00f6r n\u00e4rvarande Huliai Poli-axeln f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka bryta det ukrainska f\u00f6rsvaret i denna sektor. Rysslands \u00f6vertag i manskap \u00e4r 4 mot 1 \u00f6ver den bredare axeln och upp till 7 mot 1 i de mest hotade sektorerna. Denna truppkoncentration indikerar att Ryssland betraktar Huliai Poli-riktningen som en av sina viktigaste fronter.<\/p>\n

H\u00e4r anv\u00e4nder Ryssland sin vanliga infiltrationstaktik genom att skicka en till tre soldater \u00e5t g\u00e5ngen som f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker ta sig bakom ukrainska linjer och samlas d\u00e4r, medan anv\u00e4ndningen av pansarfordon \u00e4r minimal. F\u00f6r att st\u00f6dja sina infiltrationsf\u00f6rs\u00f6k har Ryssland satt in tre elit-dr\u00f6narenheter fr\u00e5n Rubicon som roteras genom omr\u00e5det f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka t\u00e4cka en bredare del av frontlinjen.<\/p>\n

P\u00e5 l\u00e5ng sikt vill Ryssland er\u00f6vra den v\u00e4nstra stranddelen av Zaporozhye Oblast, inklusive staden Zaporozhye, den regionala huvudstaden. Ryssland kontrollerar f\u00f6r n\u00e4rvarande ungef\u00e4r 75 procent av Zaporozhye Oblast, medan denna siffra var omkring 73 procent efter den ukrainska motoffensiven 2023. Baserat p\u00e5 denna statistik och framryckningstakten i \u00e5r, som sj\u00f6nk till n\u00e4stan noll i denna sektor, \u00e4r det h\u00f6gst osannolikt att Ryssland kan uppn\u00e5 sitt m\u00e5l.<\/p>\n

Noterbart \u00e4r att Ryssland avancerade mer \u00e4n 20 kilometer under 2025 och vid \u00e5rets slut er\u00f6vrade Huliai Polia. Deras framryckningstakt sj\u00f6nk dock till 10 kilometer under 2026. Med tanke p\u00e5 detta skulle det ta sju \u00e5r f\u00f6r Ryssland att n\u00e5 staden Zaporozhye. P\u00e5 kort sikt har det ryska \u00f6verkommandot gett sina styrkor i uppdrag att avancera 30 kilometer fr\u00e5n Huliai Poli f\u00f6re utg\u00e5ngen av oktober. Detta drag skulle g\u00f6ra det m\u00f6jligt f\u00f6r dem att omringa Orychiv fr\u00e5n norr och sk\u00e4ra av dess f\u00f6rs\u00f6rjning.<\/p>\n

Eftersom Orychiv \u00e4r den huvudsakliga f\u00f6rs\u00f6rjningshubben f\u00f6r ukrainarna h\u00e4r, skulle det vara betydligt sv\u00e5rare att uppr\u00e4tth\u00e5lla deras f\u00f6rsvar s\u00f6der om staden om Ryssland lyckas ta kontroll \u00f6ver Orychiv. Detta m\u00e5l \u00e4r dock ocks\u00e5 h\u00f6gst osannolikt att uppn\u00e5 i n\u00e4ra framtid, d\u00e5 Ryssland k\u00e4mpar f\u00f6r att g\u00f6ra betydande territoriella vinster v\u00e4ster om Huliai Poli. Noterbart \u00e4r att den huvudsakliga ukrainska f\u00f6rsvarslinjen l\u00f6per d\u00e4r, vilken det tog ryssarna ungef\u00e4r \u00e5tta m\u00e5nader att f\u00e5 ett relativt litet f\u00e4ste \u00f6ver. Den best\u00e5r av omfattande pansardiken, drakten\u00e4nder-hinder och en serie taggtr\u00e5dsst\u00e4ngsel.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r d\u00e4rf\u00f6r Ryssland inte kan genomf\u00f6ra mekaniserade anfall h\u00e4r och tvingas f\u00f6rlita sig p\u00e5 infiltrationer. Trots att de tagit sig igenom den f\u00f6rsta f\u00f6rsvarslinjen kan Ryssland fortfarande inte anv\u00e4nda fordon f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rs\u00f6rja sina framryckande styrkor eller genomf\u00f6ra anfall, eftersom de inte kunnat montera ner f\u00f6rsvarslinjen tillr\u00e4ckligt f\u00f6r att g\u00f6ra det l\u00e4ttare att passera. Efter att ha tagit sig igenom f\u00f6rsvarslinjen, som fortfarande st\u00e4ndigt \u00f6vervakas av ukrainska dr\u00f6nare, m\u00e5ste ryska infiltrationsgrupper ta sig genom stora \u00f6ppna f\u00e4lt som \u00e4r minerade.<\/p>\n

Som ett resultat av dessa f\u00f6rh\u00e5llanden kan Ryssland knappt avancera h\u00e4r, medan dess f\u00f6rluster \u00f6kar, vilket har tvingat dem att omplacera trupper f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka bryta d\u00f6dl\u00e4get. Sammantaget visar Rysslands beslut att omplacera trupper och rotera elit-dr\u00f6narenheter fr\u00e5n Rubicon till Huliai Poli-riktningen att dess nuvarande taktik misslyckas med att leverera det genombrott som \u00f6verkommandot beh\u00f6ver. De omfattande ukrainska bef\u00e4stningarna, minerade \u00f6ppna f\u00e4lt och den konstanta dr\u00f6nar\u00f6vervakningen inneb\u00e4r att \u00e4ven om Ryssland omplacerar trupper hit, kommer de att m\u00f6ta samma utmaningar som deras kamrater misslyckats med att \u00f6vervinna.<\/p>\n

Detta skapar en kostsam cykel d\u00e4r Ryssland m\u00e5ste satsa mer manskap f\u00f6r att uppn\u00e5 begr\u00e4nsade vinster, vilket potentiellt f\u00f6rsvagar andra sektorer n\u00e4r trupper dirigeras om f\u00f6r att uppr\u00e4tth\u00e5lla offensiven h\u00e4r. Om inte de ryska styrkorna hittar ett s\u00e4tt att \u00f6vervinna dessa logistiska och defensiva hinder kommer deras ambitioner att omringa Orykhiv och slutligen n\u00e5 staden Zaporizhzhya att f\u00f6rbli l\u00e5ngt bortom deras nuvarande f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga. Visste du att du missar h\u00e4lften av v\u00e5ra videor p\u00e5 YouTube? Varje dag sl\u00e4pper vi exklusiva taktiska videor d\u00e4r vi bryter ner de senaste utvecklingarna p\u00e5 slagf\u00e4ltet, strategiska uppdateringar som f\u00f6rklarar vad som kan h\u00e4nda h\u00e4rn\u00e4st, och geopolitiska videor som kopplar varje h\u00e4ndelse till den st\u00f6rre globala bilden.<\/p>\n

Genom att bli medlem l\u00e5ser du upp hela kanalen samtidigt som du direkt st\u00f6der arbetet som g\u00f6r dessa videor m\u00f6jliga. Klicka p\u00e5 g\u00e5 med nedan idag f\u00f6r att l\u00e5sa upp varje medlemsvideo och se till att du aldrig missar v\u00e5r specialuppdatering.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ryska styrkor f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker bryta det ukrainska f\u00f6rsvaret vid Huliai Poli genom infiltrationstaktik och f\u00f6rst\u00e4rkningar, men m\u00f6ter stora hinder i form av bef\u00e4stningar och minf\u00e4lt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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