{"id":11148,"date":"2026-10-20T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/?post_type=exmediatt&p=11148"},"modified":"2026-10-22T12:28:24","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T10:28:24","slug":"varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina","status":"publish","type":"exmediatt","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/","title":{"rendered":"Varf\u00f6r det \u00e4r farligt f\u00f6r alla att Putin tror att han vinner i Ukraina!"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n

Idag kommer de st\u00f6rsta nyheterna fr\u00e5n Ryska federationen. H\u00e4r visar den ryska \u00f6verbef\u00e4lhavarens senaste briefing om krigets tillst\u00e5nd hur verklighetsfr\u00e5nv\u00e4nda de egentligen \u00e4r n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller den faktiska situationen p\u00e5 marken. Medan ukrainarna utnyttjar denna verklighetsflykt milit\u00e4rt till det yttersta, blottl\u00e4gger det ocks\u00e5 ett massivt problem f\u00f6r Ukraina och dess v\u00e4stliga allierade som helhet, d\u00e5 en vanf\u00f6rest\u00e4lld fiende kan vara farligare \u00e4n en f\u00f6rnuftig.<\/p>\n

Under Putins senaste briefing om kriget presenterade Rysslands toppgeneraler en helt f\u00f6rvr\u00e4ngd bild av vad som h\u00e4nder p\u00e5 slagf\u00e4ltet. Generalstabschefen Valeriy Gerasimov beskrev de ryska styrkorna som framryckande l\u00e5ngt bortom sina faktiska positioner, inklusive p\u00e5st\u00e5enden om stora framsteg kring Dobropilye och en inringning i Charkiv-regionen som inte existerar. Ryska trupper skickades till och med in i Dobropilye f\u00f6r att kortvarigt hissa flaggor och fabricera bevis som st\u00f6dde dessa p\u00e5st\u00e5dda framg\u00e5ngar.<\/p>\n

Det verkliga problemet b\u00f6rjar inne i Kreml, eftersom dessa rapporter n\u00e5r Putin som officiella bed\u00f6mningar av slagf\u00e4ltet, och han verkar genuint tro att Ryssland vinner. Den f\u00f6rvr\u00e4ngda bilden orsakar redan allvarlig skada f\u00f6r de ryska styrkorna p\u00e5 marken, eftersom bef\u00e4lhavare pressas att uppn\u00e5 m\u00e5l som deras egna rapporter h\u00e4vdar redan \u00e4r inom r\u00e4ckh\u00e5ll. Ryska enheter forts\u00e4tter att attackera utmattade sektorer, f\u00f6rst\u00e4rka exponerade positioner och s\u00e4tta in mer manskap och utrustning i framryckningar som redan har stannat av.<\/p>\n

Ukraina har upprepade g\u00e5nger utnyttjat det trycket genom att sl\u00e5 mot f\u00f6rsvagade formationer och inleda motattacker n\u00e4r den ryska offensiva kraften \u00e4r utt\u00f6md.<\/p>\n

Det tydligaste exemplet \u00e4r den ukrainska motoffensiven norr om Lyman, d\u00e4r m\u00e5nader av kostsamma ryska anfall utmattade styrkorna som h\u00f6ll utl\u00f6paren och gav ukrainska trupper m\u00f6jligheten att bryta igenom och \u00e5terta mark. Liknande rysk \u00f6veranstr\u00e4ngning l\u00e4ngs frontlinjen skapar ytterligare m\u00f6jligheter f\u00f6r Ukraina, d\u00e5 Moskva forts\u00e4tter att f\u00f6rbruka stridsf\u00f6rm\u00e5ga i f\u00f6rs\u00f6k att f\u00e5 det verkliga slagf\u00e4ltet att likna de framg\u00e5ngar som redan rapporterats till Putin.<\/p>\n

Den st\u00f6rre faran b\u00f6rjar n\u00e4r dessa falska rapporter formar Putins beslut om sj\u00e4lva kriget. Fr\u00e5n Kreml f\u00e5r upprepade p\u00e5st\u00e5enden om ryska framsteg den nuvarande strategin att framst\u00e5 som framg\u00e5ngsrik och \u00f6vertyga Putin om att fortsatt tryck f\u00f6r det Ukraina n\u00e4rmare ett nederlag. Ryska f\u00f6rluster slutar fungera som en varning om att kriget blir f\u00f6r kostsamt, eftersom han har f\u00e5tt h\u00f6ra att dessa f\u00f6rluster ger stadiga territoriella framsteg.<\/p>\n

Det ger Putin alla anledningar att utvidga samma tillv\u00e4gag\u00e5ngss\u00e4tt genom st\u00f6rre offensiver, bredare mobilisering och tyngre robot- och dr\u00f6narattacker mot ukrainska st\u00e4der, medan vapenvila och eldupph\u00f6r blir mindre attraktiva n\u00e4r han tror att de ryska styrkorna redan vinner. Ju fler framg\u00e5ngar hans generaler hittar p\u00e5 p\u00e5 slagf\u00e4ltet, desto starkare blir Putins incitament att forts\u00e4tta och eskalera kriget.<\/p>\n

Till exempel visar p\u00e5st\u00e5endet att ryska styrkor nu bara befinner sig fem kilometer fr\u00e5n Zaporizjzja hur dessa falska rapporter kan f\u00f6rvandlas till verkliga milit\u00e4ra beslut. N\u00e4r Putin f\u00e5r h\u00f6ra att hans trupper redan n\u00e4rmar sig staden, uts\u00e4tts ryska bef\u00e4lhavare f\u00f6r press att f\u00f6rbereda sj\u00e4lva Zaporizjzja f\u00f6r attack, genom att \u00f6ka antalet anfall med glidbomber och flytta artilleri l\u00e4ngre fram s\u00e5 att fler system kan n\u00e5 staden direkt. Denna f\u00f6rflyttning minskar det ryska eldunderst\u00f6det vid fronten, samtidigt som v\u00e4rdefulla artillerisystem och flygplan som opererar kring sektorn placeras n\u00e4rmare ukrainska spaningsdr\u00f6nare och medeldistansattacker.<\/p>\n

Ukraina f\u00e5r fler m\u00f6jligheter att f\u00f6rst\u00f6ra ryska tillg\u00e5ngar n\u00e4r de pressas mot fronten. Men denna milit\u00e4ra f\u00f6rdel kommer tillsammans med en betydligt farligare situation f\u00f6r civila, d\u00e5 Zaporizjzja uts\u00e4tts f\u00f6r tyngre bombningar. Putin har dessutom f\u00e5 anledningar att \u00f6verge offensiven n\u00e4r rapporterna som n\u00e5r honom s\u00e4ger att ryska styrkor redan st\u00e5r precis utanf\u00f6r staden.<\/p>\n

En fabricerad framryckning p\u00e5 en briefningskarta producerar verkliga ryska f\u00f6rluster, verkliga attacker mot ukrainska civila och ytterligare en anledning f\u00f6r Kreml att forts\u00e4tta en offensiv byggd p\u00e5 framsteg som aldrig \u00e4gde rum.<\/p>\n

Sammantaget \u00e4r den st\u00f6rsta faran att Rysslands ledningssystem nu bel\u00f6nar rapporter om framg\u00e5ng mer \u00e4n korrekt information, vilket g\u00f6r framtida milit\u00e4ra beslut alltmer bortkopplade fr\u00e5n verkligheten p\u00e5 slagf\u00e4ltet. S\u00e5 l\u00e4nge bef\u00e4lhavare skyddar sig sj\u00e4lva genom att \u00f6verdriva framsteg, kommer Moskva att forts\u00e4tta s\u00e4tta in nytt manskap och utrustning mot m\u00e5l som endast verkar uppn\u00e5eliga p\u00e5 pappret. Ukraina f\u00e5r ett strategiskt incitament att koncentrera trycket p\u00e5 de sektorer d\u00e4r den ryska ledningen har gett de st\u00f6rsta l\u00f6ftena, eftersom misslyckanden d\u00e4r blir sv\u00e5rare att d\u00f6lja och mer skadliga inne i Kreml.<\/p>\n

N\u00e4sta fas av kriget kommer att bero p\u00e5 om Ukraina kan h\u00f6ja den milit\u00e4ra och ekonomiska kostnaden s\u00e5 pass mycket att inte ens Rysslands eget rapporteringssystem l\u00e4ngre kan d\u00f6lja vad det faktiskt kostar Moskva att forts\u00e4tta kriget.<\/p>\n

Varje rapport som ni tittar p\u00e5 kr\u00e4ver tid, research och mycket arbete att producera. Genom att bli kanalmedlem st\u00f6der du teamet direkt och hj\u00e4lper oss att forts\u00e4tta skapa detaljerad och oberoende bevakning. I utbyte f\u00e5r du exklusiva taktiska videor, strategiska uppdateringar och geopolitiska analyser som endast \u00e4r tillg\u00e4ngliga f\u00f6r medlemmar. Klicka p\u00e5 g\u00e5 med nedan f\u00f6r att st\u00f6dja v\u00e5rt arbete och f\u00e5 tillg\u00e5ng till det kompletta medlemsbiblioteket.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ryska generalers p\u00e5st\u00e5dda framsteg i Ukraina s\u00e4gs ge Putin en felaktig bild av krigsl\u00e4get, vilket leder till riskfyllda milit\u00e4ra beslut och \u00f6kad eskalering trots stora f\u00f6rluster.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_exmediatt_source_url":"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=4v3K-FYosZw","_exmediatt_original_title":"Why Putin believing he is winning in Ukraine is dangerous for everyone!","_exmediatt_published_date":"2026-10-20","_exmediatt_ai_job_id":"yt_20261022_fe3cd29021524b00919cd240f24b51dc","_exmediatt_duration":321,"footnotes":""},"exmedia-tt-category":[35],"class_list":["post-11148","exmediatt","type-exmediatt","status-publish","hentry","exmedia-tt-category-rfu-news"],"yoast_head":"\nVarf\u00f6r det \u00e4r farligt f\u00f6r alla att Putin tror att han vinner i Ukraina!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"%\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Varf\u00f6r det \u00e4r farligt f\u00f6r alla att Putin tror att han vinner i Ukraina!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"%\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Johan No.1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-10-22T10:28:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"5 minuter\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/media-tt\\\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/media-tt\\\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\\\/\",\"name\":\"Varf\u00f6r det \u00e4r farligt f\u00f6r alla att Putin tror att han vinner i Ukraina!\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-20T10:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-10-22T10:28:24+00:00\",\"description\":\"%\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/media-tt\\\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/media-tt\\\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/media-tt\\\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Hem\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ExMediaTT\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/media-tt\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Varf\u00f6r det \u00e4r farligt f\u00f6r alla att Putin tror att han vinner i Ukraina!\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/\",\"name\":\"Johan No.1\",\"description\":\"Kriget i Ukraina - V\u00e4rldsledande omv\u00e4rldsanalys fr\u00e5n Svensksund till den ryska brakf\u00f6rlusten i Ukraina\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Johan No. 1\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/cropped-No1-Logo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/cropped-No1-Logo.png\",\"width\":512,\"height\":512,\"caption\":\"Johan No. 1\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"}}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Varf\u00f6r det \u00e4r farligt f\u00f6r alla att Putin tror att han vinner i Ukraina!","description":"%","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/","og_locale":"sv_SE","og_type":"article","og_title":"Varf\u00f6r det \u00e4r farligt f\u00f6r alla att Putin tror att han vinner i Ukraina!","og_description":"%","og_url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/","og_site_name":"Johan No.1","article_modified_time":"2026-10-22T10:28:24+00:00","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid":"5 minuter"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/","name":"Varf\u00f6r det \u00e4r farligt f\u00f6r alla att Putin tror att han vinner i Ukraina!","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#website"},"datePublished":"2026-10-20T10:00:00+00:00","dateModified":"2026-10-22T10:28:24+00:00","description":"%","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"sv-SE","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/varfor-det-ar-farligt-for-alla-att-putin-tror-att-han-vinner-i-ukraina\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Hem","item":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"ExMediaTT","item":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/media-tt\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Varf\u00f6r det \u00e4r farligt f\u00f6r alla att Putin tror att han vinner i Ukraina!"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#website","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/","name":"Johan No.1","description":"Kriget i Ukraina - V\u00e4rldsledande omv\u00e4rldsanalys fr\u00e5n Svensksund till den ryska brakf\u00f6rlusten i Ukraina","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"sv-SE"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#organization","name":"Johan No. 1","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"sv-SE","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-No1-Logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-No1-Logo.png","width":512,"height":512,"caption":"Johan No. 1"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/exmediatt\/11148","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/exmediatt"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/exmediatt"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/exmediatt\/11148\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11150,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/exmediatt\/11148\/revisions\/11150"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11148"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"exmedia-tt-category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/exmedia-tt-category?post=11148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}