{"id":10855,"date":"2026-10-20T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T05:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/?p=10855"},"modified":"2026-10-20T09:30:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T07:30:40","slug":"and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det h\u00e4r skulle f\u00f6rst bli frontgenomg\u00e5ng, sen t\u00e4nkte jag mer kring revolutionen i Paris och nu landade vi i det globala maktspelet ist\u00e4llet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jag masserar in frontgenomg\u00e5ngen idag i inl\u00e4gget och sen imorgon lite tankar kring Frankrike.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tyv\u00e4rr s\u00e5 har jag tre dagars m\u00f6ten med best\u00e4llare och entrepren\u00f6r d\u00e4r dom tv\u00e5 \u00e5r f\u00f6r sent st\u00e5r i begrepp att skriva under kontraktet f\u00f6r projektet. Bara det kommersiella kvar men dom verkar ha pratat ihop sig redan s\u00e5 det \u00e4r en formalitet men betyder ocks\u00e5 att jag g\u00e5r in i radiotystnad n\u00e5gra dagar. Det positiva \u00e4r att det alltid \u00e4r full italiensk plocklunch och sen spanska biffstekar till middag, \u00e4r v\u00e4l ungef\u00e4r det enda jag f\u00e5r ut av dom d\u00e4r m\u00f6tena d\u00e5 mitt jobb b\u00f6rjar n\u00e4r projektet s\u00e4tter ig\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Att det g\u00e5r bra f\u00f6r Ukraina ser nog alla, riktigt bra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vid fronterna har 3rd AC n\u00e5tt Zherebets i hela omr\u00e5det dom stridit i och verkar ha pausat d\u00e4r vad jag kan uttyda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det finns d\u00e5 flera andra omr\u00e5den i norra Luhansk man kan ge sig p\u00e5 ist\u00e4llet och framf\u00f6rallt s\u00e5 n\u00e5r deras mellanr\u00e4ckviddsdr\u00f6nare nu alla underh\u00e5llsv\u00e4gar i hela norra Luhansk som \u00e4r livlinan till Donbass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">H\u00e4romdagen dr\u00f6nade dom St Petersburg och exportterminalen f\u00f6r olja och LNG s\u00e5 ett mycket l\u00e5ngt finger till Trump d\u00e5 det \u00e4r den terminalen och de brinnande oljetankarna hans diesel finns i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Den dagliga f\u00f6rlustsiffran som MXT dagligen presenterar p\u00e5 johanno1.se efter att ha snott den av n\u00e5gon \u00e4r absolut skyh\u00f6g nu, ofta \u00f6ver 2000st stupade barbarer per dygn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!rcnV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.5503472222222223;width:893px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vi h\u00f6r inte s\u00e5 mycket f\u00f6r Ukraina respekterar full OPSEC men i till exempel Kostyantynivka som Putin redan bekr\u00e4ftat \u00e4r er\u00f6vrat finns det ukrainska patruller i de s\u00f6dra delarna av staden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!oCNa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4035a58-27db-40c4-af67-ad6780d0eb8e_988x735.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!oCNa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4035a58-27db-40c4-af67-ad6780d0eb8e_988x735.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.34421768707483;width:988px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vid Dnepr har Ukraina ocks\u00e5 b\u00f6rjat strida vid Oleshky-bron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!2rzP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4de2eeba-a712-41de-a2b7-2d9a597ccc95_1148x727.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!2rzP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4de2eeba-a712-41de-a2b7-2d9a597ccc95_1148x727.png\" alt=\"\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.5790921595598348;width:1148px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Att det \u00e4r full fart och mycket d\u00f6d ryss kan ni vara trygga i, jag tror inte heller en sekund p\u00e5 att Ukraina f\u00f6rlorar 30 000st\/m\u00e5nad i KWIA som gjort rundorna, dom har sj\u00e4lva f\u00f6rtydligat att det \u00e4r 1:5 i totala f\u00f6rluster och 1:11 i stupade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e5got UA ocks\u00e5 precis sagt, med risk att det \u00e4ndrar sig, \u00e4r att den dagliga lottoraden \u00e4r stupade och att s\u00e5rade \u00e4r mycket h\u00f6gre. Eftersom jag k\u00e4mpat ett 4.5\u00e5r alldeles eget krig d\u00e4r jag p\u00e5st\u00e5tt just det och alla andra som n\u00e5gonsin diskuterat det med mig skrattat g\u00e5tt \u00e5t det missf\u00f6rst\u00e5ndet k\u00e4nner jag en viss tidig uppr\u00e4ttelse. Som en varm vindpust mitt i iskylan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ryska f\u00f6rluster b\u00f6rjar nu tangera 50 000st\/m\u00e5nad och dom lyckas inte rekrytera f\u00f6r att fylla p\u00e5 det \u2013 sluttande plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Putins plan i Ukraina \u00e4r endast en, att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka h\u00e5lla ut tills resten av flerstegsraketen han kokat ihop med Trump f\u00e5r effekt, \u00e5terkommer p\u00e5 slutet med hans sista saving grace men vi \u00e4r inte d\u00e4r \u00e4nnu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Johan No.1 har under kanske tv\u00e5 \u00e5rs tid saluf\u00f6rt f\u00f6ljande \u2013 USA designade kalla kriget f\u00f6r att h\u00e5lla Europa p\u00e5 mattan, Roosevelt mobbade ut en till sist desperat Churchill och skrattade \u00e5t alla stalins sk\u00e4mt under Jalta. Polen blev collateral och gavs till Stalin trots Churchills vilda protester.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ett av de starkaste sk\u00e4len f\u00f6r USA att ge sig in i kriget var f\u00f6r att f\u00e4lla det f\u00f6rhatliga engelska imperiet \u2013 p\u00e5 goda grunder kan till\u00e4ggas. Det nedmonterades \u00e5ren efter WW2 och \u00e4r vad det \u00e4r idag, fish and chips.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Resten av Europa skulle h\u00e5llas p\u00e5 mattan i ett kallt krig d\u00e4r vi k\u00f6pte s\u00e4kerhet och vapen av USA f\u00f6r femdubbla marknadspriset, och USA hade v\u00e4l sina b\u00e4sta \u00e5r under kalla kriget \u2013 the American Dream?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I Europa k\u00e4mpade vi med allt, \u00e5teruppbyggnad, sj\u00e4lvbilden (speciellt tyskarna eftersom alla tackat nej till deras egen v\u00e4rldsbild) och inte minst den Sovjetiska subversiva verksamheten som var enorm och tog sig in \u00f6verallt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1991 f\u00f6ll s\u00e5 det sovjetiska imperiet och vi hade n\u00e5gra goda \u00e5r under 90-talet d\u00e4r Europa best\u00e4mde sig f\u00f6r att v\u00e4lkomna Ryssland in i v\u00e4rmen och vi k\u00f6pte allt dom s\u00e5lde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Putin kom till makten och 2007 i Munchen var det v\u00e4l h\u00f6ll han ett tal d\u00e4r han ber\u00e4ttade exakt vad han skulle g\u00f6ra men Europa sov vidare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2014 p\u00e5b\u00f6rjade Ryssland sitt krig med Ukraina som blev ett \u00f6ppet fullt krig 2022 och har g\u00e5tt urd\u00e5ligt. Ryssland har ocks\u00e5 varit tydliga med sina ambitioner, att \u00e5teruppr\u00e4tta sovjets gr\u00e4nser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mellan 2022 \u2013 2025 f\u00f6rr\u00e5dde USA Ukraina fler g\u00e5nger \u00e4n vad jag kan r\u00e4kna till och Europa var inte b\u00e4ttre, men \u00f6ver tid sv\u00e4ngde land efter land i Europa n\u00e4r dom b\u00f6rjade f\u00f6rst\u00e5 att Ukraina bara var ett steg p\u00e5 v\u00e4gen f\u00f6r Ryssland att ge sig p\u00e5 dom. Tack vare Trump och hans \u201dart of the deal\u201d \u00e4r hela v\u00e4st nu f\u00f6rbaskade och b\u00f6rjar g\u00e5 sin egen v\u00e4g.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lite f\u00f6renklat s\u00e5 blir man mindre intresserad av hur det g\u00e5r f\u00f6r Ukraina ju l\u00e4ngre bort fr\u00e5n Ryssland man befinner sig. Vi h\u00e4ruppe i norden \u00e4r r\u00e4tt alerta och bland de l\u00e4nder som st\u00f6tt Ukraina allra mest. N\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller b\u00e5de volym och h\u00f6gteknik ligger nog Sverige b\u00e4st till i v\u00e4rlden n\u00e4stan?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Innan 2022 har Ryssland k\u00f6pt politiker och mutat in b\u00e5de ytterv\u00e4nster och ytterh\u00f6ger s\u00e5 vi \u00e4r politiskt svaga. Europa har lagt ned elproduktion och gruvkapacitet, och flyttat v\u00e4ldigt mycket tillverkning till Kina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vi beh\u00f6ver inte g\u00e5 igenom dom turerna men det \u00e4r gjort tillsammans med att vi lade ned v\u00e5ra f\u00f6rsvarsmakter i den eviga fredens namn och inne i denna soppa har den ryska subversiva verksamheten legat och puttrat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USA har \u00e5 sin sida s\u00e5lt oss vapen och inte tyckt vi skall ha egen tillverkning, och Kina har beredvilligt accepterat att ta \u00f6ver v\u00e5r tillverkning f\u00f6r att sen s\u00e4lja tillbaka till oss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sen \u00e4ndrar sig Trump och s\u00e4ger att vi f\u00e5r bygga v\u00e5ra egna vapen, och n\u00e4r vi g\u00f6r det \u00e4r han sur p\u00e5 det ocks\u00e5 &#8211; s\u00e5klart sp\u00e4nnande.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vi k\u00f6pte \u2013 r\u00e5varor, drivmedel, vapen, s\u00e4kerhet och alla konsumtionsvaror ifr\u00e5n andra. Alla var n\u00f6jda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nu idag 2026 vill vi att Ryssland skall f\u00f6rlora kriget i Ukraina, vi k\u00f6per inte amerikanska vapen och vi har byggt de f\u00f6rsta handelshindren mot Kina \u2013 inga \u00e4r n\u00f6jda l\u00e4ngre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det andra vi tidigt snappade upp var att USA \u2013 Ryssland hade en egen kommunikation trots att USA tv\u00e4rnekade. Vi s\u00e5g det redan tidigt 2023 n\u00e4r Ryssland ringde dom om den f\u00f6rsta Kurskoffensiven. Fram tills 2025 sk\u00f6tte USA det n\u00e5gorlunda snyggt men det var tydligt att Ukraina inte skulle f\u00e5 vinna s\u00e5 deras m\u00f6jligheter saboterades. Det var ocks\u00e5 tydligt att Ryssland skulle f\u00e5 n\u00e5got men inte f\u00f6r mycket \u2013 USA f\u00f6rs\u00f6kte hitta n\u00e5n balans d\u00e4r Ukraina var en spelpj\u00e4s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vissa l\u00e4nder i Europa var absolut inne p\u00e5 samma sp\u00e5r \u2013 Scholz ypperliga \u201dkan inte Ukraina bara ge upp s\u00e5 allt \u00e5terg\u00e5r till det normala\u201d 2022 \u00e4r ju lite av en modern klassiker.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Enda problemet var ukrainarna. Zelensky har sk\u00e4llts ut otaliga g\u00e5nger av Europa, Biden, Trump och alla m\u00f6jliga andra f\u00f6r fr\u00e4ckheten att v\u00e5ga f\u00f6rsvara sig och dessutom bita ifr\u00e5n sig bra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">FN, Amnesty och R\u00f6da korset har i omg\u00e5ngar alla kritiserat Ukraina f\u00f6r krigsbrott och varit v\u00e4ldigt l\u00e5ngsamma att kritisera Ryssland \u2013 m\u00e5nga har upplevt den kritiken som h\u00f6gst pliktskyldig under tv\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e4r Trump tilltr\u00e4dde b\u00f6rjade administrationen direkt trycka p\u00e5 alla knappar p\u00e5 en g\u00e5ng, dom skyndade mot n\u00e5got det var tydligt \u2013 men vad. Vi har gissat oss runt lite till n\u00e5got som \u00e4r dit vi nu \u00e4r p\u00e5 v\u00e4g, och nu \u00e4r bilden ganska tydlig f\u00f6r mig.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Efter Trumps m\u00f6ten med Putin och Xi (minns inte exakt n\u00e4r Trump m\u00f6tte Xi f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen) s\u00e5 kastade sig USA \u00f6ver Venezuela och Iran, Kuba ligger d\u00e5ligt till ocks\u00e5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sen har dom b\u00f6rjat peka med hela handen mot Sydamerika i st\u00f6rsta allm\u00e4nhet och ingen v\u00e5gar protestera f\u00f6r Maduros perpwalk s\u00e5g inte kul ut alls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">B\u00e5de Ryssland och Kina har investerat stort i Venezuela men h\u00f6ll tyst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Iran schabblade Trump bort n\u00e5got oerh\u00f6rt men nu i dagarna \u00e4r Lavrov d\u00e4r och ber iranierna sansa sig och g\u00f6ra som USA s\u00e4ger. \u201dni f\u00e5r ta en f\u00f6r laget\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Samtidigt som USA s\u00e4ger sig vilja ha fred i v\u00e5r tid i Ukraina bara Zelensky ger bort lite land.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">H\u00e4r n\u00e5gonstans kan vi faktiskt sl\u00e5 fast att Putin och Trump gjort en global deal i v\u00e4rldsuppdelning. Under kalla kriget var olika omr\u00e5den no-go f\u00f6r den andre och sen stred man om proxyarenorna. Men man f\u00f6ljde de \u00f6verenskommelser som fanns. Nya regeringar kom och andra gick, och ibland blev det sp\u00e4nt l\u00e4ge men alla h\u00f6ll sig n\u00e5gorlunda inom sina reservat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Detta system \u00e4r nu \u00e5terf\u00f6tt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vi har fram tills nu st\u00e4llt fr\u00e5gan \u2013 hur passar Kina in i detta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vi vet inte \u00e4nnu f\u00f6r Kina har inte spelat ut sin hand men Trump har tr\u00e4ffat Xi tv\u00e5 g\u00e5nger \u00e4r det v\u00e4l, och nu snart en tredje. Den saluf\u00f6rs nu som v\u00e5r tids Jalta och naturligtvis \u00e4r inte Europa inbjudna men d\u00e4r skall dom l\u00f6sa ukrainakriget f\u00f6r evig fred, utan Ukraina och Europa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Att ge varandra tjuvnyp inom reglerna ing\u00e5r i dealen, framf\u00f6rallt ser det ut som det inte \u00e4r n\u00e5n deal d\u00e5. Trump har hur m\u00e5nga g\u00e5nger som helst relativiserat att Ryssland st\u00f6djer Iran med m\u00e5luttag och robotar till exempel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump \u00e4r impulsiv och en allm\u00e4n id1ot men nu kom s\u00e5 till sist hans motreaktion p\u00e5 Zelenskys uttalanden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!3FjR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a528171-30ec-4ad9-846a-23fee6c454ad_828x1052.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!3FjR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a528171-30ec-4ad9-846a-23fee6c454ad_828x1052.jpeg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:640px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Masken f\u00f6ll helt \u201dfred i v\u00e5r tid\u201d \u00e4r nu bara \u201dkan du inte bara ge upp din j\u00e4vel s\u00e5 jag gjort min del av dealen, dom andra b\u00f6rjar bli sura p\u00e5 mig\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jag utg\u00e5r ifr\u00e5n att r\u00e4tt m\u00e5nga i USA nu sk\u00e4ms \u00f6gonen ur sig \u00f6ver att ha denna avf\u00e4llning till president.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vad jag tror vi har \u00e4r f\u00f6ljande, och eftersom Ryssland har ett d\u00e5ligt f\u00f6rhandlingsl\u00e4ge p\u00e5 grund av den f\u00f6rhatlige Zelensky f\u00e5r USA mer \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sydamerika (hela ytan s\u00e5 latinamerika, karibien, sydamerika, centralamerika) \u00e4r USAs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">MENA \u00e4r USAs och d\u00e4r ing\u00e5r \u00e4ven Iran, och dom m\u00e5ste som minst sk\u00e4rpa till sig pronto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ryssland har alla gamla Sovjetrepubliker inmutade (kul n\u00e4r alla dom s\u00f6kt sig mot EU, vi inte har kapaciteten att hj\u00e4lpa dom och kommer bli polarna som sviker).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Europa \u00e4r ett samarbetsprojekt mellan USA och Ryssland, vi skall h\u00e5llas p\u00e5 mattan precis som under kalla kriget men Ryssland f\u00e5r nog inte g\u00e5 in i Polen. D\u00e4remot f\u00e5r Ryssland vara inne och h\u00e4rja subversivt hos oss s\u00e5 mycket dom vill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USA f\u00e5r Gr\u00f6nland och Ryssland tar Svalbard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kina har sitt n\u00e4romr\u00e5de d\u00e4r Taiwan redan \u00e4r kinesiskt, dominans i kinesiska sj\u00f6n och den \u201df\u00f6rsta f\u00f6rsvarsringen\u201d kommer f\u00e5 st\u00e5 d\u00e4r utan hj\u00e4lp fr\u00e5n USA. Exakt vad dom har kokat ihop d\u00e4rnere vet vi inte \u00e4nnu men det faktum att Australien och Nya Zeeland precis s\u00f6kte sig till Europa f\u00f6resl\u00e5r att dom kan l\u00e4sa rummet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Afrika blir proxyarena \u00e4ven detta kalla krig.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Indien och Pakistan \u00e5terst\u00e5r att se, man kanske st\u00e4ller dom mot varandra?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Exakt samma som under kalla kriget med skillnaden att Kina f\u00e5r en bit av kakan den h\u00e4r g\u00e5ngen, och alla emot Europa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nu idag har Trump gjort det han skall, exakt varf\u00f6r han gjorde det innan valet f\u00e5r vi v\u00e4l br\u00e5ka om men nu har Trump gjort sitt f\u00f6r Ryssland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ryssland har d\u00e5 g\u00e5tt till Iran f\u00f6r att uppfylla det sista dom beh\u00f6ver g\u00f6ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump \u00e4r f\u00f6r klumpig f\u00f6r att lyckas s\u00e4lja in detta och ingen k\u00f6per hans d\u00e5liga l\u00f6gner men planen \u00e4r det inget fel p\u00e5, samma som under kalla kriget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Det \u00c4r Ig\u00e5ng Nu.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-USA har stoppat alla vapen till Europa och Ukraina, \u00e4ven s\u00e5nt som redan \u00e4r betalat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-USA har dragit bort alla offensiva f\u00f6rband fr\u00e5n Europa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-Det informationsparaply som USA tillhandah\u00e5ller \u00e4r under nedmontering och Starlink \u00e4r inte \u00e5terst\u00e4llt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-Ryska satelliter har b\u00f6rjat ompositionera sig till n\u00e4ra Europas viktigaste spaningsatelliter, n\u00e5t 20tal varningar nu s\u00e5g jag.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-USA kommer g\u00f6ra allvar av sitt hot att inte s\u00e4lja diesel och olja till Europa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-USA kommer kr\u00e4va att deras vapenplattformar inte bek\u00e4mpar m\u00e5l i Ryssland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-USA kommer mycket snart anklaga Ukraina f\u00f6r att vara aggressorn, l\u00e4s nedan och n\u00e5got jag sagt i 3-4\u00e5r f\u00f6r \u00f6vrigt att vi skulle komma hit med skillnaden att det var Putin som skulle sitta och skrikgr\u00e5ta i FN. Trodde inte det skulle bli USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-hybridkriget i Europa kommer \u00f6ka, till exempel revolution\u00e4ra r\u00f6relser \u00f6verallt som skapar kaos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-finanskrisen \u00e4r nog precis ig\u00e5ng och USA kommer g\u00f6ra allt f\u00f6r att den skall drabba Europa h\u00e5rdast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-Ryssland kommer tillhandah\u00e5lla en svart svan f\u00f6r denna finanskris f\u00f6r Europa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-IT\/hackerattacker p\u00e5 Europa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-attacker p\u00e5 v\u00e5ra LNG, drivmedel och oljef\u00f6rr\u00e5d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-kapa sj\u00f6kablarna till Europa b\u00e5de kommunikation och el\u00f6verf\u00f6ringen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-utesluter inte ett nytt covid, nu slapp ju antibiotikaresistent persmitta ut fr\u00e5n ett ryskt laboratorium av misstag s\u00e5 visst \u00e4r det n\u00e5got dom roar sig med.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-politisk lekstuga, allts\u00e5 mer \u00e4n vad vi har just nu i Sverige med regeringsbildningen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-en m\u00f6jlig attack i n\u00e5gon form p\u00e5 Baltikum, ryska SOF \u00e4r redan inne i l\u00e4nderna f\u00f6r \u00f6vrigt. Exakt vad som h\u00e4nder i det omr\u00e5det \u00e4r nog direkt korrelerat till hur mycket huggt\u00e4nder Europa visar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e5ng\u00e5ng inom ett \u00e5r kommer f\u00f6ljande utspela sig, vi har resonerat i dom h\u00e4r banorna men McAllister kan skriva till skillnad fr\u00e5n mig.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>President Trump is signaling that he may be prepared to sign a peace agreement with Russia and dare Ukraine to reject it. Before you scoff, consider this hypothetical scenario:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>1. Trump announces a 28-point peace framework that includes hundreds of billions in reconstruction funding, territorial swaps, a demilitarized zone, arrangements for the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, and American-backed security guarantees. Essentially a sweetened Witkoff\u2013Dmitriev plan.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>2. Putin goes on television, announces that the \u201cSpecial Military Operation\u201d is over, accepts the agreement, and declares an end to offensive operations.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>3. Trump announces that America considers the war over and formally certifies a cessation of hostilities to Congress (setting the stage for lifting sanctions on Russia). He warns that if Ukraine rejects the agreement and continues military operations, Washington will consider Ukraine as the aggressor, not the victim, and reconsider its military, intelligence, and diplomatic support accordingly.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>4. Markets surge; oil dumps. A handful of European leaders, China, and other governments welcome the breakthrough and congratulate Trump on ending the war. Trump spends the final days of the American election campaign declaring that he accomplished what everyone said was impossible. Is this the very scenario President Zelensky was concerned about on television today?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">D\u00e4r och d\u00e5 avg\u00f6rs det om Europa kommer vara kuvade under ett till 70-80\u00e5r l\u00e5ngt kallt krig eller om vi reser p\u00e5 oss, skakar av oss bojorna och blir en god kraft i v\u00e4rlden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Om vi bara bryter l\u00f6s Frankrike \u2013 dom har kaos p\u00e5 gatorna, landet \u00e4r snudd p\u00e5 statsbankrutt och Le Pen \u00e4r p\u00e5 v\u00e4g mot egen majoritet om det h\u00e4r h\u00e5ller i sig. Tror ni Frankrike kommer vara beredda att g\u00e5 i krig f\u00f6r Australien, Estland eller g\u00e5 in med trupp i Ukraina fram\u00f6ver?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zelensky och Budanov har vid upprepade tillf\u00e4llen ber\u00e4ttat f\u00f6r oss att Ryssland \u00e4r f\u00e4rdiga att ge sig p\u00e5 Baltikum 2027. Jag har varit orolig f\u00f6r att dom skulle g\u00f6ra det tidigare, alla andra att det kommer ta tills minst 2029-2030 innan n\u00e5got h\u00e4nder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Den eskaleringsfas vi nu ser f\u00f6resl\u00e5r att n\u00e5ng\u00e5ng 2027 \u00e4r resten av Europa s\u00e5 djupmarinerade i sina egna interna problem att vi inte klarar av ett problem till att hantera och slutar svara p\u00e5 balternas desperata v\u00e4djanden \u00f6ver whatsapp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vet inte om jag kan s\u00e4ga det tydligare, kom p\u00e5 denna just nu faktiskt tror det kan bli ett bevingat uttryck \u2013 \u201dni hade att v\u00e4lja mellan feghet eller krig, nu valde ni feghet och d\u00e5 kommer ni f\u00e5 krig\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ingen gillar en fegis och vi \u00e4r l\u00e5ngt f\u00f6rbi punkten d\u00e4r l\u00e5gaffektivt bem\u00f6tande fungerar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USA g\u00f6r vad dom g\u00f6r tills antingen medborgarna tar tag i problemet internt eller Europa visar sig vara en v\u00e4rdig motst\u00e5ndare att beh\u00f6va beakta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USA kommer inte g\u00e5 i krig med oss, men dom beh\u00f6ver inte s\u00e4lja allt vi beh\u00f6ver heller.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Problemet \u00e4r kanske bara att Europa aldrig kommer bli en v\u00e4rdig motst\u00e5ndare f\u00f6r n\u00e5gon annan \u2013 vi \u00e4r ett s\u00e5 pass stort hot f\u00f6r alla andra efter v\u00e5ra koloniala h\u00e4rjningar och v\u00e5ra tv\u00e5 v\u00e4rldskrig att vi nog helt enkelt bara f\u00e5r visa att vi har huggt\u00e4nder s\u00e5 vi l\u00e4mnas ifred och d\u00e4refter bygga oss v\u00e5r del i v\u00e4rlden med Kanada, Australien, Nya Zeeland och de l\u00e4nder i Afrika som vill ha schyssta handelsavtal med oss och knyta sig till oss p\u00e5 ett schysst s\u00e4tt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det v\u00e4rsta som kan h\u00e4nda \u00e4r om auktorit\u00e4ra ledare reser sig ocks\u00e5 ur v\u00e5r aska och vi bara delar upp v\u00e4rlden i fyra ist\u00e4llet f\u00f6r tre men mitt hopp st\u00e5r till EU och de 27st demokratier som bildat EU \u2013 det \u00e4r betydligt sv\u00e5rare f\u00f6r en Xi, Trump eller Putin att ta \u00f6ver hos oss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jag vet vad jag vill se och om Europa best\u00e4mmer sig f\u00f6r det kommer vi dit \u2013 vi \u00e4r formidabla. Men vi har en stor grupp usla politiker mellan oss och m\u00e5let i den h\u00e4r h\u00e4ckl\u00f6pningen d\u00e4r en del dessutom \u00e4r k\u00f6pta av Ryssland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hursomhelst \u2013 <strong>now it has begun<\/strong>. Gl\u00f6m inte heller er betalda prenumeration f\u00f6r fler sagan om ringen citat och evig fred.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Det h\u00e4r skulle f\u00f6rst bli frontgenomg\u00e5ng, sen t\u00e4nkte jag mer kring revolutionen i Paris och nu landade vi i det [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraina"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Det h\u00e4r skulle f\u00f6rst bli frontgenomg\u00e5ng, sen t\u00e4nkte jag mer kring revolutionen i Paris och nu landade vi i det [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Johan No.1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-20T05:01:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-10-20T07:30:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"johan No.1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Skriven av\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"johan No.1\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"15 minuter\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"johan No.1\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7\"},\"headline\":\"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-20T05:01:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-10-20T07:30:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":3252,\"commentCount\":15,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/substackcdn.com\\\/image\\\/fetch\\\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\\\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Kriget i Ukraina\"],\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/\",\"name\":\"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026 -\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/substackcdn.com\\\/image\\\/fetch\\\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\\\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-20T05:01:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-10-20T07:30:40+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/substackcdn.com\\\/image\\\/fetch\\\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\\\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/substackcdn.com\\\/image\\\/fetch\\\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\\\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Hem\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/\",\"name\":\"Johan No.1\",\"description\":\"Kriget i Ukraina - V\u00e4rldsledande omv\u00e4rldsanalys fr\u00e5n Svensksund till den ryska brakf\u00f6rlusten i Ukraina\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Johan No. 1\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/cropped-No1-Logo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/cropped-No1-Logo.png\",\"width\":512,\"height\":512,\"caption\":\"Johan No. 1\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7\",\"name\":\"johan No.1\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"johan No.1\"},\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/johanno1.se\\\/sv\\\/author\\\/johan\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026 -","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/","og_locale":"sv_SE","og_type":"article","og_title":"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026 -","og_description":"Det h\u00e4r skulle f\u00f6rst bli frontgenomg\u00e5ng, sen t\u00e4nkte jag mer kring revolutionen i Paris och nu landade vi i det [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/","og_site_name":"Johan No.1","article_published_time":"2026-10-20T05:01:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-10-20T07:30:40+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"johan No.1","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Skriven av":"johan No.1","Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid":"15 minuter"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/"},"author":{"name":"johan No.1","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#\/schema\/person\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7"},"headline":"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026","datePublished":"2026-10-20T05:01:00+00:00","dateModified":"2026-10-20T07:30:40+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/"},"wordCount":3252,"commentCount":15,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png","articleSection":["Kriget i Ukraina"],"inLanguage":"sv-SE","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/","name":"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026 -","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png","datePublished":"2026-10-20T05:01:00+00:00","dateModified":"2026-10-20T07:30:40+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"sv-SE","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"sv-SE","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!rcnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F665e75e6-82eb-467d-a6d3-ef9d6a3cfae8_893x576.png"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/and-so-it-has-begun-20-oktober-2026\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Hem","item":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"And So it Has Begun, 20 Oktober 2026"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#website","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/","name":"Johan No.1","description":"Kriget i Ukraina - V\u00e4rldsledande omv\u00e4rldsanalys fr\u00e5n Svensksund till den ryska brakf\u00f6rlusten i Ukraina","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"sv-SE"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#organization","name":"Johan No. 1","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"sv-SE","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-No1-Logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-No1-Logo.png","width":512,"height":512,"caption":"Johan No. 1"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/#\/schema\/person\/1dec165f070bde263b30eaf3c0a742e7","name":"johan No.1","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"sv-SE","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/06f93864ed6b830e2782e60575fff112f1c61c52bb10b194131e0e333191695b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"johan No.1"},"url":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/author\/johan\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10855"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10855\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10860,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10855\/revisions\/10860"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}