{"id":243,"date":"2025-02-05T14:45:20","date_gmt":"2025-02-05T13:45:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/?p=243"},"modified":"2025-05-25T14:21:52","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T12:21:52","slug":"ukraina-daglig-uppdatering-5-februari-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/ukraina-daglig-uppdatering-5-februari-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraina daglig uppdatering 5 Februari 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Lejonen
https:\/\/x.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1886815340706845108?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi b\u00f6rjar med det uppenbara \u2013 Ukraina har dragit ig\u00e5ng en absolut v\u00e5ldsam strategisk bombkampanj mot Ryssland och under Januari 2025 fick 2\/3 av de 30st st\u00f6rsta raffinaderierna p\u00e5h\u00e4lsning av UA dr\u00f6nare och vi vet att flera stycken helt upph\u00f6rt med produktionen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Vad vi inte vet \u00e4r hur m\u00e5nga som \u00e5tertogs i drift under den tidigare kampanjen men f\u00f6rmodligen hann v\u00e4l RU reparera det mesta. Reservdelar har ju trots allt fl\u00f6dat in fr\u00e5n v\u00e4st via -stans ist\u00e4llet och v\u00e4st har ju k\u00f6pt RU olja och LNG hela kriget s\u00e5 dollares har dom ocks\u00e5 haft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men nu verkar det vara \u00f6ver, ig\u00e5r kom ocks\u00e5 ett rykte (som b\u00e4st, kanske SALTINT \u00e4r b\u00e4ttre) att alla geografiska begr\u00e4nsningar \u00e4r borta p\u00e5 v\u00e4stvapnen nu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Vi har ju kunnat gissa att efter valet f\u00f6rsvann \u00f6ver tid f\u00f6rbuden f\u00f6r Ukraina att bek\u00e4mpa oljeindustrin f\u00f6r man har nu klippt till oljexporten stenh\u00e5rt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r att inte tala om alla oljedep\u00e5er, h\u00e5ller inte r\u00e4kningen men det \u00e4r m\u00e5nga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/front_ukrainian\/status\/1887036148280688821?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Zelensky har hela kriget varit en mycket v\u00e4rdefull k\u00e4lla f\u00f6r information d\u00e5 han \u00e4r v\u00e4stallierad och allts\u00e5 inte motpart s\u00e5 n\u00e4r han s\u00e4ger n\u00e5got har det h\u00f6g trov\u00e4rdighet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mango-Mussolini har ju nu g\u00e5tt ut stenh\u00e5rt och meddelat alla att han funderar p\u00e5 att byta r\u00e4ttigheter till naturresurser mot att st\u00f6tta Ukraina till en win. D\u00e5 det mesta finns i \u00d6stra Ukraina s\u00e5 blir ju d\u00e5 logiken 1991 \u00e5rs gr\u00e4nser eller hur. Och Ukraina skulle nog inte byta bort n\u00e5got f\u00f6r mindre \u00e4n det.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zelensky meddelar oss nu att det h\u00e4r redan varit i r\u00f6relse l\u00e4nge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Och f\u00f6r er som f\u00f6ljer v\u00e4rldens b\u00e4sta nyhetsankare minns ni att i September 2024 n\u00e4r Zelensky ville ha st\u00f6d f\u00f6r sin fredsplan s\u00e5 var ett av buden till Trump att USA skulle f\u00e5 f\u00f6rsta tjing p\u00e5 naturresurserna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5 Trump f\u00f6ljer bara n\u00e5got som Zelensky erbj\u00f6d redan i September 2024 men l\u00e5ter som att han nu kommit p\u00e5 det alldeles sj\u00e4lv lysande stj\u00e4rna som han \u00e4r \ud83e\udd23<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Om vi tar ett steg tillbaka \u2013 beh\u00f6ver Ukraina Trumps st\u00f6d?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tveksamt \u00e4r v\u00e4l svaret men d\u00e5 m\u00e5st man naturligtvis kunna lita fullt ut p\u00e5 EU och s\u00e5 dumma tror jag inte Ukraina \u00e4r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4r det h\u00e4r ett oerh\u00f6rt \u00f6vergrepp av USA?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nej, om dom hj\u00e4lper Ukraina att \u00e5terf\u00e5 1991 \u00e5rs gr\u00e4nser, och USA har slantat upp en hel del redan, s\u00e5 \u00e4r det v\u00e4l inte helt orimligt att dom f\u00e5r f\u00f6rk\u00f6psr\u00e4tt p\u00e5 s\u00e5dant dom \u00f6nskar k\u00f6pa?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r det \u00e4r v\u00e4l det allt handlar om, att USA f\u00e5r k\u00f6pa, investera och f\u00e5r r\u00e4ttigheter vilket ju kommer gynna Ukrainas ekonomi n\u00e5got enormt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5 jag tycker det h\u00e4r vore bra och det \u00e4r n\u00e5got Ukraina sj\u00e4lva f\u00f6reslagit tidigare till Trump f\u00f6r att f\u00e5 honom intresserad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00e5r det d\u00e5 bra?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lavrov kallar Trump f\u00f6r Hitler lite l\u00e4tt inlindat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Och Peskov s\u00e4ger att Ryssland \u00e4r redo att f\u00f6rhandla, till en bakgrund av brinnande raffinaderier \ud83e\udd23\ud83e\udd23<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Det enda jag kan tycka som EU medborgare h\u00e4r \u00e4r att EU borde vara\/varit mycket snabbare p\u00e5 bollen f\u00f6r vi borde egentligen vilja knyta Ukraina till oss och vi har ocks\u00e5 gett dom mycket st\u00f6d. Det vore lite trist om USA snor \u00e5t sig alla f\u00f6rdelarna efter kriget n\u00e4r vi v\u00e4l gjort ungef\u00e4r lika mycket?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men USA har ju historiskt haft en viss f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga att \u00e5ngv\u00e4lta \u00f6ver och f\u00e5 det dom vill\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Just nu k\u00e4nner jag att det inte \u00e4r n\u00e5gon id\u00e9 att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka f\u00f6rst\u00e5 sig p\u00e5 Trump alls \u2013 Om han g\u00f6r allvar av att byta st\u00f6d mot fyndigheter s\u00e5 kommer Putin blockera honom p\u00e5 whatsapp som h\u00e4mnd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Musk har jag i facket att han st\u00e5r i rysk sold f\u00f6r l\u00e4nge sedan \u2013 f\u00f6rmodligen har ryssarna tillr\u00e4ckligt med kompromat att f\u00e4lla honom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5 vi l\u00e4mnar den soppan ett tag och g\u00e5r till UA kriget och fronterna som vi inte bes\u00f6kt p\u00e5 ett tag med den observationen att Trump skaffar sig m\u00e5nga ov\u00e4nner just nu \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Andra frontlinjen uppe i Kursk h\u00e5ller och RU har just nu g\u00e5tt ned i intensitet i omr\u00e5det och Nordkoreanerna \u00e4r urdragna \u2013 ser inte hur Kursk kommer falla i n\u00e4rtid alls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

I Belgorod kan jag inte se annat \u00e4n att Ukraina har planer p\u00e5 att \u00e5terta omr\u00e5det som minst om vi ser till antalet brigader och dess bett.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

I Kupianskfickan ser det ut som UA st\u00e4rkt upp och st\u00e4mmer ryktet h\u00e4romdagen att dom f\u00e5tt dr\u00f6narenheter s\u00e5 kommer nog UA inte sl\u00e4ppa den fickan vilket \u00e4r sm\u00e5tt otroligt. F\u00f6rbanden i det omr\u00e5det har ju stridit med i stort sett ingenting under l\u00e5ng tid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

S\u00f6der om Kupiansk kommer dom inte heller sl\u00e4ppa men ser ingen styrkeuppbyggnad direkt men RU ska vara i d\u00e5ligt skick d\u00e4r och 1st GTA anfalla som skytte i mjuka fordon till exempel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chasiv Yar och Toretsk har ju fallit men Kostiantynivka blir ju d\u00e5 n\u00e4sta ort att f\u00f6rsvara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Pokrovsk och Chasiv Yar (d\u00e4r jag nu f\u00f6rst\u00e5r att UA st\u00e5r utanf\u00f6r orten inte i orten s\u00e5 Deepstate \u00e4r korrekta) ser inte j\u00e4ttebra ut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men UA har en skog av elitf\u00f6rband i omr\u00e5det och kommer f\u00f6ra dyrbar f\u00f6rdr\u00f6ningsstrid f\u00f6r ryssarna \u2013 inga taktiska eller strategiska genombrott, bara d\u00f6da ryssj\u00e4vlar str\u00f6dda \u00f6ver f\u00e4lten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Vid S\u00f6dra fronten har RU inte kommit ig\u00e5ng alls och det varnades det f\u00f6r av m\u00e5nga mig inklusive redan i h\u00f6stas och inget har h\u00e4nt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Verkar som UA har f\u00f6rsvagat vid s\u00f6dra fronten dock.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vid Dnepr har UA st\u00e4rkt upp och RU f\u00f6rsvagat d\u00e5 76th GAAD dragits ur som var offensiv reserv.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sen har UA en strategisk offensiv reserv p\u00e5 under 10st brigader som \u00e4r i olika skick gissningsvis \u2013 n\u00e5gra \u00e5terh\u00e4mtar och andra fick ju aldrig utrustningen av v\u00e4st som nu kommer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sen har UA b\u00f6rjat omforma till det k\u00e5rsystem dom borde inf\u00f6rt f\u00f6r \u00e5r sedan men USA l\u00e5g ju som en v\u00e5t filt \u00f6ver alltihop och h\u00e5rdstyrde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ryssarna \u00e4r dock \u00f6k\u00e4nda f\u00f6r att alltid f\u00f6rbereda n\u00e4sta sm\u00e4ll s\u00e5 fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r nu \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Nordkoreanerna kommer eller inte?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Deras strategiska reserv och hur utrustar dom den?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag tror dock att det inte kommer beh\u00f6vas f\u00f6r UAs strategiska dr\u00f6narkrig f\u00f6r\u00f6der Ryssland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och Belarus, Georgien, Transnistrien \u00e4r ju alla i olika stadier av befrielse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och Baltikum samt Finland har sent omsider kommit i ordning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och \u00d6stersj\u00f6polisen i form av oss, Finland och andra \u00e4r p\u00e5 plats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bubblarlistan kokar helt enkelt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UA antidr\u00f6anar-dr\u00f6nare fr\u00e5n moderskepp<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/JimmySecUK\/status\/1886496453897449489\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Och lasertrupperna str\u00e5lar p\u00e5, n\u00e4r den f\u00f6rsta slagf\u00e4ltslasern sveper \u00f6ver en potatis\u00e5ker i b\u00e4sta star wars stil \u2013 d\u00e5 blir det finbubbel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5 tal om finbubbel s\u00e5 b\u00f6rjar jag s\u00e5 sm\u00e5tt acceptera att vi kanske skall g\u00f6ra tv\u00e5 \u00e5r h\u00e4r \u2013 har hittat jumboflaskan med \u00f6l \u2013 1liter Presidente glasflaska \ud83e\udd29\ud83e\udd29<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och svenskt kn\u00e4ckebr\u00f6d \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I vanlig ordning, gillade ni inl\u00e4gget dela g\u00e4rna i era kanaler och vill ni ha en kul dag i ett kommentarsf\u00e4lt \u2013 johanno1.se.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bluesky, Substack och hemsidan f\u00e5r r\u00e4cka som kanaler tycker jag och nu \u00e4r det en ok process att posta p\u00e5 alla som inte helt tar d\u00f6d p\u00e5 mig.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lite sm\u00e5segt med alla bilderna f\u00f6r att g\u00f6ra inl\u00e4gget l\u00e4sv\u00e4nligt men det \u00e4r som det \u00e4r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r helt makal\u00f6st att Ukraina kunnat genomf\u00f6ra ett strategiskt bombkrig som \u00e4r potentiellt krigsvinnande bara med billiga dr\u00f6nare i stort sett.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WW2 kr\u00e4vdes det enorma bombflottor f\u00f6r detta och i till exempel Gulfkriget, eller RU anfallskrig 2022, s\u00e5 var det flyg och robotar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Israel bek\u00e4mpade Hamas och Hezbollag med JDAMS som v\u00e4l \u00e4r billigare men b\u00e4rarna \u00e4r snordyra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukraina har uppn\u00e5tt samma resultat med autonoma billiga massproducerade dr\u00f6nare till l\u00e5g kostnad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi vet ju alla att USA n\u00e4r historien skrivs kommer vara dom som l\u00e5g bakom alla fiffiga id\u00e9er men f\u00f6r mig s\u00e5 har v\u00e4sts direkta inblandning i det h\u00e4r kriget varit snudd p\u00e5 fatalt och det UA kommit upp med sj\u00e4lva varit fulltr\u00e4ffar s\u00e5 h\u00f6g sannolikhet att dr\u00f6narvapnet varit Ukrainas id\u00e9 som dom drivit h\u00e5rt sj\u00e4lva trots att v\u00e4st stod och skrattade och tyckte att dom skulle k\u00f6pa mer flyg fr\u00e5n dom ist\u00e4llet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r en st\u00e4ndig whacka-a-mole med staplar som n\u00e4r dom st\u00e5r r\u00e4tt blir en win \u2013 f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga, m\u00e4ngd, motmedel och en mix av f\u00f6rm\u00e5gor som n\u00e4r allt ligger r\u00e4tt \u00e4r ostoppbart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dit har vi n\u00e5tt nu 2025 i det strategiska bombkriget och Ryssland \u00e4r helt of\u00f6rm\u00f6gna att freda sig. Det enda som skulle kunna g\u00f6ra skillnad \u00e4r om Kina tillhandah\u00e5ller ENORMA m\u00e4ngder LV \u00f6ver hela Rysslands yta men det har dom inte gjort hittills och kriget vinns nu i \u00e5r 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e5gon slog i gongongen att RU f\u00f6rlorat det strategiska bombkriget redan Januari 2024 och det st\u00e5r sig \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-positiv-positiv s\u00e5ledes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lejonenhttps:\/\/x.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1886815340706845108?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w Vi b\u00f6rjar med det uppenbara \u2013 Ukraina har dragit ig\u00e5ng en absolut v\u00e5ldsam strategisk bombkampanj mot Ryssland och under […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":246,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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