{"id":3270,"date":"2025-11-10T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-10T06:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/?p=3270"},"modified":"2025-11-11T06:26:55","modified_gmt":"2025-11-11T05:26:55","slug":"ukraina-daglig-uppdatering-10-november-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/ukraina-daglig-uppdatering-10-november-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraina daglig uppdatering 10 November 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Jag och Nelson Mandela h\u00e5ller \u00f6gonen p\u00e5 detta men nedan fr\u00e5n i fredags f\u00f6resl\u00e5r att RU f\u00f6rs\u00f6kt infiltrera Hryshyne (igen) och att dom \u00e4r och nafsar p\u00e5 Myrnohrad enligt Ukrinform som \u00e5terrapporterar fr\u00e5n en av arm\u00e9k\u00e5rerna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r att kunna f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka infiltrera in i Hryshyne m\u00e5ste dom ju d\u00e5 rimligen redan finnas i gr\u00e5zonen i Pokrovsk, annars hade dom v\u00e4l f\u00f6rs\u00f6kt infiltrera in i gr\u00e5zonen i Pokrovsk?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och f\u00f6rbanden i Myrnohrad vara i n\u00e5n typ av strid?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inl\u00e4gget skrevs i fredags s\u00e5 har det h\u00e4nt n\u00e5got under helgen har jag inte f\u00e5ngat upp det n\u00e4r ni f\u00e5r det i inboxen eftersom jag inte kan skriva \u00f6ver helgerna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag \u00e4r inte helt pigg p\u00e5 den h\u00e4r skillnaden i rapportering och k\u00e4llor som Vitaly \u00e4r r\u00e4tt h\u00e5rt ansatt f\u00f6r att inte tala om Deepstate och de andra som vi anv\u00e4nt oss av i snart fyra \u00e5r – det skall bli intressant att se vem som rapporterade sanningsenligast fram\u00f6ver men det f\u00f6rsv\u00e5ras av att det st\u00e4ndigt genomf\u00f6rs anfall och motanfall s\u00e5 en situation som g\u00e4llde ig\u00e5r \u00e4r d\u00e5 \u00f6verspelad. Eftersom det rullar hela tiden \u00e4r det snudd p\u00e5 om\u00f6jligt att f\u00f6lja – beskrevs som r\u00f6rigt av n\u00e5gon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men att situationen var kritisk nog f\u00f6r att motivera att skicka in GUR \u00e4r klart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.ukrinform.net\/rubric-ato\/4056254-russians-reduce-activity-in-pokrovsk-to-minimize-losses-defense-forces.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00e4r \u00e4r h\u00f6jdkurvan f\u00f6r Pokrovskomr\u00e5det om n\u00e5gon \u00e4r intresserad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/en-ie.topographic-map.com\/map-px7tdn\/Pokrovsk\/?zoom=9&center=48.40076%2C37.25476<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

En sak man kan sl\u00e5 fast \u00e4r att RU inte kan dra mer f\u00f6rband fr\u00e5n Dneprfronten om dom skulle beh\u00f6va iallafall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2023 stod egentligen hela K1-K2 striden i Bakhmut d\u00e4r Wagner n\u00f6tte p\u00e5 till tonerna av tusentals stupade och slutsiffran f\u00f6r Bakhmut var v\u00e4l +20 000st stupade?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ja, arm\u00e9n ville ocks\u00e5 f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka uppn\u00e5 storhet vid den tiden och Vuhledar var en katastrof f\u00f6r dom men \u00f6verlag var hela frontasvsnitt lugna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Idag 2025 anfaller RU vid alla fronter till +1000 f\u00f6rluster dagligen och det r\u00f6r sig sakta fram\u00e5t \u00f6verallt \u00e4ven om Pokrovsk \u00e4r det enda omr\u00e5de som diskuteras \u2013 den logistiken att h\u00e5lla ig\u00e5ng en offensiv vid alla fronter m\u00e5ste vara enorm och m\u00e4ngden resurser man br\u00e4nner likas\u00e5 skyh\u00f6g.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Strid i ort har visat sig vara sv\u00e5rt eftersom RU \u201dmyllrar\u201d in med skytte 24\/7 och kinas digitala slagf\u00e4lt \u00e4r effektivt – nu pratas det om att f\u00f6rsvaret borde ligga i \u00f6ppen dominerande terr\u00e4ng ist\u00e4llet men fr\u00e5gan blir ju d\u00e5 hur kinas digitala slagf\u00e4lt anpassas till det \u2013 b\u00e4ttre eller s\u00e4mre?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ryskt skytte f\u00e5r mindre skyl naturligtvis men det stora problemet \u00e4r den glas\u00f6gonbottnade glas\u00f6gon-kinesen och hans r\u00f6da avfyrningsknapp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag kan nog tycka att en stad med sina k\u00e4llare och kulvertar under mark borde erbjuda mer m\u00f6jlighet till skydd mot uppt\u00e4ckt?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det faktum att UA genomf\u00f6rde en luftlands\u00e4ttning \u00e4r h\u00f6gintressant \u2013 dom testar den typen av krigf\u00f6ring och det \u00f6verraskade tydligen ryssarna totalt vilket gjorde att dom kunde svepa \u00f6ver Pokrovsk med sina specialf\u00f6rband.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Min st\u00e4ndigt \u00e5terkommande m\u00f6rkerstriden, s\u00e4kerligen skedde specialf\u00f6rbandens strid till del i m\u00f6rker d\u00e4r dom har totalt \u00f6vertag \u2013 RU f\u00f6rvandlas till villebr\u00e5d n\u00e4r lysen tar slut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det r\u00f6r sig borta vid s\u00f6dra fronten men enligt Playfra \u00f6verraporterar Deepstate faktiskt d\u00e4r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

RU \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 mindre \u00e4n en mil fr\u00e5n Pokrovske, i det omr\u00e5det har det g\u00e5tt fort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Norra Luhansk \u00e4r of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrat, och i Kostiantynivka har RU f\u00e5tt fotf\u00e4ste i stadsbebyggelsen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

De som loggat materiel i dep\u00e5 har b\u00f6rjat st\u00e4lla sig fr\u00e5gan vart alla stridsvagnar och BMP tagit v\u00e4gen f\u00f6r dom brinner inte upp vid fronterna i Ukraina, och det dom b\u00f6rjat landa i \u00e4r att RU har byggt upp f\u00f6rband med h\u00e5rda fordon som inte \u00e4r i Ukraina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det visste ni redan om ni l\u00e4st inl\u00e4ggen \u2013 den offensiva strategiska reserven.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Skillnaden \u00e4r att \u00e4ven T72, T80 och T64 rustats upp och g\u00e5tt till dessa f\u00f6rband s\u00e5 inte bara den nya materielen typ T90M.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e4nge satsade RU allt p\u00e5 Ukraina och l\u00e4mnade hela sin landgr\u00e4ns mot NATO of\u00f6rsvarad samtidigt som dom uttryckte stor r\u00e4dsla f\u00f6r att bli anfallna av NATO vilket vi skrattade gott \u00e5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eftersom dom inte \u00e4r det minsta r\u00e4dda f\u00f6r NATO blir ju fr\u00e5gan vad man skall anv\u00e4nda denna med ryska m\u00e5tt m\u00e4tt v\u00e4lutrustade reserv till.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Strider den inte i Ukraina kommer den inte strida i 3D dr\u00f6narkrigsmilj\u00f6 utan mot f\u00f6rra krigets teknik vilket ju \u00e4r vad alla f\u00f6rbanden byggts f\u00f6r ursprungligen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men Ukraina f\u00e5r ocks\u00e5 ny materiel till sin offensiva strategiska reserv \u2013 Lynx stridsfordon har v\u00e4l b\u00f6rjat levereras eller kommer snart, nyligen kom Patria nya ptgb och dom f\u00e5r allt m\u00f6jligt kul.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Italien b\u00f6rjade sent omsider ocks\u00e5 skicka fr\u00e5n sin enorma fordonspark och \u00e4ven om det inte talas om det m\u00e5ste REMO g\u00e5 heta d\u00e4r man uppgraderar gamla vagnar med nya vapenstationer \u00f6ver hela Europa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r obestridligt att Ukraina har en enorm mekaniserad f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga d\u00e4r riktmedlen \u00e4r nya och i krom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Har man bra vapenstationer p\u00e5 h\u00e5rda fordon b\u00f6r dom ocks\u00e5 kunna fungera effektivt mot dr\u00f6nare?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e5r CV90 (inte i LV-KV version) ans\u00e5gs kunna bek\u00e4mpa r\u00e4tt mycket luftburet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nummer tv\u00e5 \u00e4r v\u00e4l d\u00e5 vad Ukraina t\u00e4nkt sig f\u00f6r att neutralisera kinas digitala slagf\u00e4lt?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Interceptordr\u00f6narna finns redan och beh\u00f6ver bara skalas upp och komma ut i volym till f\u00f6rbanden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EW excellerar Ukraina i det vet vi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Troligt att dom kan poola ihop f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga vid en front som ger dom \u00f6vertaget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och minr\u00f6jning har redan testats i Kursk i stor skala och fungerade bra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6rm\u00e5geuppbyggnaden f\u00f6r amfibiestrid \u2013 UA har hundratals farkoster i alla m\u00f6jliga olika storlekar, v\u00e5r SB-90 har dom tiotals av nu till exempel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukrainas sak bli alltmer v\u00e5r ju l\u00e4ngre det h\u00e4r kriget p\u00e5g\u00e5r kan bara bli min slutsats och iallafall Norden verkar vara politiskt stabila och f\u00f6rst\u00e5r situationens allvar vilket \u00e4r bra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e5ren 2023 skulle vi hj\u00e4lpa Ukraina att vinna kriget f\u00f6r dom skulle kriga enligt NATO doktrin. Tv\u00e5 arm\u00e9k\u00e5rer hade f\u00f6rberetts med brigader som tr\u00e4nats i Europa med brigadchefer utan vidare stridserfarenhet – men som tr\u00e4nats i Europa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erfarna brigader och gamla r\u00e4var till brigadchefer var inte inbjudna till festen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi tvingade sedan Ukraina att anfalla d\u00e4r det var b\u00e4st f\u00f6rsvarat och \u00e4ven om minf\u00e4lten var 10km djupa skulle det tydligen g\u00e5 utan luftherrav\u00e4lde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resultatet blev uruselt och det var innan dr\u00f6narvapnet gjort entr\u00e9 p\u00e5 allvar \u2013 RU ahkp och flyg fr\u00e4ste runt tillsammas med lite dr\u00f6nare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ja, ukrainska politiker, officerare, USA och andra i Europa l\u00e4ckte stridsplanen till ryssarna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Har NATO gjort heml\u00e4xan om vi skulle g\u00e5 i krig?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hade luftherrav\u00e4lde hj\u00e4lpt? Idag 2025 med ett h\u00f6gst decentraliserat dr\u00f6narvapen, hade luftherrav\u00e4lde kunnat neutralisera det dr\u00f6narhotet?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Har vi den ammunitionen att tillg\u00e5 att bek\u00e4mpa tusentals sm\u00e5 m\u00e5l?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r ett eget dr\u00f6narvapen har vi d\u00e5 inte idag 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r ukrainas del har dom l\u00e4rt sig l\u00e4xan fr\u00e5n 2025 och klarar av att strida i dr\u00f6narm\u00e4ttad milj\u00f6 det visar dom om inte annat i Pokrovsk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dom har visat sig kunna strida med combined arms warfare och har ett fullv\u00e4rdigt dr\u00f6narvapen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mekstrid, v\u00e4rnrensning och strid i ort beh\u00e4rskar dom fullt ut och deras SOF och specialf\u00f6rband \u00e4r v\u00e4l bland v\u00e4rldens b\u00e4sta idag och finns i stor numer\u00e4r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dom klarar av att rensa djupa minlinjer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deras digitala slagf\u00e4lt och kill-chain \u00e4r ypperlig.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luftlands\u00e4ttningar har dom experimenterat lite med blandat resultat \u2013 helikoptrarna \u00e4r tydligen l\u00e4tta att sl\u00e5 ut. Men luftlands\u00e4ttningen i Pokrovsk gick mycket bra vad jag f\u00f6rst\u00e5r?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amfibiestrid har vi inte sett mycket av \u00e4nnu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00f6rkerstrid tror jag Ukraina har h\u00f6g f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga till och excelerar i \u00e4ven om ingen n\u00e5gonsin pratar om det.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag vill p\u00e5st\u00e5 att Ukraina 2025 \u00e4r en riktig spottkobra som Ryssland b\u00f6r vara f\u00f6rsiktiga med f\u00f6r det \u00e4r en helt annan f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga idag 2025 \u00e4n det var 2023 n\u00e4r dom litade p\u00e5 oss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hur har Ryssland utvecklats?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det digitala slagf\u00e4ltet och kill-chain har Kina rett ut \u00e5t dom och bemannar s\u00e5 det fungerar tyv\u00e4rr ypperligt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dom har anpassat alla vapen nu s\u00e5 UA har allt sv\u00e5rare att skjuta ned Gerans och robotar, samt att FAB har 200km r\u00e4ckvidd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dom har l\u00e4rt sig spara p\u00e5 plattformar och deras dr\u00f6nare avfyras fr\u00e5n billiga massproducerade fordon – tiden n\u00e4r man kunde sl\u00e5 ut en snordyr vapenplattform och bli av med hotet \u00e4r bakom oss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr\u00f6narvapnet g\u00e5r alltmer mot autonoma AI loitering dr\u00f6nare och hela paketet \u00e4r h\u00f6g f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga designat och producerat av Kina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahkp och spetsflyg b\u00f6r det finnas f\u00e4rre av, och med en mer sliten fordonspark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I Ukraina har strv, ptgb och strifsfordon varit \u00e4ldre modeller utan REMO eller halvdan REMO med d\u00e5ligare riktmedel. V\u00e4ldigt l\u00e5ngt fr\u00e5n UA uppfr\u00e4schning av fordonen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deras marktrupper k\u00f6r dom i botten och sen nyupps\u00e4tter dom f\u00f6rbanden s\u00e5 ingen vidare f\u00f6rm\u00e5ge\u00f6kning d\u00e4r \u00e4ven om det idag finns stridsvana instrukt\u00f6rer i stor m\u00e4ngd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Specialf\u00f6rbanden slutf\u00f6rbrukades n\u00e5gra g\u00e5nger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och \u00f6ver lag har taktikanpassning varit \u00f6ver till l\u00e4tt skytte. Marktrupperna \u00e4r f\u00f6rmodligen utan dr\u00f6narvapnets st\u00f6d ett r\u00e4tt h\u00e4ngigt g\u00e4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ja, det finns mekf\u00f6rband bakom men dom f\u00f6rbrukas fort sekunden dom g\u00e5r upp och bandar p\u00e5 landsv\u00e4g.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kan Ukraina bara komma till lite r\u00f6rlig krigf\u00f6ring \u00e4r nog kryckskyttet helt utklassat f\u00f6rutsatt att det kinesiska dr\u00f6narvapnet kan drabbas av nedh\u00e5llande eld s\u00e5 glas\u00f6gon-kinesen f\u00e5r g\u00f6mma sig under bordet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Krim \u00e4r attraktivt f\u00f6r man har hela amfibiestridsf\u00f6rm\u00e5gan att tillg\u00e5 som inte g\u00e5r att anv\u00e4nda n\u00e5n annanstans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luftlands\u00e4ttning har pr\u00f6vats f\u00f6r att ta terr\u00e4ng mer \u00e4n en g\u00e5ng i historien med katastrofalt resultat och Ryssland \u00f6vergav v\u00e4l fallsk\u00e4rmsj\u00e4gare i fallsk\u00e4rm under WW2?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men att luftlands\u00e4tta med helikopter och ta kanaliserande terr\u00e4ng framf\u00f6r en anfallst\u00e4t som r\u00f6r sig fungerar nog r\u00e4tt bra om man flyger in nattetid och den striden sker m\u00f6rker.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r Ukraina att bara forts\u00e4tta backa vinner dom inget krig p\u00e5 och vid n\u00e5got tillf\u00e4lle kommer det is\u00e5fall bli eldupph\u00f6r vilket inte \u00e4r positivt f\u00f6r dom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Antingen genomf\u00f6r dom en offensiv vid n\u00e5gon tidpunkt eller s\u00e5 sugs syret ut lite i taget – eldupph\u00f6r tror jag skulle bli fatalt f\u00f6r dom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag vet inte om han tolkat det r\u00e4tt men Rob Lee \u00e4r en kredibel k\u00e4lla – han skriver +20 000st AWOL under en m\u00e5nad s\u00e5 som han formulerar sig, jag kan s\u00e5klart inte l\u00e4sa grundk\u00e4llan i bilden under hans tweet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Om det blir eldupph\u00f6r kommer is\u00e5fall f\u00f6rsvarsmakten att sm\u00e4lta ihop totalt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jag och Nelson Mandela h\u00e5ller \u00f6gonen p\u00e5 detta men nedan fr\u00e5n i fredags f\u00f6resl\u00e5r att RU f\u00f6rs\u00f6kt infiltrera Hryshyne (igen) 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