{"id":371,"date":"2025-02-26T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-26T06:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/?p=371"},"modified":"2025-05-25T14:21:43","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T12:21:43","slug":"ukraina-daglig-uppdatering-26-februari-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/ukraina-daglig-uppdatering-26-februari-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraina daglig uppdatering 26 Februari 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Uppdatering<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Meklejonen<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1894378867218907357\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

B\u00f6rjar med vad som \u00e4n s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge \u00e4r ett rykte men FT p\u00e5st\u00e5r att UA nu kommer skriva under \u201dmineral-dealen\u201d med USA \u2013 s\u00e4tter SALTINT p\u00e5 den<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Nu kan jag f\u00f6rst i v\u00e4rlden (efter osintarna och etablerad media) \u00e5terigen komma med ett avsl\u00f6jande – vad alla dessa tariffer som Trump str\u00f6sslar omkring sig har f\u00f6r funktion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6rst \u2013 det \u00e4r min klara \u00e5sikt att USA \u2013 RU st\u00e5r i direktkontakt och justerar sina uttalanden f\u00f6r att ge varandra draghj\u00e4lp i \u201dfredsf\u00f6rhandlingarna\u201d beroende p\u00e5 hur EU och UA reagerar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USA\/RU \u00e4r allts\u00e5 att anse en homogen part i dessa f\u00f6rhandlingar. Ukraina eller EU har inte samma direktlina till USA och f\u00e5r f\u00f6rhandla som vanligt. Detta \u00e4r en k\u00e4nsla jag har men dom brukar ju alltid st\u00e4mma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e4r tarifferna nu gjort import av till exempel kanadensisk aluminium dyr s\u00e5 erbjuder Putin USA att k\u00f6pa aluminium billigt fr\u00e5n Ryssland – till b\u00e4sta extrapris.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Notera ordvalet \u2013 Putin erbjuder sig att \u201dstabilisera priset p\u00e5 den amerikanska marknaden\u201d den fr\u00e4ckheten d\u00e5 det \u00e4r Trump som precis h\u00f6jt det och dom st\u00e5r i direktkontakt \ud83e\udd2c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump har redan i g\u00e5rdagens post med egna ord sagt att USA kommer f\u00e5 f\u00f6rdelaktiga r\u00e5varu-kontrakt med Ryssland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5 d\u00e4r har ni det \u2013 Trump \u00f6kar import-tullarna kraftigt fr\u00e5n v\u00e4st s\u00e5 det ska bli gynnsamt att k\u00f6pa av Ryssland, sen kommer han s\u00e5klart \u00e5beropa bra business som sk\u00e4l att ta bort sanktionerna mot Ryssland. Vilket han redan sagt att han \u00f6verv\u00e4ger att g\u00f6ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det h\u00e4r \u00e4r EXAKT som n\u00e4r MP i Sverige \u00f6kade skatterna p\u00e5 k\u00e4rnkraft (samtidigt som dom gav rabatter till vindkraft), bytte ut n\u00e5n i ledningen och VD\/GD p\u00e5 Vattenfall och k\u00f6rde en enorm mediakampanj f\u00f6r att l\u00e4gga ned k\u00e4rnkraften, och sen skyllde p\u00e5 marknaden och att det var ol\u00f6nsamt. Tror ni dom kom p\u00e5 allt detta sj\u00e4lva eller hade dom hj\u00e4lp av vindrakftsindustrin i att ta fram detta paket?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump har riggat allt till Putins f\u00f6rdel efter en punktlista med \u00f6nskem\u00e5l fr\u00e5n Putin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tar ni detta och sen l\u00e4gger till att Trump g\u00e5tt ut flertalet g\u00e5nger och kr\u00e4ver nyval i Ukraina (vilket skulle krascha landet och f\u00f6rs\u00e4mra EU s\u00e4kerhetsl\u00e4ge radikalt) s\u00e5 f\u00f6rst\u00e5r ni vems planhalva han spelar p\u00e5 \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukraina \u00e4r inte s\u00e4mre \u00e4n att parlamentet nu r\u00f6stat f\u00f6r fortsatt f\u00f6rtroende f\u00f6r Zelenskys emergency-powers vilket var mycket snyggt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Och EU kommer nu med en egen \u201dr\u00e5varudeal\u201d med Ukraina fast p\u00e5 schyssta villkor. Med tanke p\u00e5 vilka som nu kommer bev\u00e4pna Ukraina och att dom skall f\u00e5 g\u00e5 med i EU s\u00e5 \u00e4r jag mycket skeptisk till att Zelensky kommer skriva under Trumps urusla deal om att s\u00e4lja tandguld svart alls h\u00e4r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 ett SALTINT (politico) rykte s\u00e5 viss f\u00f6rsiktighet p\u00e5 det att RU erbjudit USA att f\u00e5 r\u00e5varukontrakt p\u00e5 ockuperade omr\u00e5den, och att USA gillade f\u00f6rslaget skarpt. V\u00e4ntar p\u00e5 n\u00e5t mer att ta p\u00e5 d\u00e4r innan jag hugger p\u00e5 det.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/vladimir-putin-offer-sell-minerals-donald-trump-russia-occupied-ukraine<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sen har faktiskt RU g\u00e5tt ut r\u00e4tt h\u00e5rt som sitt f\u00f6rstabud d\u00e4r Ukraina m\u00e5ste avst\u00e5 mer land och demilitarisera \u2013 helt orimligt s\u00e5klart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Samtidigt som Rubio s\u00e4ljer in allt som en stor diplomatisk framg\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Det jag faktiskt ser h\u00e4r \u00e4r ett fenomenalt diplomatiskt misslyckande av USA lett av Trump \u2013 absolut TOTAL f\u00f6rnedring som toppades av Macrons upprepade franska \u00f6rfilar (l\u00e4tta med sn\u00e4rt) i direkts\u00e4ndning ig\u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det var en ren fr\u00f6jd att se och King-Macron spelade sin roll v\u00e4l – han kan ju g\u00f6ra vem som helst helt vansinnig med sin franska \u00f6versitteri-stil och hysteriskt roliga engelska accent som tagen ur all\u00e5-all\u00e5-emliga-arm\u00e9n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sj\u00e4lvklart ser ju Macron en chans f\u00f6r Frankrike att f\u00e5 \u00e5teruppr\u00e4ttelse f\u00f6r 1940 och Napoleonkrigen och sj\u00e4lvklart ser Tyskland en chans att bl\u00e5sa liv i sin d\u00f6da bilindustri genom att vikta \u00f6ver till feta f\u00f6rsvarskontrakt ist\u00e4llet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Allt p\u00e5 USAs bekostnad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men det \u00e4r EXAKT detta som Trump st\u00e5tt och skrikit om sedan n\u00e5t \u00e5r tillbaka minst s\u00e5 fort han f\u00e5r chansen \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Europa m\u00e5ste ta ansvar f\u00f6r Ukrainakriget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Europa m\u00e5ste betala f\u00f6r Ukrainakriget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-USA skall inte l\u00e4ngre vara v\u00e4rldspolisen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-USA skall inte l\u00e4ngre betala.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Just nu f\u00e5 ju Trump allt han bett om + lite till.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ja, han \u00e4r aningen tystare \u00e4n vad jag t\u00e4nkt mig faktiskt och m\u00e5ndagen har passerat, snart vaknar han v\u00e4l i USA och \u00e4ter sin BigMacfrukost och l\u00e4ser Johan No.1 early bird.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Just nu tycker jag vi ser en massa posts fr\u00e5n White House som \u00e4r damage control?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5 vi b\u00f6r v\u00e4ldigt snart f\u00e5 kvittot p\u00e5 vad som g\u00f6mmer sig bakom hans 5D schack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4r Trump n\u00f6jd \u00f6ver att EU g\u00f6r precis det han sagt \u00e5t oss att g\u00f6ra?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eller \u00e4r han heligt f\u00f6rbannad att Ukraina och EU har fr\u00e4ckheten att skjuta s\u00f6nder hela hans diplomatiska f\u00f6rs\u00f6k att gynna Ryssland och dessutom b\u00f6rjat frifr\u00e4sa helt utanf\u00f6r f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntat manus?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag har ju redan chansat och slagit i gongongen redan men ett av dessa tv\u00e5 \u00e4r det obestridliga kvittot p\u00e5 var han st\u00e5r och skulle jag ha fel tar jag det som en vuxen \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Har ni l\u00e4st mig vet ni ju att det skulle vara en f\u00f6rm\u00e5n f\u00f6r EU att f\u00e5 in Ukraina som v\u00e5r allierade och just nu ser det ut som vi kommer dit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag \u00e4r enormt n\u00f6jd med f\u00f6rra veckan och hur denna vecka b\u00f6rjat och ber till gudarna att Ukraina inte g\u00e5r och skriver under Trumps r\u00e5varudeal som vi l\u00e4st utkastet till.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e5 \u00e4r Zelensky sannolikt politiskt stend\u00f6d och maktkampen kommer b\u00f6rja p\u00e5 minuten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EU f\u00f6rbereder tydligen ENORMA st\u00f6dpaket just nu \u2013 det vi sett i dagarna \u00e4r smakprovet, typ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Om jag f\u00e5r gissa s\u00e5 kommer det se ut enligt f\u00f6ljande \u2013 EU \u201dhittar\u201d +\/- 500mrdr eur till i ryska oligarkpengar som det sen beslutas att varje land f\u00e5r fatta beslut kring hur det ska hanteras.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EU g\u00e5r d\u00e5 ut med att b\u00e4st anv\u00e4nda pengar \u00e4r att skicka 1\/5 direkt till Ukraina och resten r\u00e4tt in i v\u00e5r f\u00f6rsvarsindustri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Voila.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ryssland har absolut redan f\u00f6rlorat det h\u00e4r kriget men det \u00e4r inte slut innan dom ger upp s\u00e5klart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det h\u00e4r f\u00f6rr\u00e4deriet fr\u00e5n Trump var rimligen deras sista livlina och ALDRIG att Kina skulle ge sig in i detta nu n\u00e4r EU s\u00e5 tydligt valt en sida, aldrig.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det vore bara nedsida f\u00f6r dom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uppsidan f\u00f6r Kina vet ni ju vad den var om ni l\u00e4st tidigare inl\u00e4gg \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vet ni hur det g\u00e5r f\u00f6r Ryssland?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00e4r har ni en kryckskytte som stormar \u00f6ver f\u00e4lten underst\u00f6dd av en \u201dkr\u00e4l-skytte\u201d som allts\u00e5 \u00e4r en kryckskytte fast utan kryckorna som kr\u00e4lande f\u00e5r f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka ge eldunderst\u00f6d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(japp, det undg\u00e5r mig inte att dessa tv\u00e5 f\u00f6rmodligen \u00e4r tv\u00e5ngsmobiliserade ingenj\u00f6rer eller n\u00e5t som haft en fruktansv\u00e4rd tillvaro med \u00f6vergrepp, v\u00e5ldt\u00e4kter och sen till sist s\u00e5rade i ett anfall som dom lyckades ta sig tillbaka ifr\u00e5n mot alla odds \u2013 och sen skickas dom fram en sista g\u00e5ng att d\u00f6. V\u00e4rre biljett i det h\u00e4r kriget f\u00e5r man leta efter\u2026).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/banderafella\/status\/1894029073673806253\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Det h\u00e4r \u00e4r inte l\u00e4ngre isolerade incidenter utan RU k\u00f6r fram mycket sjuka eller skadade soldater som f\u00e5r genomf\u00f6ra f\u00f6rsta anfallen f\u00f6r att lokalisera var f\u00f6rsvaret ligger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sen har vi ju \u00e5sneskytte, kavalleriet, scooterskytte och allt s\u00e5nt d\u00e4r som \u00e4r hysteriskt roligt. Just pack\u00e5snorna verkar ha inf\u00f6rts p\u00e5 bred front med tanke p\u00e5 m\u00e4ngden filmer man sett fr\u00e5n missn\u00f6jda ryska soldater.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och h\u00e4r \u00e4r en video med urgamla BRDM p\u00e5 v\u00e4g mot fronterna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/polymarketintel\/status\/1894038467463541097?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Utskrattade stormtrupper, av sina egna<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/igorsushko\/status\/1894295939508310055\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Samtidigt som Tyskland just sl\u00e4ppte sargen och drog till med ett ENORMT st\u00f6dpaket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Och det just gjorts klart vad det var Biden \u00e4gnade sig \u00e5t sista veckorna i Vita Huset, han skrev under leveranskontrakt fr\u00e5n f\u00f6rsvarsindustrin till Ukraina. Bra, och s\u00e4kerligen bra f\u00f6r honom som person ocks\u00e5 \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Och fr\u00e5n flera h\u00e5ll bekr\u00e4ftas det att kontrakten kommer l\u00f6pa tiden ut (till Jul) men att USA inte ger nya l\u00f6ften. Om jag f\u00e5r gissa kan inte Trump bryta dessa kontrakt f\u00f6r MIC skulle g\u00e5 helt medieval p\u00e5 honom om han ens n\u00e4mnde det som ett f\u00f6rslag.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och till och med vr\u00e5l-sn\u00e5la Spanien har beslutat sig f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen i modern tid ge n\u00e5gon annan pengar och inte bara kr\u00e4va pengar utan motprestation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Jag m\u00e5ste posta den h\u00e4r igen fr\u00e5n Macron n\u00e4r han s\u00e4ger rakt i Trumps ansikte att det \u00e4r Ryssland som ska betala USA inte Ukraina \u2013 det h\u00e4r \u00e4r ett av de mest befriande \u00f6gonblicken i hela det h\u00e4r kriget f\u00f6r det \u00e4r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen v\u00e4st g\u00e5tt emot USA helt \u00f6ppet efter tre \u00e5r av f\u00f6rr\u00e4deri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ja, det kr\u00e4vdes en Trump f\u00f6r det men \u00c4NTLIGEN \u270a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/igorsushko\/status\/1894098991589023748\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Sen har ni nedan uttalande och Ukraina ligger nu helt r\u00e4tt kalibrerade \u2013 varje punkt \u00e4r tr\u00e4ff mitt i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Lite blandat \u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Putin har i smyg s\u00e5lt guld f\u00f6r 100mrdr usd av sin guldreserv<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ryzan raff dr\u00f6nades till en grush\u00f6g igen<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

EU stoppar massa fler ryska banker fr\u00e5n Swift<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Och Budanov har troll-level 7 (min id\u00e9 r\u00e4tt n\u00f6jd faktiskt!)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Sen mosar David D Trump absolut totalt h\u00e4r, no mercy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Och kolla in Rubio, \u201dja vi r\u00f6stade nej till FNs uttalande att Ryssland skall avsluta kriget f\u00f6r vi ville inte f\u00f6rst\u00f6ra v\u00e5ra fredsf\u00f6rhandlingar d\u00e4r vi ber Ryssland avsluta kriget\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Herrejesus vilket haveri detta \u00e4r \ud83d\ude32<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ge det n\u00e5gra m\u00e5nader s\u00e5 kommer m\u00e5nga beh\u00f6va r\u00e4dda sina karri\u00e4rer och \u00f6verger Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och SALTINT som b\u00e4st men Kina verkar s\u00e4ga nej till 50% kapade f\u00f6rsvarsutgifter \u2013 hittar bara i alternativa medier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.firstpost.com\/world\/china-rejects-trumps-50-per-cent-defence-cut-proposal-says-military-spending-ensures-sovereignty-13866637.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fin st\u00e4mningsfilm med ryskt kavalleri \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/PStyle0ne1\/status\/1894381508334407830\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Gillade ni inl\u00e4gget dela det g\u00e4rna i era kanaler,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vill ni ha ett kul kommentarsf\u00e4lt som nu b\u00f6rjar komma ig\u00e5ng riktigt rej\u00e4lt och inte l\u00e4ngre bara \u00e4r jag som pratar upp det p\u00e5 Bluesky och sen sitter d\u00e4r helt sj\u00e4lv och fyllepostar \u2013 johanno1.se<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5 Substack f\u00e5r ni v\u00e4ldigt g\u00e4rna bli betalande prenumeranter och det \u00e4r kul att se att n\u00e5gra tycker det \u00e4r l\u00e4sv\u00e4rt, ser allt arbete som l\u00e4ggs ned p\u00e5 detta och tog steget \u00f6ver till att prenumerera \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

johanno1.se<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

substack.com\/@johanno1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uppdatering Meklejonen B\u00f6rjar med vad som \u00e4n s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge \u00e4r ett rykte men FT p\u00e5st\u00e5r att UA nu kommer skriva […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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