{"id":3950,"date":"2026-02-02T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T06:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/?p=3950"},"modified":"2026-02-02T21:56:02","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T20:56:02","slug":"iran-2-february-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/iran-2-february-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran 2 February 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Jag refererar ofta till 2008 d\u00e5 det v\u00e4l \u00e4r den typen av \u201dfinanskris\u201d (ja s\u00e5 kallas den tydligen enligt google) som \u00e4r p\u00e5 ing\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men vad vi inte hade 2008 var ett anstr\u00e4ngt globalt s\u00e4kerhetsl\u00e4ge och om jag f\u00f6rst\u00e5tt detta r\u00e4tt \u00e4r Europa beroende av import i det mesta idag?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USA ser ni vad dom g\u00f6r \u2013 dom f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker forcerat kl\u00f6sa hem tillverkning och muta in naturresurser med vapen och hot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vad h\u00e4nde 2008 \u2013 finansmarknaderna utsattes f\u00f6r stor p\u00e5frestning vilket spillde \u00f6ver p\u00e5 den reala ekonomin och olika tillg\u00e5ngsslag som oljan skenade ett tag, och priser f\u00f6r frakt gick upp kraftigt kommer jag ih\u00e5g.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vad h\u00e4nder om USA och Kina surnar till p\u00e5 varandra med allt vi beh\u00f6ver k\u00f6pa ifr\u00e5n Kina och sj\u00f6transport st\u00f6rs?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vad h\u00e4nder om ett fraktfartyg r\u00e5kar sjunka i Hormussundets smalaste del med oljepriserna?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vad h\u00e4nder om det blir en 2008 typ spekulation i fler naturresursers pappersprodukter den h\u00e4r g\u00e5ngen, allts\u00e5 inte bara att guld och silver men s\u00e4llsynta jordartsmetaller, platina, uran och allt s\u00e5nt?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag har f\u00e5tt f\u00f6r mig att USA kommer anfalla Iran \u2013 man bygger inte upp den f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga man nu har i omr\u00e5det f\u00f6r att skriva arga email. Det h\u00e4r \u00e4r en logistisk mardr\u00f6m och skenande l\u00f6pande kostnader.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det har tydligen varit ett diplomatiskt maraton f\u00f6rra veckan men nu i helgen var det explosioner vid flera platser i Iran \u2013 ryktet s\u00e4ger IRGC m\u00e5l, har ingen aning annat \u00e4n att sannolikheten f\u00f6r att det \u00e4r olyckor \u00e4r noll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Marktrupperna \u00e4r naturligtvis medborgarna i Iran som kommer sk\u00f6ta om markoffensiven och USA vill v\u00e4l helst g\u00f6ra minsta m\u00f6jliga f\u00f6r att dom skall lyckas, utan att det misslyckas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Sen har tydligen Malaysia stoppat tv\u00e5 iranska oljetankers<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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.Iran \u00e4r mer en r\u00f6relse f\u00f6r politisk-islamisering av v\u00e4rlden \u00e4n en regering i ett fungerande land och dom kommer aldrig avg\u00e5 med mindre \u00e4n att dom tvingas till det. Just nu g\u00f6r dom precis som Ryssland och hotar med allt mot alla \u2013 parlamentet stod i milit\u00e4ra uniformer och hotade med att utpl\u00e5na europa, USA och Israel. Vet inte vad Portugla gjort dom f\u00f6r ont men s\u00e5 \u00e4r det iallafall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deras barn \u00e4r miljard\u00e4rer som bor i London precis som alla ryska ledarnas barn g\u00f6r. Man hatar och hotar v\u00e4st samtidigt som det \u00e4r d\u00e4r man g\u00f6mmer sina pengar och barn och fru lever lyxliv.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Regimen vann i ett demokratiskt val p\u00e5 70-talet, milit\u00e4ren f\u00f6rh\u00f6ll sig passiv och shahen klev ned \u2013 han respekterade valf\u00f6rlusten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2026 har regimen nog gl\u00f6mt bort hur man respekterar n\u00e5gonting alls och har ist\u00e4llet m\u00f6rdat + 80 000st av landets medborgare som haft fr\u00e4ckheten att protestera mot deras f\u00f6rtryck.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

USA vill s\u00e4kert ha en blockad p\u00e5 oljan till Kina ocks\u00e5 s\u00e5 inte om\u00f6jligt att flera positiva sammanfaller i deras s\u00e4tt att se p\u00e5 v\u00e4rlden, och som v\u00e4ger f\u00f6r en flyginsats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r nu fick vi ett kvitto p\u00e5 att USA inte spelar under t\u00e4cket med Kina den 29 Januari \u2013 USA har udden riktad mot Kina s\u00e5 mycket \u00e4r klart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag personligen anser att medborgarna i Iran f\u00f6rtj\u00e4nar att bli av med diktaturen och hoppas dom f\u00e5r ett vettigt styre \u2013 om ni undrar var jag st\u00e5r i denna soppa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6rmodligen kommer USA vilja ha n\u00e5gon lojal mot dom och det blir nog inte bra \u00e4nd\u00e5 \u2013 v\u00e4rlden \u00e4r s\u00e4llan r\u00e4ttvis det vet vi efter Ukraina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kinas ny\u00e5r \u00e4r runt h\u00f6rnet, 17 Februari, d\u00e5 har dom v\u00e5r julhelg i tv\u00e5 veckor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inte helt lugnt i n\u00e4romr\u00e5det, i persiska viken finns rysslands, kinas, irans och USAs flottor och h\u00e5ller \u00f6gonen p\u00e5 varandra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yemen lovar att dr\u00f6na bort allt som kommer i deras v\u00e4g.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iran kommer vederg\u00e4lla mot Israel s\u00e5 mycket dom hinner i h\u00e4ndelse av en attack \u2013 och b\u00e5de Israel och Iran har en uttalad \u201dmutual destruction doctrin\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r risk att n\u00e5gon avfyrar n\u00e5got mot n\u00e5gon och sen \u00e4r allt ig\u00e5ng \u2013 det brukar bli s\u00e5 n\u00e4r man \u00f6kar trycket f\u00f6r mycket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ryska flottan vet vi \u00e4r inkapabel till n\u00e5gonting alls, kinas flotta \u00e5terst\u00e5r att se.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ekonomisk krigf\u00f6ring verkar vara i full g\u00e5ng efter 29 Januari och ett g\u00e4ng av finansprofilerna som brukar citeras i media s\u00e4ger att s\u00e5 \u00e4r det.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eftersom jag postat om den stora guldkuppen beh\u00f6ver jag inte \u00e5terv\u00e4nda dit men I sviterna efter 2008 recessionen\/kraschen\/korrektionen \u00e5kte JP Morgan och n\u00e5gra till p\u00e5 b\u00f6ter f\u00f6r manipulation av \u00e4delmetaller. Tydligen hade dom silver i ett j\u00e4rngrepp och kunde manipulera det tillg\u00e5ngsslaget efter eget tycke genom att \u00f6versv\u00e4mma med s\u00e4ljordrar som aldrig utf\u00f6rdes. Man har inte spenderat en krona, tillg\u00e5ngsslaget g\u00e5r ned, och eftersom man \u00e4r den som manipulerar tillg\u00e5ngsslaget k\u00f6per man i nedg\u00e5ngen d\u00e5 man vet att det kommer g\u00e5 upp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4r silvret inte manipulerat idag anser d\u00e5 n\u00e5gon?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sen hade vi minst tv\u00e5 tillf\u00e4llen i n\u00e4rtid d\u00e4r Trump pl\u00f6tsligt avfyrade tariff-hot fr\u00e5n ingenstans som fick b\u00f6rser att g\u00e5 ned av bara farten. F\u00f6r att sen inom mindre \u00e4n en vecka backa p\u00e5 uttalandet och b\u00f6rserna direkt gick upp p\u00e5 n\u00e5got dom tolkade som en positiv nyhet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e5gra med mycket kapital tog blankarpositioner dagen innan, eller s\u00e5 kort som 30minuter innan det oannonserade uttalandet, och s\u00e5lde en tid efter uttalandet. Bevis f\u00f6r det fl\u00f6g runt p\u00e5 sociala medier och vi utn\u00e4mnde Trump till den mest korrupte presidenten n\u00e5gonsin i n\u00e5t inl\u00e4gg med sk\u00e4mrdumpar p\u00e5 positionerna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Blockeras Horsmussundet driver det upp oljepriset. Det skulle ocks\u00e5 minska oljexporten till Kina och Europa – skapa instabilitet i Kina och f\u00e5 Europa att h\u00e5lla tyst. Jag undrar varf\u00f6r Malaysia som \u00e4r orienterat emot Kina har stoppat tv\u00e5 iranska oljetankers, det var intressant?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nu 2026 om man sitter och tittar p\u00e5 guld och silverpriset i en dagsgraf s\u00e5 \u00e4r det en korrektion ned\u00e5t varje dag klockan 10 i sk\u00e4rningen mellan londonb\u00f6rsens st\u00e4ngning och USA b\u00f6rsernas \u00f6ppning. Jag minns 2008 n\u00e4r det b\u00f6rjade g\u00e5 ned och jag av nyfikenhet b\u00f6rjade f\u00f6lja marknaderna precis som nu, d\u00e5 var det samma \u2013 ett dagligt f\u00f6rs\u00f6k som man kunde st\u00e4lla klockan efter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Manipulation \u00e4r d\u00e4r och stora marknadsp\u00e5verkande h\u00e4ndelser kommer inte av sig sj\u00e4lva \u00e4ven om media sedan kopplar ihop en h\u00e4ndelse till marknadsr\u00f6relser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det ligger mycket planering bakom insatsen i Iran och ett f\u00e5tal vet om den kommer eller inte \u2013 det \u00e4r v\u00e4rt mycket pengar att f\u00e5 ta del av beslutet innan alla andra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Efter 9\/11 och twin-towers uppt\u00e4ckte man v\u00e4l att n\u00e5gra blankat flygbolagsaktierna veckan innan?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e4r Cypern l\u00e5ste sina banker i sviterna av 2008 s\u00e5 smet ett antal miljarder ut ur landet dagarna innan men alla britterna stod d\u00e4r och kunde inte ta ut sina pengar. Sen blev det en \u201dhair-cut\u201d om ni minns p\u00e5 alla belopp \u00f6ver 100 000EUR eller liknande.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r statistiskt om\u00f6jligt att alla faktorer som bidrog 29 Januari h\u00e4nde samtidigt som av en slump \u2013 det b\u00f6rjade allts\u00e5 inte i ett tillg\u00e5ngsslag och spred sig utan det var alla samtidigt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Har man inte f\u00f6rhandsinformation n\u00e4r hela marknaden flyttas ned\u00e5t k\u00e4nns det nog lite som n\u00e4r man inte blev inbjuden till fyllefest i klassen och fick reda p\u00e5 det p\u00e5 m\u00e5ndagen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men jag \u00e4r n\u00f6jd f\u00f6r dollarn st\u00e4rktes igen \u2013 i mitt liv skiner solen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5g\u00e5r det h\u00e4r ett tag kan det kanske sluta med att institutioner eller banker som inte f\u00e5r f\u00f6rhandsinformation b\u00f6rjar dra p\u00e5 sig akuta f\u00f6rluster \u2013 kan man d\u00f6lja f\u00f6rluster tills n\u00e4sta rapportperiod eller \u00e4r man kreativare \u00e4n s\u00e5?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Om man genom dessa marknadsmanipulationer skulle f\u00e5 till exempel Deutsche Bank att hamna fel och sen om n\u00e5t halv\u00e5r kan dom inte d\u00f6lja f\u00f6rlusterna \u2013 historiskt har n\u00e5got s\u00e5dant r\u00e4ckt f\u00f6r att ett land skall g\u00e5 in i recession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tyskland har redan idag prisat ut sig fr\u00e5n bilmarknaden pga. de h\u00f6ga elpriserna till f\u00f6ljd av nedlagd k\u00e4rnkraft och kolkraft f\u00f6r att r\u00e4dda milj\u00f6n, UK \u00e4r i d\u00e5ligt skick efter sin BREXIT och EU har tagit ett j\u00e4tte\u00e5tagande med Ukraina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag minns svallv\u00e5gorna efter 2008 – insolventa banker som socialiserade f\u00f6rlusterna, kraschade husdr\u00f6mmar och upps\u00e4gningar. M\u00e5nadens varsellista p\u00e5 DI, gr\u00e5ta-ut artiklar i aftonbladet med barnfamiljer som inte klarade h\u00f6gre r\u00e4ntor, arbetsl\u00f6sa som s\u00f6kt 200 jobb, utbr\u00e4ndhet, skilsm\u00e4ssor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och falukorvsfredag denna styggelse, hur skulle jag kunna veta att Lehman Brothers inte var en s\u00e4ker aktie\ud83d\ude21<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Efter 2008 hade vi IMF i Europa som stagade upp PIIGS s\u00e5 pass d\u00e5ligt gick det f\u00f6r oss den g\u00e5ngen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alla knappar p\u00e5 en g\u00e5ng…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag gillar det inte f\u00f6r det kommer \u00f6ver tid leda till mis\u00e4r i den reala ekonomin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sen finns det en annan sida av det h\u00e4r \u2013 l\u00e5t dominobrickorna falla, alla f\u00e5r klara sig b\u00e4st dom kan och ur askan reser sig n\u00e5got nytt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det skall bli intressant att se hur Sverige klarar sig denna v\u00e4nda \u2013 vi har ett val i September till att b\u00f6rja med och v\u00e5r tunga industri har v\u00e4l lite sv\u00e5rt med h\u00f6ga elpriser + att Stegra kommer g\u00e5 i konkurs snart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vet inte hur bankerna sk\u00f6tts alls faktiskt men BNP skall vara +6000mrdrkr och bankernas totala utl\u00e5ning +8000mrdrkr \u2013 vet inte vad det s\u00e4ger oss?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sen skall vi nog se vad det \u00e4r vi inte ser just nu \u2013 Ryssland brukar r\u00f6ra sig under brus fr\u00e5n annat och Kina b\u00f6r vara under press \u2013 om Xi avsatt hela h\u00f6gsta milit\u00e4rledningen \u00e4r det ett tecken och Kina har flugit in mycket materiel till Iran senaste veckorna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kina f\u00f6rlorade ocks\u00e5 precis Panamakanalen som dom t\u00e4nkt anv\u00e4nda som p\u00e5tryckning p\u00e5 USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kina har s\u00e4kert ocks\u00e5 en gr\u00e4ns f\u00f6r vad dom kan absorbera precis som USA passerade den gr\u00e4nsen f\u00f6r n\u00e5gra veckor sedan och b\u00f6rja ut\u00e5tagera.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Om inte annat har Kina flugit in mycket materiel till Iran och parkerat flottstyrkor i Hormussundet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jag refererar ofta till 2008 d\u00e5 det v\u00e4l \u00e4r den typen av \u201dfinanskris\u201d (ja s\u00e5 kallas den tydligen enligt google) 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