{"id":5043,"date":"2026-06-09T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T05:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/?p=5043"},"modified":"2026-06-09T19:36:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T17:36:41","slug":"ukraina-frontgenomgang-9-juni-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/ukraina-frontgenomgang-9-juni-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraina frontgenomg\u00e5ng, 9 Juni 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Blir tydligen en hel serie inl\u00e4gg om hoten mot fred i v\u00e5r tid fr\u00e5n min sida som b\u00f6rjade med E3, dom just nu verkar vara farligare \u00e4n Trump men idag g\u00e5r vi igenom fronterna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag blev rej\u00e4lt f\u00f6rv\u00e5nad \u00f6ver hur fort den stora soppatorsken bredde ut sig \u00f6ver Krim, inom en m\u00e5nad efter att Ukraina inlett operation \u201dmedeldistans\u201d och skaffat sig full eldkontroll \u00f6ver tillfartsv\u00e4garna mellan Krim \u2013 Taganrog blev det akut br\u00e4nslebrist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Den b\u00e4sta f\u00f6rklaring jag kan komma fram till \u00e4r att dom \u201dk\u00f6rt en Japan\u201d d\u00e4r 90% av alla varor antingen \u00e4r p\u00e5 butikshyllorna eller i transit?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukraina har under mycket l\u00e5ng tid bek\u00e4mpat m\u00e5l p\u00e5 Krim och r\u00e4tt situationsanpassning fr\u00e5n ryssj\u00e4vlarna vore d\u00e5 naturligtvis att l\u00e4gga f\u00f6rr\u00e5den i Taganrog, Rostov och Krasnodaromr\u00e5det ist\u00e4llet och ha en f\u00f6rs\u00f6rjningslina ned till Krim med t\u00e5g och v\u00e4gtransport.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Denna livets v\u00e4g har legat bortom det 50km breda FPV hotet och varit n\u00e5gorlunda skyddad s\u00e5 k\u00e4nslan av att ha kommit p\u00e5 ett genidrag som verkligen fungerade har v\u00e4l infunnit sig hos den ryska staben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ig\u00e5r kom en bit information som borde f\u00e5 varenda kompetent analytiker att hjula p\u00e5 gr\u00e4smattan. Jag gjorde det men brakade rakt in i ungarnas trampolin, b\u00e5de min rygg och trampolinen \u00e4r kr\u00f6kta nu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r ATESH som rapporterat och skall tydligen vara VDV regementet i omr\u00e5det som l\u00e4mnar Kinburn Spit p\u00e5 grund av akut f\u00f6rs\u00f6rjningsbrist?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/united24media.com\/war-in-ukraine\/russian-troops-abandon-positions-on-kinburn-spit-following-ukrainian-supply-line-cuts-19592<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Som tidigare sagt \u2013 eldkontroll med mediumdr\u00f6nare +50km till vad\u00e5, +150km djup \u00e4r bara ett ben, de andra tv\u00e5 \u00e4r det l\u00e5ngtflygande strategiska dr\u00f6narvapnet men ocks\u00e5 FPV dr\u00f6narvapnet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FPV dr\u00f6narna k\u00f6r precis samma eldkontroll fr\u00e5n 0km \u2013 50km och det vi nu sett \u00e4r ett f\u00f6rsta f\u00f6rband vid Dneprfronten som l\u00e4mnar sin position f\u00f6r att dom \u00e4r hungriga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eftersom det \u00e4r Ukraina vi har att g\u00f6ra med \u00e4r deras amfibief\u00f6rband inte l\u00e5ngt efter och kommer omg\u00e5ende ta upp positioner p\u00e5 Kinburn Spit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Om RU f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker \u00e5terta omr\u00e5det \u2013 v\u00e4ldigt mycket d\u00f6d n\u00e4r dom exponerar sig ifr\u00e5n sina jordgryt d\u00e5 det \u00e4r rakt under FPV f\u00f6rbudszon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kan UA etablera sig d\u00e4r har dom flyttat fram positionerna rej\u00e4lt \u00f6sterut och kan b\u00f6rja genomf\u00f6ra r\u00e4der mot hela kustremsan bort till Krim, och Krim. Allt dom beh\u00f6ver \u00e4r att f\u00e5 bort den framskjutna spaningen d\u00e4rifr\u00e5n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kinburn Spit m\u00e5 vara ett omr\u00e5de som \u00e4r lite sv\u00e5rare att f\u00f6rs\u00f6rja \u00e4n de positioner som ligger n\u00e4rmare bebyggelse lite l\u00e4ngre norrut d\u00e4r man kan g\u00f6mma f\u00f6rr\u00e5d, men norr om Khakovka har RU precis samma problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dneprfronten \u00e4r f\u00f6rsvagad redan idag 9 Juni och sommaren har bara b\u00f6rjat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eftersom vi nu l\u00e4ser kartornas gr\u00e5zoner som att det \u00e4r d\u00e4r UA st\u00e5r, vilket ocks\u00e5 bekr\u00e4ftas av sporadiska tweets s\u00e5 har Ukraina n\u00e5tt Konka-floden och strider i n\u00e4rheten av Oleshkybron nu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Faktum \u00e4r att RU f\u00e5tt s\u00e4tta in hela sin VDV insatsstyrka d\u00e4r nu, finns inget i reserv l\u00e4ngre vid Dneprfronten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Den stora \u00f6n s\u00f6der om staden Kherson har v\u00e4l UA ocks\u00e5 rensat?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Hela detta omr\u00e5de norr om Khakovka \u00e4r idag inte en stor bred djup reservoar utan ist\u00e4llet ett grenverk av olika sm\u00e5 str\u00f6mf\u00e5ror som f\u00f6rmodligen sommartid blir l\u00e4tta att ta sig \u00f6ver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Dessutom s\u00e5 \u00e4r hela \u201dKhakovka-bass\u00e4ngen\u201d idag t\u00e4ckt i nyvuxna sm\u00e5 tr\u00e4d s\u00e5 skyl finns i omr\u00e5det.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2025\/jul\/22\/in-a-bombed-out-reservoir-ukraine-huge-forest-grown-a-return-to-life-or-toxic-timebomb<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Har f\u00f6rs\u00f6kt f\u00e5 fram bredden och j\u00e4mf\u00f6ra med Oskil och Siversky Donets \u2013 b\u00e4sta gissning \u00e4r att vid l\u00e5gt vattenst\u00e5nd finns det platser man kan brol\u00e4gga \u00f6ver utan st\u00f6rre konstruktioner, allts\u00e5 med den typ av bromateriel ingenj\u00f6rstrupperna har.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Att f\u00e5 \u00f6ver skytte \u00e4r busenkelt, skyl och snabb passage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Man kan s\u00e4kerligen g\u00f6mma mindre pr\u00e5mar och f\u00e5 \u00f6ver l\u00e4ttare splitterskydd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

RU har glest med f\u00f6rsvar d\u00e4r och bara andra klassens medborgare<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Norrut vid Stepnohirsk har UA arbetat sig fram till Kamyanske.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Dom har tagit sig fram \u00f6sterifr\u00e5n och det \u00e4r tv\u00e5 VDV divisioner som har st\u00e5tt i spetsen i det omr\u00e5det.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UA l\u00e5g tidigare i Kamyanske bakom \u201dYanchekrak\u201d-vattendraget (heter det tydligen) men fick retirera vilket d\u00e5 var oroande, men innan den strategiska offensiva reserven kom dit. RU hade precis n\u00e5tt konkafloden\/\u00e5n vid Prymorske och b\u00f6rjat f\u00f6rgrena sig \u00f6sterut med vattendraget i v\u00e4nstra flanken n\u00e4r motanfallen kom – vilket v\u00e4l var exakt r\u00e4tt tidpunkt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Orihiv och Mala Tochmaka \u00e4r en veritabel Maginotlinje-bef\u00e4stning som RU aldrig kommit i n\u00e4rheten av s\u00e5 det finns ett mycket starkt flankskydd\/ankare f\u00f6r denna UA offensiv.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Vid Huilapole verkar RU ha halvt slut p\u00e5 gas?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dom f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker sin version av offensiv men det h\u00e4nder inte mycket och f\u00f6rbanden \u00e4r inte spjutets spets direkt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e4ngre norrut vid Ivanivka har 90th TD stridit l\u00e4nge \u2013 dom \u00e4r ett prioriterat f\u00f6rband men enligt David D har dom b\u00f6rjat f\u00f6rflyttas d\u00e4rifr\u00e5n d\u00e5 dom \u00e4r f\u00f6rbrukade, \u00e4r bara han som s\u00e4ger det \u00e4n s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Mellan Huilapole \u2013 Ivanivka \u00e4r 90th TD det enda st\u00f6rre f\u00f6rband som skall vara b\u00e4ttre. De tv\u00e5 marininfanteridivisionerna finns s\u00f6derd\u00e4rom men dom verkar ha f\u00e5tt ge bort de flesta av sina brigader till andra fronter?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pokrovsk \u00e4r fortsatt ett fokusomr\u00e5de och RU sitter nu i dominerande terr\u00e4ng d\u00e4r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vid Kostiantynivka har UA snart f\u00f6rlorat hela orten men tittar man p\u00e5 h\u00f6jdkartorna \u00e4r det inte akut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UA har dock anfallit in i Chasiv Yar lite i det tysta och f\u00e5tt fotf\u00e4ste d\u00e4r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e4sta skr\u00e4ll \u00e4r Lyman-omr\u00e5det d\u00e4r ryssj\u00e4vlarna dragit sig tillbaka \u00f6ver Zherebets \u2013 deras offensiv g\u00e5r bak\u00e5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ut\u00f6ver det har UA 6st arm\u00e9k\u00e5rer vid norra fronten \u2013 \u00e4r det n\u00e5gonstans man har f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga s\u00e5 \u00e4r det vid norra fronten faktiskt, lite Kursk 2024 varning p\u00e5 den n\u00e4stan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

RU har m\u00f6tt upp med ganska mycket f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga och Putin verkar fortfarande kr\u00e4va sin buffertzon l\u00e4ngs med norra fronten men i termer av att ha flexibilitet s\u00e5 ligger nog norra fronten bra till f\u00f6r UA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

St\u00f6rt om\u00f6jligt att sv\u00e4lta ut f\u00f6rbanden d\u00e4ruppe eftersom Kursk och Belgorod ligger n\u00e4stg\u00e5rds och dom inte kan dr\u00f6na s\u00f6nder tv\u00e5 stora st\u00e4der russian style. Dessutom s\u00e5 vill dom ha goda relationer med alla oblasterna d\u00e4ruppe post-kriget och att j\u00e4mna dom med marken befr\u00e4mjar inte v\u00e4nskap<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5 d\u00e4r ser det ut \u2013 f\u00f6rsta sprickan \u00e4r nere vid Dnepr och S\u00f6dra fronten, bollen \u00e4r i rullning d\u00e4rnere och g\u00e5r inte att stoppa f\u00f6r RU det tror jag alla med rudiment\u00e4r analytisk f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga kan se.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uppe i norr har Ukraina absolut mer f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga \u00e4n dom skulle beh\u00f6va f\u00f6r sina gr\u00e4nsstrider. RU f\u00f6rsvarar inte heller hela norra fronten \u2013 deras fokus \u00e4r p\u00e5 Kursk och Belgorod t\u00e4torter + deras offensiv vid Vovchansk och S\u00d6 fr\u00e5n Urazove.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Med det dr\u00f6narvapen UA har idag samt sin minr\u00f6jningsf\u00f6rm\u00e5ga \u00e4r en till \u201dkurskoffensiv\u201d mer \u00e4n m\u00f6jlig men p\u00e5 annan plats \u00e4n 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jag f\u00e5r v\u00e4l kolla kartorna kanske men v\u00e4gar \u00e4r bara streck p\u00e5 kartan s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge marken ute i terr\u00e4ngen b\u00e4r tills gyttjes\u00e4songen kommer i Oktober n\u00e5ng\u00e5ng. H\u00f6jdkartorna \u00e4r naturligtvis intressanta i sammanhanget ocks\u00e5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I norra Luhansk har RU b\u00f6rjat backa p\u00e5 sina h\u00e5ll och i \u00f6vrigt f\u00e5r v\u00e4l deras offensiva operationer i omr\u00e5det anses ha misslyckats fullst\u00e4ndigt?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ryskt fokus mellan Pokrovsk + de anfallsvektorer som g\u00e5r mot Kramatorsk\/Slovyansk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00e4r har ni en till bit information att gl\u00e4djas \u00f6ver, det verkar som det nya \u201dmellanr\u00e4ckviddiga\u201d dr\u00f6narvapnet med sin eldkontroll faktiskt \u00e4r frontbrett enligt MXT p\u00e5 johanno1.se?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rybizhne \u00e4r allts\u00e5 uppe i norra Luhansk som \u00e4r ett l\u00e5gprioriterat omr\u00e5de f\u00f6r UA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/euromaidanpress.com\/2026\/06\/08\/russia-food-shortage-occupied-rubizhne-luhansk-shelves-empty<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi vet att dom b\u00f6rjat med sin eldkontroll i LPR och DPR k\u00e4rnomr\u00e5den redan ut\u00f6ver bakom S\u00f6dra fronten och Krim, men har det nu n\u00e5tt norra Luhansk \u00e4r det allts\u00e5 ALLA OCKUPERADE OMR\u00c5DEN som har f\u00e5tt akut utst\u00f6rda f\u00f6rs\u00f6rjningskedjor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Detta \u00e4r 2022 och HIMARS all over again, kan Ukraina bara navigera bort fr\u00e5n E3 skamliga f\u00f6rslag om eldupph\u00f6r s\u00e5 har ryska ockupationsmakten allts\u00e5 redan nu b\u00f6rjat f\u00e5 brist p\u00e5 f\u00f6rs\u00f6rjning och sommaren har bara b\u00f6rjat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det som kommer sl\u00e5 h\u00e5rdast \u00e4r vattnet n\u00e4r det blir h\u00f6gsommar \u2013 man kan klara sig utan mycket men inte vatten. Bra bra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ryssarna befinner sig dessutom alltid i omr\u00e5den med m\u00e5nga lik p\u00e5 marken s\u00e5 alla vattenp\u00f6lar dom f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker dricka ur g\u00f6r dom \u00e4nnu sjukare \u00e4n normalkurvan med tuberkulos och v\u00e4ggl\u00f6ss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hursomhelst, vatten eller inte, det \u00e4r svalkande med en betald prenumeration p\u00e5 denna Substack eller att ni delar inl\u00e4ggen s\u00e5 det ryker.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Blir tydligen en hel serie inl\u00e4gg om hoten mot fred i v\u00e5r tid fr\u00e5n min sida som b\u00f6rjade med E3, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":5047,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ukraina"],"yoast_head":"\nUkraina frontgenomg\u00e5ng, 9 Juni 2026 - 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