{"id":5943,"date":"2022-03-07T12:47:44","date_gmt":"2022-03-07T11:47:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-03-07\/"},"modified":"2022-03-07T12:47:44","modified_gmt":"2022-03-07T11:47:44","slug":"2022-03-07","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-03-07\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-03-07"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

12:47<\/h2>\n

Enligt uppgift (USA tror jag) s\u00e5 har Ryssland nu satt in 90% av sina tillg\u00e4ngliga f\u00f6rband.
\nJag tolkar det som att 90% av de operativa f\u00f6rbanden som mobiliserats nu satts in.
\nAv dessa som satts in i striderna torde huvuddelen ha soppatorsk, ammunitions-torsk, ej mat och ett stridsv\u00e4rde n\u00e4ra noll nu n\u00e4r vintern satt in p\u00e5 riktigt. Ett par till h\u00f6gre officerare har d\u00f6dats, en fr\u00e5n VDV bla.
\n—
\nF\u00f6rst\u00e4rkningar \u00e4r p\u00e5 g\u00e5ng fr\u00e5n metropoler som Vladivostok och vi har v\u00e4l alla sett filmen p\u00e5 t\u00e5get med civila lastbilar markerade med Z. Ryssland har allts\u00e5 inte mycket l\u00e4tt gripbart.
\n—
\nDet \u00e4r s\u00e5 pass torrt med stridsinformation att det mest \u00e4r vem sade vad och vilken stad som f\u00e5tt artilleri \u00f6ver sig. I stort sett det enda jag hittar \u00e4r Irpin och Babynsti vilka inte \u00e4r speciellt strategiska.
\n—
\nUkraina har enligt uppgift f\u00f6rlorat 10% av sina stridsvagnar och om vi leker med tanken att deras operativa f\u00f6rband \u00e4r reducerade med 10% betyder det att deras slagkraftiga brigader har i stort sett fullt stridsv\u00e4rde. Dessa \u00e4r uppbackade av ett stort antal national guard och milisbataljoner som mycket v\u00e4l fungerar att s\u00e4kra och rensa tagen terr\u00e4ng med.
\n—
\nJag \u00e4ter min h\u00f6gra sko om inte Ukraina g\u00e5r p\u00e5 offensiven nu \ud83d\ude42
\nNere i s\u00f6der har v\u00e4l ryssarna viss framdrivning fortfarande men det tror jag \u00e4r h\u00f6gst tempor\u00e4rt d\u00e5 Mauriopol och Odessa \u00e4r prim\u00e4ra m\u00e5l och tar alla resurser.
\n—
\nG\u00e5r Ukraina inte till motoffensiv nu f\u00e5r jag v\u00e4l f\u00f6rst \u00e4ta en sko men det betyder ocks\u00e5 att det \u00f6ppnar f\u00f6r Putin att frysa konflikten och h\u00e4vda vinst s\u00e5 han kan sitta kvar och det vore olyckligt.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:49<\/h2>\n

Media har fortfarande n\u00e5gon typ av – ”ryska attacker intensifieras” rapportering just nu. Jag har o\u00e4ndligt sv\u00e5rt att se att de ryska attackerna \u00e4r intensifierade bortom vad dom var dag 1 av invasionen och att detta allts\u00e5 \u00e4r ren l\u00f6gn.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:51<\/h2>\n

Nu har jag l\u00e4st flera olika anv\u00e4ndare i olika dagars tr\u00e5dar som skriver att media anv\u00e4nt ”god publicistisk sed” och ”bara skrivit verifierbar information”, ”inte gissar som i denna tr\u00e5d” osv.
\nDet dom helt missar \u00e4r att media genom att skriva att ”Ryssland vinner”, ”Kiev faller”, ”Ukraina kan i l\u00e4ngden inte h\u00e5lla ut” s\u00e5 har dom helt fr\u00e5ng\u00e5tt god publicistisk sed och gissat hej vilt och dessutom fel.
\nHursomhelst \u00e4r det fler \u00e4n denna tr\u00e5d som sett detta, nederlagsdoktrin kallas det v\u00e4l nu?
\nDet \u00e4r i l\u00e4ngden detta som gjort\/g\u00f6r att Putin f\u00e5tt h\u00e5llas, nu skall ju alla vara r\u00e4dda f\u00f6r k\u00e4rnvapen, matbrist, elbrist och flyktingar.
\nMan f\u00e5r v\u00e4l tacka Ukraina f\u00f6r att dom synat Putins hand \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:52<\/h2>\n

Terrorbombningarna med artilleri och flyg l\u00f6ses b\u00e4st genom manpads, lite mer avancerat luftv\u00e4rn insmugglat, TOSHKA-U mot ryska krigsflygbaser i Ryssland, Bayraktar och flygplan fr\u00e5n \u00f6stra europa.
\nJust nu ser det sk1tm\u00f6rkt ut men artilleriet har snart skjutit slut p\u00e5 sin ammunition, missilerna \u00e4r slut och flygvapnet har v\u00e4l inte mer \u00e4n n\u00e5n vecka eller tv\u00e5 av ammunition kvar?
\nN\u00e4r man nu stoppat offensiven p\u00e5 marken \u00e4r det s\u00e4kerligen febril aktivitet f\u00f6r detta och jag tycker man skall avh\u00e5lla sig fr\u00e5n att tycka att Ukraina skall ge upp f\u00f6r att slippa blodbadet, d\u00e5 har ju allt hittills varit f\u00f6rg\u00e4ves. Efter kriget f\u00e5r EU betala f\u00f6r att reparera landet och p\u00e5 sikt kommer dom med i EU s\u00e5 dom k\u00e4mpar f\u00f6r n\u00e5gonting positivt.
\n–
\nSl\u00e4pps det en taktisk k\u00e4rnladdning s\u00e5 \u00e4r motdraget en no-fly zone samma dag.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:53<\/h2>\n

Jag tycker detta mer b\u00f6rjar handla om hur man skall stoppa Putin att hitta en v\u00e4g ut ur detta s\u00e5 han f\u00e5r dingla snarare \u00e4n en rysk vinst. De f\u00f6rsta dagarna t\u00e4nkte jag att Ukraina hade vunnit om dom bara f\u00f6rlorade sitt territorium \u00f6ster om Dnepr s\u00e5 dom har verkligen \u00f6verraskat.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

21:43<\/h2>\n

Vi f\u00e5r nog sk\u00e4l att \u00e5terkomma till detta fram tills fredag men nu skall ju Ryssland tydligen g\u00e5 p\u00e5 offensiven igen. <\/p>\n

Vad r\u00e4knas som att ha ”satt in i strid”, \u00e4r konvojen medr\u00e4knad d\u00e4r, 65km soppatorsk?<\/p>\n

Jag s\u00e4tter en m\u00e5nadsl\u00f6n p\u00e5 att senast s\u00f6ndag \u00e4r denna f\u00f6rnyade offensiv utan gas och tills dess har dom tagit n\u00e5gra obetydliga st\u00e4der, ej Kiev och Kharkov. M\u00f6jligen Mauriopol.<\/p>\n

\u00c5terigen kommer deras f\u00f6rluster skena.<\/p>\n

Fr\u00e5n vad jag kan uttyda \u00e4r ukrainska f\u00f6rband relativt intakta och har bibeh\u00e5llet stridsv\u00e4rde samt att dom ocks\u00e5 passar p\u00e5 att vila och glida igenom en tolo n\u00e4r det \u00e4r lugnt.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

12:47 Enligt uppgift (USA tror jag) s\u00e5 har Ryssland nu satt in 90% av sina tillg\u00e4ngliga f\u00f6rband. Jag tolkar det […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5943","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-arkiv01","category-ukraina"],"yoast_head":"\n2022-03-07 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-03-07\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2022-03-07 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"12:47 Enligt uppgift (USA tror jag) s\u00e5 har Ryssland nu satt in 90% av sina tillg\u00e4ngliga f\u00f6rband. 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