{"id":5996,"date":"2022-03-20T13:05:31","date_gmt":"2022-03-20T12:05:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-03-20\/"},"modified":"2022-03-20T13:05:31","modified_gmt":"2022-03-20T12:05:31","slug":"2022-03-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-03-20\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-03-20"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

13:05<\/h2>\n

Ok, nu \u00e4r jag av \u00e5sikten att man m\u00e5ste steppa upp covert intervention n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller Mariopol.
\nRyssarna har satt in fartyg som nu bombar Mariopol med fartygsartilleri av ok\u00e4nd kaliber och enligt bloggen har dom nyligen fr\u00e4st iv\u00e4g en TOS1 salva.
\n—
\nDen f\u00f6rsta veckan visste vi att dom hade TOS1 vid Bedyansk och MLRS s\u00e5 det var v\u00e4ntat men man har inte sparat p\u00e5 n\u00e5got h\u00e4r och staden \u00e4r ju j\u00e4mnad med marken.
\n—
\nEftersom v\u00e4st har skickat ganska stor bredd p\u00e5 vapen till Ukraina anser jag att det finns en \u00f6ppning att m\u00e5lspana mot styrkorna som bel\u00e4grar Mariopol med sattelit\/signint\/globalhawk och sl\u00e5 ut nyckelvapen med det som finns till hands \u00e4ven om det just nu inte \u00e4r i Ukraina.
\nFartyg b\u00f6r f\u00f6rv\u00e4gras skjutavst\u00e5nd till Mariopol och TOS-1 och MLRS sl\u00e5s ut omedelbart.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:23<\/h2>\n

Vi har v\u00e4l ett tag nu i bloggen och kommentarsf\u00e4ltet ansett Mariopol och offensiven fr\u00e5n Kherson var av strategisk betydelse.
\n—
\nMed tanke p\u00e5 att offensiven stannat upp p\u00e5 alla fronter s\u00e5, precis som bloggen skriver, har ju bara Putin ett halmstr\u00e5 kvar, att h\u00e4vda att intagandet av Mariopol \u00e4r en vinst och d\u00e4refter g\u00e5 med p\u00e5 eld upph\u00f6r, f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka frysa konflikten och klara sig undan och likas\u00e5, faller inte Mariopol f\u00f6rv\u00e4gras Putin en out
\n—
\nHela detta krig och egentligen n\u00e4stkommande 10\u00e5ren f\u00f6r europa avg\u00f6rs s\u00e5ledes av fyra ukrainska brigader och dess stridsduglighet och uth\u00e5llighet. Enda s\u00e4ttet att h\u00e5lla staden \u00e4r att dom f\u00f6r en r\u00f6rlig strid dag och natt \u00f6ver hela ytan i grupps och plutons storlek och aldrig stannar upp. S\u00e5 fort ryssarna kan ringa in fickor kan man nedk\u00e4mpa men r\u00f6rliga grupper som en bisv\u00e4rm \u00f6verallt \u00e4r f\u00f6r sv\u00e5rt f\u00f6r dom har vi ju sett hittills.
\n—
\nSom bloggaren s\u00e4ger har staden inte gett upp \u00e4nnu och innan Putin kan paradera 5000 kapitulerande soldater f\u00f6rv\u00e4grar Ukraina Putin en out.
\n—
\nOffensiven vid Kherson kommer r\u00e4cka till att kasta ut Ryssarna v\u00e4ster om Dnepr gissar jag, eller det m\u00e5ste den g\u00f6ra, och d\u00e4refter s\u00e4krar man Kherson och Khakovka \u00f6verg\u00e5ngar och kan rulla \u00f6ver Dnipro f\u00f6r att h\u00e5lla tillbaka den s\u00f6dra offensivens expansion norrut.
\n—
\nF\u00f6r att unds\u00e4tta Mariopol har man nu endast m\u00f6jligheten att fj\u00e4rrbek\u00e4mpa med dr\u00f6nare och f\u00e5 ig\u00e5ng det fria kriget p\u00e5 steroider \u00f6ver hela ytan vid den s\u00f6dra och S\u00d6 fronten. Man beh\u00f6ver ju inte n\u00f6dv\u00e4ndigtvis infiltrera just SOF, spaning och elitf\u00f6rband utan kan ju s\u00e4tta upp fj\u00e4rrpatruller av dugliga f\u00f6rband som f\u00e5r f\u00f6ra det fria kriget bakom frontlinjerna.
\nBlir det nu lerigt och ryssarna verkligen inte kan k\u00f6ra av v\u00e4garna blir pansar och underh\u00e5ll enormt s\u00e5rbart.
\nF\u00f6rv\u00e4grar man bel\u00e4grarna mat ryker stridsv\u00e4rdet r\u00e4tt snart.
\n—
\nRostov-on-Don \u00e4r v\u00e4l en underh\u00e5llshub gissar jag nu n\u00e4r dom har l\u00e4nkat upp med Donbassrebellerna (och alla regulj\u00e4ra ryska f\u00f6rband d\u00e4r) och v\u00e4garna d\u00e4rifr\u00e5n m\u00e5ste bli kolonnen 2.0 mycket snart.
\n—
\nDet h\u00e4r \u00e4r en otroligt taskig sits f\u00f6r Mariopol som ligger f\u00f6r l\u00e5ngt bort f\u00f6r artillerisupport och v\u00e4stliga fartyg och enda s\u00e4ttet att bist\u00e5 dom \u00e4r verkligen inte attraktivt, fria kriget djupt inne i fiendeterrirorium, v\u00e4stliga covert-ops i form av fj\u00e4rrbek\u00e4mpning som jag verkligen hoppas \u00e4r p\u00e5 bordet kr\u00e4ver v\u00e4l lite mindre sisu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:58<\/h2>\n

Om vi tar ett f\u00e5gelperspektiv av kriget och Ryssland s\u00e5 tror jag att precis som m\u00e5nga sagt s\u00e5 har Ryssland f\u00f6rlorat kriget och i l\u00e4ngden sin geopolitiska position. Vad dom gjort med Mariopol, Kiev och Kharkov kommer leda till f\u00f6rst fortsatta sanktioner tills dom l\u00e4mnat hela Ukraina och d\u00e4refter ocks\u00e5 skickat Putin et.al till Haag. D\u00e4refter kommer alla beslagtagna medel skickas till \u00e5teruppbyggnaden av Ukraina, Putin skulle v\u00e4l vara god f\u00f6r 2000mkr kronor har jag l\u00e4st n\u00e5nstans. Nu har vi inte ens inkluderat att Ryssar kommer vara paria f\u00f6r l\u00e5ng tid fram\u00f6ver, de nya zigenarna.
\nAtt resa sig fr\u00e5n detta kommer ta ett par \u00e5r och det b\u00e4sta som kan h\u00e4nda f\u00f6r ryssland \u00e4r att dom TILL\u00c5TS s\u00e4lja sina r\u00e5varor till EU med schyssta kontakt och f\u00e5r CHANSEN att bli en uppskattad handelspartner.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:03<\/h3>\n

Om Ryssarna ville g\u00f6ra sig av med Putin et.al skulle han dingla i f\u00f6tterna fr\u00e5n en bensinmack idag.
\nOm inte Ryssarna vaknar av vad som sker i Ukraina s\u00e5 blir dom p\u00e5 ett s\u00e4tt som inte \u00e4r helt r\u00e4ttvist medhj\u00e4lpare.
\nLedarskiktet kommer sitta i Haag och h\u00f6gre officerare likas\u00e5 samt de st\u00f6ttande oligarkerna efter detta.
\nTyv\u00e4rr f\u00e5r ju de som motsatt sig kriget och straffats f\u00f6r detta guilt by association f\u00f6r att dom \u00e4r ryssar men v\u00e4rlden \u00e4r inte helt r\u00e4ttvis.
\nHade armen i sin helhet v\u00e4grat hade det aldrig blivit ett krig utan detta kan bara fortg\u00e5 f\u00f6r att tillr\u00e4ckligt m\u00e5nga accepterar situationen och f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker klara sig helskinnade undan.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:10<\/h3>\n

Japp s\u00e5 detta kokar direkt ned till dugligheten hos den f\u00f6rsvarande soldaten ned p\u00e5 individniv\u00e5.
\nKlarar dom att strida hungriga och utan s\u00f6mn i l\u00e5nga perioder och man f\u00f6r sin r\u00f6rliga strid \u00f6ver hela ytan kommer Mariopol klara sig tills Putin f\u00e5tt ge upp. Dom verkar ju ha en s\u00e4llan sk\u00e5dad stridsvilja s\u00e5 h\u00e4r l\u00e5ngt, staden \u00e4r utpl\u00e5nad och f\u00f6rlusterna m\u00e5ste vara astronomiska b\u00e5de f\u00f6r civila och stridande men p\u00e5 varje film vi ser \u00e4r det flinande ukrainare.
\n—
\nJag har funderat p\u00e5 om man kan f\u00e4lla matpaket med dr\u00f6nare nattetid eller n\u00e5t \ud83d\ude42
\nFlyg verkar vara f\u00f6rv\u00e4grat tilltr\u00e4de till luftrummet av ryskt luftv\u00e4rn och flygsk\u00e4rm.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:39<\/h2>\n

Jag undrar om Putin har klivit in i n\u00e5got han absolut inte v\u00e4ntade sig men som byggts upp under hundrata \u00e5r eller s\u00e5, n\u00e4mligen Ukrainsk revanschlusta?<\/p>\n

N\u00e5ng\u00e5ng efter revolutionen b\u00f6rjade ju misshandeln av det Ukrainska territoriet med h\u00f6jdpunkter som Holodmor och att man straffade provinsen efter andra v\u00e4rldskriget d\u00e5 en del satsat p\u00e5 att tyskarna skulle g\u00e5 vinnande ur detta.
\nDom har v\u00e4l aldrig setts som helt ryska?
\nSen kom 2014 och dom f\u00f6rnedrades inf\u00f6r \u00f6ppen rid\u00e5 och Donbass har varit som ett \u00f6ppet s\u00e5r.
\n—
\nNationer f\u00f6ds i blod heter det v\u00e4l och efter denna sm\u00e5tt otroliga sm\u00e4ll dom f\u00e5tt har Ukraina inte ens vacklat, man tar allt och ger allt man har och jag f\u00e5r k\u00e4nslan att revanschlusten \u00e4r enorm.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:10<\/h2>\n

Tjetjenerna \u00e4r i Mariopol dom likplundrarna, \u00e4r det n\u00e5got f\u00f6rband i detta krig man vill se rakl\u00e5nga p\u00e5 marken s\u00e5 \u00e4r det dom…
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/Militarylandnet\/status\/1505536280435777543?cxt=HHwWjoCz_abR3uQpAAAA<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:32<\/h2>\n

Tillbaka till Mariopol, stridsviljan m\u00e5ste vara enorm hos f\u00f6rsvararna, dom har varje sk\u00e4l att ge upp – hundratusentals civila som sakta d\u00f6r, ej m\u00f6jlighet till att bryta inringningen, veckor av strid, n\u00e4stintill massf\u00f6rst\u00f6relsevapen som anv\u00e4nds och en stad j\u00e4mnad med marken Grozny style som stormas som en medeltida f\u00e4stning av en numer\u00e4r \u00f6vermakt.
\n—
\nJag f\u00e5r k\u00e4nslan att Putin inte kommer kunna paradera en enda tillf\u00e5ngatagen soldat om staden er\u00f6vras, det blir Ukrainas taipale och dom sl\u00e5ss till sista man hellre d\u00f6d \u00e4n tillf\u00e5ngatagen. Varje film vi ser fr\u00e5n Mariopol \u00e4r flinande ukrainska soldater och dom har tagit mer stryk \u00e4n m\u00e5nga av de blodigaste historiska slagen.
\n—
\nHur Mariopol \u00e4n slutar kommer det bli en Pyrrhusseger f\u00f6r Putin, antalet d\u00f6da civila \u00e4r f\u00f6r h\u00f6gt f\u00f6r att klara sig ifr\u00e5n och leva ut sin tid som diktator, s\u00e4kerligen tiotusentals s\u00e5 h\u00e4r l\u00e5ngt.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

22:39<\/h3>\n

Jag tror att den ryska doktrinen med pansaranfall \u00e4r pensionerad efter detta. Armenien-Azerbadja, var ju rond ett som slutade p\u00e5 samma s\u00e4tt.
\n—
\n3D strid, dr\u00f6nare, flyg,hkp, satteliter, artilleri, grupps strid, plutons strid och r\u00f6rlig mekaniserad strid \u00f6ver hela ytan \u00e4r framtiden men kr\u00e4ver en mycket kompetent milit\u00e4r och stridsledning. Man kan allts\u00e5 vinna ett krig med grupps strid och r\u00e4tt bev\u00e4pnad. V\u00e4st har ju redan exporterat detta till Ukraina s\u00e5 vi ligger r\u00e4tt i tid. Kina har nog lite att l\u00e4ra sig…<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

13:05 Ok, nu \u00e4r jag av \u00e5sikten att man m\u00e5ste steppa upp covert intervention n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller Mariopol. Ryssarna har […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-arkiv01","category-ukraina"],"yoast_head":"\n2022-03-20 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-03-20\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2022-03-20 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"13:05 Ok, nu \u00e4r jag av \u00e5sikten att man m\u00e5ste steppa upp covert intervention n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller Mariopol. 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