{"id":6057,"date":"2022-04-02T09:56:22","date_gmt":"2022-04-02T07:56:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-04-02\/"},"modified":"2022-04-02T09:56:22","modified_gmt":"2022-04-02T07:56:22","slug":"2022-04-02","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-04-02\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-04-02"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

09:56<\/h2>\n

Tycker mig l\u00e4sa mer om att l\u00e4nder nu sk\u00e4nker ”offensiva” vapen. De +50 BMP-1 \u00e4r v\u00e4l ingen f\u00f6rm\u00e5geh\u00f6jare men nu skall tydligen USA tillse att \u00f6ststats-pansar kommer till Ukraina inklusive stridsvagnar och man kan v\u00e4l gissa att flyg nu ocks\u00e5 \u00e4r till\u00e5tet? Till det var det ju artilleri och smart ammunition (v\u00e4l). \u00c5terigen s\u00e5 ligger nog Ryssland p\u00e5 efterk\u00e4lken h\u00e4r b\u00e5de n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller mobilisering och att ers\u00e4tta utrustning. Ukraina har nu i en m\u00e5nad mobiliserat hundratusentals reserver och hela v\u00e4stv\u00e4rlden har \u00f6ppnat d\u00f6rrarna till sina f\u00f6rr\u00e5d. Visst skall Ryssland nu f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka sig p\u00e5 en offensiv i Donbass och om man koncentrerar allt man har p\u00e5 att omringa den norra stillest\u00e5ndslinjen s\u00e5 n\u00e5r man v\u00e4l lokalt \u00f6vertag innan man g\u00f6r misstaget att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka inta Kramatorsk och Slovyansk…<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:01<\/h2>\n

P\u00e5 Wikipediakartan \u00e4r Ivankiv nu bl\u00e5-ukrainsk vilket betyder att det som \u00e4r kvar s\u00f6der d\u00e4rom \u00e4r inst\u00e4ngda.
\nDet tar v\u00e4l ett par dagar innan vi har bilden klar f\u00f6r oss men 700 fordon f\u00f6rs\u00f6kte fly l\u00e4ngs v\u00e4gen Kiev- Ivankiv ungef\u00e4r samtidigt som Ukraina intog den och en st\u00f6rre grupp uppgavs retirera s\u00f6der om Kiev riktning \u00f6sterut och det borde ju rimligen ha varit skjutbana.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:34<\/h2>\n

Blir inte helt klok p\u00e5 Kherson, ig\u00e5r rapporterades det om 11 \u00e5tertagna samh\u00e4llen\/byar och man minerade bron i Dnepr f\u00f6r n\u00e5gra dagar sedan men ett avg\u00f6rande dr\u00f6jer. En tanke jag haft \u00e4r att Ryssarna fortfarande har order att ta Odessa och har fyllt p\u00e5 med f\u00f6rst\u00e4rkningar i det omr\u00e5det sedan Ukraina flyttade sina mekbrigader \u00f6ster om Dnepr via Zaporyznye och att det \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt f\u00f6r airborne och national guards brigaderna att komma till ett avg\u00f6rande d\u00e5 styrkef\u00f6rh\u00e5llandena f\u00f6r\u00e4ndrats till deras nackdel.
\nFr\u00e5gan \u00e4r v\u00e4l,
\n-vill Ukraina sl\u00e4ppa in s\u00e5 mycket som m\u00f6jligt v\u00e4ster om Dnepr f\u00f6r att l\u00e4tta p\u00e5 trycket mot s\u00f6dra fronten och f\u00f6rbereda en st\u00f6rre inringning.
\n-vill Ukraina f\u00e5 till ett avg\u00f6rande s\u00e5 fort som m\u00f6jligt men det g\u00e5r l\u00e5ngsamt.
\n-flyttades brigaderna till \u00f6ster om Dnepr f\u00f6r att \u00e5stadkomma n\u00e5got st\u00f6rre \u00e4n inringning Kherson eller var det i desperation f\u00f6r att h\u00e5lla stillest\u00e5ndslinjen?
\nRyssarna verkar ha 7 guards regiments, VDV och marines d\u00e4r s\u00e5 dom har sl\u00e4ngt in det b\u00e4sta dom har.
\nUkraina har 28th Mechanized, 80th Airborne, tv\u00e5 marinbrigader och lite annat.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:39<\/h3>\n

Tydligen har kapitalfl\u00f6det b\u00f6rjat ta fart ut fr\u00e5n Kina. Vild gissning s\u00e5 sneglar investerare p\u00e5 hur det gick med medel i Ryssland n\u00e4r sanktionerna slog till och sen Kinas position i fr\u00e5gan och n\u00e4r man sen gjort sin riskanalys blir det s\u00e4lj.
\nKina hade mycket snabbt kunnat avhj\u00e4lpa detta genom att f\u00f6rd\u00f6ma Ryssland i kraftigast m\u00f6jliga ordalag, garantera att man f\u00f6ljer v\u00e4sts agerande fullt ut osv. Det kan mycket v\u00e4l t\u00e4nkas att Kina kraschar sig sj\u00e4lva genom detta och d\u00e5 \u00e4r det ju minst sagt helt sj\u00e4lvf\u00f6rv\u00e5llat.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:53<\/h3>\n

Om ni l\u00e4ser Intel Slava s\u00e5 har dom samma filmer p\u00e5 d\u00f6da ryssar och ukrainska civila + soldater men narrativet \u00e4r att det \u00e4r ”de ukrainska nazisterna” som d\u00f6dat alla. \u00c5terigen, hade jag haft min ideologiska hemvist mot ryssland s\u00e5 hade jag k\u00f6pt det h\u00e4r rakt av. Bet\u00e4nk d\u00e5 att det \u00e4r just dessa som ryssarna f\u00e5r till sig och allt annat \u00e4r blockat. Putin har en rej\u00e4lt f\u00f6rfinad propagandaapparat som kan g\u00f6ra l\u00f6gn till sanning och det \u00e4r livsfarligt f\u00f6r f\u00e5r han med sig ryssarna i detta krig kan det dra ut p\u00e5 tiden.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

11:58<\/h2>\n

Alla filmer jag ser p\u00e5 gatustrider i Mariopol \u00e4r tjetjener. Till del nog f\u00f6r att dom \u00e4r riktiga tik-tokers men \u00e4ven de reportage som postas i pro-ryska sidor med journalister \u00e4r ofta tjetjener med eller utan n\u00e5n stridsvagn. Tror ni ryssarna skickar fram minoriteter och h\u00e5ller etniskt ryska f\u00f6rband utanf\u00f6r?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:05<\/h2>\n

r\u00e4tt ot\u00e4cka bilder p\u00e5 en helikopterkrasch och det skall vara en evakuering av h\u00f6gre officerare fr\u00e5n Azov och ukrainska styrkan (f\u00f6rmodat marinebrigaden) fr\u00e5n Mariopol. Det \u00e4r aldrig ett gott tecken n\u00e4r man f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker flyga ut de h\u00f6gst officerarna s\u00e5 fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r v\u00e4l hur l\u00e5ng tid Mariopol har kvar. Det \u00e4r oroande tyst d\u00e4rifr\u00e5n men tycker man kan l\u00e4sa sig till att ukrainarnas man\u00f6verutrymme blir allt mindre och d\u00e5 blir dom ocks\u00e5 l\u00e4ttare att sl\u00e5 ut n\u00e4r dom blir statiska. Man rekar deras position och sen f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker man sl\u00e5 ut dom med artilleri eller strv.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:13<\/h2>\n

N\u00e4sta frontavsnitt som \u00e4r r\u00e4tt statiskt \u00e4r den s\u00f6dra fronten.
\nRyssarna verkar ha 3 motoriserade och en pansarbrigad mellan Zaporoznye – Mariopol och tre brigader som omringar Mariopol.
\nUkraina har 3 Mechanized och ett par national guards brigader p\u00e5 motsvarande str\u00e4cka.
\nMed tanke p\u00e5 att Mariopol borde vara prioriterat \u00e4r det m\u00e4rkligt att man inte f\u00e5r framdrivning d\u00e4r, det \u00e4r inga elitf\u00f6rband ryssarna har i l\u00e4ngs den fronten och Ukraina har n\u00e4stan matchande numer\u00e4r.
\nKan det vara s\u00e5 att Ryssarna har Dnepr till v\u00e4ster och Donbass till \u00d6ster s\u00e5 man bara beh\u00f6ver f\u00f6rsvara rakt fram, sv\u00e5rt att omfatta och mycket v\u00e4gar s\u00e5 tillr\u00e4ckligt enkel geofrafi f\u00f6r den ryska staben att inte klanta till det?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:42<\/h2>\n

Nu iom. alla dessa filmer med d\u00f6da i h\u00f6gar har jag snuddat lite vid proryska sidor och dom \u00e4r extremt grafiska. Man kan nog sluta sig till att Ukraina har tagit enorma f\u00f6rluster i civila och en hel del milit\u00e4ra f\u00f6rluster. Det \u00e4r absolut dags att skicka alla offensiva vapen man kan till Ukraina, piloter, f\u00f6rare och soldater finns det ju men materiel, drivmedel och ammunition f\u00f6rsvinner nog fortare \u00e4n man kan ers\u00e4tta just nu. N\u00e4st steg om det \u00e4r n\u00f6dv\u00e4ndigt \u00e4r v\u00e4l en no-fly zone?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:53<\/h2>\n

\u00c4r r\u00e4tt skakad av m\u00e4ngden d\u00f6da h\u00e4r, det \u00e4r stora h\u00f6gar med lik och som bloggen skriver f\u00f6ruttnade s\u00e5 det m\u00e5ste lukta fruktansv\u00e4rt. En sak kan man nog vara r\u00e4tt s\u00e4ker p\u00e5, Ukraina kommer aldrig f\u00f6rl\u00e5ta Ryssland f\u00f6r detta n\u00e5gonsin, br\u00f6drafolk no more.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:58<\/h2>\n

Den h\u00e4r \u00e4r lite kul, massflykten fr\u00e5n Kiev och norra fronten har f\u00f6rklarats s\u00e5 h\u00e4r p\u00e5 ryssv\u00e4nlig media,<\/p>\n

”fact that an offensive operation will not be carried out near Kiev and Chernigov (for some time), from a purely military point of view, is a completely logical step. We are waiting for an even greater increase in the intensity of fighting in the Donbass and in the south. Here are the main forces of the enemy and they must be buried”.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:11<\/h2>\n

Bloggaren tog v\u00e4l upp att s\u00f6nderskjutna ryska fordon hade nazi-memorabilia med sig n\u00e4r ukrainarna inspekterade dom?
\nAzovbaserna som er\u00f6vrats i\/runt Mariopol har alltid massa SS officers och hakkorsflaggor p\u00e5 golvet, reportern som filmar kliver p\u00e5 n\u00e5got, backar och tar upp en…hakkorsfana. Vips har man avhumnaniserat Ukrainarna och r\u00e4ttf\u00e4rdigar detta folkmord f\u00f6r den egna oponionen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:51<\/h2>\n

Jag f\u00f6rst\u00e5r att det \u00e4r l\u00f6nl\u00f6st att h\u00f6ja blodtrycket \u00f6ver denna typ av retorik men nedan \u00e4r ju n\u00e4stan \u00f6ver gr\u00e4nsen \u00e4ven f\u00f6r ett kreml-troll, det \u00e4r allts\u00e5 Ukraina som \u00e4r ”invaders” \ud83d\ude42
\n”The invaders have already been driven out of 136 settlements. There are battles for Maryinka, Novomikhailovka and Novobakhmutovka. The cleansing of Mariupol continues, the remnants of Nazi paramilitary units are concentrated in the industrial zone of the city”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:57<\/h2>\n

Nu kan jag v\u00e4ldigt lite om ukrainska kvarvarande dr\u00f6nare, flyg, hkp och ryssarnas dito samt luftv\u00e4rn men om Ryssland nu har l\u00e5nga kolonner av fordon p\u00e5 v\u00e4g till Izyum och Donbass i st\u00f6rsta all\u00e4mhet b\u00f6r man v\u00e4l fr\u00e5n Ukrainas sida satsa i stort sett allt p\u00e5 att sl\u00e5 ut s\u00e5 mycket som m\u00f6jligt p\u00e5 landsv\u00e4g?
\nIntel finns ju och m\u00f6rkerkapacitet likas\u00e5 och l\u00e5ter man alla dessa f\u00f6rst\u00e4rkningar n\u00e5 fram till sin UFA \u00e4r det en ganska potent offensiv under uppbyggnad runt Izyum.
\nMan har v\u00e4l gjort en del hack i planeringen genom att sl\u00e5 ut st\u00f6rre dep\u00e5er men sj\u00e4lva man\u00f6verf\u00f6rbanden rullar just nu p\u00e5 s\u00e5 en del drivmedel verkar det ju finnas.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:04<\/h2>\n

Jag har reflekterat \u00f6ver att detta krig traumatiserar ett helt land, andelen direkt ber\u00f6rda \u00e4r enorm och m\u00e4ngden soldater med PTSD fram\u00f6ver hur m\u00e5nga som helst och traumatiserade barn. Jag vet inte riktigt hur man skulle g\u00e5 till v\u00e4ga men EU m\u00e5ste n\u00e4stan g\u00e5 all in f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka \u00e5terst\u00e4lla landet s\u00e5 befolkningen f\u00e5r en fungerande vardag.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

09:56 Tycker mig l\u00e4sa mer om att l\u00e4nder nu sk\u00e4nker ”offensiva” vapen. De +50 BMP-1 \u00e4r v\u00e4l ingen f\u00f6rm\u00e5geh\u00f6jare men […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-arkiv01","category-ukraina"],"yoast_head":"\n2022-04-02 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-04-02\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2022-04-02 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"09:56 Tycker mig l\u00e4sa mer om att l\u00e4nder nu sk\u00e4nker ”offensiva” vapen. 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