{"id":6074,"date":"2022-04-19T16:15:07","date_gmt":"2022-04-19T14:15:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-04-19\/"},"modified":"2022-04-19T16:15:07","modified_gmt":"2022-04-19T14:15:07","slug":"2022-04-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-04-19\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-04-19"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

16:15<\/h2>\n

Redan ig\u00e5r hade v\u00e4l Ryssarna tryckt p\u00e5 fr\u00e5n Kreminna mot Zyrichnye och nu \u00e4r det v\u00e4l lite olika bud p\u00e5 vem som st\u00e5r p\u00e5 torget i Zyrichnye?
\n—
\nV\u00e4rt att h\u00e5lla i \u00e5tanke h\u00e4r \u00e4r att det naturliga hindret ligger l\u00e4ngre v\u00e4sterut som vi v\u00e4l sa ig\u00e5r s\u00e5 dom k\u00f6r i v\u00e4rsta fall fast vid floden Donetske och sannolikheten f\u00f6r att dom skall kunna l\u00e4nka upp med offensiven vid Izyum \u00e4r fortsatt l\u00e5g.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

18:07<\/h2>\n

Man f\u00e5r v\u00e4l gissa att dom f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker f\u00f6lja rysk doktrin h\u00e4r – artilleri och sen anfall i echelonger?
\nDet rapporteras redan om strid l\u00e4ngs hela \u00f6stra frontlinjen s\u00e5 betyder det att f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpningen var midnatt – morgon?
\nOch sen har markanfallet dragit ig\u00e5ng?
\nSlut p\u00e5 ammunition efter n\u00e5n dags eldgivning?
\nWW2 brukade man v\u00e4l iallafall bl\u00e5sa p\u00e5 i tre dagar eller n\u00e5t f\u00f6r att uppn\u00e5 n\u00e5n typ av f\u00f6rlamande effekt p\u00e5 f\u00f6rsvaret.
\n—
\nOm ryssarna har 80 BTG i Ukraina och s\u00e4g 20 kommer v\u00e4gra fram\u00e5t, 20 sitter fast i Izyum-soppan och 8 i Kherson s\u00e5 blir det v\u00e4l 30 000 man + Donbassrebeller + tik-tok tjetjener att f\u00f6rsvara s\u00f6dra fronten och hela \u00f6stra fronten?
\nDonbass-rebellerna har \u00f6veranv\u00e4nts i en m\u00e5nad och etniskt ryska BTG \u00e4r mindre och mindre sugna p\u00e5 att d\u00f6 s\u00e5 stridsv\u00e4rdet \u00e4r \u00e4nnu s\u00e4mre \u00e4n vad det var f\u00f6r en m\u00e5nad sedan.
\n—
\nUkraina har v\u00e4l l\u00e5gt r\u00e4knat 300 000 man i man\u00f6verbrigader och n\u00e4stintill o\u00e4ndligt med infanteri som duger till att h\u00e5lla st\u00e4der, rensa samh\u00e4llen eller h\u00e5lla flanker, n\u00e5n stridsvagn + kompani skytte.
\nStridsv\u00e4rdet \u00e4r skyh\u00f6gt och man har f\u00e5tt en hel del ny materiel.
\n—
\nDet jag f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker r\u00e4kna ut h\u00e4r \u00e4r hur l\u00e5ng tid det tar innan Ukraina har tagit tillbaka Krim och Donbass, tror ni att dom hinner tills 9 Maj eller \u00e4r det f\u00f6r optministiskt \ud83d\ude42
\nMan skall nog inte underskatta den psykologiska effekten av en ukrainskt flagga p\u00e5 Sevastopols stadshus lagom till 9 Maj men fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r ju hur stora f\u00f6rlusterna skulle bli.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:55<\/h2>\n

Jag vill \u00e5terigen g\u00f6ra er uppm\u00e4rksamma p\u00e5 att det \u00e4r tyst kring Kharkov, detta \u00e4r signifikant d\u00e5 Kharkov var med i de omr\u00e5den Ryssarna har lovat armageddon i. Visst har man k\u00f6rt lite artilleri men inga markanfall vad jag kan se.
\nI f\u00f6rl\u00e4ngningen betyder det att Ukrainas motoffensiv mot Kupiansk kan fortg\u00e5 gissar jag f\u00f6r efter Malynivka g\u00e5r framryckningsv\u00e4gen s\u00f6der om flod(er) s\u00e5 man kan f\u00f6rsvara sin norra flank med infanteri.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

16:15 Redan ig\u00e5r hade v\u00e4l Ryssarna tryckt p\u00e5 fr\u00e5n Kreminna mot Zyrichnye och nu \u00e4r det v\u00e4l lite olika bud […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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