{"id":6377,"date":"2022-07-28T09:29:05","date_gmt":"2022-07-28T07:29:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-07-28\/"},"modified":"2022-07-28T09:29:05","modified_gmt":"2022-07-28T07:29:05","slug":"2022-07-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-07-28\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-07-28"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

13:39<\/h2>\n

Satt och klurade ig\u00e5r p\u00e5 vad som h\u00e4nder n\u00e4r Kherson klappar ihop, kan vi f\u00e5 en k\u00e4geleffekt?
\nS\u00e5nt \u00e4r ju s\u00e5 sansl\u00f6st sv\u00e5rt att f\u00f6rutse, vid krigsstart hoppades man ju p\u00e5 att 9 Maj skulle armen g\u00f6ra revolution och n\u00e4r man s\u00e5g paraden s\u00e5 f\u00f6rstod man att D\u00c5 var Ukrainakriget en irriterande surrande mygga. Det fanns en enorm tr\u00f6ghet och det som h\u00e4nde i Ukraina stannade i Ukraina.
\n\u2014
\nSpolar vi fram tills slutet Juli \u00e4r den ryska armen skakad men man kan ju forts\u00e4tta trycka in infanteri och varierande \u00e5lder p\u00e5 pansar r\u00e4tt l\u00e4nge till. En soldat fr\u00e5n Sibirien som skrivit p\u00e5 ett lukrativt kontrakt och \u00e5ker till Ukraina f\u00f6rst\u00e5r v\u00e4l inte vidden av sitt misstag innan han befinner sig i ett human-wave anfall mot Bakhmut och d\u00e5 \u00e4r det lite f\u00f6r sent. Sen repeterar man i all o\u00e4ndlighet.
\n\u2014
\nDjungeltrumman finns ju \u00e4ven i den ryska armen och vad skulle kunna h\u00e4nda om man uts\u00e4tter den f\u00f6r en rej\u00e4l shock?
\nTyp att 15 000 (verkar denna siffra vara konsensus nu?) kapitulerar vid Kherson.
\nDen frig\u00f6rs ju direkt 6 Ukrainska brigader som tuffar p\u00e5 till n\u00e4sta st\u00e4lle och sen \u00f6kar trycket vid s\u00f6dra fronten, Izyum och kanske vid Donbass?
\n\u2014
\nNu har vi v\u00e4l alla kommit till en punkt att vi k\u00e4nner att hoppas p\u00e5 underverk \u00e4r ingen ide utan b\u00e4ttre att g\u00f6ra som Ukraina redan f\u00f6rst\u00e5tt och fokusera p\u00e5 att sl\u00e4nga ut ryssarna och v\u00e4nder dom hem\u00e5t f\u00f6r egen maskin blir det en kul bonus. Men tror vi att det kan finnas n\u00e5gon chans att det blir ett st\u00f6rre sammanbrott \u00e4n en lokal krasch vid Kherson och att man sen m\u00e5ste ta tag i frontavsnitten ett efter ett?
\n\u2014
\nEgentligen kan man strypa tillf\u00f6rseln till s\u00f6dra fronten p\u00e5 samma s\u00e4tt som vid Kherson bara man f\u00e5r fram ett par HIMARS och n\u00e4r Donbass \u00e5terst\u00e5r, samma sak. Dom sl\u00e5r ju mot knytpunkter och dep\u00e5er (som alltid finns n\u00e5gonstans) och till sist \u00e4r det slut p\u00e5 granater. Nu \u00e4r det ju inte HIMARS i sig men parat med m\u00e5ldata och sen offensiv kapacitet blir det ju om\u00f6jligt f\u00f6r ryssarna att h\u00e5lla sig kvar p\u00e5 Ukrainskt territorium vilket omr\u00e5de det \u00e4n \u00e4r.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:44<\/h2>\n

Jag tyckte nog att T-P (ordet alla sociala medier har block p\u00e5) var en liten frisk fl\u00e4kt i b\u00f6rjan men ser ju nu att hade han suttit vid makten hade Ukraina varit en tysk lydprovins idag.
\n\u2014
\nBiden har agerat som han skulle och har r\u00e4ddat den fria v\u00e4rlden.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:18<\/h2>\n

Bron \u00e4r full med retirerande ryssar som ukrainska flyget kan g\u00f6ra inflygningar p\u00e5 n\u00e4r dom stannar upp borta vid brottet?
\nSen t\u00e4nker sig v\u00e4l Ukraina att korsa uppe vid Khakovka f\u00f6r korsar dom vid Kherson k\u00f6r dom rakt in i linjen Krimkanalen. Om dom nu t\u00e4nkt sig korsa Dnepr.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:18<\/h3>\n

Var till Klasa l\u00e5ngt upp tror jag, hamnade helfel.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:19<\/h4>\n

MickeUppsala var det ju.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:26<\/h3>\n

Krimkanalen \u00e4r ju bef\u00e4st det vet vi och p\u00e5 f\u00f6rbandskartorna finns det ju ryssar i Melitopol.
\nKhakovka p\u00e5 \u00f6stra sidan \u00e4r rimligen bef\u00e4st.
\nL\u00e4ngre norrut tror jag det g\u00e5r att b\u00e5ta \u00f6ver kompanier ost\u00f6rt.
\nSj\u00e4lvklart har Ryssarna f\u00f6rsvar mot Dnepr och norrut vid s\u00f6dra fronten men fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r v\u00e4l hur mycket.
\nF\u00f6rsvinner allt vid Kherson \u00f6ver en natt s\u00e5 kanske det visar sig att man har 2-3 BTG att f\u00f6rsvara \u00f6stra sidan av Dnepr eller n\u00e5t och att det inte r\u00e4cker.
\nNu kanske det b\u00f6rjar fyllas p\u00e5 men dom skall ju tas n\u00e5gonstans ifr\u00e5n, tex. S\u00f6dra fronten och d\u00e5 f\u00f6rsvagas den.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

13:39 Satt och klurade ig\u00e5r p\u00e5 vad som h\u00e4nder n\u00e4r Kherson klappar ihop, kan vi f\u00e5 en k\u00e4geleffekt? S\u00e5nt \u00e4r […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraina","category-arkiv01"],"yoast_head":"\n2022-07-28 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-07-28\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2022-07-28 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"13:39 Satt och klurade ig\u00e5r p\u00e5 vad som h\u00e4nder n\u00e4r Kherson klappar ihop, kan vi f\u00e5 en k\u00e4geleffekt? 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